River Flood Warning 84, NWS Grand Forks, ND

148 
WGUS83 KFGF 201642
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019


...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in 
North Dakota...

  * Abercrombie...on the Wild Rice River (ND)...in Richland County
  * Lisbon...on the Sheyenne River...in Ransom County
  * Mapleton...on the Maple River...in Cass County

...The flood warning continues for these river locations in 
Minnesota...North Dakota...

  * Fargo...on the Red River ...in Clay and Cass Counties
  * Halstad...on the Red River ...in Norman and Traill Counties
  * East Grand Forks...on the Red River ...in Polk and Grand Forks 
  Counties
  * Oslo...on the Red River ...in Marshall...Polk...Grand Forks and 
  Walsh Counties
  * Drayton...on the Red River ...in Kittson...Marshall...Pembina and 
  Walsh Counties
  * Pembina...on the Red River ...in Kittson and Pembina Counties
  * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River ...in Clay County
  * Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN) ...in Norman County
  * Crookston...on the Red Lake River ...in Polk County
  * Alvarado...on the Snake River ...in Marshall County
  * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County
  * Valley City...on the Sheyenne River ...in Barnes County
  * Kindred...on the Sheyenne River ...in Cass and Richland Counties
  * West Fargo Diversion...on the Sheyenne River ...in Cass County
  * Harwood...on the Sheyenne River ...in Cass County
  * Enderlin...on the Maple River ...in Cass and Ransom Counties
  * Hillsboro...on the Goose River ...in Traill County
 
.Another storm system will impact eastern North Dakota and the 
northwest quarter of Minnesota late this afternoon through Tuesday 
morning. This system is expected to bring a widespread rainfall to 
the area, with amounts ranging from 0.5 to 1.5 inches. This will 
fall on top of saturated ground, causing additional runoff into the 
area river system.

  This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage
indicated may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change 
as new weather and river information is used.

  River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation
between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. 
However, depending on the situation, they may include 
precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in, or near, flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC027-NDC017-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.191007T1600Z.191026T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Fargo...on the Red River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Sunday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor 
  flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 22.0 feet sometime 
  early Saturday morning then begin falling.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, North Broadway bridge is closed 
  (Fargo/Moorhead).

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Red River
  Fargo             19.2   19.4   20.2   21.0   21.7   22.0   21.8
  
&&

LAT...LON 4677 9671 4676 9689 4724 9694 4724 9683 4715 9673


$$

MNC107-NDC097-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HILN8.1.RS.191013T1000Z.191017T0645Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Halstad...on the Red River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor 
  flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 26.9 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon.  Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 26.0 feet, MINOR FLOOD.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Red River
  Halstad           26.0   25.9   26.1   26.4   26.6   26.8   26.9
  
&&

LAT...LON 4767 9698 4767 9673 4715 9673 4724 9695


$$

MNC119-NDC035-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.2.RS.191005T2145Z.191016T2045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to crest at 39.9 on Friday evening during 
  this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 40.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. Extensive 
  flooding along the greenway. (Grand Forks) Point Bridge closes due 
  to water on approach and Eagles Point Trail Head/Park closes. (East
  Grand Forks)

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Red River
  East Grand Forks  38.8   38.3   38.6   39.1   39.7   39.9   39.7
  
&&

LAT...LON 4767 9699 4810 9719 4807 9698 4768 9674


$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.3.SM.191005T1110Z.191017T1645Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Oslo...on the Red River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Sunday the stage was 36.4 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Major 
  flooding is forecast.
* Major Flood Stage is 36.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 36.4 feet by 
  Sunday early afternoon.  Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 36.5 feet, ND State Highway 54 has water 
  over the road.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Red River
  Oslo              36.3   36.1   36.1   36.2   36.3   36.4   36.3
  
&&

LAT...LON 4848 9725 4846 9706 4807 9698 4810 9721


$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DRTN8.2.SM.191010T0436Z.191023T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Drayton...on the Red River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:45 AM Sunday the stage was 39.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...
  Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 38.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 40.0 feet sometime 
  Wednesday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 39.0 feet, Rural road damages start.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Red River
  Drayton           39.4   39.7   39.9   40.0   40.0   40.0   39.9
  
&&

LAT...LON 4874 9702 4846 9705 4848 9725 4881 9734


$$

MNC069-NDC067-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PBNN8.2.ER.191013T1252Z.191027T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Pembina...on the Red River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 44.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...
  Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 44.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 46.5 feet sometime 
  early Sunday morning then begin falling.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 46.0 feet,  General rural flooding.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Red River
  Pembina           44.6   45.0   45.4   45.8   46.1   46.3   46.5
  
&&

LAT...LON 4874 9701 4877 9732 4900 9740 4900 9700


$$

MNC027-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.1.RS.191015T0845Z.191020T0515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:45 AM Sunday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor 
  flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 14.8 feet by 
  Sunday early afternoon.  Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 14.9 feet, Bottom of steel bridge causes 
  upstream road to flood.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Buffalo River
  Dilworth          14.6   14.3   14.2   13.9   13.7   13.9   14.5
  
&&

LAT...LON 4692 9650 4684 9652 4689 9669 4704 9681 4715 9682


$$

MNC107-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNDM5.1.ER.191012T1950Z.191016T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN).
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor 
  flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 22.5 feet sometime 
  Saturday mid-morning then begin falling.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Wild Rice River (MN)
  Hendrum           19.2   19.3   20.7   21.7   22.2   22.5   22.4
  
&&

LAT...LON 4732 9656 4722 9653 4715 9673 4724 9684 4734 9683


$$

MNC119-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0084.191024T0800Z-191027T2100Z/
/CRKM5.1.ER.191024T0800Z.191025T0000Z.191026T1500Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Crookston...on the Red Lake River.
* from late Wednesday night to Sunday October 27...or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At 10:45 AM Sunday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 15.5 feet by Thursday evening. The river will fall 
  below Flood Stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 16.0 feet, Public Works begins 24 hour 
  monitoring of pumps, gates, and valves.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Red Lake River
  Crookston         11.3   11.4   13.5   15.2   15.5   15.1   14.3
  
&&

LAT...LON 4794 9701 4785 9649 4785 9623 4771 9653 4779 9694


$$

MNC089-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-191027T2100Z/
/ALVM5.2.ER.191006T0945Z.191015T0445Z.191026T1500Z.NR/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Alvarado...on the Snake River.
* until Sunday October 27...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 104.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 106.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday evening and continue
  to rise to near 107.0 feet by Thursday evening. The river will fall
  below Flood Stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 108.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage and 
  overland sheet flooding of local agricultural land.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Snake River
  Alvarado         104.2  104.3  105.2  106.7  106.9  106.1  105.1
  
&&

LAT...LON 4817 9679 4814 9702 4831 9712 4846 9713


$$

MNC069-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.ER.190930T2345Z.191016T1530Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:00 AM Sunday the stage was 806.4 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...
  Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall to a stage of 805.6 feet
  by Monday mid-morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 806.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. Storm 
  sewers start backing up. Storm sewer valve at T.H. 175 Bridge 
  closed. Lift Pump inspected.	

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Two Rivers River
  Hallock          805.6  805.0  804.7  804.0  804.0  804.3  804.6
  
&&

LAT...LON 4885 9667 4867 9662 4873 9713 4888 9719


$$

NDC077-211641-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0080.191022T1400Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABRN8.2.ER.191022T1400Z.191024T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Abercrombie...on the Wild Rice River (ND).
* from Tuesday morning until further notice...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Sunday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by late Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 13.0 feet by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 12.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD. City begins to 
  mobilize.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Wild Rice River (ND)
  Abercrombie        7.5    9.8   11.6   12.9   12.9   12.5   12.0
  
&&

LAT...LON 4663 9696 4663 9679 4612 9664 4611 9712


$$

NDC003-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0081.191021T1424Z-000000T0000Z/
/VCRN8.3.ER.191021T1424Z.191027T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Valley City...on the Sheyenne River.
* from Monday morning until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10:45 AM Sunday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Major Flood Stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by late Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 17.9 feet by Saturday evening.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 18.0 feet, Actions are taken to protect 
  electrical distribution equipment.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Sheyenne River
  Valley City       14.8   16.5   16.6   16.9   17.5   17.8   17.9
  
&&

LAT...LON 4658 9782 4661 9802 4704 9818 4700 9797


$$

NDC073-211641-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0082.191021T1630Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBNN8.1.ER.191021T1630Z.191027T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Lisbon...on the Sheyenne River.
* from Monday morning until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10:45 AM Sunday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by late Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 16.6 feet by Wednesday mid-morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 17.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Sheyenne River
  Lisbon            14.7   16.2   16.6   16.4   16.2   16.3   16.8
  
&&

LAT...LON 4655 9761 4659 9729 4645 9731 4639 9787 4661 9802


$$

NDC017-077-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KNDN8.2.SM.191013T1215Z.191024T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Kindred...on the Sheyenne River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:00 AM Sunday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate 
  flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 20.4 feet sometime 
  Thursday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 20.5 feet, MAJOR FLOOD.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Sheyenne River
  Kindred           18.5   19.6   20.2   20.3   20.4   20.4   20.4
  
&&

LAT...LON 4672 9701 4663 9688 4645 9731 4659 9729


$$

NDC017-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WFON8.3.RS.191011T1152Z.191027T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...West Fargo Diversion...on the Sheyenne River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Sunday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Major 
  flooding is forecast.
* Major Flood Stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 23.2 feet by 
  early Sunday morning.  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Sheyenne River
  West Fargo Diver  19.3   20.3   21.1   21.9   22.6   23.0   23.2
  
&&

LAT...LON 4692 9699 4693 9686 4663 9689 4667 9702


$$

NDC017-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWDN8.2.ER.191011T1503Z.191025T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Harwood...on the Sheyenne River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Sunday the stage was 85.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate 
  flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 86.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 90.8 feet sometime 
  Friday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 91.0 feet, MAJOR FLOOD. BNSF railroad line 
  may need to be closed.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Sheyenne River
  Harwood           84.7   86.2   88.2   89.8   90.7   90.8   90.6
  
&&

LAT...LON 4709 9683 4697 9683 4693 9686 4692 9699 4701 9698


$$

NDC017-073-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENDN8.2.RS.191021T1948Z.191023T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Enderlin...on the Maple River.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:00 AM Sunday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by Tuesday evening.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 12.0 feet, MODERATE FLOOD. Little Moorhead 
  section of town begins to flood.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Maple River
  Enderlin           8.8   11.9   12.5   12.3   11.9   10.9    9.8
  
&&

LAT...LON 4669 9768 4679 9732 4670 9722 4658 9760


$$

NDC017-211641-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0083.191022T0430Z-000000T0000Z/
/MPLN8.1.ER.191022T0430Z.191024T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Mapleton...on the Maple River.
* from Monday evening until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Sunday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday night and continue to 
  rise to near 20.4 feet by Thursday mid-morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 20.0 feet, Flooding begins on high ground 
  near gage.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Maple River
  Mapleton          15.8   18.8   20.0   20.4   20.3   19.8   18.8
  
&&

LAT...LON 4700 9698 4690 9691 4670 9722 4679 9732
4694 9710                             

$$

NDC097-211641-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-191027T1320Z/
/HGRN8.2.ER.191015T0442Z.191023T1800Z.191026T0720Z.NO/
1142 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hillsboro...on the Goose River.
* until Sunday October 27...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Sunday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate 
  flooding is forecast.
* Moderate Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 13.5 feet sometime 
  Wednesday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 14.0 feet, Residential area north of 
  Hillsboro starts to flood.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun
(month/day)         10/21  10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27

Goose River
  Hillsboro         10.3   11.8   13.4   13.4   12.4    9.3    6.6
  
&&

LAT...LON 4749 9687 4739 9686 4736 9717 4748 9747 4759 9747


$$

463 
WGUS83 KFGF 211539
FLSFGF
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1039 AM CDT Mon Oct 21 2019

...The flood warning is now cancelled for these river locations in 
Minnesota...

  * Crookston...on the Red Lake River...in Polk County
  * Alvarado...on the Snake River...in Marshall County

. 

  This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage
indicated may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change 
as new weather and river information is used.

  River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation
between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. 
However, depending on the situation, they may include 
precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don't drown... 
 
 - Don't travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life 
   and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river 
   levels while the river is in, or near, flood.

For more information...go to the AHPS/River section 
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC119-211609-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-191027T2100Z/
/CRKM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT Mon Oct 21 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for...
* ...Crookston...on the Red Lake River.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Forecast...the river will crest below Flood Stage at 13.5 feet 
  Friday mid-morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon
(month/day)         10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27  10/28

Red Lake River
  Crookston         11.1   11.8   13.0   13.5   13.4   13.0   12.3
  
&&

LAT...LON 4794 9701 4785 9649 4785 9623 4771 9653 4779 9694


$$

MNC089-211609-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-191027T2100Z/
/ALVM5.2.ER.191006T0945Z.191015T0445Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1039 AM CDT Mon Oct 21 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for...
* ...Alvarado...on the Snake River.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 104.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will crest below Flood Stage at 104.5 feet 
  Thursday evening.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 105.0 feet, Forecast Service Stage.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon
(month/day)         10/22  10/23  10/24  10/25  10/26  10/27  10/28

Snake River
  Alvarado         103.8  103.9  104.3  104.5  104.4  104.0  103.7
  
&&

LAT...LON 4817 9679 4814 9702 4831 9712 4846 9713


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1006 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1006 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

Latest radar data shows echoes through much of SD and south
central ND this morning, which will gradually progress into the
region this afternoon. Observed and model forecast soundings
indicate that broad synoptic lift will likely require support from
mid level Fgen to overcome a stout low to mid level layer of dry
air before rain is able to reach the ground this afternoon and
evening. This thinking seems to be in agreement with the latest
runs of high resolution models so delayed the start time of rain
chances back a few hours across the region to account for this.

UPDATE Issued at 635 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

Forecast for today is on track. System continues to organize
across the Wyoming/South Dakota/Nebraska region. Latest
observations and incoming guidance arriving as expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

Main concern this period will be rainfall and wind speeds with the
system expected to affect the region. At 08z, water vapor imagery
indicated circulation (upper level low) over Wyoming with surface
analysis indicating an associated surface low developing. All
guidance is in agreement indicating this system to track due east
into Monday, and then into the northern Great Lakes by Tuesday
morning. This track is a trend slightly south and east from
previous expectations. The end result is that the potential for
2+ inch rainfall and 50+ knot wind gusts has greatly diminished.
Main rain chances will come from synoptic lift associated with
mid-level warm air advection. Deformation zone precipitation
should be mainly east of the region. Total rainfall totals will
be limited by lack of instability and somewhat limited moisture
(PWATS ~0.5 inch). Taking into account ensemble guidance and
expected forcing mechanisms along with the environment, anticipate
most areas will receive 0.5 to 1.0 inch of rainfall by Tuesday
morning. Guidance indicates an area of enhanced mid-level Fgen
developing by this afternoon across northwest South Dakota into
east central North Dakota. This mesoscale forcing weakens by
Monday morning. Some areas within this region should receive
higher rainfall totals, although the coverage will be limited (to
where any organized banding sets up). With the current expected
track of this system, wind potential is more limited, although
still thinking at least near advisory criteria for a portion of
the region on Monday.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

A return to cooler, just below seasonal temperatures is expected
for the mid to late week period with chances for light rain
Wednesday and next weekend.

Tuesday through Wednesday...

Scattered rain showers are possible through the day Tuesday across
northern Minnesota as the Sunday/Monday low lingers across the
northern Great Lakes region. Strong pressure gradient winds
developing over the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota will allow
gusty winds to linger into the day Tuesday. Colder air filtering
into the region will help cool temperatures to just below seasonal
averages with highs in the low to mid 40s.

Heading into Tuesday night and Wednesday, a weak upper level
shortwave is forecast to propagate southeastward from western Canada
into the northern Plains within the mean northwesterly flow regime.
As this occurs, scattered rain showers developing along a low to mid
level baroclinic zone are expected to overspread western to south
central ND. While the better rain chances will remain to the west of
the region, a few showers can't be ruled out for the southern Red
River Valley between Fargo and Jamestown. Otherwise, most locations
will remain dry for Wednesday.

Thursday through Friday...

Upper level ridging and surface high pressure will help keep the
region dry for Thursday and Friday. Temperatures will remain below
seasonal normals for Thursday with highs in the low 40s before
warming up to the upper 40s by Friday afternoon.

Saturday...

Ensemble guidance has come into somewhat better agreement about the
timing and evolution of the upper level pattern for the end of the
week/start of next weekend with upper level ridging giving way to an
approaching Canadian low and cold front during the Saturday period.
Although considerable model spread in the exact timing of this
wave/cold front exists, the general idea is that next weekend will
see the passage of a cold front that will bring precipitation
chances to the region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 635 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

CIGS will slowly lower though the period, reaching MVFR at some
point tonight. Rain will overtake all TAF sites at some point this
evening or overnight. Winds will remain relatively light, but
start increasing by Monday morning.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 311 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2019

Minor to moderate flooding continues across much of the Red River
and some tributaries, with the exception of Oslo remaining in major
flood. River levels have receded a bit at most locations due to
recent dry weather.

A widespread rain event is possible Sunday through Monday, but
confidence is still low regarding where and how much rain is
expected with this system. The latest river forecasts do now account
for precipitation expected through Tuesday.

Inclusion of the impending widespread rain (half inch to one inch)
in the river forecast model yields significant rises to the
Sheyenne, Maple, and Wild Rice (ND) rivers in southeast ND early
this week. This results in mainly minor to moderate flooding along
these basins with the West Fargo diversion reaching major flooding.
Still have notable uncertainty in these forecasts since the rain has
not begun, some sites may have small breakouts to overland flow, and
some sites may be affected by backwater influence downstream (from
mainstem Red). Elsewhere along the mainstem Red River and its
tributaries, the main impact will be prolonged high river levels and
perhaps additional crests (mainly in minor to moderate flooding).

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

UPDATE...BP
SHORT TERM...TG
LONG TERM...TG/AM
AVIATION...TG
HYDROLOGY...BP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
342 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-211300-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-
Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh County-Eddy-Nelson-
Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-
Richland-Western Walsh County-
342 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Widespread rainfall will move into much of the region by this
afternoon and continue through tonight.

Widespread riverine flooding continues along the Red River and
its tributaries. Refer to the latest flood warnings and
statements for detailed information on specific locations.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Widespread rainfall will continue on Monday. Most areas will
receive 0.5 to 1.0 inch of rainfall, with the potential for
slightly higher amounts in some locations. North winds on Monday
will be 25 to 40 mph for parts of the region.

Widespread riverine flooding continues along the Red River and
its tributaries. Refer to the latest flood warnings and
statements for detailed information on specific locations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.