River Flood Warning 44, NWS Jackson, MS

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
523 AM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>039-201130-
Ashley-Chicot-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-
Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
523 AM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and
north central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall today and
tonight will likely result in areas of flash flooding, and some
roads could be flooded or closed. Minor river flooding is also
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall will continue the threat
for flash flooding and river flooding through Wednesday
afternoon, especially for locations in northern Mississippi, far
southeast Arkansas, and far northeast Louisiana. Additional
rounds of heavy rainfall through the weekend may result in
further flash flooding concerns as well as continued river
flooding on area streams and rivers. Many rivers will likely
approach minor to moderate flood stages by this weekend.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday, especially across
northeast Louisiana, southeast Arkansas and areas in Mississippi
north and west of the Natchez Trace corridor. This potential
weather event is still several days away, so be sure to stay
tuned for updates to the forecast.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
through Saturday night.

LAZ007>009-MSZ040-041-201130-
Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Issaquena-Sharkey-
523 AM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall today and
tonight will likely result in areas of flash flooding, and some
roads could be flooded or closed. Minor river flooding is also
possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible late tonight
through early Wednesday afternoon across northeast Louisiana and
portions of central and southern Mississippi. The primary hazard
with any severe thunderstorms will be damaging wind gusts, but
hail up to the size of quarters and a few tornadoes cannot be
ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall will continue the threat
for flash flooding and river flooding through Wednesday
afternoon, especially for locations in northern Mississippi, far
southeast Arkansas, and far northeast Louisiana. Additional
rounds of heavy rainfall through the weekend may result in
further flash flooding concerns as well as continued river
flooding on area streams and rivers. Many rivers will likely
approach minor to moderate flood stages by this weekend.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday, especially across
northeast Louisiana, southeast Arkansas and areas in Mississippi
north and west of the Natchez Trace corridor. This potential
weather event is still several days away, so be sure to stay
tuned for updates to the forecast.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday and Saturday through Saturday night.

LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ042>066-072>074-201130-
Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-
Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-
Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
523 AM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms producing locally heavy rain today and
tonight will result in possible flash flooding, particularly in
low lying and urban areas.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible late tonight
through early Wednesday afternoon across northeast Louisiana and
portions of central and southern Mississippi. The primary hazard
with any severe thunderstorms will be damaging wind gusts, but
hail up to the size of quarters and a few tornadoes cannot be
ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall will continue the threat
for flash flooding and river flooding through Wednesday
afternoon, especially for locations in northern Mississippi, far
southeast Arkansas, and far northeast Louisiana. Additional
rounds of heavy rainfall through the weekend may result in
further flash flooding concerns as well as continued river
flooding on area streams and rivers. Many rivers will likely
approach minor to moderate flood stages by this weekend.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday, especially across
northeast Louisiana, southeast Arkansas and areas in Mississippi
north and west of the Natchez Trace corridor. This potential
weather event is still several days away, so be sure to stay
tuned for updates to the forecast.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Wednesday and Saturday through Saturday night.

NF

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
557 AM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

MSZ042-043-191230-
Yazoo MS-Madison MS-
557 AM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN YAZOO AND WEST
CENTRAL MADISON COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM CST...

At 557 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Flora, or 14 miles north of Clinton, moving northeast at 60 mph.

Dime size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Flora around 600 AM CST.
  Myrleville around 610 AM CST.
  Benton around 615 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Bentonia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3276 9006 3249 9036 3249 9045 3256 9045
      3287 9024
TIME...MOT...LOC 1157Z 217DEG 53KT 3254 9039

22

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
702 AM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 AM     HAIL             3 WSW COLLINS           31.62N 89.61W
02/19/2019  E0.25 INCH       COVINGTON          MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
707 AM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 AM     HAIL             3 NE COLLINS            31.66N 89.51W
02/19/2019  E0.25 INCH       COVINGTON          MS   PUBLIC

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
809 AM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 AM     HAIL             COLLINS                 31.64N 89.56W
02/19/2019  E0.88 INCH       COVINGTON          MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

AW

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
811 AM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

MSZ046-052-191445-
Kemper MS-Lauderdale MS-
811 AM CST TUE FEB 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT KEMPER AND NORTHWESTERN
LAUDERDALE COUNTIES UNTIL 845 AM CST...

At 810 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Herbert Springs, or 15 miles west of Meridian Station, moving
northeast at 65 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Damascus and Prismatic around 815 AM CST.
  Liberty and Bluff Springs around 820 AM CST.
  De Kalb around 825 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Scooba.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3239 8891 3275 8891 3293 8836 3260 8841
TIME...MOT...LOC 1410Z 217DEG 58KT 3260 8888

DB