Alert archive / Indiana / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Indianapolis, IN

July 10, 2019Randolph County, Indiana

NWS Indianapolis, IN issued this special weather statement at Jul 10, 2019, 5:36 PM EDT for Randolph County, Indiana. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2019, 5:36 PM EDT (21:36 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2019, 6:15 PM EDT
In force
39 min
Issued by
NWS Indianapolis, IN

County Randolph County, IN

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2019-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 11 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2019-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
11 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1380 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Indianapolis, IN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 10, 4:04 PM EDT, 1 hour 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 4:04 PM EDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
404 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

.UPDATE...

The Synopsis, Near Term, and Short Term sections have been
updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 400 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

A cold front and upper level wave will move through the area this
evening, which may spark a few thunderstorms, some of which could
be strong. After the front leaves the area, high pressure will
largely be in control through the weekend into early next week,
with a mostly dry forecast and temperatures climbing back toward
the 90 degree mark by the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Tonight/...
Issued at 400 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

Expect the cold front to steadily move through the area overnight.
There is ample instability in place but thus far aside from a
brief cell over the north side of Indy nothing has been able to
realize this instability. Should see at least a few storms develop
as the front moves into the area this evening, although downgrade
to marginal given the more widespread activity to our southwest
and the lack thus far of significant development upstream is
reasonable.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Thursday through Saturday/...
Issued at 400 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

The short term should be dry throughout. Some models do want to
develop some QPF tomorrow afternoon as the tail end of the upper
wave moves through the area, but forecast soundings are fairly
strongly capped in the mid levels. Otherwise, high pressure will
be in control throughout the remainder of the short term and a dry
forecast will suffice. Temperatures will be near or slightly below
seasonal normals with less oppressive dewpoints for a couple of
days before temperatures start climbing back toward the 90s
over the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM /Saturday Night through Wednesday/...
Issued at 241 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

Mainly dry...warm and summer weather is expected during this
period.

ECMWF shows mainly ridging in place across Central Indiana through
the period along with broad high pressure in place from the deep
south across Indiana to the upper midwest. Models show mainly
subsidence in place across the area...but daytime heating could
lead to some isolated showers and storms but confidence is too low
to be worthy of a mention.

ECMWF does suggest the remnants of a tropical system perhaps
arriving within the Ohio Valley on Wednesday. Again confidence
here is low thus only a slight chc pops will be used for now.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for the 101800Z Tafs/...
Issued at 136 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

VFR Conditions are expected for much of this TAF period.

Brief MVFR cigs/visibilities will be possible late this afternoon
and evening with any TSRA that strikes a taf site as convection
is expected to develop along and ahead of a an approaching trough
of low pressure. Have used VCTS to cover the mostly likely window
of convection...but updates may be needed when specific timing is
available later this afternoon.

In the wake of trough a return to VFR Conditions are expected as
the models indicate subsidence and drying through the column.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Nield
NEAR TERM...Nield
SHORT TERM...Nield
LONG TERM...Puma
AVIATION...JP
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 4:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
415 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-112015-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon,
Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, Attica, Covington,
Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers,
Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Clinton, Newport,
Rockville, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville,
Indianapolis, Greenfield, Cumberland, New Castle, Terre Haute,
Brazil, Clay City, Spencer, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood,
Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, Sullivan, Linton, Bloomfield,
Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington,
Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, Brownstown,
and North Vernon
415 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Outlook: There will be a chance for storms tonight. A few storms
could be strong, mainly this evening.

Hazards: Damaging winds, lightning, brief heavy rainfall, small
hail from storms.

Timing: The best chances for strong storms will be through midnight.

Discussion: Hot humid air ahead of an approaching cold front will
provide the fuel for thunderstorm development tonight. A few strong
to severe storms will be possible through the evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Outlook: Heat index values to the mid 90s are possible from Sunday
onward during the afternoon and evening hours.

Discussion: A ridge of high pressure over the western and then
central U.S. will bring hot and humid conditions back to the area
late in the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed briefly this evening.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 5:36 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
536 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

INZ041-042-102215-
Randolph IN-Delaware IN-
536 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN RANDOLPH AND
NORTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

At 536 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Dunkirk, moving southeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Albany, Eaton, Parker City, Farmland and Ridgeville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4015 8521 4034 8539 4038 8533 4038 8522
      4031 8522 4031 8491
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 314DEG 18KT 4036 8521

Ryan

The office that day

Everything else NWS Indianapolis, IN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 5:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementINDParke44 min
Jul 10, 6:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementINDRandolph49 min
Jul 10, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDClay, Parke, Vermillion, Vigo33 min
Jul 10, 6:24 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryINDDelaware, Randolph3 hr
Jul 10, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDParke, Putnam16 min
Jul 10, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDClay, Owen, Parke, Putnam, Vigo47 min
Jul 10, 6:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementINDTipton51 min
Jul 10, 6:56 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryINDCarroll, Tippecanoe3 hr
Jul 10, 7:01 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningINDDelaware, Randolph3 hr
Jul 10, 7:05 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryINDClay, Parke, Putnam, Vermillion, Vigo3 hr
Jul 10, 7:37 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningINDClinton, Tipton3 hr
Jul 10, 7:44 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningINDParke, Vermillion3 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Indiana, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.