Flash Flood Warning 33, NWS Goodland, KS

093 
WGUS73 KGLD 090211
FFSGLD

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
811 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

COC063-090400-
/O.CON.KGLD.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190709T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kit Carson CO-
811 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY...

At 811 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned
area. Up to three inches of rain have already fallen. Flash flooding
is likely already occurring.

Flash flooding will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern
Kit Carson County.

This includes Interstate 70 in Colorado between mile markers 415 and
417.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 10266 3911 10250 3904 10266 3904 10294
      3914 10299

$$

Husted

572 
WGUS73 KGLD 090357
FFSGLD

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
957 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

COC063-090407-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FF.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190709T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kit Carson CO-
957 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 1000 PM MDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any
remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3931 10266 3911 10250 3904 10266 3904 10294
      3914 10299

$$

Husted

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
531 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 337 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

Storms are moving into northeastern Colorado and northwestern
Kansas. Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon and
into this evening with large hail, damaging winds, and localized
heavy rain possible in addition to flash flooding. A Severe
Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for the entire Tri- State area
until 10 PM MDT/11 PM CDT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 1245 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

This afternoon, with the push of a shortwave ahead of a trough
moving north of us, expecting to see some convection tonight. As
of latest SPC mesoanalysis, our CWA has an axis of instability
running diagonally from Yuma County, Colorado, to the border of
Greeley and Wichita County Kansas. Areas along and in the
northeastern-half of this area have the higher chances of severe
weather. Threats include large hail, damaging winds, and flash
flooding. Areas that received rainfall last night are in higher
risk of seeing potential flash flooding.

Tomorrow, dryer and warmer conditions are expected to prevail
over the Tri-State area, as high pressure moves in over the Tri-
State area. Daily highs will climb up into the low to mid 90s. Not
expecting any convection after 12z on Tuesday. Tuesday night, we
will see lows in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 217 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

Wednesday morning, a trough will continue to progress eastward over the Dakotas
and northern Nebraska with a weak ridge over the Bighorns in
Central Wyoming. High pressure will set up over the Central High
Plains through the day Wednesday as the ridge axis shifts slightly
east. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s for highs and the upper
50s to mid-60s for lows.

Thursday, the high will shift slightly east, centering over Central and eastern
Kansas and Oklahoma. Surface flow will become slightly south-
southwest during the day. High temperatures will rebound back into
the 90s for highs and the low 60s to low 70s for highs.

Long term model guidance suggests that the ridge will remain in
place over the Tri-State region through the end of the forecast.
Return flow around the high will bring some Gulf moisture into the
region. A few shortwaves moving through will bring a daily chance
for showers and storms, though areal coverage will be spotty at
best through Friday. Saturday and Sunday, there is a little better
chance at coverage of showers and storms.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 530 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

A line of thunderstorms in northeastern Colorado is slowly moving
to the east. Conditions will deteriorate to MVFR between 00z and
04Z as the storms move through the area. The terminal may
experience gusty thunderstorm winds during this time in addition
to reduced visibility due to heavy rain and lowered ceilings.
Conditions will return to VFR for the remainder of the night and
through the duration of the forecast period.

VFR conditions are expected to prevail at MCK terminal throughout
the start of the forecast period. Showers and thunderstorms are
expected to be in the area through 05Z which could lower
conditions to MVFR for a few hours. Conditions will improve to VFR
after showers and storms move through the area.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...AW
SHORT TERM...EV
LONG TERM...AW
AVIATION...AW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
335 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-092145-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
335 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019 /435 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon and evening. A
Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for the entire Tri-State
area until 10 PM MDT, 11 PM CDT.

Scattered storms this afternoon will become more widespread this
evening as they move across the region. Some of the stronger storms
will produce large hail and damaging winds this evening with heavy
rainfall expected as storms continue into north central Kansas and
south central Nebraska late this evening and into the overnight
hours. Localized flash flooding is possible, especially in areas
that received rainfall last night.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
547 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

COZ091-092-090015-
Kit Carson County CO-Cheyenne County CO-
547 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL CHEYENNE AND SOUTH
CENTRAL KIT CARSON COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO UNTIL 615 PM
MDT...

At 547 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles south of Seibert, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Vona.

This includes Interstate 70 in Colorado between mile markers 410 and
419.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
east central Colorado.

LAT...LON 3896 10276 3907 10294 3936 10274 3920 10246
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 216DEG 12KT 3908 10280

024

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
549 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             1 WSW BURLINGTON        39.30N 102.29W
07/08/2019  M0.25 INCH       KIT CARSON         CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY
            SPOTTER IN BURLINGTON, COLORADO.

&&

EV

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
601 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

COZ091-KSZ013-090030-
Kit Carson County CO-Sherman KS-
601 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL KIT CARSON AND
WESTERN SHERMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM MDT...

At 601 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Kanorado, moving east at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Goodland, Kanorado and Ruleton.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 0 and 25.
 Interstate 70 in Colorado between mile markers 448 and 450.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
east central Colorado...and northwestern and west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3951 10157 3914 10158 3913 10209 3945 10211
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 274DEG 28KT 3931 10201

024

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
616 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     HAIL             1 NW STRATTON           39.32N 102.62W
07/08/2019  E0.70 INCH       KIT CARSON         CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE. TIME ESTIMATED BY
            RADAR. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

JBH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
617 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

COZ091-092-090045-
Kit Carson County CO-Cheyenne County CO-
617 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL CHEYENNE AND
SOUTHWESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO UNTIL 645
PM MDT...

At 617 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles south of Vona, moving east at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of north central
Cheyenne and southwestern Kit Carson Counties in east central
Colorado.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
east central Colorado.

LAT...LON 3896 10290 3920 10293 3925 10250 3895 10248
TIME...MOT...LOC 0017Z 266DEG 11KT 3907 10275

024

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
632 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

KSZ013-090100-
Sherman KS-
632 PM MDT Mon Jul 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SHERMAN COUNTY UNTIL 700
PM MDT...

At 632 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles west of Goodland, moving east at 30 mph.

Pea size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Goodland, Ruleton and Edson.

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 6 and 32.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
northwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3919 10194 3945 10194 3950 10145 3917 10144
TIME...MOT...LOC 0032Z 270DEG 25KT 3933 10179

024