Severe Thunderstorm Warning 76, NWS Indianapolis, IN

289 
WWUS53 KIND 302239
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
639 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

INC023-057-159-302300-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0076.000000T0000Z-190530T2300Z/
Clinton IN-Hamilton IN-Tipton IN-
639 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CLINTON...NORTHWESTERN HAMILTON AND SOUTHWESTERN
TIPTON COUNTIES...

At 639 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of
Tipton, or 14 miles south of Kokomo, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

Locations impacted include...
Tipton, Sheridan and Kempton. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4030 8599 4006 8616 4012 8624 4018 8624
      4018 8632 4023 8639 4033 8629
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 281DEG 28KT 4027 8618 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

JAS

026 
WWUS53 KIND 302253
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
653 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

INC023-057-159-302302-
/O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0076.000000T0000Z-190530T2300Z/
Clinton IN-Hamilton IN-Tipton IN-
653 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CLINTON...
NORTHWESTERN HAMILTON AND SOUTHWESTERN TIPTON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
700 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 4030 8599 4006 8616 4012 8624 4018 8624
      4018 8632 4023 8639 4033 8629
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 298DEG 20KT 4024 8610 

$$

MK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
440 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION Section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 241 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

A frontal system is expected to drift through the area tonight into
early Friday. Another frontal system may affect the area around
Saturday. In the wake of this front, high pressure will build into
the area by early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Rest of This Afternoon and Tonight/...
Issued at 241 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

Scattered convection beginning to develop over northern Indiana, in
an unstable air mass along and near a weak frontal zone. Convection
should gradually shift south during the evening, as the front
drifts south. Pattern really doesn't favor nocturnal convection tonight,
as the 850mb flow is quite weak. As a result, any convection that
does form may tend to diminish later tonight. However, the presence
of a shearing upper trough will probably keep some potential for
shower activity around most of the night. Will go with chance PoPs
tonight, with the highest PoPs over the north and central zones during
the evening hours.

Could be some fog development during the pre dawn hours of Friday,
given the weakly convergent low level flow near the front. Fog
threat may be locally higher in areas that end up getting rain this
evening.

Low level thicknesses suggest the GFS MOS lows tonight look good, so
little if any adjustments planned.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Friday through Sunday/...
Issued at 241 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

Model data suggest upper trough may still be lingering over the
southeast zones Friday morning. As a result, will keep some chance
PoPs for showers over these areas through the morning hours.

Otherwise, northwesterly flow expected to develop during this
period, as long wave troughing develops over the eastern parts of
the country. This should help to bring drier and more stable air
into the area by Friday afternoon and night. Will go dry at these
times.

Model data suggest a short wave trough, and associated frontal
system, will drop southeast through the area Saturday afternoon and
night. Model data generate quite a bit of lift with this feature,
along with moderately steep lapse rates. Will go with chance PoPs
for showers and thunderstorms for mainly Saturday afternoon and
night.

Dry weather expected to return by Sunday, as surface high pressure
builds into the area from the northwest.

Progged low level thicknesses suggest the GFS MOS temperature guidance
during this period looks good for the most part.

&&

.LONG TERM /Sunday night through Thursday/...

Issued at 248 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

Dry weather is expected at the start of the long term period as
high pressure sits over central Indiana. Chances for rain increase
later in the week with the first chances for rain and a few
thunderstorms on Wednesday as a weak upper level disturbance
moves through. Additional rain and a few thunderstorms are
possible again on Thursday with lower confidence on the Thursday
chances. Ensembles have a significant spread on timing for
Thursday, so confidence is low for the rain chances. Severe
weather is possible Wednesday with models indicating plenty of
CAPE and shear expected.

Temperatures will begin the period below average and end slightly
above normal.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for the 21Z IND TAF Update/...
Issued at 440 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

No changes needed to the TAF.

Previous discussion follows...

Issued at 1245 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

VFR Conditions are expected this TAF period.

GOES16 shows cloud coverage associated with the departing short
wave exiting central Indiana...leading to VFR Conditions. Models
suggest an upper level low pressure system will arrive from the
northwest late this afternoon and pass during the evening hours.
Ample lower level moisture should result in the the development
of SHRA or isolated TSRA. Confidence for specific timing and
coverage of any rain showers is too low at this time...thus have
used a VCSH window in the TAFS late this evening. Any shower or
storm that does strike a TAF site may result in brief MVFR to IFR
conditions.

The upper low is expected to quickly depart the area after 12Z
Friday...leading to an end of any precip and a return to VFR
conditions as ridging aloft builds across the region.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...JAS
NEAR TERM...JAS
SHORT TERM...JAS
LONG TERM....White
AVIATION...JP/MK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
419 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-311000-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon,
Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, Attica, Covington,
Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers,
Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Clinton, Newport,
Rockville, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville,
Indianapolis, Greenfield, Cumberland, New Castle, Terre Haute,
Brazil, Clay City, Spencer, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood,
Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, Sullivan, Linton, Bloomfield,
Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington,
Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, Brownstown,
and North Vernon
419 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Outlook: Showers and thunderstorms remain possible through tonight.
Isolated severe storms are possible through the late evening hours.

Hazards: Damaging winds...large hail...locally torrential rain
producing flooding...and frequent lightning.

Timing: Best threat for severe storms through about midnight EDT.

Discussion: The combination of a frontal boundary in the area and an
approaching upper level low from the west will maintain the threat
for showers and thunderstorms at times through tonight. Isolated
severe storms are possible through late this evening. Heavy rainfall
is also possible with any shower or storm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Outlook: Thunderstorms are possible Saturday and Saturday night and
again Tuesday night and Wednesday. A few strong storms are possible
Saturday afternoon and evening.

Discussion: A cold front will drop into the area from the north on
Saturday with a renewed threat for showers and thunderstorms. Dry and
cooler air will build in behind the front for Sunday into early next
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
553 PM EDT THU MAY 30 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     HAIL             2 NE LAFAYETTE          40.44N 86.84W
05/30/2019  E0.50 INCH       TIPPECANOE         IN   PUBLIC

&&