Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Goodland, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
525 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 125 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

Tonight...a line or broken line of strong to severe thunderstorms is
expected to exit the forecast area around or shortly after midnight.
Low temperatures range from the mid 40s to low 50s in far eastern
Colorado to around 60 in Norton and Graham counties.

Monday...its possible for a few strong to severe thunderstorms to
develop in the late afternoon to overnight hours across the far east
and northwest zones. The Storm Prediction Center has areas from near
McCook to Hill City east in a slight risk for severe storms.
Southerly winds increase in the afternoon with gusts in the 25 to 35
mph range along and south of the interstate. High temperatures in
the mid 70s to mid 80s. Low temperatures range from the low to mid
40s west, mid 50s east.

Tuesday...general idea is for an upper level low pressure area to
reach southwest Nebraska by the end of the day then into northeast
Nebraska by 12z Wednesday morning. Some wraparound showers and
thunderstorms are possible, mainly across the northwest 1/2 of the
area. Afternoon temperatures will be much cooler with readings
ranging from the low to mid 60s in the west to the upper 70s in
the east. Low temperatures in the low 40s west, low 50s east.

Wednesday...generally dry weather currently expected. High
temperatures in the 60s, low temperatures in the 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 125 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

Thursday...dry weather currently expected. High temperatures in the
low to mid 70s. Lows in the mid 40s to low 50s.

Friday...some weak disturbances move across the area from the
west/southwest supporting spotty chances for thunderstorms. High
temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s. Low temperatures in the mid
40s to around 50 west, mid 50s east.

Saturday...little change from Friday with a chance of afternoon
thunderstorms. High temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s. Lows
in the upper 40s west to mid 50s east.

Sunday...chance of afternoon thunderstorms as weather disturbances
move through from the west. High temperatures in the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 525 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

KGLD and KMCK will see a chance of strong to severe thunderstorms
from taf issuance through approximately 02z (KGLD) and 04z (KMCK).
Wind gusts to 45kts possible along with sub vfr cigs and vis in
heavy rain. Hail is also possible. For the rest of the period am
expecting vfr conditions with winds veering to the southwest
through sunrise Monday morning then backing to the south and
increasing in the afternoon. KGLD could see gusts around 25kts by
late afternoon.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...99

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
135 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-271200-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
135 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019 /235 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Strong to severe thunderstorms will increase in coverage and
intensity through the remainder of the afternoon and into the mid
evening moving in a northeast to east direction. The primary threats
will be hail to three inches in diameter, wind gusts to 75 mph, a few
tornadoes, and locally heavy rainfall which may cause flash flooding.
The line or broken line of severe storms is expected to exit the area
around or shortly after midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

For Monday, isolated thunderstorms will be possible over the
northern and eastern portions of the area. A few of these storms
could become severe with large hail being the main threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed through this evening.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
717 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

KSZ013-027-270130-
Wallace KS-Sherman KS-
717 PM MDT Sun May 26 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WALLACE AND CENTRAL SHERMAN
COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM MDT...

At 717 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles east of Ruleton to Sharon Springs.
Movement was northeast at 55 mph.

Pea size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Goodland, Sharon Springs, Ruleton, Wallace and Edson.

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 6 and 30.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for northwestern
and west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 10187 3944 10195 3956 10149 3914 10146
      3913 10148 3870 10148
TIME...MOT...LOC 0117Z 232DEG 47KT 3933 10180 3888 10174

024