Alert archive / South Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2019

Beach Hazards Statement 14, NWS Wilmington, NC

June 4, 2019Georgetown County, Horry County, South Carolina; New Hanover County, Pender County, North Carolina

NWS Wilmington, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Jun 4, 2019, 7:24 PM EDT for Georgetown County, Horry County, South Carolina; New Hanover County, Pender County, North Carolina. It took effect at Jun 5, 2019, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 14 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 4, 2019, 7:24 PM EDT (23:24 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 5, 2019, 6:00 AM EDT
Expired
Jun 5, 2019, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Wilmington, NC

Counties New Hanover County, NC, Pender County, NC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC

The radar

The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-06-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-06-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -33 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1441 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

231 
WHUS42 KILM 042324
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
724 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

NCZ106-108-050730-
/O.NEW.KILM.BH.S.0014.190605T1000Z-190606T0000Z/
/O.CON.KILM.CF.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-190605T0300Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-
724 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Beach
Hazards Statement, which is in effect from 6 AM EDT Wednesday
through Wednesday evening.

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover.

* TIMING...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 6 AM EDT 
  Wednesday through Wednesday evening.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...For Coastal New Hanover, Minor street 
  flooding occurs on the sound-side of Carolina Beach, along Canal
  Drive from Starfish Lane northward. Water gets into yards along
  the sound, but the street flooding is mainly the result of salt
  water backing up through the storm drains. Heavy rain at the 
  time of high tide exacerbates this problem. Beach goers should 
  also be cautious of waves running up on the beach around the 
  high tide. For Coastal Pender...Minor flooding is expected in 
  prone locations. Beach goers should also be cautious of waves 
  running up on the beach around the high tide. 

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and
  surfers into rip currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous 
  areas. Often, if the longshore current is strong enough, it will
  sweep swimmers off their feet, making it difficult to return to
  shore.

Caution should be used when in or near the water. Check with the
lifeguards before entering the ocean for possible hazards you may
be swept into.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Mercer Pier at Wrightsville Beach - Flood Stage 6.0 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 8.0 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 5.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 AM     4.4        0.1        1.1        2       None    
 04/09 PM     6.1        1.8        1.0       1-2     Minor    
 05/09 AM     4.6        0.3        0.8        2       None    
 05/10 PM     5.7        1.4        0.7        2       None    
 06/10 AM     4.3       -0.0        0.5        2       None    
 06/11 PM     5.4        1.1        0.5       1-2      None

&&

$$

NCZ107-050600-
/O.CON.KILM.CF.Y.0053.190605T0200Z-190605T0600Z/
Inland New Hanover-
724 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...The lower Cape Fear River including downtown 
  Wilmington.

* TIMING...Until 2 AM EDT Wednesday.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...North of the Cape Fear Memorial 
  Bridge...one spot on Battleship Road is covered with water about
  three inches deep. The westbound lane of USS North Carolina 
  Road is covered with water up to six inches deep. In downtown 
  Wilmington...about a block of Water Street just south of Market 
  Street is covered with about three inches of water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the river
shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.8 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/11 AM     4.8        0.1        0.8        1       None    
 04/11 PM     5.8        1.1        0.8        1      Minor    
 05/12 PM     4.7       -0.0        0.7        1       None    
 06/12 AM     5.7        1.0        0.7        1      Minor    
 06/01 PM     4.4       -0.3        0.4        1       None    
 07/01 AM     5.3        0.6        0.4        1       None

&&

$$

SCZ054-056-050730-
/O.NEW.KILM.BH.S.0014.190605T1000Z-190606T0000Z/
Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown-
724 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Beach
Hazards Statement, which is in effect from 6 AM EDT Wednesday
through Wednesday evening.

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Horry and Coastal Georgetown.

* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT Wednesday through Wednesday evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Longshore currents can sweep swimmers and 
  surfers into rip currents, piers, jetties, and other hazardous 
  areas. Often, if the longshore current is strong enough, it will
  sweep swimmers off their feet, making it difficult to return to
  shore.

Caution should be used when in or near the water. Check with the
lifeguards before entering the ocean for possible hazards you may
be swept into.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

&&

$$

21
5 follow-up statements
228 
WHUS42 KILM 050251
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1051 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019


NCZ106-108-051100-
/O.EXP.KILM.CF.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-190605T0300Z/
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0014.190605T1000Z-190606T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-
1051 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Pender and Coastal New Hanover.

* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT Wednesday through Wednesday evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Mercer Pier at Wrightsville Beach - Flood Stage 6.0 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 8.0 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 5.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM     5.8        1.5        1.0        2       None    
 05/09 AM     4.6        0.3        0.8       1-2      None    
 05/10 PM     5.7        1.4        0.7       1-2      None    
 06/10 AM     4.3       -0.0        0.5        1       None    
 06/11 PM     5.4        1.1        0.5        1       None    
 07/11 AM     4.6        0.3        0.7        1       None

&&

$$

NCZ107-050600-
/O.CON.KILM.CF.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-190605T0600Z/
Inland New Hanover-
1051 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...The lower Cape Fear River including downtown 
  Wilmington.

* TIMING...Until 2 AM EDT Wednesday.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...North of the Cape Fear Memorial 
  Bridge...one spot on Battleship Road is covered with water about
  three inches deep. The westbound lane of USS North Carolina 
  Road is covered with water up to six inches deep. In downtown 
  Wilmington...about a block of Water Street just south of Market 
  Street is covered with about three inches of water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the river
shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.8 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/11 PM     5.8        1.1        0.8        1      Minor    
 05/12 PM     4.7       -0.0        0.7        1       None    
 06/12 AM     5.7        1.0        0.7        1      Minor    
 06/01 PM     4.4       -0.3        0.4        1       None    
 07/01 AM     5.3        0.6        0.4        1       None    
 07/01 PM     4.5       -0.2        0.5        1       None

&&

$$

SCZ054-056-051100-
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0014.190605T1000Z-190606T0000Z/
Coastal Horry-Coastal Georgetown-
1051 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...Coastal Horry and Coastal Georgetown.

* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT Wednesday through Wednesday evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

&&

$$
499 
WHUS42 KILM 050612
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
212 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019

NCZ107-050715-
/O.EXP.KILM.CF.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-190605T0600Z/
Inland New Hanover-
212 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Gage readings have fallen below the 5.5 ft MLLW threshold for
minor flooding. As a result, the Coastal Flood Advisory has been
allowed to expire at 2 am EDT.
&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.8 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/12 AM     5.8        1.1        0.9        1      Minor    
 05/12 PM     4.8        0.1        0.8        1       None    
 06/12 AM     5.8        1.1        0.7        1      Minor    
 06/01 PM     4.6       -0.1        0.6        1       None    
 07/01 AM     5.5        0.8        0.6        1      Minor    
 07/01 PM     4.6       -0.1        0.6        1       None

&&

$$

NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-051415-
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0014.190605T1000Z-190606T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-
Coastal Georgetown-
212 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...In South Carolina, Coastal Horry and Coastal 
  Georgetown. In North Carolina, Coastal Pender and Coastal New 
  Hanover.

* TIMING...From 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...Strong south to north longshore currents are
  expected due to the increase in southerly winds. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

&&

$$
11
227 
WHUS42 KILM 050841
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
441 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019


NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-060000-
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0014.190605T1000Z-190606T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-
Coastal Georgetown-
441 AM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...In South Carolina, Coastal Horry and Coastal 
  Georgetown. In North Carolina, Coastal Pender and Coastal New 
  Hanover.

* TIMING...Through this evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...There will be a strong south to north
  longshore current.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

&&

$$

43
338 
WHUS42 KILM 051909
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
309 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 AM EDT THURSDAY...

NCZ107-060700-
/O.NEW.KILM.CF.Y.0054.190606T0300Z-190606T0700Z/
Inland New Hanover-
309 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 AM EDT THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Coastal
Flood Advisory, which is in effect from 11 PM this evening to
3 AM EDT Thursday.

* LOCATIONS...The lower Cape Fear River including downtown 
  Wilmington.

* TIMING...From 11 PM this evening to 3 AM EDT Thursday.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...North of the Cape Fear Memorial 
  Bridge...one spot on Battleship Road is covered with water about
  three inches deep. The westbound lane of USS North Carolina 
  Road is covered with water up to six inches deep. In downtown 
  Wilmington...about a block of Water Street just south of Market 
  Street is covered with about three inches of water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.8 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/12 AM     5.8        1.1        0.9        1      Minor    
 05/12 PM     4.8        0.1        0.8        1       None    
 06/12 AM     5.8        1.1        0.7        1      Minor    
 06/01 PM     4.6       -0.1        0.6        1       None    
 07/01 AM     5.5        0.8        0.6        1      Minor    
 07/01 PM     4.6       -0.1        0.6        1       None

&&

$$

NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-060000-
/O.CON.KILM.BH.S.0014.000000T0000Z-190606T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-
Coastal Georgetown-
309 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...In South Carolina, Coastal Horry and Coastal 
  Georgetown. In North Carolina, Coastal Pender and Coastal New 
  Hanover.

* TIMING...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* SURF ZONE IMPACTS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Beach Hazards Statement is issued when threats such as rip
currents, longshore currents, and other hazards create life-
threatening conditions in the surf zone. Caution should be used
when in or near the water.

&&

$$
877 
WHUS42 KILM 052342
CFWILM

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
742 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 AM EDT THURSDAY...

NCZ106-108-SCZ054-056-060045-
/O.EXP.KILM.BH.S.0014.000000T0000Z-190606T0000Z/
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-Coastal Horry-
Coastal Georgetown-
742 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The strong southerly winds that prompted the advisory for 
longshore currents have fallen below advisory thresholds, 
therefore the Beach Hazards Statement will be allowed to expire.

$$

NCZ107-060700-
/O.CON.KILM.CF.Y.0054.190606T0300Z-190606T0700Z/
Inland New Hanover-
742 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...The lower Cape Fear River including downtown 
  Wilmington.

* TIMING...From 11 PM this evening to 3 AM EDT Thursday.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...North of the Cape Fear Memorial 
  Bridge...one spot on Battleship Road is covered with water about
  three inches deep. The westbound lane of USS North Carolina 
  Road is covered with water up to six inches deep. In downtown 
  Wilmington...about a block of Water Street just south of Market 
  Street is covered with about three inches of water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Cape Fear River at Wilmington - Flood Stage 5.5 FT
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.7 ft, Major 10.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.8 ft, Moderate 2.0 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 06/12 AM     5.8        1.1        0.8        1      Minor    
 06/01 PM     4.6       -0.1        0.6        1       None    
 07/01 AM     5.5        0.8        0.6        1      Minor    
 07/01 PM     4.6       -0.1        0.6        1       None    
 08/02 AM     5.5        0.8        0.7        1      Minor

&&

$$

21

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Jun 4, 7:20 PM EDT, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 4, 7:20 PM EDT, 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
720 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm, humid, and unsettled pattern will develop, as an upper
trough approaching, helps direct tropical moisture from the
Gulf of Mexico over the Carolinas, in the upcoming period.
Occasional downpours and excessive rain will become possible by
late weekend and early next week, as the slow moving system is
combined with tropical moisture and humidity over the area, and
strong June sun energy.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 3 PM Tuesday...Seeing showers/TSTMs over Williamsburg,
Florence Counties this afternoon. Expect the SW part of our CWA
to be the only area to see precip the next few hours...given
much more available moisture and some marginal instability in
that zone. The NE half of our CWA will remain dry. Most of, if
not all of, tonight should be dry although will need to watch
areas west of a Myrtle Beach to Lumberton line late and into Wed
morning for a few showers...as moisture associated with old
front returns north as surface high pressure begins pushing
offshore to our NE. Lows tonight will be seasonable to a degree
or two above normal with light SE/S winds, in the upper 60s
except mid 60s far NE sections.

The beginning of many days of enhanced precip chances ahead
really  begins on Wednesday. Return flow will gradually get
better established around offshore high pressure. Lift from 850
WAA combined with low level moisture convergence will be
maximized for our inland counties tomorrow, and have denoted
that with a decent PoP gradient. Otherwise expect increasing
cloudiness and temps in the upper 80s inland/mid 80s coast.
Seeing some signs in latest guidance that afternoon/evening
activity will drift towards the coast Wed night as sfc trough
nears. Lows will continue to warm tomorrow night with this
pattern and likely come in several degrees above normal (low
70s).

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 3 PM Tuesday...Broken line of showers and isolated TSTMs
to be marching slowly off the coast daybreak Thursday, not sure
how strong this feature will be through diurnal cooling, but at
least a chance of rain Thursday, residual boundaries, and re-
sparking with June heating. The previous short-wave ridge looks
more flat with successive model runs so, not looking as hot
Thursday, but still a couple degrees above climatology,
scattered convection.

Friday, we appear to be favorably positioned in a zonal stream
or 'river' of high precipitable water content, as an upper low
over the Arklatex, guides soupy air N and E into the parched
Carolinas. Series of upper perturbations will assist upward
motion, through Friday, in concert with PWAT values cresting 2".

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 3 PM Tuesday...Brief drying Saturday is trending moreso
in models now, as a cold front from the north dips into the area
and shifts the rain focus farther S and W, deeper into NE SC.
This only a brief dry wrinkle, as the area becomes overwhelmed
with an injection of high precipitable water, through early next
week. The translation of the upper trough and surface low across
the area Sunday through Tuesday, looks to be a good set up to
greatly reduce rainfall deficits, and excessive rains may become
a problem in this period.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 00Z...Isolated thunder quickly coming to an end with the loss
of daytime heating for the remainder of this evening. Overnight,
skies will remain mainly clear with some scattered mid-level clouds
possible. By morning, expect some areas of stratus, with ground fog
in areas that saw precip this afternoon. Clouds will be prevalent
across the area tomorrow, mainly SCT low-level Cu with BKN mid-
levels. Moisture will be on the increase and this will help to
initiate scattered to widespread convection across the CWA after
18Z. Gusty southerly winds will return as a warm front pushes north
across the area.

Extended Outlook...Isolated convection Wed PM will increase in
coverage Wed night thru Sat with periodic MVFR/IFR conditions likely
from the pcpn.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 3 PM Tuesday...No significant changes to previous forecast
with E becoming SE/S winds at or below 15kt tonight into early
Wed as high pressure moves offshore to our NE. Strongest
winds/seas over our SC waters where pres gradient tightest. S
winds are forecast to ramp up a bit tomorrow PM up to 20kt as
offshore high pres interacts with inland troughing. Associated
short period waves will mix with minor 9s SE trade swell to
produce mostly 3-4 combined seas.

Thursday through Sunday SW winds will transition to SE, as an
upper trough picks up the remnant moisture of a Gulf tropical
circulation, and brings it across the Carolina coasts this
weekend and early next week. SE winds over the weekend around
15 kt should build seas to at least 4 feet coupled with TSTMs
about the area, so radar updates a great idea. Winds and seas
are almost always higher in and near TSTMs, life-jackets.

The ocean spectrum late week and weekend features a mix of SE
waves 2-3 feet every 9 seconds, and SW waves 1 to 3 feet every
5 seconds. If the surface low become stronger than forecast,
both these wave trains will increase in height, and a steeper
wave amplitude.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 3 PM Tuesday...Have issued Coastal Flood Advisory again
for Coastal New Hanover, Coastal Pender, and the Lower Cape
Fear in Inland New Hanover given latest ETSS/ESTOFS guidance for
this evening's high tide, associated with the new moon and
onshore flow. The waters south of Cape Fear to South Santee
River will remain just below minor coastal flood thresholds.
This will likely occur again near Downtown Wilmington Wednesday
evening/night, but looks like the threat will begin to wane for
Coastal New Hanover/Pender as we get a little more removed from
the New Moon that occurred yesterday.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...Beach Hazards Statement from 6 AM EDT Wednesday through
     Wednesday evening for SCZ054-056.
NC...Beach Hazards Statement from 6 AM EDT Wednesday through
     Wednesday evening for NCZ106-108.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for NCZ106-
     108.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for NCZ107.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...8
NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...MJC
LONG TERM...Colby
AVIATION...21
MARINE...MCW/8
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MCW
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 4, 3:38 PM EDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
338 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

NCZ107-051945-
Inland New Hanover-
338 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

For Wednesday, minor coastal flooding will occur along the Lower
Cape Fear River within a 3 to 4 hour window centered around the
1157 PM EDT high tide.

Excessive rainfall possible early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ106-108-051945-
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-
338 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Risk of Rip Currents.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

For Wed Evening...
Minor coastal flooding may briefly occur along the NC Coast from
Cape Fear North, within a 3 hour window centered around the 953 PM
EDT high tide.

Excessive rainfall possible early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

AMZ250-252-254-256-051945-
Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Murrells Inlet to South Santee River SC out
20 nm-
338 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A few gusts near 25 kt Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ110-SCZ054-051945-
Coastal Brunswick-Coastal Horry-
338 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Excessive rainfall possible early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

SCZ056-051945-
Coastal Georgetown-
338 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Risk of Rip Currents.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Excessive rainfall possible early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ087-096-099-105-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-055-058-059-051945-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Inland Brunswick-Marlboro-
Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Inland Georgetown-
Central Horry-Northern Horry-
338 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Excessive rainfall possible early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

8

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 4, 4:12 PM EDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
412 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

SCZ024-032-033-042100-
Marion SC-Florence SC-Dillon SC-
412 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 412 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Blue Brick, or 7 miles west of Marion, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Marion, Dillon, Mullins, Latta, Lake View, Sellers, Fork, Blue Brick,
Zion, Floydale, Smithboro, Kemper, Claussen, Nichols and Carolinas
Hospital System - Marion.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Thunderstorms can pose a variety of threats including gusty winds,
small hail, cloud to ground lightning, and localized flooding. It is
recommended that you remain indoors until the storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 3430 7907 3429 7908 3429 7909 3428 7909
      3428 7910 3426 7913 3423 7913 3423 7914
      3422 7914 3419 7917 3411 7942 3411 7963
      3422 7963 3447 7928
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 236DEG 22KT 3416 7952

21
Local storm report, Jun 4, 4:49 PM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
449 PM EDT TUE JUN 04 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0426 PM     HAIL             3 NNE LANE              33.56N  79.86W
06/04/2019  E1.00 INCH       WILLIAMSBURG       SC   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER-SIZED HAIL VIA TWITTER NEAR
            LANE, SC.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1900079

21
Special weather statement, Jun 4, 4:59 PM EDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
459 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

NCZ087-099-SCZ024-033-059-042145-
Robeson NC-Columbus NC-Marion SC-Northern Horry SC-Dillon SC-
459 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ROBESON...WEST CENTRAL
COLUMBUS...SOUTHEASTERN DILLON...NORTHWESTERN HORRY AND NORTHEASTERN
MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

At 459 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mullins, moving east at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Mullins, Fair Bluff, Lake View, Fork, Zion, Cherry Grove, Gapway,
Barnesville, Smithboro, Kemper, Nichols, Marietta and Carolinas
Hospital System - Marion.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Thunderstorms can pose a variety of threats including gusty winds,
small hail, cloud to ground lightning, and localized flooding. It is
recommended that you remain indoors until the storm passes.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Wilmington.

&&

LAT...LON 3413 7931 3429 7938 3444 7904 3420 7889
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 248DEG 18KT 3423 7927

21
Local storm report, Jun 4, 5:07 PM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
507 PM EDT TUE JUN 04 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 E MARION              34.18N  79.33W
06/04/2019  M62 MPH          MARION             SC   ASOS

            AT 450 PM, ASOS STATION AT MARION COUNTY AIRPORT
            REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 62 MPH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1900080

21
Local storm report, Jun 4, 6:34 PM EDT, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
634 PM EDT TUE JUN 04 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HAIL             1 ESE LANE              33.52N  79.87W
06/04/2019  E1.00 INCH       WILLIAMSBURG       SC   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC SHARED VIDEO VIA TWITTER AND CONFIRMED THAT
            QUARTER-SIZED HAIL WAS FALLING EAST OF LANE. TIME
            ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1900081

21
Local storm report, Jun 4, 6:49 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
649 PM EDT TUE JUN 04 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E MARION              34.18N  79.35W
06/04/2019                   MARION             SC   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN THAT FELL ONTO
            POWER LINES ALONG US-501 IN MARION COUNTY. TIME
            ESTIMATED VIA RADAR AND PREVIOUS REPORT OF 62 MPH GUST
            AT MARION COUNTY AIRPORT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1900082

21

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 3:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILMWilliamsburg43 min
Jun 4, 3:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILMFlorence38 min
Jun 4, 3:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILMWilliamsburg45 min
Jun 4, 3:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMWilliamsburg34 min
Jun 4, 4:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILMDillon48 min
Jun 4, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMWilliamsburg30 min
Jun 4, 4:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementILMDillon46 min
Jun 4, 10:40 AM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryILMNew Hanover, Pender15 hr

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in South Carolina, 2019Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2019Every beach hazards statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.