Beach Hazards Statement 7, NWS Gray, ME

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
303 AM EDT Sun Jun 9 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will shift offshore today and will hold off the
coast through Monday. A cold front will approach from the west
Monday night and will cross the region on Tuesday. High pressure
will build south of New England Tuesday night and will slide
offshore on Wednesday. High pressure will hold offshore
Wednesday night and Thursday. A cold front will cross the region
Thursday night followed by high pressure on Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Sfc high currently over the CWA begins to shift S this
afternoon. The weak early flow should allow midday sea breezes
to develop around midday, but the increasing S-SW Wed will let
those sea breezes work inland from PWM N and E later in the day.
Still highs will range from the upper 70s to low 80s across all
inland areas, and will generally top out in the low to mid 70s
at the coast. Will see more cirrus today, but for the most part
it will be translucent, so mostly sunny sums things up well.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
As the sfc high slowly shifts SE tonight,, and temps warm aloft,
will not see quite as chilly conds as Sat night. Still there
some decoupling is expected, given the flow and warmer air,
mins will be in the upper 40s N to low-mid 50s S.

Monday will see increasing S-SW flow and 850 temps climbing to
around 15C. There will be more, and thicker, cirrus around,
which will act against higher temps, but should see be enough
flow to help mix some of those warmer temps down, and highs will
be similar to Sunday inland, mainly a few degrees either side of
80. Coastal area may be similar too, but perhaps with a SW
gradient, areas S of portland on the coast could make a run at
80. Thinking the the system approaching the SW will hold off,
and any rain will have to wait until Mon night, but could see a
SHRA/TSRA in srn NH late in the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Models continue to be in fairly good agreement for much
of next week with several systems slated to dampen the
region...

First of these will move into the region from the west
Monday evening. Shortwave swinging through the Great
Lakes will drive a cold front toward the region overnight.
Looking for increasing clouds Monday evening with rain
moving into western zones after midnight. Low temperatures
will range from the mid 50s north to the lower 60s south.

Rain will be falling across a good portion of the forecast
area Tuesday morning but expect the majority of the activity
to shift east of the forecast area by early afternoon.
Downsloping northwesterlys behind the front will clear skies
downwind of the mountains through mid afternoon with just a few
clouds lingering in the mountains. Afternoon highs will range
from the mid 60s north to the mid 70s south.

High pressure will build south of New England Tuesday night
producing mostly clear skies and light winds. Low temperatures
will range from the mid 40s north to the lower 50s south.
High pressure will slide offshore south of New England on
Wednesday with return flow bringing warmer air back into the
region. High temperatures will range through the 70s to near 80.

High pressure will hold offshore Wednesday night as the next
shortwave approaches from the west. Looking for mostly clear
skies overnight with lows from the mid 40s to lower 50s.

Negative tilting trough over the Great Lakes will swing a
warm front toward southern New England on Thursday. Best over-
running and dynamics remain to the west during the day. After a
mostly sunny morning expect variable high clouds in the
afternoon with a chance of showers in far southwest zones by
Thursday evening. Onshore flow will keep temperatures across
much of the region below normal with most locations only
reaching the mid to upper 60s.

Cold front will push east through the region Thursday night
with a round of showers...mainly in northern zones. Lows
will range from the upper 40s to mid 50s. Shallow ridge of
high pressure will build over the region on Friday. Expect
lingering morning clouds to give way to mostly sunny skies.
Highs will range from the mid 60s north to the mid 70s south.

High pressure will slide offshore south of New England Friday
night as the next shortwave approaches from the west bringing
more rain for the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Short Term...Mainly VFR. There is a chance for some vly fog at
KLEB/KHIE tonight into early Monday.

Long Term...
MVFR/IFR ceilings developing Monday night...improving to VFR by
Tuesday afternoon. VFR Tuesday night through Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...SW flow will increase tonight and Monday, but
should stay below SCA lvls in that timeframe.

Long Term...
SCA's may be needed on Thursday.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT this morning through
     this evening for MEZ023>028.
NH...Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT this morning through
     this evening for NHZ014.
MARINE...None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 8 2019

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>022-NHZ001>013-015-091915-
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern Oxford-
Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-
Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-
Northern Coos-Southern Coos-Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-
Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-
Strafford-Cheshire-Eastern Hillsborough-Interior Rockingham-
Western And Central Hillsborough-
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 8 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine,
southwest Maine, west central Maine, western Maine, New Hampshire,
central New Hampshire, northern New Hampshire and southern New
Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Low pressure will approach from the west on Monday. The moisture
content in the atmosphere will increase Monday night and may allow
for heavy rainfall that could cause localized flooding, especially
the urban and poor drainage variety. The main window for this would
be later Monday night into Tuesday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MEZ023>028-NHZ014-091915-
Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
Coastal Rockingham-
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 8 2019

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Maine,
southwest Maine and southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Low pressure will approach from the west on Monday. The moisture
content in the atmosphere will increase Monday night and may allow
for heavy rainfall that could cause localized flooding, especially
the urban and poor drainage variety. The main window for this would
be later Monday night into Tuesday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ150>154-091915-
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out 25 NM-
Casco Bay-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
306 PM EDT Sat Jun 8 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.