Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2019

Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 31, 2019Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 31, 2019, 1:58 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 31, 2019, 1:58 PM MST (20:58 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2019, 5:00 PM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2019-07-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 326 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2019-07-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 38 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
326 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-150 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1091 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 31, 9:39 AM MST, 4 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 9:39 AM MST, 4 hours 19 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 10:37 AM MST, 3 hours 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1037 AM MST Wed Jul 31 2019

AZZ014-311800-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
1037 AM MST Wed Jul 31 2019

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 1037 AM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Concho, or 26 miles northwest of Springerville, moving northeast at 5
mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of Apache County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3441 10948 3441 10956 3460 10960 3459 10937
TIME...MOT...LOC 1737Z 207DEG 5KT 3447 10949

41
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 12:35 PM MST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1235 PM MST Wed Jul 31 2019

AZZ014-312000-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
1235 PM MST Wed Jul 31 2019

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 1234 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
near 7 miles soouthwest of Hunt, or 29 miles northeast of Show Low,
moving north at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hunt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3447 10964 3453 10977 3481 10981 3470 10960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1934Z 179DEG 17KT 3456 10969

41
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 1:06 PM MST, 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
106 PM MST Wed Jul 31 2019

AZZ014-312030-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
106 PM MST Wed Jul 31 2019

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

At 105 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
south of Concho, moving north at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Concho and Little Ortega Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3433 10955 3434 10967 3452 10970 3451 10952
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 187DEG 17KT 3438 10960

41

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 5:34 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 30, 6:51 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 31, 10:37 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ23 min
Jul 31, 12:35 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ25 min
Jul 31, 1:06 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ24 min
Jul 31, 2:05 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ25 min
Jul 31, 2:19 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZApache3 hr
Jul 31, 4:36 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ24 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2019Every flash flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.