Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
338 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2019

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Wednesday Night/...
Current radar loop shows showers and thunderstorms moving NE
across the area this afternoon. We just issued our first severe
thunderstorm warning and with the way things are progressing this
will mostly likely not be the last one today. The current
marginal risk across North and Central GA still looks good
especially with instability developing and the showers and
thunderstorms becoming more numerous. These showers and
thunderstorms are associated with a strong shortwave that moved
east out of the Mississippi river valley overnight and is now
pushing across the local area. The forecast models continue to
indicate a decent amount of instability this afternoon. Current
Mesoanalysis shows surface based capes in the 1500 to 2500 J/KG
range with LIs in the -4 to -5 range across the state. This will
definitely help with developing some severe storms with the
greatest threats being strong gusty winds and hail. PWs are also
in the 1.8in to 2.0in range so looking for periods of heavy rain
as well. This shortwave will continue to push east overnight with
some slightly drier air working in by mid morning Wednesday. Will
still keep chance pops in as some embedded followup shortwaves
move through but overall, activity should be less than today.
Abundant cloud cover will keep temps in check with low to mid 80s
for the North but still getting to the 90s degree mark for Central
GA.

01

.LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...
No major changes needed for the forecast.

500mb trough will continue moving out of the CWFA Thursday night
with NW flow aloft setting up briefly. 500mb high pressure center
sets up in the GOMEX, with the CWFA on the periphery of the ridging
in a prime position to be impacted by shortwaves in the flow. The
models are hinting at some potential for a MCS on Saturday. Another
500mb trough may impact the SE states early next week.

At the surface, a weak surface boundary will slip south over the
CWFA on Thursday. Some question on how far south the boundary will
make it before pushing back north as a warm front during the weekend.
The CWFA will remain in the warm sector into next week, with a lee
trough noted in the pattern.

NListemaa

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
MVFR to VFR ceilings across the area but will see ceilings fall
mainly into the MVFR range and then IFR around daybreak. Ceilings
will lift back into the MVFR/VFR range by Wed afternoon.
SHRA/TSRA expected across the area Today, Tonight, and Wednesday.
Precip will be a bit isolated overnight so not including it in the
TAF. Winds will stay mainly out of the West to SW at 10kts or
less.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Confidence Medium to high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  86  71  88 /  50  40  30  60
Atlanta         70  85  73  86 /  50  40  40  60
Blairsville     64  80  65  79 /  50  50  70  60
Cartersville    69  85  71  85 /  50  40  50  60
Columbus        72  89  74  91 /  50  40  30  60
Gainesville     69  84  71  84 /  50  40  50  60
Macon           71  89  73  92 /  50  40  30  60
Rome            69  86  71  85 /  50  40  60  60
Peachtree City  69  86  71  88 /  50  40  40  60
Vidalia         73  90  74  92 /  50  50  30  60

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....NListemaa
AVIATION...01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1019 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-191015-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1019 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected across the area through
tonight. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible,
mainly this afternoon and evening. The main hazards will be gusty
winds, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Scattered thunderstorms can be expected on Wednesday and numerous
to occasional thunderstorms are expected on Thursday. Some storms
could be strong to severe with gusty winds, frequent lightning and
heavy rainfall.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms can be expected Friday into
Monday, most so during the afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
446 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2019

GAZ069-071-079>081-091-182115-
Monroe GA-Taylor GA-Marion GA-Upson GA-Crawford GA-Talbot GA-
446 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MONROE...NORTHERN
TAYLOR...NORTHERN MARION...SOUTHEASTERN UPSON...NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD
AND TALBOT COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

At 446 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Carsonville, or 11
miles north of Butler...moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Thomaston, Roberta, Talbotton, Woodland, Yatesville, Junction City,
Culloden, Geneva, Baldwinville, Redbone Crossroads, Musella, Po Biddy
Crossroads, Knoxville, Howard, Logtown, Salem, Prattsburg, Horns, Big
Lazer Creek Wma and Wesley Church.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3252 8450 3263 8458 3277 8460 3286 8432
      3293 8405 3264 8390
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 251DEG 21KT 3271 8430

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
502 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2019

GAZ054>058-182115-
Butts GA-Fayette GA-Clayton GA-Spalding GA-Henry GA-
502 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN BUTTS...SOUTHEASTERN
FAYETTE...SOUTHERN CLAYTON...NORTHERN SPALDING AND SOUTHWESTERN HENRY
COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

At 502 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Sunny Side, or near
Griffin...moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Griffin, McDonough, Stockbridge, Hampton, Lovejoy, Locust Grove,
Jenkinsburg, Woolsey, Sunny Side, East Griffin, Blacksville, Walker
Mill, Inman, Luella, Jw Smith Reservoir, Flippen, Highland Mills,
Towalaga, Experiment and Birdie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3322 8437 3330 8444 3343 8444 3351 8419
      3330 8402
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 255DEG 17KT 3333 8431

WIND...40MPH

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>