Alert archive / Indiana / Wind Advisories in 2019
Wind Advisory 3, NWS Northern Indiana
NWS Northern Indiana issued this wind advisory at Feb 12, 2019, 4:03 AM EST for 8 counties in Ohio; 20 counties in Indiana; Branch County, Hillsdale County, Michigan. It took effect at Feb 12, 2019, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 14 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 12, 2019, 4:03 AM EST (09:03 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 12, 2019, 4:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 13, 2019, 6:10 AM EST
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Northern Indiana
All 30 counties
Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Branch County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH
The radar
The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 492 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 109 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 343 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
031 WWUS73 KIWX 120903 NPWIWX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Northern Indiana 403 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 INZ013-015-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ024-025-121715- /O.NEW.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.190212T2100Z-190213T0900Z/ Pulaski-Fulton IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells- Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-Allen OH- Including the cities of Winamac, Francesville, Medaryville, Rochester, Akron, Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington, Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville 403 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 /303 AM CST Tue Feb 12 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a Wind Advisory...which is in effect from 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ this afternoon to 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ Wednesday. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * West winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 to 45 mph late this afternoon and tonight. IMPACTS... * The saturated ground in addition to the wind could result in a few trees being downed this afternoon and tonight. Impacts on trees from recent ice accumulations combined with the stronger wind gusts late this afternoon into tonight may also pose a risk for damage to tree limbs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$
6 follow-up statements
687 WWUS73 KIWX 121751 NPWIWX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1251 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 INZ013-015-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ024-025-122300- /O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.190212T2100Z-190213T0900Z/ Pulaski-Fulton IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells- Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-Allen OH- Including the cities of Winamac, Francesville, Medaryville, Rochester, Akron, Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington, Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville 1251 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 /1151 AM CST Tue Feb 12 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * West winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 to 45 mph late this afternoon and tonight. IMPACTS... * The saturated ground in addition to the wind could result in a few trees being downed this afternoon and tonight. Impacts on trees from recent ice accumulations combined with the stronger wind gusts late this afternoon into tonight may also pose a risk for damage to tree limbs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$
071 WWUS73 KIWX 122000 NPWIWX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Northern Indiana 300 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 INZ008-009-012-014-016>018-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-130400- /O.EXB.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.190213T0000Z-190213T1200Z/ Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Marshall-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-Williams- Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam- Including the cities of Kendallville, Ligonier, Albion, Auburn, Garrett, Knox, North Judson, Bass Lake, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver, Warsaw, Winona Lake, Syracuse, Mentone, Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Fort Wayne, New Haven, Bryan, Montpelier, Edgerton, Wauseon, Archbold, Swanton, Delta, Defiance, Sherwood, Hicksville, Napoleon, Deshler, Liberty Center, Paulding, Antwerp, Payne, Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, and Pandora 300 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 /200 PM CST Tue Feb 12 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a Wind Advisory...which is in effect from 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ this evening to 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Wednesday. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * West winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph tonight. * Light snow is also expected which could reduce visibilities with the high winds and blowing snow. IMPACTS... * The saturated ground in addition to any broken or damaged tree limbs from the recent ice accumulation could lead to tree limbs or small trees coming down with the strong winds. Power outages are likely tonight from falling branches onto utility lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ INZ013-015-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ024-025-130400- /O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.190212T2100Z-190213T0900Z/ Pulaski-Fulton IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells- Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-Allen OH- Including the cities of Winamac, Francesville, Medaryville, Rochester, Akron, Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington, Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville 300 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 /200 PM CST Tue Feb 12 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * West winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph tonight. IMPACTS... * The saturated ground in addition to any broken or damaged tree limbs from the recent ice accumulation could lead to tree limbs or small trees coming down with the strong winds. Power outages are possible tonight from falling branches onto utility lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$
542 WWUS73 KIWX 130329 NPWIWX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1029 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 INZ013-015-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ024-025-130900- /O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190213T0900Z/ Pulaski-Fulton IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells- Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-Allen OH- Including the cities of Winamac, Francesville, Medaryville, Rochester, Akron, Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington, Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville 1029 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 /929 PM CST Tue Feb 12 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * West winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph tonight. * Light snow is also expected which could reduce visibilities with the high winds and blowing snow. IMPACTS... * The saturated ground in addition to any broken or damaged tree limbs from the recent ice accumulation could lead to tree limbs or small trees coming down with the strong winds. Power outages are possible tonight from falling branches onto utility lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ INZ008-009-012-014-016>018-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-131130- /O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/ Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Marshall-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-Williams- Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam- Including the cities of Kendallville, Ligonier, Albion, Auburn, Garrett, Knox, North Judson, Bass Lake, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver, Warsaw, Winona Lake, Syracuse, Mentone, Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Fort Wayne, New Haven, Bryan, Montpelier, Edgerton, Wauseon, Archbold, Swanton, Delta, Defiance, Sherwood, Hicksville, Napoleon, Deshler, Liberty Center, Paulding, Antwerp, Payne, Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, and Pandora 1029 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 /929 PM CST Tue Feb 12 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * West winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph tonight. * Light snow is also expected which could reduce visibilities with the high winds and blowing snow. IMPACTS... * The saturated ground in addition to any broken or damaged tree limbs from the recent ice accumulation could lead to tree limbs or small trees coming down with the strong winds. Power outages are likely tonight from falling branches onto utility lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$
249 WWUS73 KIWX 130802 NPWIWX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Northern Indiana 302 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 INZ006-007-MIZ080-081-131200- /O.EXA.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/ Lagrange-Steuben-Branch-Hillsdale- Including the cities of Lagrange, Topeka, Shipshewana, Angola, Fremont, Coldwater, Bronson, Hillsdale, Jonesville, and Litchfield 302 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a Wind Advisory...which is in effect until 7 AM EST this morning. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * West winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. * Light snow is also expected which could reduce visibilities with the high winds and blowing snow. IMPACTS... * The saturated ground in addition to any broken or damaged tree limbs from the recent ice accumulation could lead to tree limbs or small trees coming down with the strong winds. Power outages are likely tonight from falling branches onto utility lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ INZ013-015-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ024-025-130915- /O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190213T0900Z/ Pulaski-Fulton IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells- Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-Allen OH- Including the cities of Winamac, Francesville, Medaryville, Rochester, Akron, Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington, Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville 302 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 /202 AM CST Wed Feb 13 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ EARLY THIS MORNING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * West winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. * Light snow is also expected which could reduce visibilities with the high winds and blowing snow. IMPACTS... * The saturated ground in addition to any broken or damaged tree limbs from the recent ice accumulation could lead to tree limbs or small trees coming down with the strong winds. Power outages are possible tonight from falling branches onto utility lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ INZ008-009-012-014-016>018-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-131200- /O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/ Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Marshall-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-Williams- Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam- Including the cities of Kendallville, Ligonier, Albion, Auburn, Garrett, Knox, North Judson, Bass Lake, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver, Warsaw, Winona Lake, Syracuse, Mentone, Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Fort Wayne, New Haven, Bryan, Montpelier, Edgerton, Wauseon, Archbold, Swanton, Delta, Defiance, Sherwood, Hicksville, Napoleon, Deshler, Liberty Center, Paulding, Antwerp, Payne, Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, and Pandora 302 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 /202 AM CST Wed Feb 13 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ THIS MORNING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * West winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. * Light snow is also expected which could reduce visibilities with the high winds and blowing snow. IMPACTS... * The saturated ground in addition to any broken or damaged tree limbs from the recent ice accumulation could lead to tree limbs or small trees coming down with the strong winds. Power outages are likely tonight from falling branches onto utility lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$
590 WWUS73 KIWX 130901 NPWIWX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Northern Indiana 401 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 INZ013-015-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ024-025-131015- /O.EXP.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190213T0900Z/ Pulaski-Fulton IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells- Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-Allen OH- Including the cities of Winamac, Francesville, Medaryville, Rochester, Akron, Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington, Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville 401 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 /301 AM CST Wed Feb 13 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... The Wind Advisory is no longer in effect. Winds will continue to diminish through this morning. && $$ INZ006>009-012-014-016>018-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016- 131200- /O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/ Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Marshall-Kosciusko-Whitley- Allen IN-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry- Paulding-Putnam- Including the cities of Lagrange, Topeka, Shipshewana, Angola, Fremont, Kendallville, Ligonier, Albion, Auburn, Garrett, Knox, North Judson, Bass Lake, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver, Warsaw, Winona Lake, Syracuse, Mentone, Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Fort Wayne, New Haven, Coldwater, Bronson, Hillsdale, Jonesville, Litchfield, Bryan, Montpelier, Edgerton, Wauseon, Archbold, Swanton, Delta, Defiance, Sherwood, Hicksville, Napoleon, Deshler, Liberty Center, Paulding, Antwerp, Payne, Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, and Pandora 401 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 /301 AM CST Wed Feb 13 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ THIS MORNING... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * West winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. * Light snow is also expected which could reduce visibilities with the high winds and blowing snow. IMPACTS... * The saturated ground in addition to any broken or damaged tree limbs from the recent ice accumulation could lead to tree limbs or small trees coming down with the strong winds. Power outages are likely tonight from falling branches onto utility lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or gusts of 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$
757 WWUS73 KIWX 131110 NPWIWX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Northern Indiana 610 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 INZ006>009-012-014-016>018-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016- 131215- /O.CAN.KIWX.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190213T1200Z/ Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Marshall-Kosciusko-Whitley- Allen IN-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry- Paulding-Putnam- Including the cities of Lagrange, Topeka, Shipshewana, Angola, Fremont, Kendallville, Ligonier, Albion, Auburn, Garrett, Knox, North Judson, Bass Lake, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver, Warsaw, Winona Lake, Syracuse, Mentone, Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Fort Wayne, New Haven, Coldwater, Bronson, Hillsdale, Jonesville, Litchfield, Bryan, Montpelier, Edgerton, Wauseon, Archbold, Swanton, Delta, Defiance, Sherwood, Hicksville, Napoleon, Deshler, Liberty Center, Paulding, Antwerp, Payne, Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, and Pandora 610 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 /510 AM CST Wed Feb 13 2019/ ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has cancelled the Wind Advisory. Winds have fallen below advisory criteria and will continue to slowly diminish through this afternoon. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 12, 1:40 AM EST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 1:40 AM EST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
140 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 1200 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019
Freezing rain will transition to rain from southwest to northeast
this morning. Travel will likely be a challenge for many areas
this morning due to icy roads. Areas of drizzle and rain today
will then transition back to snow showers tonight. Winds will
increase tonight with a dusting to 2 inches of snow accumulation
possible. Drier conditions are then expected Wednesday into
Thursday.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 138 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019
Low level temps/wet bulbs continue to be very slow to recover
across the area. Based on upstream radar trends/sfc obs/and few
reports of ice accumulations already around one tenth of an inch,
will go ahead and add Branch county Michigan, Williams/Fulton
counties NW Ohio, and Steuben county NE Indiana to the ice storm
warning where total ice accumulations in excess of 0.25 inches are
possible. Updated WSW to be sent by around 2 AM EST.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 353 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019
Extremely challenging forecast next 12 to 18 hours regarding icing
potential across the area, not to mention marginal flooding
concerns and even wind issues towards the end of the period. Will
try to capture highlights.
Isentropic lift beginning to increase in response to approaching
system with radar lighting up rapidly in far SW areas as of
writing this. Reports thus far have been drizzle, but
unfortunately given air temps near or below 32, it may be freezing
on some surfaces. Warmer air isn't far away from these areas and
for now will handle with SPS. Not far behind this is blossoming
area of precipitation across Illinois and all the way back into
Missouri. Surface temperatures have been slow to rise with some
areas still below freezing while other residing near or just
above. May be a bit of a drop in temps as precip arrives, but
generally expect steady temperatures this evening with a slow rise
overnight. Strength of the warm nose should limit amount of snow
and sleet for all but far NE areas where a few hours of SN/IP will
be possible. By mid to late evening, all precip should be
transitioning to freezing rain as 850 mb temps climb well above 5
C to bring all liquid precip. The biggest variable remains what
air/surface temperatures will be and how fast they will rise as
warmer air continues to work north. Advisory was expanded south
earlier to account for longer period of temps below 34 degrees and
greater ice accumulation potential. The greatest concerns remain
in the far NE where over a quarter inch of ice may accumulate late
tonight into Tuesday morning. Much discussion took place on Ice
Storm Warnings in these areas, but have opted to hold off to see
if higher rainfall rates or faster rise in temps limits warning
criteria. Needless to say many areas along and north of US 30 will
see a slick drive Tuesday morning. It appears everyone should get
far enough above freezing to let any ice accumulation melt but
could be close in NW areas where colder air will quickly rush back
in towards the end of the period.
Next QPF amounts were increased somewhat with potential for an
inch or more in SE areas existing. Have kept somewhat subdued at
this point but upstream trends are somewhat alarming for higher
amounts maybe even further NW than depicted. Neighbors to the east
and south have Flood Watches out, but left our far E/SE counties
out for the time being.
Last but not least, Winds will increase this evening as well but
then taper off somewhat towards 12Z Tues before picking up again
later Tuesday. Could be an increase in tree limb damage due to the
winds and some loading of the recent snow/freezing drizzle that
may remain on some branches. At the peak of the icing event winds
may be at a minimum, but could become more of an issue into the
long term period. Headlines were discussed for advisory level
criteria into the long term period, but confidence in full mixing
of stronger wind fields due to cloud cover was low at this point.
&&
.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 353 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019
Period will start with falling temperatures, a burst of snow for
the area and increasing winds. Cold front will be sweeping across
the area as low pressure deepens and moves into Ontario. Pressure
gradient will be increasing across the area as will some wrap
around moisture/lift to bring a burst of snow to much of the area
Tuesday evening. Still thinking an inch or 2 at best most
locations with lake enhancement causing some locally higher
amounts near 3 inches into Wednesday. No headlines at this point
given current focus on ice in short term, could see need for both
winter weather and maybe wind advisories in later forecasts.
Beyond Weds, only limited time was spent with forecast generally
on track as next system moves in Thursday night into Friday night
with a mix of rain and snow again to be monitored.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1200 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2019
Mainly IFR to LIFR through the early afternoon with freezing rain
finally transitioning over to rain after approximately 10/11z. A
period of LIFR drizzle/fog then possible late morning/early
afternoon before a strong cold front swings through with
increasing westerly winds and snow showers.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ this morning
for INZ003>005-008-009-012-014-016>018.
Ice Storm Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for INZ007.
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for INZ006.
Winter Weather Advisory until 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ early this
morning for INZ013-015-020-022>027-032>034.
MI...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for MIZ077-
078.
Ice Storm Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for MIZ080-081.
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for MIZ079.
OH...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for OHZ004-
005-015-016.
Ice Storm Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for OHZ001-002.
Winter Weather Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for
OHZ024-025.
LM...NONE.
&&
UPDATE...Marsili
SYNOPSIS...Steinwedel
SHORT TERM...Fisher
LONG TERM...Fisher
AVIATION...Steinwedel
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www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndianaHazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 10:31 PM EST, 5 hours 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1031 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 INZ003>005-008-009-012-014-016>018-MIZ077-078-OHZ004-005-015-016- 130345- La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Marshall- Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-Berrien-Cass MI-Defiance-Henry-Paulding- Putnam- 1031 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 /931 PM CST Mon Feb 11 2019/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest Michigan and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. A wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain is expected tonight. Ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch are possible tonight that will likely lead hazardous travel conditions. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Windy conditions are expected to develop late Tuesday afternoon and evening with some gusts to around 40 mph possible. In addition, rain is expected to change to snow late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening with some light snow accumulations possible. Some renewed minor river flooding is possible this week due to additional chances of rain and snowmelt. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. INZ006-007-MIZ079-080-OHZ001-002-130345- Lagrange-Steuben-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Williams-Fulton OH- 1031 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest Michigan and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. A wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain is expected tonight. Ice accumulations of between one tenth and two tenths of an inch are possible tonight into early Tuesday morning that will likely lead to hazardous travel conditions. Isolated higher icing amounts are possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Freezing rain is possible early Tuesday morning, especially across south central Lower Michigan. Windy conditions are expected to develop late Tuesday afternoon and evening with some gusts to around 40 mph possible. In addition, rain is expected to change to snow Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening with some light snow accumulations possible. Some renewed minor river flooding is possible this week due to additional chances of rain and snowmelt. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. INZ013-015-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ024-025-130345- Pulaski-Fulton IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams- Grant-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-Allen OH- 1031 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 /931 PM CST Mon Feb 11 2019/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. A mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain is possible into the late night hours along and south of Route 24 before warmer air arrives to change the precipitation to all rain. Hazardous travel conditions are expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Windy conditions are expected to develop Tuesday afternoon and evening with some gusts over 40 mph possible. In addition, rain is expected to change to snow late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening with some light snow accumulations possible. Some renewed minor river flooding is possible this week due to additional chances of rain and snowmelt. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MIZ081-130345- Hillsdale- 1031 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Michigan. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Ice Storm Warning. A wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain is expected tonight. Ice accumulations of up to one quarter of an inch are possible tonight into early Tuesday morning that will lead to hazardous travel conditions overnight and during the morning commute. Isolated higher icing amounts are possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Ice Storm Warning. Freezing rain is possible early Tuesday morning, especially across south central Lower Michigan. Windy conditions are expected to develop late Tuesday afternoon and evening with some gusts to around 40 mph possible. In addition, rain is expected to change to snow Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening with some light snow accumulations possible. Some renewed minor river flooding is possible this week due to additional chances of rain and snowmelt. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 12, 1:18 AM EST, 2 hours 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
118 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM FREEZING RAIN 2 N NORTH WEBSTER 41.36N 85.70W
02/12/2019 E0.10 INCH KOSCIUSKO IN OFFICIAL NWS OBS
&&
MCSLocal storm report, Feb 12, 1:20 AM EST, 2 hours 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
120 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM FREEZING RAIN 1 ENE WINONA LAKE 41.22N 85.80W
02/12/2019 M0.10 INCH KOSCIUSKO IN NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
NDMLocal storm report, Feb 12, 2:06 AM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
206 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0206 AM FREEZING RAIN 2 E NINE MILE 40.98N 85.19W
02/12/2019 E0.20 INCH ALLEN IN OFFICIAL NWS OBS
&&
MCSSpecial weather statement, Feb 12, 3:53 AM EST, 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 353 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 INZ013-015-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ024-025-121330- Pulaski-Fulton IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells- Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Van Wert-Allen OH- Including the cities of Winamac, Francesville, Medaryville, Rochester, Akron, Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington, Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville 353 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019 /253 AM CST Tue Feb 12 2019/ ...Icy Roads and Hazardous Travel Conditions This Morning... Areas of rain and freezing rain will continue to taper in intensity through daybreak, with mainly rain expected after 5 AM EST as temperatures slowly warm into the middle 30s. Many roads and sidewalks will remain icy through daybreak however due to the recent freezing rain and ice accumulations. Motorists should exercise extreme caution this morning, especially on untreated roadways.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 9:02 PM EST | Ice Storm Warning | IWX | Fulton, Williams | 14 hr |
| Feb 12, 3:07 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | IWX | Elkhart, LaGrange, Steuben | 19 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Indiana, 2019Wind Advisories in Ohio, 2019Wind Advisories in Michigan, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.