Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2019
Wind Advisory 19, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Oct 16, 2019, 3:53 AM EDT for Avery County, Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 16, 2019, 5:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 16, 2019, 3:53 AM EDT (07:53 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 16, 2019, 5:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 17, 2019, 10:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Avery County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Yancey County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1958 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 87 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 170 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
450 WWUS72 KGSP 160753 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 353 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 NCZ033-049-050-161600- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.191016T2100Z-191017T1400Z/ Avery-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 353 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Avery, Yancey and Mitchell Counties. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ RMM
6 follow-up statements
795 WWUS72 KGSP 161713 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 113 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 NCZ033-049-050-170115- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.191016T2100Z-191017T1400Z/ Avery-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 113 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Avery, Yancey, and Mitchell Counties. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
189 WWUS72 KGSP 161859 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 259 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 NCZ033-049-050-170830- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.191016T2100Z-191017T1400Z/ Avery-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 259 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. Gusts as high as 55 mph can occur at the highest elevations. * WHERE...Yancey, Mitchell and Avery Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ 08
623 WWUS72 KGSP 170205 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1005 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 NCZ033-049-050-171015- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-191017T1400Z/ Avery-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 1005 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. Gusts as high as 60 mph can occur at the highest elevations. * WHERE...Yancey, Mitchell and Avery Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
339 WWUS72 KGSP 170727 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 327 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 NCZ033-049-050-171400- /O.NEW.KGSP.FR.Y.0003.191018T0400Z-191018T1300Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-191017T1400Z/ Avery-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 327 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. For the Frost Advisory, widespread lows in the mid 30s will likely support the first frost of the season. A light freeze is possible for typically colder locations. * WHERE...Avery, Yancey and Mitchell Counties. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 10 AM EDT this morning. For the Frost Advisory, from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-171400- /O.NEW.KGSP.FR.Y.0003.191018T0400Z-191018T1300Z/ Madison-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon- Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains- Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains- Including the cities of Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, Etowah, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort 327 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Widespread lows in the mid 30s will likely support the first frost of the season. A light freeze is possible for typically colder locations. * WHERE...Western North Carolina. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$
778 WWUS72 KGSP 170730 CCA NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 330 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 NCZ033-049-050-171400- /O.NEW.KGSP.FR.Y.0003.191018T0400Z-191018T1300Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-191017T1400Z/ Avery-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 330 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. For the Frost Advisory, widespread lows in the mid 30s will likely support the first frost of the season. A light freeze is possible for typically colder locations. * WHERE...Avery, Yancey and Mitchell Counties. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 10 AM EDT this morning. For the Frost Advisory, from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-171400- /O.COR.KGSP.FR.Y.0003.191018T0400Z-191018T1300Z/ Madison-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon- Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains- Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains- Including the cities of Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, Etowah, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort 330 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Widespread lows in the mid 30s will likely support the first frost of the season. A light freeze is possible for typically colder locations. * WHERE...The mountains and northern foothills of Western North Carolina. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$
239 WWUS72 KGSP 171358 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 958 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 NCZ033-049-050-172200- /O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-191017T1400Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.FR.Y.0003.191018T0400Z-191018T1300Z/ Avery-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 958 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Winds will diminish this morning. Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation tonight. * WHERE...Avery, Mitchell and Yancey Counties. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-172200- /O.CON.KGSP.FR.Y.0003.191018T0400Z-191018T1300Z/ Madison-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon- Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains- Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains- Including the cities of Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, Etowah, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort 958 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 34 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...The mountains, valleys and foothills of western North Carolina. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ 08
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Oct 16, 3:50 AM EDT, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 16, 3:50 AM EDT, 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
350 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will cross the area today with rain ahead of the
front and cooler and drier air behind it. A cool, autumn air mass
will settle over the region Thursday through Saturday, before
moisture and rain chances return from Sunday into early next
week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 325 AM: The latest radar and satellite showed an organized
line of rain with embedded thunderstorms marching east through the
Ohio River Valley. Meanwhile shower activity was fairly widespread
about the region, especially to our south through Central Georgia to
off the Southeast coast. Expect these trends to continue with only
isolated to scattered showers prevailing through early this morning.
The aforementioned cold front is expected to push through the region
from west to east from late this morning through mid afternoon. The
latest guidance continues to show sufficient upper level support to
maintain shower activity and possibly a few rumbles of thunder with
the front as it pushes into the mountains. The latest guidance
continued to show best diffluence and associated synoptic lift aloft
swinging northeast ahead of the longwave trough into to Virginia's.
As a result, shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the
front over the Ohio River Valley will gradually wane, but likely
still hold together moving into the mountains later this
morning(especially northern mtns). There may be just enough forcing
for a few rumbles of thunder. Downsloping flow and continuing loss
of synoptic support will likely lead to isolated showers at best
east of the mountains through early this afternoon, mostly confined
to the I-40 corridor.
Gusty northwest winds will develop behind the front, gradually
ushering in much colder into the region this evening into tonight. A
tightening pressure gradient, cold air advection, coupled with upper
level support (40 kt winds at 850 mb), is just enough to support a
low end wind advisory to be issued shortly for Avery, Mitchell, and
Yancey counties, matching up with the RNK office. Elsewhere across
the mountains, gusts of 25 to 35 mph will be common with gusts up 25
mph east of the mountains. Despite the gusty winds, temperatures
will likely dip into the 30s for most mountain and northern foothill
areas late tonight with 40s common east of the mountains. The first
patchy frost of the season will be possible for wind sheltered
mountain valleys such as the Little Tennessee Valley.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 230 AM Wednesday: Northwest flow remains over the area
Thursday between the departing upper low and an approaching upper
ridge. Winds will diminish through the day as high pressure builds
into the area. Any lingering NW flow clouds will diminish as well.
Highs will be around 10 degrees below normal across the mountains
and around 5 degrees below normal elsewhere. Surface high pressure
builds in from the west Thursday night bringing clear skies and
diminishing winds. This should allow temps to fall well into the
frost range across the mountains with patchy frost across much of
the NC foothills and piedmont and some of the northern Upstate. The
upper ridge and surface high pressure slide across the area Friday.
Highs Friday will be warmer across the mountains and a little warmer
elsewhere, still ending up around 5 degrees below normal. Lows
Friday night will warm to around 5 degrees below normal.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 330 AM Wednesday: Guidance in agreement on the overall
pattern, but some significant detail differences remain. The upper
ridge slides east on Saturday with a weak northern and southern
stream short wave combo moving across the eastern CONUS in the
developing southwesterly flow. The GFS is faster with these waves
and faster with the developing Gulf Coast low. The GFS shows
moisture and precip moving into the area from the southwest on
Saturday afternoon. Precip spreads across the area Saturday night
then east Sunday and Sunday night as the low moves offshore. The
ECMWF is slower keeping precip to our west until Saturday night with
precip into Sunday before the low moves east. Have followed a model
blend which has timing between the two models. Highs will be near
normal both days with above normal lows Saturday night rising to
well above normal Sunday night.
A deep latitude trough develops over the central CONUS as an upper
low move across the northern US and a short wave rotates around the
low carving out the trough to the south. The trough crosses the area
late Tuesday. At the surface, moisture increases ahead of the
associated cold front Monday bringing precip back into the area. The
front crosses the area Tuesday with the ECMWF slightly slower than
the GFS. Have limited PoP throughout the entire period to good
chance given the differences. That said, significant precip with
some potential for severe storms is possible Tuesday, but a lot
could change by then. Highs should be a little above normal with
lows well above normal.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Scattered shra with less than a 10 percent
chance of lightning will rapidly come to an end with a frontal
passage from west to east between 15Z and 19Z. IFR to LIFR cigs are
expected to prevail by 10Z at most sites before rapidly improving
back to VFR with the frontal passage. Gusty W/NW winds are expected
behind the front with gusts up to 22 kts except up to 30 kts at
higher elevations including KAVL.
Outlook: Gusty northwest winds will gradually diminish Thursday with
VFR conds. Otherwise, expect VFR. A storm system may bring another
round of rain and associated restrictions sometime this weekend.
Confidence Table...
08-14Z 14-20Z 20-02Z 02-06Z
KCLT Med 70% High 84% High 100% High 100%
KGSP Med 76% High 85% High 100% High 100%
KAVL High 82% Med 71% High 100% High 100%
KHKY High 92% High 82% High 100% High 100%
KGMU Med 73% High 87% High 100% High 100%
KAND High 83% High 86% High 100% High 100%
The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:
www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Wind Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EDT Thursday
for NCZ033-049-050.
SC...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RWH
NEAR TERM...Munroe
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...RWH
AVIATION...MunroeHazardous weather outlook, Oct 15, 10:29 PM EDT, 5 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1029 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-170230- Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham- Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson- Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains- 1029 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Windy conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night. Gusts over 45 mph may develop across the higher elevations. Areas of frost may develop Wednesday night in the more sheltered valleys of the southwestern North Carolina mountains. Areas of frost may be more widespread across the North Carolina mountain valleys Thursday night as winds diminish. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504- 506>510-SCZ001>014-019-170230- Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell- Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus- Union-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell- Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk- Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains- Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg- Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood- 1029 PM EDT Tue Oct 15 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont North Carolina, western North Carolina and Upstate South Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None.
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.