Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 83, NWS Lincoln, IL

December 29, 2019Clay County, Richland County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Dec 29, 2019, 10:44 AM CST for Clay County, Richland County, Illinois. It took effect at Dec 30, 2019, 3:32 AM CST. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Dec 29, 2019, 10:44 AM CST (16:44 UTC)
In effect from: Dec 30, 2019, 3:32 AM CST
Expired: Jan 4, 2020, 9:10 AM CST
In force: 5 days
Issued by: NWS Lincoln, IL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Clay County, IL, Richland County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Little Wabash River below Clay City (CLAI2).

Action stage: 15 ft
Minor stage: 18 ft
Moderate stage: 22 ft
Major stage: 25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03379500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

143 
WGUS43 KILX 291644
FLWILX


Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1044 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

...The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a flood 
warning for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to prepare for flooding.
Stay tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

&&

ILC025-159-300643-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0083.191230T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T1800Z.200101T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City.
* From Monday afternoon until further notice.
* At  945 AM Sunday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 19.5 feet by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Mon    Tue    Wed

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  12.7 Sun 10 AM   17.1   19.1   19.5


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

Shimon

13 follow-up statements

758 
WGUS83 KILX 300046
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
646 PM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-301446-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0083.191230T0949Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0949Z.200101T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
646 PM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* From late tonight until further notice.
* At  545 PM Sunday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow morning and 
  continue to rise to near 20.1 feet by Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Mon    Tue    Wed

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  16.0 Sun 6 PM    18.4   19.8   20.1


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

37

088 
WGUS83 KILX 300932
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
332 AM CST Mon Dec 30 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-302332-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0083.191230T0932Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.200101T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
332 AM CST Mon Dec 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* From early this morning until further notice.
* At 245 AM Monday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.1 feet by 
  Wednesday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&

                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  18.3 Mon 3 AM    19.8   20.1   20.0

&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

Auten

173 
WGUS83 KILX 301611
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1011 AM CST Mon Dec 30 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-310610-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200104T0336Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.200101T0600Z.200103T2136Z.NO/
1011 AM CST Mon Dec 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* Until Friday evening.
* At  945 AM Monday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.7 feet by 
  Wednesday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.0 Mon 10 AM   19.4   19.7   19.6


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

Barnes

102 
WGUS83 KILX 302043
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
243 PM CST Mon Dec 30 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-311043-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200104T0600Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.200101T0000Z.200104T0000Z.NO/
243 PM CST Mon Dec 30 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* Until late Friday night.
* At  145 PM Monday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.8 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.2 Mon 2 PM     MSG   19.6   19.8


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

baker

901 
WGUS83 KILX 311444
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
844 AM CST Tue Dec 31 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-010443-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200104T0600Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.200101T0000Z.200104T0000Z.NO/
844 AM CST Tue Dec 31 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* Until late Friday night.
* At  745 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.8 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.7 Tue 8 AM    19.8   19.7   19.0


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

Barnes

604 
WGUS83 KILX 010118
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
718 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-011518-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200104T0600Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.200101T0600Z.200104T0000Z.NO/
718 PM CST Tue Dec 31 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* Until late Friday night.
* At  645 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.8 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.7 Tue 7 PM    19.7   19.5   19.0


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

baker

471 
WGUS83 KILX 011502
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
902 AM CST Wed Jan 1 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-020503-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200103T0524Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.191231T1915Z.200102T2324Z.NO/
902 AM CST Wed Jan 1 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* Until Thursday evening.
* At  845 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.6 Wed 9 AM    19.2   13.5   10.2


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

jrp

166 
WGUS83 KILX 020201
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
801 PM CST Wed Jan 1 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-021601-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200103T0524Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.191231T1915Z.200102T2324Z.NO/
801 PM CST Wed Jan 1 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* Until Thursday evening.
* At  745 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.5 Wed 8 PM    19.2   13.5   10.2


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

baker

325 
WGUS83 KILX 021410
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
810 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-030410-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200104T0120Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.191231T1915Z.200103T1920Z.NO/
810 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* Until Friday evening.
* At  745 AM Thursday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.4 Thu 8 AM    19.0   15.9   11.3


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

jrp

034 
WGUS83 KILX 030040
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
640 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-031440-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200104T1200Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.191231T1915Z.200104T0600Z.NO/
640 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  545 PM Thursday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.4 Thu 6 PM    19.3   17.4   14.7


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

baker

770 
WGUS83 KILX 031444
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
844 AM CST Fri Jan 3 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in ...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-040443-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200105T0640Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.191231T1915Z.200105T0040Z.NO/
844 AM CST Fri Jan 3 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* Until late Saturday night.
* At  745 AM Friday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 19.7 feet...Mayflower Road...just north of U.S. Route 
  50...begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.4 Fri 8 AM    19.1   15.6   12.0


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

jrp

210 
WGUS83 KILX 040117
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
717 PM CST Fri Jan 3 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-041517-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200105T0240Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.191231T1915Z.200104T2040Z.NO/
717 PM CST Fri Jan 3 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City. 
* Until Saturday evening.
* At  645 PM Friday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...2600E Road begins to flood 1.5 miles south 
  of Wynoose.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.3 Fri 7 PM    19.0   14.9   12.2


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

Barnes

889 
WGUS83 KILX 041510
FLSILX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
910 AM CST Sat Jan 4 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Illinois...

  Little Wabash River below Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation. River levels are 
expected to continue falling.

Since flooding has subsided, this will be the last statement for this
flooding event.

ILC025-159-041540-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-200105T0240Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.191230T0657Z.191231T1915Z.200104T1339Z.NO/
910 AM CST Sat Jan 4 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little Wabash River below Clay City.
* At  845 AM Saturday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  739 AM Saturday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 13.2 feet by tomorrow
  morning.


&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  17.8 Sat 9 AM    13.2   11.7   10.7


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

jrp

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 29, 10:15 AM CST, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 29, 10:15 AM CST, 29 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1015 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 256 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

Low pressure will slowly move across the upper mississippi valley
over the next few days bringing periodic periods of clouds and
gusty winds. One more widespread rain event is expected late this
afternoon and tonight. The cloudy and more seasonable temperatures
can be expected through the remainder of the year.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1015 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

Central and southeast Illinois are now fully in the dry slot
between the initial trough in Indiana and the wrap-around moisture
well to our west. A jet streak rotating through the main upper
trough will combine with an incoming cold front to provide another
round of precipitation late this afternoon and evening. This trend
is handled well in current package and only minor tweeks to PoP
based on current trends have been made.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
ISSUED AT 256 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

Impressive warm conveyor belt from western Gulf of Mexico combined
with lift ahead of a deep closed upper low over the Plains has
produced widespread rainfall across the area overnight.
Temperatures have slowly risen into the upper 50s and lower 60s
(25+ degrees above normal highs), while southeast winds have
gusted to 25-35 mph.

The rain will shut off from the west early this morning, as the
dry slot overspreads the area. Much of the day will be dominated
by mostly cloudy skies and continued south flow, pushing highs
into the 60s. This will be near record highs for many areas (see
climate section below).

By later this afternoon and evening rain will overspread the area
from the south, ahead of a strong shortwave and cold front.
Forecast soundings show enough instability for isolated thunder
mention over the eastern half of the CWA. Higher QPF from this
round will focus east of I-55 with over a half inch, and up to one
inch near the Indiana border. As the dry slot punches in from the
southwest after midnight, the precip will taper off. This is
expected before the column cools below freezing, so no snow is
forecast. Depending on the timing of the front and better cold
advection and resulting temperatures at midnight, record warm lows
for the 29th are possible.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 256 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

The deep closed low is forecast to slowly spin across the Great
Lakes Monday and Tuesday, keeping cold advection and brisk
west winds in place. This will push temperatures down to
seasonable levels for the first time since mid Dec. The main
forecast challenge will be timing any stronger shortwaves rotating
through the cyclonic flow. Latest models suggest Monday night to
be favored for forcing on the southern edge of one of these waves,
bringing light snow to the northern half of the CWA. A dusting to
half inch of accumulation looks possible.

As the upper low moves out, mid level flow turns zonal through
mid-week, allowing for dry weather and a gradual warming trend.
This should get temperatures back above normal on Wednesday, and
10-15 degrees above normal through the end of the week. A southern
stream wave lifting northeast from the lower MS Valley into the
eastern Great Lakes Thursday into Friday will be our next weather
maker. With warm temperatures in place, currently appears this
will be all rain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 515 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

Band of steady rain will continue shifting east, exiting KCMI
around 13z. Ceilings have already risen to VFR levels, and expect
this to be the trend through later this afternoon though patches
of MVFR ceilings are shown by some short range models. Another
disturbance lifting up from the south will cause more rain to
overspread the area beginning late this afternoon or evening and
persisting until 06-10z. This will be accompanied by MVFR
ceilings and possibly a period of IFR ceilings late tonight at
KDEC/KCMI. South winds gusting up to 20 kt will be common today. A
cold front tracking east this evening will veer winds to the
southwest. As the gradient tightens late tonight in response to
low pressure deepening over the Great Lakes, 25 kt gusts will be
common.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 256 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

December 29 Record Highs - all in 1984:

Springfield.....65
Peoria..........65
Lincoln.........72
Normal..........67
Urbana..........62
Decatur.........65
Jacksonville....73
Galesburg.......64
Charleston......65
Danville........64
Effingham.......68
Olney...........66

December 29 Record Warm Lows:

Springfield.....49 in 1884
Peoria..........45 in 1884
Lincoln.........58 in 1984

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...Barker
SYNOPSIS...25
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM...25
AVIATION...25
CLIMATE...25

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 29, 5:41 AM CST, 5 hours 3 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
541 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061-301200-
Cass-Champaign-Christian-Coles-De Witt-Douglas-Edgar-Fulton-Knox-
Logan-Macon-Marshall-Mason-McLean-Menard-Morgan-Moultrie-Peoria-
Piatt-Sangamon-Schuyler-Scott-Shelby-Stark-Tazewell-Vermilion-
Woodford-
541 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

Isolated thunderstorms are possible again later this afternoon
through tonight. Severe weather is not expected. Locally heavy
rainfall is possible this evening, mainly east of I-57, as the
storm system drags a second cold front across the region. Rainfall
totals could  Breezy conditions will return late tonight with
southwest winds gusting to 25 to 30 mph possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

Gusty southwest to west winds of 25-35 mph will continue Monday
and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be required.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-301200-
Clark-Clay-Crawford-Cumberland-Effingham-Jasper-Lawrence-Richland-
541 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

Isolated thunderstorms are possible again later this afternoon
through tonight. Severe weather is not expected. Locally heavy
rainfall is possible this evening, mainly south of I-70, as the
storm system drags a second cold front across the region. Rainfall
totals in this area could reach close to one inch. Breezy
conditions will return late tonight with southwest winds gusting
to 25 to 30 mph possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

Gusty southwest to west winds of 25-35 mph will continue Monday
and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be required.

Auten

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 29, 7:54 AM CST, 2 hours 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
754 AM CST SUN DEC 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SPRINGFIELD             39.80N 89.64W
12/29/2019  M1.36 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       PEORIA                  40.74N 89.61W
12/29/2019  M1.52 INCH       PEORIA             IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MATTOON                 39.48N 88.37W
12/29/2019  M1.15 INCH       COLES              IL   ASOS

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 SSE CLAY CITY         38.61N 88.31W
12/29/2019  M1.03 INCH       CLAY               IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ALTONA                  41.12N 90.16W
12/29/2019  M1.09 INCH       KNOX               IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       PANA                    39.39N 89.08W
12/29/2019  M1.11 INCH       CHRISTIAN          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

&&

SHIMON

Local storm report, Dec 29, 8:14 AM CST, 2 hours 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
814 AM CST SUN DEC 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CHATHAM                 39.67N 89.70W
12/29/2019  M1.23 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL. MOST OF THAT FELL LAST
            EVENING.

&&

SHIMON

Local storm report, Dec 29, 8:43 AM CST, 2 hours 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
843 AM CST SUN DEC 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NW PEORIA             40.80N 89.68W
12/29/2019  M1.45 INCH       PEORIA             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

&&

SHIMON

Local storm report, Dec 29, 8:44 AM CST, 2 hours before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
844 AM CST SUN DEC 29 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WNW PEORIA            40.76N 89.66W
12/29/2019  M1.39 INCH       PEORIA             IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STILL RAINING AT 3 AM.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 SSE CLAY CITY         38.61N 88.31W
12/29/2019  M1.03 INCH       CLAY               IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ALTONA                  41.12N 90.16W
12/29/2019  M1.09 INCH       KNOX               IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MATTOON                 39.48N 88.37W
12/29/2019  M1.15 INCH       COLES              IL   ASOS

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SPRINGFIELD             39.80N 89.64W
12/29/2019  M1.36 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       PEORIA                  40.74N 89.61W
12/29/2019  M1.52 INCH       PEORIA             IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       PANA                    39.39N 89.08W
12/29/2019  M1.11 INCH       CHRISTIAN          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NW PEORIA             40.80N 89.68W
12/29/2019  M1.45 INCH       PEORIA             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CHATHAM                 39.67N 89.70W
12/29/2019  M1.23 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            24 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL. MOST OF THAT FELL LAST
            EVENING.

&&

SHIMON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 28, 11:18 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	ILX	Schuyler	27 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2019 Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.