Alert archive / Nebraska / Flash Flood Warnings in 2019

Flash Flood Warning 34, NWS Hastings, NE

August 7, 2019Greeley County, Howard County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this flash flood warning at Aug 7, 2019, 4:08 AM CDT for Greeley County, Howard County, Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2019, 4:08 AM CDT (09:08 UTC)
Expired
Aug 7, 2019, 10:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Greeley County, NE, Howard County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2019-08-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3098 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2019-08-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3098 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1486 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
145 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
5.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 7, 1:23 AM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 1:23 AM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
123 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 326 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2019

Satellite and observations show mostly sunny skies across the area
this afternoon.

A weak surface high will continue to move east this evening. An
upper level wave will move into the area tonight. Models still have
a few differences in the timing of thunderstorms for tonight. The
GFS is earlier, but the NAM and HRRR are both later with the
thunderstorms. Have slowed down the PoPs just a little bit. Expect
most of the thunderstorms toward morning. With the thunderstorms
late tonight, they will likely continue into Wednesday morning
across the eastern part of the area. By afternoon, the wave is still
lingering and there could be a few, mainly spotty, showers and
thunderstorms with the afternoon heating.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 326 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2019

An upper level ridge just to the west of the forecast area will
leave northwest flow across the area for Wednesday night through
Sunday. There are expected to be some mainly weak upper level waves
that move through the area. These lead to on and off, mainly small,
chances for thunderstorms. With the waves being weaker in nature,
the models are challenged to keep the timing and location of the
waves consistent. This also leads to having smaller, more
generalized PoPs across the area. Temperatures should be mostly in
the 80s to lower 90s, just a little below the normal highs for this
time of year.

Sunday and  Monday, the ridge pushes just a little east, but there
are still some weak waves that move across the ridge. This will keep
the small chances for thunderstorms across the area and some clouds
will keep temperatures in the 80s. By Tuesday, the ridge builds to
the west again. There is another wave that moves through, but it is
pretty weak. Temperatures will be just a little cooler.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Thursday)
Issued at 117 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2019

Thunderstorms will impact KGRI between 0730Z and 1000Z, but should
remain just to the northeast of KEAR. The wind could be gusty and
variable in and around thunderstorms. However, after the storms
pass off to the southeast prior to sunrise the wind will again
become light and variable with VFR conditions. The wind will
remain light through the day and become more easterly with time.
Can not rule out thunderstorm redevelopment again this evening,
but there is a lot of uncertainty regarding where storms could
reform this evening anywhere from southern Nebraska to central
Kansas.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...JCB
AVIATION...Wesely
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 7, 2:27 AM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 7, 3:19 AM CDT, 49 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 7, 3:21 AM CDT, 47 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 7, 3:36 AM CDT, 32 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 7, 3:42 AM CDT, 26 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 7, 3:43 AM CDT, 25 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 7, 3:49 AM CDT, 19 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 7, 1:03 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGIDGreeley, Nance, Valley42 min
Aug 7, 1:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley, Valley26 min
Aug 7, 1:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley, Howard, Sherman, Valley49 min
Aug 7, 2:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Hall, Hamilton, Howard, Merrick, Nance and 1 more45 min
Aug 7, 2:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley, Valley43 min
Aug 7, 2:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Hall, Hamilton, Merrick, Nuckolls and 1 more44 min
Aug 7, 3:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Fillmore, Hall, Nuckolls, Thayer and 1 more49 min
Aug 7, 3:36 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGIDHall, Hamilton, Howard, Merrick, Sherman24 min
Aug 7, 3:41 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGIDHall6 hr
Aug 7, 3:51 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGIDGreeley, Howard, Merrick, Nance, Sherman, Valley8 hr
Aug 7, 4:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, Nuckolls, Thayer22 min
Aug 7, 4:48 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGIDClay, Fillmore, Nuckolls, Thayer42 min
Aug 7, 5:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGIDNuckolls, Thayer29 min
Aug 7, 7:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGIDAdams, Clay, Hall, Kearney36 min
Aug 7, 8:02 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGIDNuckolls, Webster43 min
Aug 7, 10:40 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGIDHoward9 hr
Aug 7, 1:06 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningGIDGreeley, Valley19 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Nebraska, 2019Every flash flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.