Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2019

Beach Hazards Statement 19, NWS Wilmington, NC

July 4, 2019New Hanover County, Pender County, North Carolina

NWS Wilmington, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Jul 4, 2019, 10:34 AM EDT for New Hanover County, Pender County, North Carolina. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2019, 10:34 AM EDT (14:34 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2019, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Wilmington, NC

Counties New Hanover County, NC, Pender County, NC

The radar

The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1829 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 48 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1829 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
846 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

680 
WHUS42 KILM 041434
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1034 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019


NCZ106-108-042245-
/O.NEW.KILM.BH.S.0019.190704T1434Z-190705T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-
1034 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Beach
Hazards Statement, which is in effect until 8 PM EDT this
evening.

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover.

* TIMING...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Strong south to north longshore current has
  developed at east-facing NC beaches, coupled with choppy 2-3
  feet waves.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous areas. Often, if the
longshore current is strong enough, it will sweep swimmers off
their feet, making it difficult to return to shore.

Caution should be used when in or near the water. Check with the
lifeguards before entering the ocean for possible hazards you may
be swept into.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

&&

$$

19
3 follow-up statements
667 
WHUS42 KILM 041615
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1215 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

NCZ106-108-050015-
/O.NEW.KILM.CF.Y.0064.190705T0000Z-190705T0400Z/
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0019.000000T0000Z-190705T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-
1215 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Coastal
Flood Advisory, which is in effect from 8 PM this evening to
midnight EDT tonight.

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover.

* TIMING...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 8 PM this 
  evening to midnight EDT tonight. For the Beach Hazards 
  Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Minor street flooding occurs on the 
  sound-side of Carolina Beach, along Canal Drive from Starfish 
  Lane northward. Water gets into yards along the sound, but the 
  street flooding is mainly the result of salt water backing up 
  through the storm drains. Heavy rain at the time of high tide 
  exacerbates this problem.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Strong south to north longshore current has
  developed at east-facing NC beaches, coupled with choppy 2-3
  feet waves.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Mercer Pier at Wrightsville Beach - Flood Stage 6.0 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 8.0 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 5.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM     6.2        1.9        1.0       1-2     Minor    
 05/10 AM     5.1        0.8        0.9        1       None    
 05/11 PM     6.0        1.7        0.9        1      Minor    
 06/11 AM     5.1        0.8        0.8        1       None    
 06/11 PM     5.7        1.4        0.8        1       None

&&

$$

NCZ107-050015-
/O.NEW.KILM.CF.Y.0064.190705T0200Z-190705T0600Z/
Inland New Hanover-
1215 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Coastal
Flood Advisory, which is in effect from 10 PM this evening to
2 AM EDT Friday.

* LOCATIONS...The lower Cape Fear River including downtown 
  Wilmington.

* TIMING...From 10 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT Friday.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Water is six to 12 inches deep on the 
  lowest parts of Battleship Road and USS North Carolina Road. 
  Water begins to spread on to River Road about a quarter mile 
  south of The Cape Boulevard. In downtown Wilmington...water 
  covers more than a block of Water Street near Market Street 
  with three to six inches of water just south of Market Street.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.8 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/12 PM     5.2        0.5        1.1        1       None    
 05/12 AM     6.0        1.3        1.0        1      Minor    
 05/01 PM     5.1        0.4        0.9        1       None    
 06/01 AM     5.8        1.1        0.9        1      Minor    
 06/01 PM     5.0        0.3        0.8        1       None    
 07/02 AM     5.6        0.9        0.8        1      Minor

&&

$$

NCZ110-050015-
/O.NEW.KILM.CF.Y.0064.190705T0000Z-190705T0400Z/
Coastal Brunswick-
1215 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Coastal
Flood Advisory, which is in effect from 8 PM this evening to
midnight EDT tonight.

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Brunswick.

* TIMING...From 8 PM this evening to midnight EDT tonight.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Minor street flooding occurs on the 
  sound-side of Carolina Beach, along Canal Drive from Starfish 
  Lane northward. Water gets into yards along the sound, but the 
  street flooding is mainly the result of salt water backing up 
  through the storm drains. Heavy rain at the time of high tide 
  exacerbates this problem.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$
746 
WHUS42 KILM 041927
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
327 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

NCZ106-108-050400-
/O.CON.KILM.CF.Y.0064.190705T0000Z-190705T0400Z/
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0019.000000T0000Z-190705T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-
327 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover.

* TIMING...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 8 PM this 
  evening to midnight EDT tonight. For the Beach Hazards 
  Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Minor street flooding occurs on the 
  sound-side of Carolina Beach, along Canal Drive from Starfish 
  Lane northward. Water gets into yards along the sound, but the 
  street flooding is mainly the result of salt water backing up 
  through the storm drains. Heavy rain at the time of high tide 
  exacerbates this problem.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Strong south to north longshore current has
  developed at east-facing NC beaches, coupled with choppy 2-3
  feet waves.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Mercer Pier at Wrightsville Beach - Flood Stage 6.0 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 8.0 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 5.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM     6.2        1.9        1.0        2      Minor    
 05/10 AM     5.1        0.8        0.9        2       None    
 05/11 PM     6.0        1.7        0.9        2      Minor    
 06/11 AM     5.1        0.8        0.8        1       None    
 06/11 PM     5.7        1.4        0.8        1       None    
 07/12 PM     5.1        0.8        0.7        2       None

&&

$$

NCZ107-050600-
/O.CON.KILM.CF.Y.0064.190705T0200Z-190705T0600Z/
Inland New Hanover-
327 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...The lower Cape Fear River including downtown 
  Wilmington.

* TIMING...From 10 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT Friday.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Water is six to 12 inches deep on the 
  lowest parts of Battleship Road and USS North Carolina Road. 
  Water begins to spread on to River Road about a quarter mile 
  south of The Cape Boulevard. In downtown Wilmington...water 
  covers more than a block of Water Street near Market Street 
  with three to six inches of water just south of Market Street.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.8 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/12 AM     6.0        1.3        1.0        1      Minor    
 05/01 PM     5.1        0.4        0.9        1       None    
 06/01 AM     5.8        1.1        0.9        1      Minor    
 06/01 PM     5.0        0.3        0.8        1       None    
 07/02 AM     5.6        0.9        0.8        1      Minor

&&

$$

NCZ110-050400-
/O.CON.KILM.CF.Y.0064.190705T0000Z-190705T0400Z/
Coastal Brunswick-
327 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Brunswick.

* TIMING...From 8 PM this evening to midnight EDT tonight.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Minor street flooding occurs on the 
  sound-side of Carolina Beach, along Canal Drive from Starfish 
  Lane northward. Water gets into yards along the sound, but the 
  street flooding is mainly the result of salt water backing up 
  through the storm drains. Heavy rain at the time of high tide 
  exacerbates this problem.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Mercer Pier at Wrightsville Beach - Flood Stage 6.0 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 8.0 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 5.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM     6.2        1.9        1.0        2      Minor    
 05/10 AM     5.1        0.8        0.9        2       None    
 05/11 PM     6.0        1.7        0.9        2      Minor    
 06/11 AM     5.1        0.8        0.8        1       None    
 06/11 PM     5.7        1.4        0.8        1       None    
 07/12 PM     5.1        0.8        0.7        2       None

&&

$$
473 
WHUS42 KILM 050001
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
801 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...Coastal Flood Advisories Remain in Effect for Late Tonight...

NCZ106-108-050400-
/O.EXP.KILM.BH.S.0019.000000T0000Z-190705T0000Z/
/O.CON.KILM.CF.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-190705T0400Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-
801 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover.

* TIMING...Until midnight EDT tonight.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Minor street flooding occurs on the 
  sound-side of Carolina Beach, along Canal Drive from Starfish 
  Lane northward. Water gets into yards along the sound, but the 
  street flooding is mainly the result of salt water backing up 
  through the storm drains. Heavy rain at the time of high tide 
  exacerbates this problem.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Mercer Pier at Wrightsville Beach - Flood Stage 6.0 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 8.0 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 5.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM     6.2        1.9        1.0        2      Minor    
 05/10 AM     5.1        0.8        0.9        2       None    
 05/11 PM     6.0        1.7        0.9        2      Minor    
 06/11 AM     5.1        0.8        0.8        1       None    
 06/11 PM     5.7        1.4        0.8        1       None    
 07/12 PM     5.1        0.8        0.7        2       None

&&

$$

NCZ107-050600-
/O.CON.KILM.CF.Y.0064.190705T0200Z-190705T0600Z/
Inland New Hanover-
801 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...The lower Cape Fear River including downtown 
  Wilmington.

* TIMING...Until 2 AM EDT Friday.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Water is six to 12 inches deep on the 
  lowest parts of Battleship Road and USS North Carolina Road. 
  Water begins to spread on to River Road about a quarter mile 
  south of The Cape Boulevard. In downtown Wilmington...water 
  covers more than a block of Water Street near Market Street 
  with three to six inches of water just south of Market Street.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.8 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/12 AM     6.0        1.3        1.0        1      Minor    
 05/01 PM     5.1        0.4        0.9        1       None    
 06/01 AM     5.8        1.1        0.9        1      Minor    
 06/01 PM     5.0        0.3        0.8        1       None    
 07/02 AM     5.6        0.9        0.8        1      Minor

&&

$$

NCZ110-050400-
/O.CON.KILM.CF.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-190705T0400Z/
Coastal Brunswick-
801 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Brunswick.

* TIMING...Until midnight EDT tonight.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...High water run-up on beaches, minor
  erosion.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

$$

8

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Jul 4, 9:19 AM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 9:19 AM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
919 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Heat and humidity will continue with scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms each afternoon and evening through the
weekend. A weak front will approach the area Sunday night and
may linger near the area before moving off the coast by mid week
as high pressure builds in behind it.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 900 AM Thursday...No major changes necessary with this
forecast update.

Previous Discussion...As of 400 AM Thursday...This period is
highlighted with the FA lying in between 2 ridges aloft. This
places the FA in an area of synoptic uvvs. Combine this with
convergent mesoscale features like the sea breeze and Piedmont
trof, along with plenty of avbl moisture ie. PWs 2+ inches, and
the result is scattered to numerous thunderstorms. This will be
the story- line for today and again Friday. POPs will generally
run 50+ and will peak in the afternoon and early evening of both
today and Friday. Instability will not be a problem, plenty of
avbl CAPE especially once insolation commences. With relatively
weak steering flow aloft, movement will generally be 230 at 15
mph or less via model soundings. This slow movement will result
in an extended time of moderate to heavy rain and therefore will
include the heavy rain attribute and will increase the QPF
some. Todays max temps will be 3 to 5 degrees lower than the
previous day, however dewpoints will run in the mid to upper 70s
with a few 80 degree dewpoints along the immediate coast.
Combined, and you have Heat Indices 100 to 104, just shy of Heat
Advisory criteria. A few locations may touch 105 briefly, just
not long enough to quantify a Heat Adv. Fridays temps highs are
progged even lower with resulting Heat Indices lower.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM Thursday...Warm and moist southerly return flow
around Bermuda High will continue to produce more typical
summertime weather. Showers and thunderstorms will develop in
the aftn focused along sea breeze boundary, Piedmont trough
inland, and any locally forced boundaries. This diurnal
convection will diminish into Fri evening with loss of heating,
but shortwave energy riding across the area in the mid levels
may produce a bit of convection overnight Fri. Sat night,
northern stream mid to upper trough will push a cold front east.
This will combine with inland trough and push south and east
Sat night which may keep the weather a bit more active Sat night
into early Sun. The deep southerly flow will result in
pcp water values over 2 inches. Surface-based instability
may be limited by cloud cover, but overall scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 300 AM Thursday...Mid to upper trough pushing a cold
front off the Northeast CONUS will drop south and east and this
weakened boundary will pull trough inland toward the coast
Sunday. This will help winds veer around to the SW to W through
the low levels through late Sun. Overall expect very moist and
unstable air mass ahead of this weakened front/trough with
showers and thunderstorms developing through Sunday. Winds will
veer around to the SW to W in the low levels as boundary drops
closer. This boundary may linger near or across the area for a
couple of days before high pressure builds down behind it
eventually by mid week. Therefore expect enhanced chc of shwrs
and thunderstorms to continue with drier air making its way in
through mid week.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 12z...As lingering patchy fog/stratus dissipates, high
cloud ceiling will dominate for a few hours before active
weather commences. Given available instability and plenty of
moisture, expecting numerous showers/thunderstorms to develop
this afternoon and evening along sea breeze boundary and inland
along Piedmont trough. Heavy rain rates and gusty winds
possible. Could see sub-VFR conditions within heavier storms.
Guidance is showing most of the precipitation to move off the
coast shortly after sunset, but there is a chance for lingering
light showers into overnight hours, especially near the coast.
Low level moisture profile favorable for early morning fog, but
increased overnight cloud cover and possible continued rainfall
could hinder development. Southerly winds continue throughout
TAF period, approaching 10kts inland and 10-15kts near the coast
this afternoon.

Extended Outlook...Early morning fog and stratus possible, with
scattered convection in the afternoon and evening throughout
the extended.

&&

.MARINE...
Today thru Fri:
As of 300 AM Thursday...The ridging from the high centered well
offshore and east of the Carolinas combined with the weak trof
inland will result in mainly a southerly wind direction with
speeds around 10 kt. The exception will be the aftn into the
evening hrs when the sea breeze circulation will affect the
nearshore waters from 0 to 5+ nm out with speeds 10 to around 15
kt both days. Although, the sea breeze may not be as strong on
Friday due to max temps over land being lower than previous
days. Significant seas will hover around 2 ft with the ESE-SE
swell at 8 to 9 seconds dominating. Except within the nearshore
waters each aftn and early evening, wind driven waves around 4
seconds will dominate.

Fri Night thru Mon:
Southerly return flow will continue around Bermuda High through
the weekend, but will increase as gradient tightens with the
approach of a weak front/trough on Sunday. This increasing
southerly push will drive seas up to 3 to 5 ft and possibly
close to SCA thresholds by late Sat through Sun night as this
front/trough drops into the waters. The winds will veer slightly
from S to SW through the weekend and may shift around to the W
by Sun night as front/trough nears the waters. This boundary may
linger near or over the waters early next week and could lead
to light and more variable winds perhaps becoming northerly over
northern portions of the waters, but remaining 10 kt or less,
by Monday with seas subsiding.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ILM/RGZ
NEAR TERM...DCH/MAS
SHORT TERM...RGZ
LONG TERM...RGZ
AVIATION...VAO
MARINE...DCH/RGZ
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 9:23 AM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
923 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

NCZ087-096-099-105-106-108-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-
058-059-051330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-
Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-Northern Horry-
923 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Slow moving thunderstorms this afternoon may produce extended
periods of heavy rain that result in localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ107-051330-
Inland New Hanover-
923 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Slow moving thunderstorms this afternoon may produce extended
periods of heavy rain that result in localized flooding.

In addition, minor coastal flooding is possible in flood prone areas
along the lower Cape Fear River from Wilmington southward during the
high tide cycle tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible in flood prone areas along the
lower Cape Fear River from Wilmington southward during the high
tide cycle Friday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ110-051330-
Coastal Brunswick-
923 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Risk of Rip Currents.

In addition, slow moving thunderstorms this afternoon may produce
extended periods of heavy rain that result in localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

AMZ250-252-254-256-051330-
Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Murrells Inlet to South Santee River SC out
20 nm-
923 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 4, 5:34 AM EDT, 5 hours before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service WILMINGTON NC
534 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

NCZ099-105>110-SCZ054>056-058-059-041200-
Columbus-Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn,
Lake Waccamaw, Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, Sunset Beach, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
534 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...Patchy Dense Fog This Morning...

Areas of fog will occur this morning with visibilities lowering
to 1 to 3 miles. Locations along both NC and SC Coasts that
received rainfall Wednesday, may experience patches of dense fog
with visibility less than 1/2 mile.

Motorists are urged to slow down, use low beam headlights and
leave plenty of braking distance between you and the vehicle ahead
of you. The fog should dissipate around 8 am this morning.

DCH
Special weather statement, Jul 4, 7:09 AM EDT, 3 hours 25 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service WILMINGTON NC
709 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059-
042200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-
Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-
Coastal Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-
Williamsburg-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Central Horry-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, Lake Waccamaw, Burgaw,
Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden,
Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte,
Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, Sunset Beach, Bennettsville,
McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon,
Florence, Marion, Mullins, Kingstree, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
709 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2019

...Heat And Humidity To Continue July 4th...

Todays high temperature in the low to mid 90s combined with high
relative humidity, will produce peak heat index values between
100 and 104 degrees. These values will be felt by midday and
continue thru the afternoon hours. Although just shy of heat
advisory criteria, the same safeguarding practices still apply.

Extended outdoor exertion or exposure could lead to heat illnesses
such as heat exhaustion and worse yet, a heat stroke. When
outdoors, drink plenty of fluids to stay well hydrated and wear
light weight and light colored clothing. Ensure all outdoor pets
and livestock have access to fresh water and well ventilated and
shaded areas.

And finally, never leave children or pets in a closed up vehicle,
temperatures could easily reach 120 degrees or higher in a matter
of minutes.

dough

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 11:30 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryILMBrunswick, Columbus6 hr
Jul 4, 12:15 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryILMBrunswick, New Hanover, Pender14 hr
Jul 4, 4:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILMPender60 min
Jul 4, 4:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILMRobeson67 min
Jul 4, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBladen, Robeson26 min
Jul 4, 5:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILMBladen, Robeson59 min
Jul 4, 7:48 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningILM31 min

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2019Every beach hazards statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.