River Flood Warning 91, NWS Atlanta, GA

291 
WGUS82 KFFC 211655
FLSFFC
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1155 AM EST Thu Feb 21 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Little River near Woodstock affecting Cherokee County 


GAC057-220655-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WODG1.1.ER.190221T1151Z.190221T1615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1155 AM EST Thu Feb 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little River near Woodstock.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Thursday the stage was 12 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* At 11 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding will occur in
  the woodlands and fields upstream and downstream from the gage at 
  Old Georgia Highway 5. A public boat ramp just downstream and on 
  the right bank from the bridge will be under one foot of water. Low
  lying areas of the South Cherokee Recreation Park and the soccer 
  fields off Druw Cameron Drive will begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3415 8438 3410 8434 3407 8448 3414 8461
      3418 8456 3414 8447             

$$

330 
WGUS82 KFFC 220053
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
753 PM EST Thu Feb 21 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Little River near Woodstock affecting Cherokee County

 
GAC057-220123-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-190222T0053Z/
/WODG1.1.ER.190221T1151Z.190221T1715Z.190221T2254Z.NO/
753 PM EST Thu Feb 21 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little River near Woodstock.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 7 PM Thursday the stage was 10.6 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
* At 10 feet...Bankfull conditions continue along the river 
  upstream and downstream from the gage at Old Georgia Highway 5. 
  A public boat ramp just downstream and on the right bank from 
  the bridge will begin to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3415 8438 3410 8434 3407 8448 3414 8461
      3418 8456 3414 8447             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
630 AM EST Thu Feb 21 2019

.UPDATE...
Updated for the 12Z Aviation Discussion.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 338 AM EST Thu Feb 21 2019/

SHORT TERM /Today through Friday/...

Band of showers and isolated tstorms has becoming stationary. This
area of showers will begin moving northward as the next short wave
approaches from the west. This next short wave will bring an
increase in moisture across west central GA this afternoon and then
lift into north GA tonight before exiting. The stationary front
across central GA will hold into this evening, then as the surface
high builds into the northeast U.S. tonight, a backdoor front will
move across the CWA Friday wedging the CWA. There will still be
plenty of isentropic lift over the wedge and this will keep chances
of rain continuing, although amounts on Friday will be a half inch
or less.

Dense fog has developed across parts of central GA and this will
continue into mid morning. Will therefore continue the Dense Fog
Advisory for this morning.

Rainfall amounts today should remain below 1 inch across the CWA,
however with the ground already saturated, it will not take much
rainfall to push a creek or river into flood, especially with a
thunderstorm that could produce higher amounts. Will therefore
continue the Flash Flood Watch for today.

17

LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...

The long term period begins with a wedge setting in to NE Georgia in
addition to a stalled front just north of the area. With
southwesterly flow pushing moisture into the area, chances for
showers will continue through Saturday, with the highest chances
across northern Georgia. High PWs and instability will continue the
potential for periods of heavy rain and isolated thunderstorms
across the area. With multiple rivers across northern Georgia
already in flood, concerns for river flooding and flash flooding
will continue as these rounds of precipitation impact the area,
especially across portions of northern Georgia.

Chances for showers and thunderstorms increase across the entire
area for late Saturday/Sunday as a cold front pushes through the
area on Sunday. QPF totals are currently around half and inch to
an inch with the highest totals across northern GA. With already
saturated soils across much of northern Georgia concerns for river
flooding and flash flooding will continue. After this system
clears the area late Sunday, we should see some drier weather on
Monday and for some areas part of Tuesday as high pressure pushes
into the area. Models then show a wave moving north from the gulf
into the area on late Tuesday into Wednesday, but models differ
on northward extent as well timing of the moisture across the
area. At this point have only included slight chance pops across
the area.

Temperatures through the weekend are expected to be just above
average in the 60s and 70s, aside from those within the wedge on
Saturday where highs are expected to be in the 50s. After the
weekend system, high temperatures are expected to be closer to
seasonal norms.

Reaves

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z Update...
IFR/LIFR conditions will continue
through the forecast. There will be some rising of cigs to MVFR
across CSG and MCN this afternoon but it will be brief. Showers
and a few tsra will continue across north GA this morning. Another
area is expected to move into central GA this afternoon and then
spread north this evening into ATL/AHN. Winds will be light
northeast or variable across most areas through the forecast.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium confidence.

17

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          64  54  58  47 /  80  80  50  60
Atlanta         64  56  63  50 /  80  80  50  40
Blairsville     61  52  56  47 /  90  90  90  60
Cartersville    61  52  62  50 /  90  70  70  60
Columbus        75  63  76  59 /  70  80  40  40
Gainesville     62  54  56  46 /  80  80  70  60
Macon           75  60  74  56 /  60  60  30  40
Rome            59  51  60  51 /  90  80  80  60
Peachtree City  68  56  67  52 /  80  80  40  40
Vidalia         80  62  79  60 /  20  20  30  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through this evening for the following zones:
Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Carroll...Catoosa...Chattooga...
Cherokee...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Dade...Dawson...DeKalb...
Douglas...Fannin...Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...Gordon...
Gwinnett...Hall...Haralson...Heard...Jackson...Lumpkin...
Murray...North Fulton...Paulding...Pickens...Polk...South
Fulton...Towns...Union...Walker...White...Whitfield.

Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for the
following zones: Baldwin...Bibb...Bleckley...Butts...Crawford...
Crisp...Dodge...Dooly...Emanuel...Glascock...Greene...Hancock...
Houston...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...Lamar...
Laurens...Macon...Monroe...Montgomery...Peach...Pike...Pulaski...
Putnam...Spalding...Taliaferro...Taylor...Telfair...Toombs...
Treutlen...Twiggs...Upson...Warren...Washington...Wheeler...
Wilcox...Wilkes...Wilkinson.

&&

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....Reaves
AVIATION...17

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
652 AM EST Thu Feb 21 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-221200-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
652 AM EST Thu Feb 21 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Areas of patchy dense fog will linger across the area through
late morning.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to continue to impact
the area through this afternoon and evening. The main hazards
with any storm will be gusty winds and heavy rainfall.

The Flash Flood Watch continues until this evening for most of
North Georgia including the Atlanta metro, where 1 to 2 with
locally higher amounts are possible. As a result of multiple
periods with heavy rainfall, nearly all the rain that will fall
will be converted to runoff and some localized flooding of creeks
and streams may be possible across portions of northern Georgia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

An increased threat for river and stream flooding will continue
through the week and weekend as rain falls over saturated
grounds. Localized flash flooding will also be possible,
especially over the complex terrain of north Georgia. Make sure to
stay tuned to the latest forecasts and updates each day for any
changes to the forecast.

In addition, there is a chance of thunderstorms on Saturday and
Sunday

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.