Wind Advisory 7, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

813 
WWUS72 KGSP 301449
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
949 AM EST Wed Jan 30 2019

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...

.Gusty west to northwest winds will increase across western North
Carolina into the afternoon hours as temperatures warm slightly.
The strongest winds will affect the higher ridges of the northern
North Carolina mountains, but gusty conditions will also be
observed along and near the Interstate 40 corridor out into the
piedmont.

NCZ033-049-050-505-506-310000-
/O.EXA.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.190130T1500Z-190131T0000Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
Poplar, Ashford, Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, 
Dysartsville, Fero, and Glenwood
949 AM EST Wed Jan 30 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued
a Wind Advisory, which is in effect until 7 PM EST this evening.

* LOCATIONS...The northern mountains and foothills of western
  North Carolina.

* HAZARDS...Frequent wind gusts, some of which could be strong 
  enough to knock down tree limbs and power lines.

* TIMING...From late morning until early this evening.

* WINDS...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 to 50 mph at 
  times.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power 
  lines. Scattered power outages are expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

NCZ035>037-056-057-501>504-310000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.190130T1500Z-190131T0000Z/
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Caldwell Mountains-
Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, 
Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Statesville, Mooresville, 
Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, Advance, Hickory, Newton, 
St. Stephens, Salisbury, Patterson, Kings Creek, Lenoir, 
Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, 
and Valdese
949 AM EST Wed Jan 30 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...The northern foothills and northwest Piedmont of 
  western North Carolina.

* HAZARDS...Frequent wind gusts, some of which could be strong 
  enough to knock down tree limbs and power lines.

* TIMING...From late morning until early this evening.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 45 mph at times.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

HG

484 
WWUS72 KGSP 301908
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
208 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...

.Gusty west to northwest winds will maximize across western North
Carolina this afternoon. The strongest winds will affect the 
higher ridges of the northern North Carolina mountains, but gusty 
conditions will also mix down into the mountain valleys, and also
along the Interstate 40 corridor out into the piedmont at times.

NCZ033-035>037-049-050-056-057-501>506-310000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-190131T0000Z/
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Yancey-Mitchell-Catawba-Rowan-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Bethlehem, 
Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, 
Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, 
Advance, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, 
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, 
Patterson, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, 
Jonas Ridge, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, 
Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero,
and Glenwood
208 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...The northern foothills and northwest Piedmont of 
  western North Carolina.

* HAZARDS...Frequent wind gusts, some of which could be strong 
  enough to knock down tree limbs and power lines.

* TIMING...Through early this evening.

* WINDS...West winds at 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph at
  times, especially along the higher ridges of the mountains.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

HG

382 
WWUS72 KGSP 310002
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
702 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019

NCZ033-035>037-049-050-056-057-501>506-310115-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-190131T0000Z/
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Yancey-Mitchell-Catawba-Rowan-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Bethlehem, 
Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, 
Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, 
Advance, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, 
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, 
Patterson, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, 
Jonas Ridge, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, 
Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero,
and Glenwood
702 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds have diminished below advisory levels across the area.
However, gusty winds will continue across the mountains through 
the night.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
248 AM EST Wed Jan 30 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Very cold Canadian High Pressure centered over the Great Lakes will
keep our region very cold through Thursday then it will shift east.
Temperatures warm through the weekend so that we will have
temperatures above normal by Sunday. Expect the next rain maker to
arrive next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 212 am: Forecast looks to be in relatively good shape through
daybreak.  Arctic air mass continues to settle over the forecast
area, with the entire fcst area below freezing, and surface temps
from 0 to +10 being reported in the high elevations of the NC
mtns. Wind chill values are already very cold across the higher
terrain, so obviously we will keep the Advisory intact.

Arctic air will grip the western Carolinas over the next 24 hours
as we remain under the influence of the large upper low moving
from the Great Lakes to eastern Canada. Fortunately, a band
of light snow along a reinforcing cold front caught up in the
fast-moving cyclonic flow will move past well to our north this
morning. The boundary itself will move down across the fcst area
late in the day to reinforce the dry and cold air for tonight. As
the boundary pushes east of the mtns, fcst soundings suggest
a window of a few hours some time from the late morning to the
late afternoon when very strong wind gusts could mix down to the
sfc. The core of the stronger winds will move past to the north,
but could impact parts of the nrn foothills and nw Piedmont. After
coordination with neighboring offices, thought it best to issue a
Wind Advisory for these areas. The wind should diminish in the late
afternoon. Otherwise, temps should be on the order of ten degrees
below normal. Plenty cold, yes, but nowhere near record cold.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 200 AM EST Wednesday...A broad ulvl trof will dominate the
pattern across the ern CONUS to begin the period. Over the southeast
states...a split flow confl zone will cross the Carolinas and nudge
a cA hipres center off the Atl coast by 00z Fri. The dense llvl
airmass will be hard to modify however as the BL flow shifts sw/ly
yet remains very weakly advective. So...will anticipate temps
remaining abt 10 degrees F below normal.

On Fri...sfc ridging decreases as the high center continues to get
pulled out to sea. A moderate return flow within the mixed layer
will develop during this time and increasing thicknesses will allow
temps to reach arnd normal levels. Available moisture will remain
quite low outside the mtns with perhaps some few/sct Cu/Acu
underneath a warm mlvl layer. Across the mtns...available moisture
will also remain quite shallow until Fri night when better forcing
associated with an incoming frontal bndry may instigate weak
upslope precip across the NC/TN border counties. Temps across this
area will begin abv freezing when any precip starts...but thru the
overnight isol -snsh are possible with little to no accum thru
daybreak when llvl moisture wanes sigfnt/ly.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 230 AM EST Wednesday...The overall synoptic pattern finally
begins to change thru the ext range as a nrn stream ridge develops
and crosses east into early next week. The models are still at odds
with the degree of Atl moist flux Sun thru Mon associated with a
weak offshore low. The GFS remains quite dry...while the ECMWF and
the CMC develop a more defined low closer to the coast and bring in
widespread precip. The wetter solns were given some weight...but due
to the continued uncertainty and the models exhibiting individual
run to run continuity...a 50/50 blend of the drier guidance has also
been incorporated. This leaves many places outside the higher
terrain with slight chances...while the upslope regions have low to
high-end chance PoPs into Tue.

Temps could drop low enuf for some minor snow accum Sat night across
the NC mtns and fhills....but the lower atmos will warm abv freezing
after that and support only rain thru the period. Soundings show a
persistent elevated warm layer...which will keep any chance of
thunder or deep convec at bay even as the llvls become moderately
unstable. With the crossing ridge axis supporting high thickness
values...max temps will continue to warm thru the period. High temps
on Sat will be a cat or so abv normal...and by Tues readings shud
reach 10-12 degrees abv normal.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR conditions through the period. NW wind
at issuance time, but that should diminish in the pre-dawn hours
and should go light SW. The wind will increase from the WSW around
midday with occasional gusts through the afternoon as a lee trof
develops. The wind should diminish again with sunset.

Outlook: VFR conditions will continue through late week, with
moisture return more uncertain possibly occurring over the weekend.

Confidence Table...

            07-13Z        13-19Z        19-01Z        01-06Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening
     for NCZ035>037-056-057-501>504.
     Wind Chill Advisory until 10 AM EST Thursday for NCZ033-
     048>052-058-059.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...SBK
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...PM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
312 PM EST Tue Jan 29 2019

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-062>065-068>072-082-
501>510-SCZ001>014-019-302015-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-
Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
312 PM EST Tue Jan 29 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Very cold air will move into the region tonight behind an arctic
cold front. Average temperatures may be nearly 15 degrees below
normal Wednesday and Thursday which could cause significant impacts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-302015-
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-
312 PM EST Tue Jan 29 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Chill Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Chill Advisory.

Very windy conditions are also possible through Wednesday night.
Average temperatures are expected to be around 15 degrees below
normal Wednesday and Thursday which could cause significant impacts.
See the Special Weather Statement for details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to report snow and ice accumulations to our
office.