Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Lincoln, IL

361 
WWUS53 KILX 160518
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1218 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

ILC171-160528-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-190616T0530Z/
Scott-
1218 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN SCOTT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
central and west central Illinois.

LAT...LON 3967 9030 3978 8999 3972 8999 3970 8997
      3964 8996 3957 8993 3952 8993 3952 9030
TIME...MOT...LOC 0518Z 258DEG 37KT 3961 9026 

$$

ILC137-160530-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-190616T0530Z/
Morgan-
1218 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY...

At 1218 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Murrayville,
or 8 miles south of Jacksonville, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Jacksonville, Alexander, Waverly, Franklin, Murrayville, Woodson,
South Jacksonville, Nortonville and Lake Jacksonville.

This includes Interstate 72 between mile markers 63 and 68, and
between mile markers 73 and 79.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3967 9030 3978 8999 3972 8999 3970 8997
      3964 8996 3957 8993 3952 8993 3952 9030
TIME...MOT...LOC 0518Z 258DEG 37KT 3961 9026 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

37

520 
WWUS53 KILX 160526
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1226 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

ILC137-160536-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-190616T0530Z/
Morgan-
1226 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 1230 AM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
central and west central Illinois.

LAT...LON 3967 9030 3978 8999 3972 8999 3970 8997
      3964 8996 3957 8993 3952 8993 3952 9030
TIME...MOT...LOC 0526Z 258DEG 40KT 3963 9016 

$$

37

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
854 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 853 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

Next round of severe weather is quickly approaching the northwest
CWA, as a QLCS moves through northwest Illinois and down into
northern Missouri. Severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for
areas near/northwest of the Illinois River. PoP's have been
updated to reflect the latest timing of this system; the eastern
CWA will see a couple more hours of dry weather, before the line
arrives.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

An active short term forecast period is in store for much of
central and southeast IL for the next 24-36 hours. First of all, a
Tornado Watch is in effect along and east of I-57 - but south of
Champaign/Vermilion counties - into mid-evening. An MCV, from
early morning convection across MO, has shifted into central IL in
Christian/Shelby counties. This feature is expected to enhance
severe thunderstorm potential in eastern IL into early evening. A
convergent low level wind flow and increasing instability near a
boundary just south of I-70 will provide the focus for convection
as it slowly lifts northward. Effective shear parameters in this
same area will provide the potential for a few supercells into
early evening.

In addition, convective clusters from southern MN into central IA
are expected to form into an MCS this evening, and move toward the
IL River Valley from late evening through midnight. The heaviest
rainfall this evening into early Sunday morning is expected to be
south of a Beardstown-Lincoln-Danville line, where another inch or
so of rain is anticipated. Much of this area has already had 1 to
3 inches of rain since last night, so the Flash Flood Watch will
continue through 7 am Sunday.

Most of the shorter range models indicate that we may see a brief
break in the rain Sunday morning as a front/outflow from the MCS
pushes down toward I-70. However, various waves moving along this
boundary in a moderate westerly upper level flow will cause the
front to waver across central IL Sunday afternoon-evening,
resulting in yet another round of showers and t-storms.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

The story of the wavering frontal boundary looks like it will
continue through much of the upcoming week. The medium range
models may have their differences in exact timing of various
systems during the upcoming week, but one of the things they have
in common is the continuation of a nearly zonal flow. This will
keep a frontal boundary either in or very close to central/se IL,
which will provide the focus for daily chances of showers and
thunderstorms in most areas.

The exceptions will be along the IL River valley and toward the
I-55 corridor Tuesday/Tuesday night, and then again later on
Thursday when we may see a brief respite from the rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 542 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

A warm front draped over the region will result in generally light
winds along with periodic precip chances and lower ceilings. This
evening, thunderstorms are ongoing across portions of Iowa and
Missouri. These storms are expected to congeal into a line and
move east across the central Illinois terminals late this evening
and overnight. The wind field will likely become disrupted in the
wake of the storms resulting in low confidence in pinning down a
prevailing wind direction. In addition, low end MVFR and IFR
ceilings are expected to overspread the region and persist through
around midday tomorrow, then lift to higher end MVFR.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT Sunday for ILZ041>057-061>063-
066>068.

&&

UPDATE...Geelhart
SHORT TERM...Miller
LONG TERM...Miller
AVIATION...Deubelbeiss

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
320 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

ILZ027>031-036>038-040-162030-
Fulton-Knox-Marshall-McLean-Peoria-Schuyler-Stark-Tazewell-
Woodford-
320 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

There is a slight chance of severe storms this evening and tonight.
Damaging winds and large hail are possible along with an isolated
tornado. Locally heavy rainfall is possible especially south of a
Rushville to Bloomington line.

Minor flooding will continue along the Illinois River from Henry
through Peoria, with moderate flooding from Havana downstream.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

There is a chance of thunderstorms Sunday and Sunday evening, with
isolated thunderstorms possible Monday and Monday night. There is
a chance of thunderstorms again from overnight Tuesday night
through Thursday morning and again Friday afternoon and Friday
night. Moderate to locally heavy rain of 1 to 2 inches is
possible Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Minor flooding will continue along the Illinois River near Peoria
into the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening and tonight.

ILZ041-047>050-162030-
Cass-Mason-Menard-Morgan-Scott-
320 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

There is a slight chance of severe storms this evening and tonight.
Damaging winds and large hail are possible along with an isolated
tornado. Moderate to locally heavy rain of 1 to 2 inches is
possible tonight and again Wednesday and Wednesday night, which
could lead to flash flooding.

Moderate flooding will continue along the Illinois River from
Havana downstream.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

There will be periodic chances for thunderstorms Sunday through
Thursday, though thunderstorms should be more isolated on Tuesday.
Moderate to locally heavy rains over 1 inch will be possible
again Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Moderate flooding along portions of the Illinois River will
continue into the middle to later part of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening and tonight.

ILZ042>046-051>055-162030-
Champaign-Christian-De Witt-Douglas-Logan-Macon-Moultrie-Piatt-
Sangamon-Vermilion-
320 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and east central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

There is a slight chance of severe storms this evening and tonight.
Damaging winds and large hail are possible along with an isolated
tornado. Moderate to locally heavy rain of 1 to 2 inches is
possible tonight and again Wednesday and Wednesday night, which
could lead to flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

There will be periodic chances for thunderstorms Sunday through
Thursday. Moderate to locally heavy rains over 1 inch will again
be possible Wednesday and Wednesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening and tonight.

ILZ056-057-061>063-066>068-162030-
Clark-Coles-Crawford-Cumberland-Edgar-Effingham-Jasper-Shelby-
320 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Severe thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and
evening. Damaging winds, large hail and a couple tornadoes are
possible. Moderate to locally heavy rainfall will occur at times,
with between 1 and 3 inches of rain possible by dawn Sunday which
could lead to flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

There will be periodic chances for thunderstorms Sunday through
Thursday. There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms
with damaging winds Sunday afternoon into mid Sunday evening.
Moderate to locally heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches may occur
again Wednesday and Wednesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is needed through late this evening.

ILZ071>073-162030-
Clay-Lawrence-Richland-
320 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Severe thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and
evening. Damaging winds, large hail and a couple tornadoes are
possible. Moderate to locally heavy rains could occur at time from
thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

There will be periodic chances for thunderstorms Sunday through
Thursday. There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms with
damaging winds Sunday afternoon into mid Sunday evening. Moderate
to locally heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches may occur again
Wednesday and Wednesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is needed through late this evening.

Deubelbeiss

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1141 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1043 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MINIER                  40.43N 89.31W
06/15/2019                   TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINE DOWN.

&&

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1147 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1102 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W BLOOMINGTON         40.48N 89.00W
06/15/2019                   MCLEAN             IL   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF MARKET AND LEE STREETS JUST
            WEST OF DOWNTOWN.

&&

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1149 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HEAVY RAIN       DECATUR AIRPORT         39.83N 88.87W
06/15/2019  M1.17 INCH       MACON              IL   ASOS

            SINCE 1 AM

0400 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CAPITAL AIRPORT         39.84N 89.68W
06/15/2019  M1.19 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   ASOS

            SINCE 1 AM

0500 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CHATHAM                 39.67N 89.70W
06/15/2019  M1.60 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0500 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SHELBYVILLE             39.41N 88.80W
06/15/2019  M2.38 INCH       SHELBY             IL   MESONET

            RAINFALL OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING

0540 PM     HEAVY RAIN       BEARDSTOWN              40.01N 90.43W
06/15/2019  M2.25 INCH       CASS               IL   PUBLIC

            24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CHARLESTON              39.48N 88.18W
06/15/2019  M3.10 INCH       COLES              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E JACKSONVILLE        39.73N 90.22W
06/15/2019  M2.25 INCH       MORGAN             IL   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0937 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MAQUON                  40.80N 90.16W
06/15/2019                   KNOX               IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN.

0939 PM     TSTM WND DMG     N FAIRVIEW              40.65N 90.19W
06/15/2019                   FULTON             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER POLES AND TREES SNAPPED NORTH OF TOWN.

0958 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELMWOOD                 40.78N 89.97W
06/15/2019  E60.00 MPH       PEORIA             IL   PUBLIC

1020 PM     TORNADO          2 S SOUTH PEKIN         40.47N 89.65W
06/15/2019                   TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SHED BLOWN AWAY. 18-24 INCH TREES UPROOTED. POWER POLES
            DOWN NORTH OF CHRISTMAS TREE RD NEAR HIGHWAY 29.

1026 PM     HEAVY RAIN       BELLEVUE                40.69N 89.67W
06/15/2019  M1.00 INCH       PEORIA             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FELL IN 15 MINUTES. ALSO WIND GUST OF 51 MPH.

1034 PM     HAIL             MORTON                  40.61N 89.47W
06/15/2019  E0.50 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EAST SIDE OF TOWN

1043 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MINIER                  40.43N 89.31W
06/15/2019                   TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINE DOWN.

1102 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W BLOOMINGTON         40.48N 89.00W
06/15/2019                   MCLEAN             IL   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF MARKET AND LEE STREETS JUST
            WEST OF DOWNTOWN.

&&

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1158 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 WSW SHIRLEY           40.41N 89.07W
06/15/2019                   MCLEAN             IL   PUBLIC

&&

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1201 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1154 PM     TSTM WND GST     SEYMOUR                 40.10N 88.42W
06/15/2019  E60 MPH          CHAMPAIGN          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1203 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1151 PM     TSTM WND GST     MAHOMET                 40.19N 88.40W
06/15/2019  M54 MPH          CHAMPAIGN          IL   MESONET

            APRS MESONET

&&

GEELHART