Gale Warning 5, NWS Northern Indiana

292 
WHUS73 KIWX 190202
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1002 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019

LMZ043-046-191015-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0005.190419T0600Z-190420T0100Z/
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
1002 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...North 20 to 30 knots with gusts to 35 knot gales. 

* WAVES...Building to 8 to 12 feet occasionally to 15 feet 
  Friday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

966 
WHUS73 KIWX 190801
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
401 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

LMZ043-046-191615-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190420T0100Z/
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
401 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...North 20 to 25 knots with gusts to 35 knot gales until
  early tonight.

* WAVES...6 to 12 feet, occasionally to 15 feet.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

097 
WHUS73 KIWX 191445
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1045 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

LMZ043-046-192245-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190420T0100Z/
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
1045 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...North 20 to 25 knots with gusts to 35 knot gales. 

* WAVES...8 to 12 feet, occasionally to 15 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

381 
WHUS73 KIWX 191955
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
355 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

LMZ043-046-200100-
/O.CON.KIWX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190420T0100Z/
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
355 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...North 20 to 25 knots with gusts to 35 knot gales.

* WAVES...8 to 12 feet, occasionally to 15 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

766 
WHUS73 KIWX 200102
MWWIWX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
902 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

LMZ043-046-200915-
/O.EXP.KIWX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190420T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.SC.Y.0013.190420T0102Z-190421T0300Z/
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
902 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
Small Craft Advisory, which is in effect until 11 PM EDT
Saturday. 

* WINDS...North 15 to 25 knots with gusts to 30 knots.

* WAVES...6 to 10 feet, occasionally to 13 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A small craft advisory means that sustained winds or frequent
gusts of 22 to 33 knots are likely...and/or waves greater than
4 feet are expected. Inexperienced mariners...especially those
operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these
conditions.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
332 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019

Periods of rain will continue through early Saturday morning.
An additional 1 to 2 inches will be possible, especially along and
east of Interstate 69 with rainfall amounts quickly tapering off
as you move northwest. Conditions are expected to dry out
Saturday night into the second half of the weekend. Highs will
struggle through the 40s on Friday with windy conditions making it
feel even worse. However,warmer weather begins to arrive Sunday
and into next week, but more rain chances loom through mid week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019

Cold front was depicted nicely on radar and obs from Sturgis to
Grissom ARB working east. Precip has been more showery in nature
either side of this feature with more of the expected uptick in
precip noted upstream. Axis of heaviest precip, at least into Fri
AM looks to be SE third to half of the area with front likely to
stall out just SE of the forecast area. Total rainfall amounts
will generally be one half to one inch just through Fri Afternoon
with lesser amounts going NW. This will allow for continued river
responses as well as increase in standing water in fields and low
areas, but still doesn't look to rise to the need for any sort of
Flood Watch. However, final rain amounts through tomorrow will
play a big role in future potential for headlines outside of
specific river based.

Falling temperatures will take place behind the front with not a
lot of recovery Friday given the extensive clouds, cold N to NW
flow and periods of rain. Highs won't make it out of the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 329 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019

Active pattern will continue through the long term with at least 1
plus factor being the area should generally see near or above
normal temps through the period.

Closed upper low will continue to deepen and cut off across
Kentucky (models continue to vary exactly where but at least
center somewhere in central/eastern KY by 12Z Sat. Fri night into
Saturday will be the next focus for heavy precipitation as
deformation zone rotates back west and north into the forecast
area. Trends still leaning towards more impact across at least the
SE half or so of the area where potential would exist for yet
another half inch to inch of rain, bringing some areas to well
over 2 inches. As mentioned in short term, no headlines beyond
any river forecast point based products but something to watch.

Easter Sunday looking dry and rather nice with highs into the 60s
and maybe even some 70s as closed low finally heads for the east
coast and upper level ridging takes over. Weak disturbance tries
to move towards the area by Mon/Mon Ngt to bring a chance for some
showers. Models begin to diverge rather dramatically after this
with SW upper low and trough ejecting (GFS) vs remaining over the
SW with a weaker trough over the Great Lakes. Result will be an
extended period of slgt chc to chc pops due to all the blending of
the models with temps into the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 146 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019

Upstream moisture confluence to lend persistence/regenerative
bands of showers through much of the forecast period, especially
for KFWA near the axis of heavier rainfall rates/totals. Lower
fueling/alternate conditions to dominate, especially through evening
hours. Moderate confidence per model signals and guidance for further
deterioration into IFR late tonight as strong north wind
continues to mix saturated boundary layer. Towards end of forecast
period, drier air entrains into northwest Indiana as surface low
lifts northeast into the Lower Great Lakes to afford rising
ceilings for KSBN, though richer moisture field expected to remain
in northeast Indiana/KFWA through the forecast period.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...Gale Watch from late tonight through Friday evening for LMZ043-
     046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Fisher
SHORT TERM...Fisher
LONG TERM...Fisher
AVIATION...Murphy

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
453 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-190900-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien-
Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-
Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
453 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019 /353 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Periods of showers with scattered thunderstorms today. Severe weather
is not expected, but locally heavy rainfall is possible. Additional
periods of moderate rain are expected tonight into early Friday
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Rain showers are likely Friday and Saturday. Multi-day rainfall
amounts from Thursday through Saturday of 1 to 3 inches are expected,
with locally higher amounts possible. This rain could lead to some
flooding issues near creeks, rivers and lowland areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ043-046-190900-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
453 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for The Nearshore Waters of
Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this morning.

A few gusts to 25 knots are expected this morning. Hazardous
conditions for small craft are expected to develop again late
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Conditions hazardous to small craft are expected for much of the
Friday through Saturday period. North gusts to 35 knot gales are also
possible on Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.