Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 148, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 31, 2019Cavalier County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 31, 2019, 9:42 PM CDT for Cavalier County, North Dakota. It was in force for 63 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 31, 2019, 9:42 PM CDT (02:42 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2019, 10:45 PM CDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Cavalier County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 162 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 278 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2019-08-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1631 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2019-08-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1631 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-209 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1167 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 31, 6:14 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 6:14 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 31, 3:39 PM CDT, 6 hours 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
339 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2019

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ016-026>030-038-039-049-
052-053-012045-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Eastern Walsh County-
Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-
Sargent-Richland-
339 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Isolated thunderstorms are possible each afternoon and evening
Thursday through Saturday. The best chance for storms will be
along and north of Highway 200 for Thursday. Confidence in storm
locations remains low for Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

NDZ006>008-014-015-024-054-012045-
Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-Western Walsh County-
339 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible after 8 PM, with 1 inch
hail and 60 mph wind gusts being the main hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Isolated thunderstorms are possible each afternoon and evening
Thursday through Saturday. The best chance for storms will be
along and north of Highway 200 for Thursday. Confidence in storm
locations remains low for Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 31, 4:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 42 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 31, 4:25 PM CDT, 5 hours 17 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 31, 9:26 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
926 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2019

NDZ007-010330-
Cavalier ND-
926 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CAVALIER COUNTY UNTIL
1030 PM CDT...

At 925 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Maida, or 17 miles north of Langdon, moving southeast at 25 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Mount Carmel around 940 PM CDT.
  Langdon around 1005 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9822 4875 9803 4861 9845 4900 9872
TIME...MOT...LOC 0225Z 335DEG 22KT 4902 9839

Hopkins

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 3:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFLake of the Woods26 min
Aug 1, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFLake of the Woods37 min
Aug 1, 4:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFLake of the Woods57 min
Jul 31, 9:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFCavalier64 min
Jul 31, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFCavalier, Pembina45 min
Jul 31, 11:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFCavalier51 min
Jul 31, 11:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFWalsh61 min
Jul 31, 11:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFCavalier40 min
Jul 31, 11:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFCavalier47 min
Aug 1, 12:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPembina, Walsh25 min
Aug 1, 12:36 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFCavalier54 min
Aug 1, 1:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRamsey, Walsh35 min
Aug 1, 2:00 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFWalsh30 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.