Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 347, NWS Jackson, MS

October 21, 2019Ashley County, Arkansas

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 21, 2019, 6:08 AM CDT for Ashley County, Arkansas. It was in force for 67 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 21, 2019, 6:08 AM CDT (11:08 UTC)
Expired
Oct 21, 2019, 7:15 AM CDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Ashley County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 189 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Oct 21, 5:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2019-10-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1268 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2019-10-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 110 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1268 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-12 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1355 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
5.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 21, 4:37 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 21, 4:37 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 21, 4:59 AM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
459 AM CDT Mon Oct 21 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>029-032-
034>037-040>044-047>051-053>066-072>074-221000-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Choctaw-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Leake-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Claiborne-
Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-
Forrest-
459 AM CDT Mon Oct 21 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Early this morning through this afternoon

Severe thunderstorms are possible today with an approaching cold
front. Damaging wind gusts will be the main hazard, but tornadoes
will also be possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region early this
morning through today.

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-045-046-052-221000-
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Neshoba-Kemper-Lauderdale-
459 AM CDT Mon Oct 21 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...This morning through this afternoon

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today.
Damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard, but a tornado
cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region early this
morning through today.

NF

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 21, 6:35 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar25 min
Oct 21, 7:11 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar, Sunflower, Washington34 min
Oct 21, 7:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANIssaquena44 min
Oct 21, 7:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Issaquena, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington65 min
Oct 21, 8:15 AM CDTTornado WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Leflore45 min
Oct 21, 8:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Montgomery43 min
Oct 21, 8:43 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANYazoo47 min
Oct 21, 8:53 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCarroll52 min
Oct 21, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jasper, Jones, Lamar28 min
Oct 21, 4:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke34 min
Oct 21, 6:57 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse, Richland33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.