Wind Advisory 6, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

618 
WWUS72 KGSP 241600
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1100 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.High pressure building into the region will continue to support gusty
northwest winds across the northern mountains through this evening
before gradually weakening tonight.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-250000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-190125T0500Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
Poplar, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort
1100 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...The mountains of North Carolina northeast of the 
  French Broad Valley, and adjacent foothills.

* HAZARDS...Strong and gusty winds.

* TIMING...The strongest winds are expected through this
  afternoon, but occasionally may gust into late this evening.

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power 
  lines. Scattered power outages are expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

932 
WWUS72 KGSP 241952
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
252 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR THE NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

.High pressure building into the region will continue to support
gusty northwest winds across the northern mountains through this
evening before gradually weakening tonight.

NCZ501-503-505-242100-
/O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-190125T0500Z/
Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-
252 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has
cancelled the Wind Advisory.

Advisory level winds are no longer expected.

$$

NCZ033-049-050-250500-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-190125T0500Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
and Poplar
252 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...The mountains of North Carolina northeast of the
  French Broad Valley.

* HAZARDS...Strong and gusty winds.

* TIMING...The strongest winds are expected this afternoon, but 
  occasionally may gust into late this evening.

* WINDS...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds may blow down limbs, trees, and power 
  lines. Scattered power outages are expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

437 
WWUS72 KGSP 242343
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
643 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

NCZ033-049-050-250045-
/O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-190125T0500Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-
643 PM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has
cancelled the Wind Advisory.

While occasional breezy winds are possible later tonight, 
sustained winds and wind gusts have fallen below advisory 
criteria. Thus, the Wind Advisory has been cancelled. 

$$

SGL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
330 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move east of the region this morning, with
lingering northwest flow moisture drying up in the western mountains
through Noon. A reinforcing cold front will arrive from the
northwest late tonight, but with very limited moisture. Weak and dry
high pressure will then move over the area for the early part of the
weekend, but with weak upper-level disturbances crossing the region
from the west for the latter half of the weekend into early next
week. A stronger cold front, with more moisture, may cross the area
from the northwest on Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 300 AM: Low pressure now moving into Quebec, in association
with a trough extending south across the eastern CONUS, will drive a
cold front thru the area this morning. Winds are beginning to shift
to NW in East TN and northern GA. Preceding the front, a band of
moderate rainfall persists within strong southerly flow across the
area. Winds are southerly all the way down to the lowest level on
KGSP and TCLT VAD profiles, and temps have risen near if not above
60 across the eastern zones. The strongest portion of the LLJ likely
has pushed east of the area, though the VAD winds are still around
50 kt at around 5 kft AGL. Whatever tiny severe threat resulted from
these winds most likely peaked with the fine line of convection
that is now exiting the area. Occasional drizzle or light precip
is expected to persist with weak upglide continuing over the area,
and additional bands of moderate showers may redevelop over the
next few hrs until the base of the upper trough pushes into the
area and the moisture plume shifts east. Temps have been revised
following the HRRR, which is doing a pretty good job of keeping up
with the trends. A cooling trend will begin in the mtns by around
daybreak, with values over the whole area becoming nearly steady
by late morning as downsloping sets up behind the front. Max temps
will be a little below normal over the mtns, ranging to several
degrees above normal in the far east.

After initially clear skies, periods of cirrus are expected to be
seen again in the remainder of the period. As cold advection and NW
flow set up over the mtns, any remaining precip will change to snow
there before ending. Moisture is initially quite shallow beneath
the subsidence inversion associated with the incoming airmass, and
a lull in the snow showers is expected this afternoon and evening
before a secondary cold front brings reinforcing moisture early
Friday morning, raising chances to mentionable values again. Between
the two periods of snow, accumulation up to 1 inch is possible in
the most favored upslope areas.

Lastly, with a relatively strong pressure gradient of 6-7 mb across
the mountains late this morning and early afternoon within strong
CAA, some guidance members do indicate a few wind gusts to 40
mph or more are possible in the northern mountains. We will post
a Wind Advisory beginning at 10 AM. Though gusts to that level
will become increasingly infrequent heading into the evening,
enough wind will persist to warrant keeping the advisory until
midnight. Temps will fall back to a few degrees below climo for
tonight under mostly clear skies east of the mtns.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 245 am Thursday: A shortwave embedded in a broad trough over
the eastern U.S. will cross the southern Appalachians Friday morning
and then move quickly east of the region Friday afternoon. Any
lingering low-level northwest flow moisture in the cold air will dry
up very quickly through the morning hours, with just lingering
isolated to scattered snow showers in the TN border counties of the
NC mountains for a few hours after daybreak. Weak and dry surface
high pressure will then set up over the area the rest of Friday
through Friday night.

Meanwhile, broad cyclonic upper flow will remain in place through
Saturday. Another round of clipper-type moisture may reach the
region in W to NW flow Saturday morning, but dry up quickly over the
southern Appalachians. Temperatures will likely remain 5 to 10
degrees below climatology through the period.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 245 am Thursday: Additional shortwave features will move
through the broad cyclonic flow over the eastern U.S. for the latter
half of the weekend, with the most potent wave crossing over the
region on Sunday. Some moisture accompanies these waves, but it
generally dries up before, or upon, reaching the southern
Appalachians. Will confine any isolated to scattered rain/snow
shower PoPs to the NC mountains for now. Briefly zonal flow will
then set up over the area Sunday night into Monday behind the
passing shortwave.

Deep layer southwesterly flow will return late Monday as heights
begin to fall more sharply over the central CONUS. The upstream
trough will continue to sharpen up over the MS Valley on Tuesday and
then cross the southern Appalachians on Wednesday. The best
precipitation chances through the period will be in the deeper
moisture band along the passing cold front Tuesday. In fact, much of
the moisture may follow the front in the cold air, leading to
changeover ptype issues (rain versus snow), mainly in the mountains.
Another round of moisture could arrive in the heart of the cold
trough on Wednesday, but confidence is quite low on precipitation
chances so will shotgun 20 PoPs for a rain/snow mix across the area.
Temperatures fairly close to climo early in the period will fall
drastically back below climo by mid week.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Tricky forecast this morning. Restrictive
cigs will persist until cold front scours out cold-air damming in
the first few daytime hrs. Light to moderate rain is generally
expected during this time, bringing mainly MVFR cigs. Heavier
showers will occur in a prefrontal band that is now working its way
thru the region and are likely to bring a period of IFR. TEMPOs
have been used to try to time this. It is possible that some IFR
will develop closer to daybreak, as rainfall rates taper off, but
confidence is relatively low on this occurrence with continued
mixing resulting from the breezy conditions. As winds turn more
westerly behind the front later this morning, CAA and downsloping
in the PBL will end precip east of the Appalachian spine, and clear
out restrictions. Gusts will develop at all sites, persisting into
tonight at KAVL.

Outlook: Dry high pressure returns at the end of the week, and
a series of weak clipper systems may affect parts of the region
early next week. Precipitation and accompanied restrictions are
most likely in the mtns if these materialize.

Confidence Table...

            08-14Z        14-20Z        20-02Z        02-06Z
KCLT       High  84%     High  91%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High  83%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       Med   77%     High  81%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       Med   73%     High  90%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       High  87%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High  83%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to midnight EST tonight
     for NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HG
NEAR TERM...Wimberley
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...HG
AVIATION...Wimberley

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1203 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-250515-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
1203 AM EST Thu Jan 24 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Locally heavy rainfall will be possible early this morning.
Rainfall totals should reach 1 to 2 inches in most locations, with
isolated 3 inch amounts in and near the mountains. The heavy rain
falling on moist ground could produce isolated flooding in flood
prone areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Isolated flooding may linger through the day on Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

HG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1245 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

NCZ068-508-SCZ006>008-010>013-019-240630-
Greater Rutherford NC-Cleveland NC-Cherokee SC-Laurens SC-
Anderson SC-Abbeville SC-Union SC-Greenwood SC-Spartanburg SC-
Greater Greenville SC-
1245 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...
SOUTHERN CLEVELAND...LAURENS...SOUTHEASTERN GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...EAST CENTRAL ANDERSON...WESTERN CHEROKEE...EASTERN
ABBEVILLE...NORTHWESTERN UNION AND NORTHWESTERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES
UNTIL 130 AM EST...

At 1244 AM EST, Doppler radar indicated the leading edge of an area
of heavy rain along a line extending from 8 miles northwest of
Spartanburg to 4 miles west of Abbeville, and moving northeast at 45
mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Spartanburg, Shelby, Gaffney, Laurens, Abbeville, Simpsonville, Five
Forks, Fountain Inn, Boiling Springs SC and Woodruff.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and very heavy rainfall rates up to 2 inches
per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3406 8259 3505 8212 3543 8146 3538 8142
      3439 8191
TIME...MOT...LOC 0544Z 235DEG 38KT 3502 8206 3418 8246

Carroll

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
124 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

NCZ068-070-SCZ007-008-012-013-240700-
Gaston NC-Cleveland NC-Cherokee SC-Laurens SC-Union SC-
Spartanburg SC-
124 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN CLEVELAND...
NORTHWESTERN GASTON...CENTRAL LAURENS...SOUTHEASTERN SPARTANBURG...
CHEROKEE AND NORTHWESTERN UNION COUNTIES UNTIL 200 AM EST...

At 124 AM EST, Doppler radar indicated the leading edge of an area of
heavy rain along a line extending from 4 miles west of Shelby to 4
miles south of Laurens, and moving northeast at 45 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Shelby, Gaffney, Union, Laurens, Cherryville, Boiling Springs NC,
Pacolet, Cowpens, Blacksburg and Buffalo.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and very heavy rainfall rates up to 2 inches
per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3446 8203 3530 8171 3542 8144 3542 8134
      3541 8133 3462 8166
TIME...MOT...LOC 0624Z 235DEG 38KT 3527 8162 3443 8202

Carroll

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
133 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

NCZ071-SCZ009-013-014-240715-
Mecklenburg NC-York SC-Union SC-Chester SC-
133 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN MECKLENBURG...
WESTERN CHESTER...EASTERN YORK AND SOUTHEASTERN UNION COUNTIES UNTIL
215 AM EST...

At 133 AM EST, Doppler radar indicated the leading edge of an area of
heavy rain along a line extending from 10 miles southwest of York to
near Newberry, and moving northeast at 45 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Rock Hill, York, Chester, Tega Cay, Newport, Town Of Lake Wylie,
Carlisle, Mcconnells, Lowrys and Chester State Park.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and very heavy rainfall rates up to 2 inches
per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3446 8155 3446 8156 3447 8155 3449 8157
      3495 8131 3516 8101 3515 8101 3516 8100
      3523 8091 3457 8117 3456 8119 3457 8142
      3450 8142 3449 8149 3445 8153 3445 8155
TIME...MOT...LOC 0633Z 215DEG 69KT 3486 8133 3429 8163

Carroll

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
211 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-014-240800-
Union NC-Mecklenburg NC-Cabarrus NC-York SC-Chester SC-
211 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CABARRUS...
MECKLENBURG...WESTERN UNION...EASTERN CHESTER AND SOUTHEASTERN YORK
COUNTIES UNTIL 300 AM EST...

At 211 AM EST, Doppler radar indicated the leading edge of an area of
heavy rain along a line extending from 5 miles northwest of Uptown
Charlotte to 3 miles southeast of Chester, and moving northeast at
45 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Rock Hill, Uptown Charlotte, Downtown Concord, Monroe, Chester,
Central Charlotte, South Charlotte, Northeast Charlotte, Southwest
Charlotte and East Charlotte.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and very heavy rainfall rates up to 2 inches
per hour will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3482 8056 3482 8080 3494 8078 3508 8091
      3501 8091 3492 8086 3484 8087 3483 8090
      3470 8086 3464 8090 3455 8087 3456 8126
      3533 8094 3550 8047
TIME...MOT...LOC 0711Z 220DEG 53KT 3529 8089 3468 8117

Carroll

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
253 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

NCZ082-240845-
Union NC-
253 AM EST THU JAN 24 2019

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT UNION COUNTY UNTIL 345 AM EST...

At 252 AM EST, Doppler radar indicated the leading edge of an area of
heavy rain along a line extending from 7 miles northwest of Monroe to
5 miles south of Lancaster, and moving northeast at 45 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Monroe, Unionville, Wesley Chapel, Wingate, Marshville, Mineral
Springs, Fairview In Union County, Sturdivants, Lake Park and Waxhaw.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3481 8032 3482 8076 3482 8077 3503 8070
      3519 8051 3516 8044 3517 8042 3516 8041
      3518 8037 3517 8036 3518 8031 3519 8030
      3519 8028
TIME...MOT...LOC 0752Z 215DEG 54KT 3507 8064 3465 8076

Carroll