Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Warnings in 2019

Tornado Warning 24, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

August 10, 2019Catawba County, Iredell County, Lincoln County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this tornado warning at Aug 10, 2019, 7:46 PM EDT for Catawba County, Iredell County, Lincoln County, North Carolina. It was in force for 18 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2019, 7:46 PM EDT (23:46 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2019, 8:04 PM EDT
In force
18 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.0 in

Counties Catawba County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 10, 8:00 PM EDTFUNNEL CLOUD5 Ese Newton, NCFUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED NEAR BALLS CREEK RD AND HWY 16. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 165 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2019-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -14 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
165 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-96 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1284 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

643 
WFUS52 KGSP 102346
TORGSP
NCC035-097-109-110015-
/O.NEW.KGSP.TO.W.0024.190810T2346Z-190811T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
746 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Eastern Catawba County in the Piedmont of North Carolina...
  Southwestern Iredell County in the Piedmont of North Carolina...
  Northeastern Lincoln County in the Piedmont of North Carolina...

* Until 815 PM EDT.
    
* At 746 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 9 miles east of Newton, or over Catawba, moving south
  at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Lake Norman, Lake Norman State Park and Denver around 810 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this dangerous thunderstorm include
Sherrills Ford, Terrell, Doolie and Bandys.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Please report damaging winds, hail, or flooding to the National
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free, 1, 800,
2 6 7, 8 1 0 1, or by posting on our Facebook page, or Tweet it using
hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and the
specific location where it occurred.

&&

LAT...LON 3575 8119 3581 8098 3555 8083 3547 8114
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 342DEG 13KT 3571 8107 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

HG
1 follow-up statement
826 
WWUS52 KGSP 110004
SVSGSP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
804 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

NCC035-097-109-110013-
/O.CAN.KGSP.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-190811T0015Z/
Catawba NC-Iredell NC-Lincoln NC-
804 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EASTERN CATAWBA...SOUTHWESTERN IREDELL AND
NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. However, gusty winds 
of 20 to 30 mph are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3575 8119 3581 8098 3555 8083 3547 8114
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 342DEG 13KT 3565 8105 

$$

HG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Aug 10, 2:42 PM EDT, 5 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 2:42 PM EDT, 5 hours 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
242 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Isolated to scattered mainly afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms are expected through the weekend. Rainfall chances
slowly increase through mid week, with hot and humid conditions
persisting through the period.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 225 PM: A cold frontal zone bisects the region, aiding
in moisture convergence. This was partly responsible for the
widespread mid to high level cloud cover which blanketed much
of the region this morning. With that cloud cover continuing
to dissipate, destabilization is getting underway across the
CWFA. Discrete cells are now widely scattered along the higher
terrain, with a couple cells having now popped up across the GA/SC
zones. Relatively fast flow aloft, surrounding the East Coast upper
trough, is expected to lead the mtn activity to propagate into the
Piedmont, though the likelihood of upscale growth appears small,
so coverage should remain scattered at best. Convection should
trend downward this evening, with potential waning latest in our
southeast, nearest the juicier dewpoints on the warm side of the
front. Despite a moist layer roughly 800-600 mb, dry air higher
aloft and moderately high cloud bases will bring a risk of an
isolated severe microburst. SPC included some of our area in the
Marginal Risk on the updated Day 1 outlook, though coverage of
any severe wx may still not be enough to meet the usual threshold.

The upper levels will continue to dry tonight as the front sags
slightly further south. The dominant synoptic feature then becomes
an area of high pressure migrating across the Ohio Valley and toward
the Mid-Atlantic coast, effectively forming a weak wedge. Min temps
will be about a category above normal with moisture continuing
to pool near the front. Patchy mountain valley fog is possible
again. The sfc high will bring a northeasterly flow over much of
the Piedmont, along with a minor subsidence inversion. The net
result is that deep convection should be confined to parts of
the east-facing Blue Ridge. However, highs are still progged to
be just above normal, though dewpoints will be able to mix out a
bit more than those today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 217 PM EDT Saturday: Not much in the new guidance to change
our minds about the forecast for the early part of next week. Sfc
high pressure passing by to our north Sunday night will ride the
ridge and move offshore on Monday. A weak easterly upslope flow
should provide enough moisture to allow convection to break a
capping inversion over the mtns in the afternoon, so a chance
looks good there, but the cap over the wrn Piedmont still looks
too formidable. The eastern zones were kept dry. Temps will be
above normal, but not to the point where we should have to be
concerned with a Heat Advisory. That might not be the case for
Tuesday as the weak easterly flow at low levels is replaced by
w/sw flow ahead of an approaching upper wave/sfc front. Downslope
east of the mtns will add a few degrees to high temps, so mid-90s
are a good bet east of the Blue Ridge. Right now, the area with a
Heat Index above 105 is small and limited to the lower Piedmont
of SC, but this could easily change with only slightly higher
dewpoints. Expect scattered deep convection mainly over the mtns
again, but the mid/upper forcing and better instability will be
kept on the west side of the mountains closer to the approaching sfc
front through late in the period, so precip prob was kept at 30 pct
at best near the TN line, and only in the slight chance range east.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 2 PM EDT Saturday: Starting Tuesday evening with models in
good agreement with the 500mb pattern showing a ridge centered over
New Mexico and nearly zonal flow over the East. A weak cold front
will be dropping south from the Ohio Valley.  This slow moving cold
front will provide lift along with the moisture flux to the south of
the front for increased coverage of showers and thunderstorms.
Expect scattered to numerous coverage for the NC mountains Tuesday
evening. Instability will be best on Wednesday ahead of the front
with CAPE values 1500 to 2500. The coverage of convection on
Wednesday should be numerous across the forecast area. Shear will be
weak with wind from 700mb down to the surface mainly 15 kts or less.
The front is forecast to becoming stationary just south of our area
during the last half of the week. Models agree on keeping areas near
the front active with weak lows moving along or lingering on the
front. A strong shortwave passing over the Plains next weekend may
get close to our area toward the end of the weekend. Temperatures
will be 2 to 5 degrees above normal Wednesday then cooling Max Temps
to 2 to3 degrees below normal by the end of the week. Min temps will
be near or just above normal late in the week.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Main concern this aftn is for SHRA/TSRA,
with chances a bit better than climatology due to a weak cold
front sitting over the area. Chances at the NC sites warrant
a TEMPO. Wind gust potential is high enough to warrant a VRB
gust mention in the KAVL/KHKY TAFs. Following the dissolution
of the diurnal activity, a fairly quiet night is expected, with
some patchy fog possible in the mtn valleys (and KAVL) and in the
Upstate south of I-85. Relatively dry high pressure will build in
on NE winds on Sunday, with the resulting subsidence suppressing
most convection. Some MVFR to low VFR level cu are expected to
break out in the morning hours beneath the inversion.

Outlook: Typical late summer convection returns next week, with
brief flight restrictions possible in any stronger storm or heavy
downpour. Overnight and morning fog will be possible each day
across mountain valleys. Otherwise, expect VFR.

Confidence Table...

            18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z
KCLT       High  94%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     High  84%     High  95%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...Wimberley
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...Wimberley
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 10, 5:08 AM EDT, 14 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
508 AM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-035-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>507-509-110915-
Rabun-Habersham-Avery-Alexander-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-
Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-
Transylvania-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-
Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-
508 AM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina and western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. Cloud-to-ground lightning, brief heavy rain, and gusty winds
will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ036-037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510-SCZ001>014-
019-110915-
Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-Greater Rutherford-
Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-
Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
508 AM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and Upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening.
Cloud-to-ground lightning, brief heavy rain, and gusty winds will be
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A hot and humid airmass will move across the area Monday through
Wednesday. Heat index values are expected to be in the 100 to 105
degree range each afternoon, with a few locations experiencing
dangerous heat index values above 105 degrees. Extreme caution
should be used when participating in outdoor activity.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 10, 6:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
628 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

NCZ036-037-057-102300-
Rowan NC-Davie NC-Iredell NC-
628 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN DAVIE...NORTHEASTERN
IREDELL AND NORTHWESTERN ROWAN COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

At 628 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles southwest of Yadkinville, or 4 miles south of Buck Shoals,
moving south at 20 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Statesville, Harmony, Turnersburg, Olin, Sheffield, Union Grove and
Cool Springs.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3605 8068 3584 8055 3575 8086 3606 8093
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 340DEG 19KT 3604 8081

HG
Special weather statement, Aug 10, 6:45 PM EDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
645 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

NCZ035-036-056-102315-
Iredell NC-Alexander NC-Catawba NC-
645 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL CATAWBA...
ALEXANDER AND NORTHWESTERN IREDELL COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

At 645 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Taylorsville, moving southeast at 15 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Taylorsville, Statesville, Stony Point, Lookout Shoals Lake, Conover,
Claremont, Lake Hickory, Hiddenite, Millersville and Vashti.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3603 8110 3603 8107 3580 8090 3570 8121
      3597 8128
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 337DEG 13KT 3594 8115

HG
Special weather statement, Aug 10, 6:59 PM EDT, 47 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
659 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

NCZ036-037-057-102330-
Rowan NC-Davie NC-Iredell NC-
659 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN DAVIE...EASTERN
IREDELL AND NORTHWESTERN ROWAN COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

At 659 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles northeast of Statesville, or 4 miles south of Harmony, moving
southeast at 30 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Salisbury, Statesville, Mooresville, Cleveland, Harmony, Mount Ulla,
Turnersburg, Sheffield, Piedmont Research Station and Woodleaf.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3593 8090 3600 8070 3567 8047 3556 8081
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 337DEG 25KT 3590 8077

HG
Special weather statement, Aug 10, 7:03 PM EDT, 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
703 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

NCZ035-036-056-102330-
Iredell NC-Alexander NC-Catawba NC-
703 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EASTERN CATAWBA...SOUTHEASTERN
ALEXANDER AND NORTHWESTERN IREDELL COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

At 703 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles southeast of Taylorsville, or near Stony Point, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Statesville, Troutman, Stony Point, Claremont, Catawba, Lake Norman
State Park, Lookout Shoals Lake, Lake Norman, Hiddenite and Bandys.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3588 8122 3596 8103 3572 8081 3559 8110
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 332DEG 15KT 3586 8109

HG
Special weather statement, Aug 10, 7:28 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
728 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

NCZ036-057-110000-
Rowan NC-Iredell NC-
728 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL AND ROWAN
COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

At 728 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles southwest of Mocksville, or near Cleveland, moving southeast at
25 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Salisbury, Kannapolis, China Grove, Landis, Enochville, Granite
Quarry, Cleveland, Faith, Cooleemee and Spencer.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Gusty winds can blow down trees that are dead, or that have weakened
root systems. Outdoor furniture and similar items can be tossed
around if not anchored. Seek shelter indoors.

&&

LAT...LON 3559 8036 3550 8056 3552 8074 3579 8081
      3585 8067 3584 8067 3584 8063 3582 8061
      3583 8060 3582 8059 3582 8058 3581 8056
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 330DEG 22KT 3577 8068

HG
Local storm report, Aug 10, 7:40 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
740 PM EDT SAT AUG 10 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW SCOTTS            35.83N 81.01W
08/10/2019                   IREDELL            NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FIRE DEPT/RESCUE REPORTED A LARGE TREE DOWN BLOCKING
            HWY 64.

&&

LEC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 2:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPolk31 min
Aug 10, 2:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMcDowell, Rutherford36 min
Aug 10, 3:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRutherford35 min
Aug 10, 3:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCleveland, Rutherford46 min
Aug 10, 6:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie24 min
Aug 10, 6:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPIredell32 min
Aug 10, 6:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAlexander30 min
Aug 10, 6:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPIredell31 min
Aug 10, 7:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPIredell27 min
Aug 10, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Catawba, Iredell49 min
Aug 10, 7:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRowan32 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in North Carolina, 2019Every tornado warning in 2019Tornadoes in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.