Freeze Warning 2, NWS Gray, ME

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Gray ME
936 PM EDT Sun May 26 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build in from the west overnight as a weak
cold front approaches from the north. The front will drop south
through the region on Monday with little more than passing
clouds. High pressure will build over the area Monday night and
will shift offshore on Tuesday. Weak low pressure will pass out
to sea south of New England Tuesday night and Wednesday. A warm
front will approach from the southwest Wednesday night and will
stall south of the region on Thursday. A cold front will
approach from the west Thursday night and will push east
through the region on Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
930 PM Update...
Forecast is in good shape with temperatures dropping off
gradually. Adjusted temperatures and dew points to match current
observational trends.

615 PM Update...
Minor changes to the forecast this evening to usher out showers
across the forecast area. Still some small showers/sprinkles
over southern Somerset and Waldo Counties, but these are rapidly
diminishing. Convective debris clouds are dissipating and it
should clear up nicely tonight. Still looking for about a 30
degree drop for the overnight lows...with lower to mid 40s north
to upper 40s/some 50s south.

Previous discussion...
Scattered showers ahead of a cold front are moving out of the
mountains and into central and southern portions of Maine and
New Hampshire early this afternoon. One thunderstorm has
popped up northeast of Augusta where better instability is
situated and expect any more convection to generally be confined
to eastern zones over the next several hours. Expect showers to
gradually move offshore by early evening as the front continues
east.

Clouds will gradually dry up this evening as downsloping and
drier air advects into the region. Low temperatures overnight
will range through the 40s north and lower to mid 50s south.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT/...
Weak cold front will drop south through the region on Monday
with not much more than passing clouds. High temperatures will
be closer to normal with highs ranging through the 60s north and
70s south.

Behind the front...high pressure will build over the region
Monday night. Clear skies and light winds will allow for good
radiational cooling and frost warnings will likely be needed
for northern and central zones. Lows will range from the lower
to mid 30s in the north and upper 30s to mid 40s south.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
12Z models in relatively good agreement for this package.
Disturbances will cross south of the region during the early
portion of the extended forecast. This will keep conditions in
northern New England on the wet and cool side Tuesday and
Wednesday.

A warm front will remain south of New England Tuesday with
cooler air in northern New England. This will allow showers to
enter the region, mainly over southern portions of Maine and New
Hampshire. Highs will be in the 60s which is still below normal
for this time of the year.

Low pressure will develop along this boundary on Wednesday,
keeping unsettled conditions in the region. The chance for
showers will increase Wednesday night as the system heads out
into the Atlantic and a warm front approaches from the south.

By Thursday, yet another disturbance, a cold front, will slowly
approach from the north. Showers and scattered showers will
cross the region, lasting into Thursday night.

High pressure will finally bring drier air into the region
Friday and Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Short Term...VFR tonight through Monday night.

Long Term...Areas of IFR conditions, mainly over southern areas
in low clouds and showers Tuesday night into Wednesday. This
unsettled pattern will continue with another system Thursday and
Thursday night.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...No flags.

Long Term...Gusty winds expected for a short period Monday
night and again Friday from the northwest. Otherwise, winds and
seas will mainly be below SCA thresholds.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Hanes

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Gray ME
1014 PM EDT Sun May 26 2019

MEZ012>014-018>028-NHZ003>015-280215-
Southern Oxford-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-
Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-
Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-
Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-Strafford-Cheshire-Eastern Hillsborough-
Interior Rockingham-Coastal Rockingham-
Western And Central Hillsborough-
1014 PM EDT Sun May 26 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine,
southwest Maine, western Maine, New Hampshire, central New
Hampshire, northern New Hampshire and southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MEZ007>009-NHZ001-002-280215-
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Northern Coos-
Southern Coos-
1014 PM EDT Sun May 26 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Maine, western
Maine and northern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Cool high pressure builds in Monday night. Sheltered valleys could
see frost or freeze conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ150>154-280215-
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out 25 NM-
Casco Bay-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
1014 PM EDT Sun May 26 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.