Beach Hazards Statement 34, NWS Wilmington, NC

387 
WHUS42 KILM 150854
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
454 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019

NCZ110-160000-
/O.EXA.KILM.BH.S.0034.190915T1000Z-190916T0000Z/
/O.CON.KILM.RP.S.0015.190915T1000Z-190916T0000Z/
Coastal Brunswick-
454 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Beach
Hazards Statement, which is in effect through this evening.

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Brunswick.

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...This afternoon, northeasterly winds 15-25
  mph will create a strong east to west longshore current.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas. Often, if
the longshore current is strong enough, it will sweep swimmers
off their feet, making it difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

SCZ056-160000-
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0034.190915T1000Z-190916T0000Z/
/O.CON.KILM.RP.S.0015.190915T1000Z-190916T0000Z/
Coastal Georgetown-
454 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Georgetown.

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...This afternoon, northeasterly winds 15-25
  mph will create a strong north to south longshore current.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas. Often, if
the longshore current is strong enough, it will sweep swimmers
off their feet, making it difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ106-108-SCZ054-160000-
/O.CON.KILM.RP.S.0015.190915T1000Z-190916T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-
454 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...In South Carolina, Coastal Horry. In North 
  Carolina, Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover.

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Very strong rip currents will be dangerous 
  to anyone who enters the surf.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents. Life threatening rip
currents are likely in the surf zone.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins, jetties
and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards, beach patrol flags and
signs.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly.

&&

$$

21

752 
WHUS42 KILM 160005
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
805 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019


NCZ110-SCZ056-160815-
/O.EXP.KILM.BH.S.0034.000000T0000Z-190916T0000Z/
/O.EXP.KILM.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-190916T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KILM.BH.S.0035.190916T1000Z-190917T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KILM.RP.S.0016.190916T1000Z-190917T0000Z/
Coastal Brunswick-Coastal Georgetown-
805 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Beach
Hazards Statement, which is in effect from 6 AM EDT Monday
through Monday evening. A High Rip Current Risk has also been
issued. This High Rip Current Risk is in effect from 6 AM EDT
Monday through Monday evening.

* LOCATIONS...In South Carolina, Coastal Georgetown. In North 
  Carolina, Coastal Brunswick.

* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT Monday through Monday evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Very strong rip currents will be dangerous
  to anyone who enters the surf. Also dangerous longshore current
  will increase Monday afternoon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

There is a high risk of rip currents. Life threatening rip
currents are likely in the surf zone.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly. 

&&

$$

NCZ106-108-SCZ054-160815-
/O.EXP.KILM.RP.S.0015.000000T0000Z-190916T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KILM.BH.S.0035.190916T1000Z-190917T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KILM.RP.S.0016.190916T1000Z-190917T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-
805 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Beach
Hazards Statement, which is in effect from 6 AM EDT Monday
through Monday evening. A High Rip Current Risk has also been
issued. This High Rip Current Risk is in effect from 6 AM EDT
Monday through Monday evening.

* LOCATIONS...In South Carolina, Coastal Horry. In North 
  Carolina, Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover.

* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT Monday through Monday evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Very strong rip currents will be dangerous
  to anyone who enters the surf. Also dangerous longshore current
  will increase Monday afternoon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

There is a high risk of rip currents. Life threatening rip
currents are likely in the surf zone.

If you become caught in a rip current, yell for help. Remain
calm, do not exhaust yourself and stay afloat while waiting for
help. If you have to swim out of a rip current, swim parallel to
shore and back toward the beach when possible. Do not attempt to
swim directly against a rip current as you will tire quickly. 

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
737 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will meander around the area for the next several
days. High pressure will build in from the northeast during this
time as the front gradually dissipates. Humberto will remain
well offshore with the only impacts locally being an increased
threat for strong rip currents.

&&

.UPDATE...
Changes scant, shaved a few points off probability of measurable
rainfall to below 25 percent, into isolated range, showers off
the sea. No other amendments applied, only typical, tiny, T/Td
refinements. Darn decent middle September Saturday evening on
tap for our corner of the globe.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Latest sfc analysis shows a weak frontal boundary over the area,
1030 mb high pressure well off to the NE, and Tropical Storm
Humberto near the northern Bahamas. Humberto is not expected to have
any direct impacts over the local area aside from increasing swell
and rip threat. Onshore flow and resulting weak convergence along
the weak front has led to isolated/widely scattered weak convection
near the coast thus far this aftn, which will continue into the
evening before dissipating overnight. Not expecting as much coverage
as yesterday, and far inland areas should stay dry. Nighttime
landbreeze could keep some shras around overnight over the
wtrs...held onto a 20% chance of rain there all night. Low temps in
the low/mid 70s tonight.

PoPs again in the 20-30% range for Sunday, highest near the coast.
Inland areas again expected to be dry due to subsidence farther away
from Humberto. Only light precip amounts expected with just a slight
chance of thunder. High temps in the low/mid 80s due to ENE flow.
Humberto stays well off to the South into Sunday night, with the
highest rain chances again offshore (30-40% PoPs). Low temps mainly
in the lwr 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Humberto will be well off the Southeast coast Mon morning,
tracking east, away from the region. Increasing subsidence
around the periphery of the storm and an abundance of mid-level
dry air suggest Mon could end up a good bit drier than
previously expected. Will trend rainfall chances downward, but
further reduction may be needed with subsequent updates. Cloud
cover may not be as widespread as previously thought, with
temperatures a little warmer Mon afternoon.

Exit of Humberto Mon night into Tue helps drive a cold front
into the area from the north. Low level moisture increases with
the arrival of the front, but aloft deep dry air and subsidence
will persist. Cloud cover is likely to increase on Tue, but the
shallow nature of the moisture will keep shower and thunderstorm
chances on the low side. Temperatures above climo once again
Tue with inland areas running several degrees above climo.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Mid-level ridging over the Lower Mississippi Valley will gradually
expand east late next week. At the surface high pressure will build
in from the northeast, setting up an early season wedge pattern. At
first low level dry air will keep skies mostly clear and limit
rainfall chances. Prolonged period of northeast flow will lead to
increasing low level moisture late in the week, increasing cloud
cover as well as shower and thunderstorm chances.

-Low rainfall chances Wed and Thu due to deep dry air and subsidence.

-Increasing moisture Fri and Sat will increase rainfall chances
 late in the week.

-Northeast flow will keep temps a little below climo Wed/Thu.
 Near climo temps expected Fri/Sat as airmass modifies.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Mostly clear skies next few hours outside of a few high clouds.
Forecasting return of MVFR/IFR stratus across the area
overnight into tomorrow morning, with possible addition of MVFR
visibilities at inland terminals. Stratus will break up shortly
after sunrise, with scattered cumulus clouds tomorrow due to
diurnal heating. Slight chance of thunderstorms tomorrow
afternoon, mainly along the coast. Light northeasterly winds
overnight become easterly tomorrow between 5 and 10 kts.

Extended...Predominantly VFR conditions, except for possible
fog and/or low stratus in the early morning hours.

&&

.MARINE...
Main story over the wtrs this weekend will be increasing swell due
to Tropical Storm Humberto. Guidance is already running about a foot
too low at many of the area buoys. Although Humberto is expected to
stay well offshore, 8-9 second swell will increase to 4-6 ft by
Sunday. A Small Craft Advisory has therefore been issued Sunday
morning through the end of the 4th period (Monday), and potentially
may need to be extended in future forecast updates. Winds will
average out of the ENE at 10-20 kt this weekend, with strong high
pressure off to the NE.

Combination of pinched gradient between Humberto and high pressure
to the north coupled with swell from Humberto is likely to create
conditions at or above Small Craft Advisory thresholds for much of
next week. Marginal SCA conditions present Mon morning, but by
midday solid SCA conditions expected for all waters. Northeast flow
will remain 15 to 20 kt through Thu with periods of solid 20 kt flow
at times. Seas, running between 4 and 7 ft, will be a mix of an
increasing east-northeast wind wave and a southeast swell.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Sunday to 6 PM EDT Monday for
     AMZ250-252-254-256.

&&

UPDATE...08
NEAR TERM...MAS
SHORT TERM...III
LONG TERM...III
AVIATION...VAO
MARINE...III/MAS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
311 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

NCZ087-096-099-105-107-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-055-058-059-
151915-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-
Williamsburg-Inland Georgetown-Central Horry-Northern Horry-
311 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-151915-
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown-
311 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Risk of Rip Currents.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Rip current potential will increase the first half of next week as
swells from Tropical Storm Humberto reach the beaches.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

AMZ250-252-254-256-151915-
Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Murrells Inlet to South Santee River SC out
20 nm-
311 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EDT
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ110-151915-
Coastal Brunswick-
311 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Rip current potential will increase the first half of next week as
swells from Tropical Storm Humberto reach the beaches.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.