River Flood Warning 65, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1033 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
An oscillating frontal boundary in the region will provide daily
chances for showers and thunderstorms through Thursday
afternoon with a brief dry period possible Thursday night into
Friday. Additional rounds of showers and storms are possible
this weekend, with seasonable temperatures and very humid
conditions persisting through the foreseeable future.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
This evening's MCS will move east of the forecast area by
midnight. Then expect a lull in activity, but it appears that
another impulse will lift northeast into the area before
daybreak bringing a return of showers and some storms. Very
minor adjustments to temperatures based on latest trends.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Region remains in the same moist unstable airmass on Tuesday.
Convection will redevelop as heating of the day takes place.
Best coverage is expected southeast of I-71 as the front shifts
south with time. Highs on Tuesday will be in the upper 70s.

Convection will be gradually shunted eastward Tuesday night as
a weak high pressure system pushes slightly drier air into the
region.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
An unsettled weather pattern will be present through most of the
long term time frame. Thunderstorms are in the forecast every day
except for during the day on Friday.  With the repeated rounds of
showers and thunderstorms, there will be the potential for
additional flooding concerns.  Will continue to highlight this
threat in the HWO.  Although widespread severe weather is not
expected, there will be the potential for at least isolated damaging
winds with the thunderstorm chances.

High temperatures will in the 70s and 80s through the long term. Low
temperatures most nights will generally be in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MVFR to IFR ceilings will develop overnight. Additional showers
will also lift northeast across the region late tonight into
Tuesday morning. Ceilings will slowly lift with conditions
returning to VFR before the end of the period. There is the
potential for more storms Tuesday afternoon, but there is too
much uncertainty to include in the TAFs this far out in time.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms will be possible through Thursday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for OHZ026-034-035-
     042>046-051-052-060.
     Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for OHZ053>056-
     061>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for INZ050-058-059.
     Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for INZ066-073>075-
     080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KC/Sites
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...Sites
LONG TERM...Novak
AVIATION...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
406 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

INZ050-058-059-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051-052-060-180900-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-
Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Preble-
406 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana, Central
Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Additional rounds of showers and storms will be possible again
Wednesday and Thursday, with locally heavy rainfall again possible
both of these days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

INZ066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ053>056-061>065-070>074-077>082-088-
180900-
Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-
Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-
Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
406 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northeast
Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central Ohio, South Central Ohio,
Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

A few isolated strong to severe storms may be possible, primarily
this afternoon into the evening. Gusty winds and very heavy rain will
be the primary threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

A few isolated strong to severe storms may be possible again Tuesday
afternoon. Gusty winds and very heavy rain will be the primary
threats.

Additional rounds of showers and storms will be possible again
Wednesday and Thursday, with locally heavy rainfall again possible
both of these days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

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