Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2019

Tornado Warning 111, NWS Jackson, MS

December 16, 2019Jasper County, Smith County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Dec 16, 2019, 5:44 PM CST for Jasper County, Smith County, Mississippi. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Dec 16, 2019, 5:44 PM CST (23:44 UTC)
Expired: Dec 16, 2019, 6:29 PM CST
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Observed
Hail: 0.75 in

Counties Jasper County, MS, Smith County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Dec 16, 2:22 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 268 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -205 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 760 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 220 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 246 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

853 
WFUS54 KJAN 162344
TORJAN
MSC061-129-170045-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0111.191216T2344Z-191217T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
544 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Jasper County in east central Mississippi...
  Northeastern Smith County in central Mississippi...

* Until 645 PM CST.
        
* At 544 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Raleigh, or 14
  miles west of Stringer, moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This tornadic storm will be near...
  Pineville around 610 PM CST.
  Garlandville around 645 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Sylvarena, Montrose and Louin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3212 8903 3192 8942 3203 8950 3222 8934
      3222 8911
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 223DEG 26KT 3194 8949 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

NF

2 follow-up statements

610 
WWUS54 KJAN 170004
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
604 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

MSC061-129-170045-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0111.000000T0000Z-191217T0045Z/
Jasper MS-Smith MS-
604 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN JASPER AND EAST CENTRAL SMITH COUNTIES...
    
At 601 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Bay Springs, or 12 miles northwest of Stringer,
moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Louin around 610 PM CST.
  Montrose around 620 PM CST.
  Garlandville around 630 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3212 8903 3196 8936 3204 8945 3222 8932
      3222 8911
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 230DEG 26KT 3202 8937 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

NF

648 
WWUS54 KJAN 170029
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
629 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

MSC061-129-170035-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0111.000000T0000Z-191217T0045Z/
Jasper MS-Smith MS-
629 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN JASPER AND EAST CENTRAL SMITH
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been 
cancelled for northwestern Jasper and eastern Smith Counties. 
However, large hail and damaging winds remain likely and a Severe 
Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for parts of Jasper County 
until 700 PM CST. And a Tornado Warning remains in effect for 
southeastern Jasper County until 645 PM CST.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CST for central and
east central Mississippi.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for 
central and soutehern 

LAT...LON 3212 8903 3196 8936 3204 8945 3222 8932
      3222 8911
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 223DEG 26KT 3215 8923 

$$

NF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Dec 16, 5:14 PM CST, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 16, 5:14 PM CST, 30 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
514 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

.UPDATE...
Updated for 00Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF discussion: Mostly IFR conditions will be prevalent
tonight with widespread thunderstorms in advance of a cold front
moving through the area. With the frontal passage, southerly winds
at 10 to 20 knots will switch to the northwest and become gusty,
especially Tuesday afternoon. The rain will taper off from the
northwest late tonight as ceilings slowly rise to MVFR. Isolated
showers will continue over southeast portions Tuesday morning,
otherwise MVFR ceilings will prevail./GG/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Rest of this afternoon through Tuesday:

Rest of this afternoon-evening: Severe weather will remain likely
through the region through this evening, with severe weather
potential lingering across central to southeast Mississippi & the
Interstate 59 corridor through 10PM. The frontal boundary is
analyzed across the ArkLaMiss Delta, with isolated supercell
structures further south across the Highway 84 corridor & more
linear QLCS structures closer to the surface frontal axis. Out
ahead, juxtaposition of anomalous destabilization (i.e. 1000-1500
J/kg MLCAPE) & deep layer shear (i.e. effective bulk shear of
55kts+) continue to favor supercell & QLCS structures through the
afternoon-evening hours. With strong clockwise curving hodgraphs &
nearly 250-300+ m2/s2 effective storm relative helicity, this will
continue to favor supercell & QLCS segments & tornadoes, some
possibly strong. A new tornado watch has been issued for areas east
of the Interstate 55 corridor through 9PM this evening. Expect this
potential will move near or just before rush hour through early
evening along the Interstate 55 corridor & near Brookhaven to
Columbus & into the Pine Belt & Interstate 59 corridor into the
early-late evening hours. Remain weather aware & have your severe
weather plans in place through this evening!

Tuesday through Sunday: A period of calmer weather is in store for
the extended period. Early on, broad mid level ridge will build into
the region from the west as long wave trough departs to the east.
This will translate to dry northerly winds and cool conditions
through much of the week.

Meanwhile, another bit of southern stream energy will move ashore
along the CA coast and into the Intermountain West by mid week. The
moisture starved system will quickly move through the Rockies into
the southern Plains by the end of the week. Though dry surface high
pressure looks to remain wedged into the area from the northeast,
mid and high level moisture will be on the increase as the system
moves into the lower MS valley. Mostly a light rain event will be
seen Saturday through Sunday as the low level dry air eats up the
majority of what falls. /GG/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       40  47  30  50 /  90   9   1   1
Meridian      44  49  30  51 /  82  29   1   1
Vicksburg     39  47  31  52 /  81   7   1   1
Hattiesburg   46  51  31  52 /  84  33   0   0
Natchez       41  47  31  52 /  87   7   1   1
Greenville    36  44  30  48 /  53   5   1   1
Greenwood     38  44  30  48 /  78   5   1   1

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 16, 11:14 AM CST, 6 hours 30 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1114 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-019-034-171715-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-Bolivar-Sunflower-Washington-
1114 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Remainder of Today through Tonight

Remainder of today through tonight, severe thunderstorms and
tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging
winds to 60 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

LAZ008-009-015-MSZ025>033-035-036-038>041-045-046-051-052-056>058-
063>066-072>074-171715-
West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Humphreys-
Holmes-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Neshoba-Kemper-Newton-
Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
1114 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Remainder of Today through Tonight

Remainder of today through tonight, severe thunderstorms are
likely and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms may produce
damaging winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

LAZ016-023>026-MSZ037-042>044-047>050-053>055-059>062-171715-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Attala-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Leake-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
1114 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
southwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...Remainder of Today through Tonight

Remainder of today through tonight, significant severe
thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong tornadoes
possible. Some thunderstorms could also produce damaging winds up
to 70 mph and large hail up to at least golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

23

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 16, 4:28 PM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
428 PM CST MON DEC 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0426 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 WSW MONTICELLO        31.53N 90.16W
12/16/2019                   LAWRENCE           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED SOUTHWEST OF
            MONTICELLO.

&&

DB

Local storm report, Dec 16, 4:50 PM CST, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
450 PM CST MON DEC 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0449 PM     TORNADO          COLUMBIA                31.26N 89.83W
12/16/2019                   MARION             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TORNADO REPORTED IN COLUMBIA.

&&

DB

Local storm report, Dec 16, 4:56 PM CST, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
456 PM CST MON DEC 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TORNADO          FOXWORTH                31.24N 89.87W
12/16/2019                   MARION             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STRUCTURAL DAMAGE REPORTED IN FOXWORTH.

&&

DB

Local storm report, Dec 16, 5:07 PM CST, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
507 PM CST MON DEC 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     TORNADO          4 SSE GWINVILLE         31.70N 89.87W
12/16/2019                   JEFFERSON DAVIS    MS   STORM CHASER

            LARGE TORNADO REPORTED ON THE GROUND NORTH
            OF PRENTISS.

&&

DB

Local storm report, Dec 16, 5:15 PM CST, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
515 PM CST MON DEC 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             2 NE HICKORY GROVE      31.41N 89.63W
12/16/2019  E1.75 INCH       LAMAR              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN
            NORTHWEST LAMAR COUNTY.

&&

DB

Local storm report, Dec 16, 5:23 PM CST, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
523 PM CST MON DEC 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     TORNADO          SUMRALL                 31.42N 89.54W
12/16/2019                   LAMAR              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTS OF A TORNADO ON THE GROUND IN
            SUMRALL.

&&

DB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 16, 3:50 AM CST	Dense Fog Advisory	JAN	Covington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar	5 hr
Dec 16, 10:50 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Warren	55 min
Dec 16, 10:53 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Warren	67 min
Dec 16, 11:49 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Hinds, Warren	56 min
Dec 16, 12:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Madison, Yazoo	29 min
Dec 16, 1:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Washington	54 min
Dec 16, 1:27 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams	48 min
Dec 16, 1:41 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Adams	49 min
Dec 16, 2:18 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin	45 min
Dec 16, 2:20 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	17 min
Dec 16, 2:30 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Leflore, Montgomery	75 min
Dec 16, 2:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington	58 min
Dec 16, 2:50 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Franklin, Lincoln	55 min
Dec 16, 3:24 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Franklin, Lincoln	51 min
Dec 16, 3:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington	43 min
Dec 16, 3:27 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lawrence, Lincoln	63 min
Dec 16, 3:38 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lincoln	52 min
Dec 16, 4:14 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jefferson Davis, Lawrence	61 min
Dec 16, 4:20 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Marion	55 min
Dec 16, 4:22 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Simpson	38 min
Dec 16, 4:37 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Simpson	53 min
Dec 16, 4:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams, Franklin	48 min
Dec 16, 4:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Franklin, Jefferson	44 min
Dec 16, 5:03 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threat	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson, Smith	57 min
Dec 16, 5:04 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar	56 min
Dec 16, 5:12 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson, Smith	42 min
Dec 16, 5:24 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lawrence, Lincoln	66 min
Dec 16, 5:30 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Hinds, Lincoln	45 min
Dec 16, 5:41 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jasper, Jones	48 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2019 Every tornado warning in 2019 Tornadoes in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.