Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 15, 2019Beltrami County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 15, 2019, 12:58 PM CDT for Beltrami County, Minnesota. It was in force for 17 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2019, 12:58 PM CDT (17:58 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2019, 1:15 PM CDT
In force
17 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Beltrami County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 185 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 362 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2019-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1021 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2019-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1021 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-144 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1307 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 12:45 PM CDT, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 12:45 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 6:37 AM CDT, 6 hours 21 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
637 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2019

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ039-049-052-053-161145-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-
Richland-
637 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across northwest
Minnesota. The best area for severe weather will be over north
central Minnesota. The main hazards over north central Minnesota
will be large hail up to ping pong ball size and damaging wind
gusts up to 75 mph. Isolated tornadoes are also possible. Very
heavy rainfall is also possible with the storms. Expect storms to
develop after 3 pm CDT and should end by late evening.

The Maple River near Mapleton, the Sheyenne River near Harwood,
and several points along the Red River mainstem between Fargo and
Grand Forks remain high due to the recent rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Periodic thunderstorms are possible throughout the rest of the
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters may be needed.

NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-054-161145-
Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh County-Eddy-
Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Western Walsh County-
637 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms can be expected for today.

The Maple River near Mapleton, the Sheyenne River near Harwood,
and several points along the Red River mainstem between Fargo and
Grand Forks remain high due to the recent rainfall.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Periodic thunderstorms are possible throughout the rest of the
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

JH

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 10:52 AM CDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 15, 12:15 PM CDT, 43 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 15, 12:27 PM CDT, 31 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 15, 12:34 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 15, 12:35 PM CDT, 23 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 15, 12:41 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 9:20 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFMarshall25 min
Jul 15, 9:43 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFMarshall32 min
Jul 15, 10:14 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFMarshall, Pennington46 min
Jul 15, 10:52 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFLake of the Woods, Roseau38 min
Jul 15, 11:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Lake of the Woods, Marshall, Pennington, Roseau45 min
Jul 15, 11:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Lake of the Woods, Roseau47 min
Jul 15, 12:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Clearwater28 min
Jul 15, 12:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami32 min
Jul 15, 1:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFOtter Tail36 min
Jul 15, 2:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFOtter Tail31 min
Jul 15, 2:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFGFOtter Tail31 min
Jul 15, 3:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.