Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
348 PM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Wednesday Night/...
The upper level wave over north and west Georgia will sweep
eastward into the Carolinas overnight and off the southeast coast
by tomorrow evening. This will allow weak upper level ridging to
build across the Gulf Coast states Wednesday. Numerous showers
and scattered thunderstorms will continue along and ahead of a
surface low/front that will exit the forecast area just after
midnight tonight. The main threats with any stronger storms will
continue to be damaging winds and hail. Lows overnight and
Thursday morning are expected above normal, but will be cooler
than they have been the past few days. Weak wedging is expected to
set up over the northeastern portion of the CWA late Wednesday
into Wednesday night. Tomorrow will be dry with some clearing of
skies with afternoon high temperatures climbing into the upper 70s
to lower 80s across much of the forecast area.

Atwell

.LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...
Unsettled weather is expected for the end of the week into the
weekend. High pressure and quiet weather returns for the first part
of next week.

High pressure ridge/wedge in place across northeast GA on Thursday.
The models do try and erode most of the wedge away Thursday night as
a warm front tries to push north over the state and a cold front
moves east of the Mississippi River. The frontal boundary should
move through north Georgia on Friday and stall across central
portions of the State through Saturday. Most of the mid level energy
with this storm system get shunted well to the north. The best
chances for precip with this system are mainly along and north of I-
20 along with the best chances for thunderstorms.

The front is expected to stall across central GA for Saturday. A
wave of low pressure will move east along the old front on Sunday,
with another round of widespread showers and thunderstorms expected.
Even this far out, there is some indications that thunderstorms will
have the potential to become strong/severe. Interested parties
should monitor later forecasts for updates.

High pressure and dry conditions return for the beginning of next
week.

NListemaa

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 152 PM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019/
AVIATION...
18Z Update...

MVFR/VFR CIGs across the area will deteriorate to MVFR with ant
TSRA, expected 19-01Z across the TAF sites. Gusty variable winds
will be possible in and around storms. Winds are mostly light,
7kts or less out of the SE and SW, they should favor NE/NW after
00Z before wavering back out of the NE/E during the day Wednesday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on all elements.

Atwell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          55  77  53  78 /  50   0   5  10
Atlanta         57  78  57  78 /  40   0   5  10
Blairsville     48  75  50  73 /  20   0  10  10
Cartersville    52  79  56  79 /  30   0   5  10
Columbus        59  82  59  80 /  50   0   5  20
Gainesville     54  75  54  75 /  40   0   5  10
Macon           58  80  55  80 /  60   5   5  20
Rome            52  80  57  80 /  20   0   5  10
Peachtree City  55  79  56  79 /  40   0   5  20
Vidalia         62  80  57  80 /  70  10  10  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Atwell
LONG TERM....NListemaa
AVIATION...Atwell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1110 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1110 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Isolated severe storms possible today, mainly across central and
parts of northeast Georgia.

A strong storm system centered over Mississippi will move eastward
across Georgia today. This will destabilize the atmosphere across
north and central Georgia. The result will be scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms, a few of which could be
severe. The main hazards will be damaging winds and large hail.
The potential for severe thunderstorm development should taper off
by 6 pm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Another strong storm system will move over Georgia late this week
and into the weekend. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms will develop Thursday night into Saturday. A strong
cold front will move across the region Sunday, destabilizing the
atmosphere further. This will result in a few storms becoming
strong to severe, mainly Sunday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

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