Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 34, NWS Atlanta, GA

January 19, 2019Whitfield County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Jan 19, 2019, 10:22 PM EST for Whitfield County, Georgia. It was in force for 57 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 19, 2019, 10:22 PM EST (03:22 UTC)
Expired
Jan 22, 2019, 7:28 AM EST
In force
57 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Whitfield County, GA

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Coahulla Creek at Keiths Mill Road near Dalton (CHCG1). The gauge peaked at 17.89 ft at Jan 21, 2019, 1:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate1015202501/2001/2101/2201/23
Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
28 ft
Major stage
32 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02385170, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

742 
WGUS42 KFFC 200322
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1022 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC313-201721-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0034.190120T0322Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190120T0315Z.190120T0315Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1022 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 10 PM Saturday the stage was 15.9 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 16 feet...Minor flooding begins. Pasture and fields 
  upstream...right and left bank from the Keiths Mill Road bridge...
  and downstream on the left bank begin to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$
9 follow-up statements
614 
WGUS82 KFFC 201142
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
642 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Conasauga River near Tilton affecting Gordon...Murray and 
  Whitfield Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 

  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

  Holly Creek near Chatsworth affecting Murray County 

  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County 

  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 


GAC083-TNC065-210142-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-190121T0412Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190120T0115Z.190120T1200Z.190120T2212Z.UU/
642 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* Until this evening.
* At 6 AM Sunday the stage was 12.5 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding expands along Sells Lane in 
  Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. All these roads will be closed. Also minor flooding 
  expands much further downstream as the creek crosses the Tennessee 
  border into the Tiftona area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$

GAC313-210142-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190120T0315Z.190120T1100Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
642 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Sunday the stage was 17.1 feet and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC213-210142-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLG1.1.ER.190120T0854Z.190120T1130Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
642 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Holly Creek near Chatsworth.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 AM Sunday the stage was 10.4 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* At 10 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and downstream from the 
  gage on Smyrna Ramhurst Road.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3484 8472 3479 8469 3464 8480 3470 8492
      3472 8486 3479 8477             

$$

GAC129-213-313-210142-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0032.190120T1648Z-190121T1905Z/
/TLNG1.1.ER.190120T1648Z.190121T0000Z.190121T1305Z.NO/
642 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Conasauga River near Tilton.
* From late this morning until Monday afternoon.
* At 6 AM Sunday the stage was 14.1 feet and slowly rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 18.8 feet by this evening.The river will 
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 18 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands...fields and pastures along the river  upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on the Brackett Ridge Road bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3472 8483 3463 8488 3463 8495 3471 8497


$$

GAC055-210000-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-190121T0000Z/
/SUMG1.1.ER.190120T1020Z.190120T1045Z.190120T1800Z.NO/
642 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* Until this evening.
* At 5 AM Sunday the stage was 14.1 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding of woodlands and fields begins along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. Highway 27 
  or Rome Boulevard.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

GAC117-121-210142-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190121T1900Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.190120T1133Z.190120T1800Z.190121T1300Z.NO/
642 AM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* From this morning until Monday afternoon.
* At 5 AM Sunday the stage was 6.1 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage later today and continue to 
  rise to near 7.9 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the creek from near Cumming in south 
  Forsyth County to Alpharetta and Roswell in north Fulton County. 
  Additional portions of The Big Creek Greenway have minor flooding 
  with 1 to 2 feet of water. Most of the walking and biking paths 
  will be closed...especially upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Mill Park. Portions of the 
  YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$
821 
WGUS82 KFFC 201735
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1235 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

  Conasauga River near Tilton affecting Gordon...Murray and 
  Whitfield Counties 

  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County 

  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 


GAC313-210735-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190120T0315Z.190120T1700Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1235 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until further notice.
* At 12 PM Sunday the stage was 17.1 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC129-213-313-210735-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0032.190121T1030Z-190122T0200Z/
/TLNG1.1.ER.190121T1030Z.190121T1200Z.190121T2000Z.NO/
1235 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Conasauga River near Tilton.
* From early Monday until Monday evening.
* At 12 PM Sunday the stage was 15.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Monday and continue 
  to rise to near 18.1 feet by Monday morning.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* At 18 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands...fields and pastures along the river  upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on the Brackett Ridge Road bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3472 8483 3463 8488 3463 8495 3471 8497


$$

GAC055-210320-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-190121T0320Z/
/SUMG1.1.ER.190120T1020Z.190120T1545Z.190120T2120Z.NO/
1235 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* Until this evening.
* At 11 AM Sunday the stage was 14.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding of woodlands and fields begins along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. Highway 27 
  or Rome Boulevard. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

GAC117-121-210735-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190121T1200Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.190121T0600Z.190121T0600Z.190121T0600Z.NO/
1235 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* From late tonight until Monday morning.
* At 11 AM Sunday the stage was 6.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage late tonight and continue
  to rise to near 7 feet around midnight. The river will fall
  below flood stage by early Monday.
* At 7 feet...Flood Stage is reached.  Minor flooding of woodlands 
  and fields begin along the creek between Cumming in Forsyth 
  County...to Alpharetta and Roswell in North Fulton County.  
  Flooding starts to effect portions of The Big Creek Greenway near 
  Alpharetta and some portions may become closed with around one foot
  of water...especially upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Mill Park. Portions of the YMCA 
  Campground off Preston Ridge Road will begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$
332 
WGUS82 KFFC 210133
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
833 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 


GAC313-211532-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190120T0315Z.190121T0030Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
833 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until further notice.
* At 7 PM Sunday the stage was 17.4 feet...and slowly rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$
208 
WGUS82 KFFC 210211
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
911 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Conasauga River near Eton affecting Murray and Whitfield Counties 

  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

 
GAC213-313-211610-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-190121T1642Z/
/ETNG1.1.ER.190120T2000Z.190121T0200Z.190121T1042Z.NO/
911 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Conasauga River near Eton.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 12.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  Monday.
* At 12 feet...Minor flooding of woodlands...pasture and fields 
  begins along the river...upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Georgia Highway 286 or Dawnville Road.


&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3499 8485 3499 8475 3491 8480 3472 8483


$$

GAC313-211610-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-190122T2036Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190120T0315Z.190121T1200Z.190122T1436Z.UU/
911 PM EST Sun Jan 20 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 17.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.7 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Tuesday 
  morning.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$
163 
WGUS82 KFFC 211114
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
614 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

 
GAC313-220114-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-190122T2046Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190120T0315Z.190121T1000Z.190122T1446Z.UU/
614 AM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 17.8 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$
510 
WGUS82 KFFC 212135
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
435 PM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

 
GAC313-221135-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-190122T2113Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190120T0315Z.190121T1800Z.190122T1513Z.UU/
435 PM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 4 PM Monday the stage was 17.8 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$
630 
WGUS82 KFFC 220259
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
959 PM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 


GAC313-221658-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-190122T2113Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190120T0315Z.190121T1800Z.190122T1513Z.UU/
959 PM EST Mon Jan 21 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 17.6 feet...and falling slowly.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$
283 
WGUS82 KFFC 220815
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
315 AM EST Tue Jan 22 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

 
GAC313-221456-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-190122T1456Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190120T0315Z.190121T1800Z.190122T0856Z.UU/
315 AM EST Tue Jan 22 2019

...Flood Warning extended until this morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until this morning.
* At 3 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early this 
  morning.
* At 16 feet...Minor flooding begins. Pasture and fields 
  upstream...right and left bank from the Keiths Mill Road bridge...
  and downstream on the left bank begin to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$
579 
WGUS82 KFFC 221228
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
728 AM EST Tue Jan 22 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County

 
GAC313-221258-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-190122T1456Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190120T0315Z.190121T1800Z.190122T0905Z.UU/
728 AM EST Tue Jan 22 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.
* At 14 feet...Bankfull is reached upstream and downstream from the
  Keiths Mill Road bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 19, 9:47 PM EST, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 9:47 PM EST, 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
947 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019

.UPDATE...
Quick update to remove any mention of severe weather/remove
Tornado Watch and adjust POPs/Wx grids overnight.

Cold front continues to push into western GA at this time with
temps falling quickly into the 40s behind it. Scattered light
showers will continue in the colder airmass as upr lvl low tracks
east across the Tennessee Valley. As colder air moves in, expect a
few light snow showers or flurries mainly across far northwest GA
and in the higher elevations (NW-facing slopes).

&&

DJN.83

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 650 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019/

.UPDATE...
For 00z TAFs/Aviation.

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 311 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Sunday Night/...

Still not too much change in the short term forecast trends.
Deep/sharp upper trough sweeps through tonight into early Sunday.
Instability remains marginal but moderate dynamics and strong shear
continue the potential for damaging winds and even an isolated brief
tornado as the main line of convection moves through late this
afternoon and through the evening. Although chances for severe
weather remain highest across the southern and western portions of
the forecast area, some potential persists until the line is exiting
the forecast area late in the evening or early Sunday morning.
Rainfall totals between one and two inches are still expected along
and north of the I-85 corridor. This is not likely to result in
widespread flooding, but isolated flooding cannot be ruled out.

Still expecting some mixing with or change to snow in the isolated
to scattered showers across the far north early Sunday as the cold
air spills in behind the cold front. Any amounts would be expected
to remain light and the relatively warm, wet ground would further
limit the potential for anything but trace amounts of accumulations.

Wind speeds already starting to ramp up, but are expected to remain
generally below advisory levels in the warm sector ahead of the
system. However still seeing at least periods of wind speeds at or
above 20 mph with some gusts around 35 mph likely across the area
Sunday. A Wind Advisory will be in effect after midnight tonight
through the day Sunday.

20

LONG TERM /Monday through Saturday/...

No big changes were made to the long term. Deep troughing will
affect the forecast area much of the time. The next system is on
track for mid week...Wednesday into Thursday. Another wave
crossing the TN Valley after that may cause light snow across the
far north for Thursday night. Friday night is looking drier on
both GFS/ECMWF so have cut back pops for the far north Friday
night. Another deep low expected for the end of the
period...although with placement differences between models.
Previous discussion is included below.

41

AVIATION...
00Z Update...
Band of heavy showers w/ embedded thunder will continue moving
east and should clear all TAF sites by 03-04z. Seeing gusts
35-40kts around KCSG as the worst moved through so will maintain
higher wind gusts as heavier rain bands (and TS) move by. Abrupt
shift to the winds will occur btwn 05-07z across the area as cold
front pushes across. Precip ends but low MVFR clouds will likely
persist into the early morning hours. NW winds will increase,
gusting 20-30kts. Any MVFR cigs should erode by 16-18z.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Medium on ceilings this evening.
High all other elements.

DJN.83

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          38  44  25  44 /  90   5   0   0
Atlanta         33  39  25  42 / 100   0   0   0
Blairsville     27  32  17  39 / 100  20   0   0
Cartersville    32  39  23  41 / 100   5   0   0
Columbus        38  46  28  49 / 100   0   0   0
Gainesville     33  39  23  42 / 100   5   0   0
Macon           40  47  27  47 /  90   5   0   0
Rome            31  38  23  41 /  90   5   0   0
Peachtree City  35  42  25  45 / 100   0   0   0
Vidalia         44  50  31  47 / 100  10   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 1 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday for the following
zones: Baldwin...Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Bibb...Bleckley...
Butts...Carroll...Catoosa...Chattahoochee...Chattooga...
Cherokee...Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Crawford...Crisp...
Dade...Dawson...DeKalb...Dodge...Dooly...Douglas...Emanuel...
Fannin...Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...Glascock...
Gordon...Greene...Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...Haralson...
Harris...Heard...Henry...Houston...Jackson...Jasper...
Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...Lamar...Laurens...Lumpkin...
Macon...Madison...Marion...Meriwether...Monroe...Montgomery...
Morgan...Murray...Muscogee...Newton...North Fulton...Oconee...
Oglethorpe...Paulding...Peach...Pickens...Pike...Polk...
Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley...South Fulton...Spalding...
Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...Taliaferro...Taylor...Telfair...
Toombs...Towns...Treutlen...Troup...Twiggs...Union...Upson...
Walker...Walton...Warren...Washington...Webster...Wheeler...
White...Whitfield...Wilcox...Wilkes...Wilkinson.

&&

SHORT TERM...DJN.83
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...DJN.83
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 6:53 PM EST, 3 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...Updated
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
653 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-201730-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
653 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Showers and embedded thunderstorms will continue moving across north
and central Georgis this evening. Brief strong wind gusts along with
heavy rain and occasional cloud to ground lightning will be the
primary threats. A brief tornado cannot be ruled out, mainly between
Columbus and Macon, through 9 PM this evening.

Overnight, behind a strong cold front, gusty northwest winds 20 to
30 MPH will develop and continue into Sunday morning. Higher gusts
to 40 MPH will be possible, mainly over the mountains of north
Georgia. A Wind Advisory is in effect late tonight through Sunday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Light snow showers are possible in parts of far north Georgia on
Sunday morning as cold air is ushered in behind the system. Little
to no accumulation is expected. Even a few flurries could be seen
as far south as the Atlanta metro area, but should not have an
impact. Conditions will be windy Sunday with gusts up to 30 mph
out of the northwest, making it feel even colder.

Monday morning could have wind chill values in the single digits
for the northern mountains, which could warrant an advisory in
future updates over the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 19, 7:41 PM EST, 2 hours 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
741 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

GAZ059>061-072-073-082-200115-
Putnam GA-Baldwin GA-Bibb GA-Hancock GA-Jones GA-Jasper GA-
741 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PUTNAM...WESTERN BALDWIN...
BIBB...NORTHWESTERN HANCOCK...JONES AND SOUTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTIES
UNTIL 815 PM EST...

At 741 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Monticello to near Round Oak to near Lizella...
and moving east at 60 mph.

  HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Macon, Milledgeville, Eatonton, Gray, Payne, Phoenix, Payne City,
Midway-Hardwick, Meriwether, Postell, Bradley, Wayside, Allenwood,
Mountain Springs, Griswoldville, Resseaus Crossroads, Round Oak,
Plant Harlee Branch, Wesleyan and Arkwright.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A tornado watch remains in effect. Continue to monitor NOAA Weather
Radio...weather.gov or other media outlets for further statements or
possible warnings on these storms.

LAT...LON 3291 8338 3274 8382 3277 8384 3293 8376
      3296 8371 3299 8372 3312 8366 3333 8363
      3345 8326 3342 8324 3340 8324 3340 8321
      3338 8322 3339 8319 3336 8316 3341 8310
      3327 8309
TIME...MOT...LOC 0041Z 250DEG 50KT 3330 8360 3315 8360 3277 8384

WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 8:05 PM EST, 2 hours 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
805 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

GAZ083-092>095-104-105-200145-
Macon GA-Schley GA-Peach GA-Dooly GA-Sumter GA-Houston GA-Twiggs GA-
805 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MACON...SOUTHEASTERN SCHLEY...
PEACH...WESTERN DOOLY...SUMTER...HOUSTON AND SOUTHWESTERN TWIGGS
COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM EST...

At 805 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Nakomis to near Bumphead to near Centerpoint...and
moving northeast at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Americus, Perry, Fort Valley, Oglethorpe, Warner Robins, Centerville,
Byron, Unadilla, Montezuma, Marshallville, Byromville, Pinehurst,
Leslie, Andersonville, Lilly, De Soto, Dooling, Robins Air Force
Base, Desoto and Smithville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

A tornado watch remains in effect. Continue to monitor NOAA Weather
Radio...weather.gov or other media outlets for further statements or
possible warnings on these storms.

LAT...LON 3196 8444 3213 8425 3259 8393 3268 8365
      3266 8360 3269 8361 3275 8337 3242 8351
      3191 8408 3191 8438
TIME...MOT...LOC 0105Z 247DEG 48KT 3253 8399 3217 8417 3195 8445

WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 8:10 PM EST, 2 hours 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
810 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

GAZ060-061-200145-
Putnam GA-Hancock GA-
810 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN PUTNAM AND HANCOCK
COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM EST...

At 810 PM EST...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
line of strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near
Rockville to near Oconee Springs Park to near Plant Harlee Branch...
and moving northeast at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind and enhanced risk of a brief tornado.

  IMPACT...While winds should result in minor damage to tree limbs
           and blowing around of light...unsecured objects...the
           leading edge of this line of storms has also exhibited
           areas of localized rotation. A brief tornado could
           quickly form.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Sparta, Springfield, Rockville, Shoulderbone, Oconee Springs Park and
Devereux.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

A tornado watch remains in effect. Continue to monitor NOAA Weather
Radio...weather.gov or other media outlets for further statements or
possible warnings on these storms.

LAT...LON 3324 8294 3317 8320 3319 8328 3324 8327
      3333 8330 3339 8319 3336 8316 3347 8301
      3345 8299 3345 8295 3344 8294 3344 8290
      3339 8286
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 246DEG 40KT 3332 8327 3324 8324 3317 8327

WIND...50MPH
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 8:42 PM EST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
842 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

GAZ074-083-084-095-096-104-105-107-200215-
Wilkinson GA-Dooly GA-Washington GA-Sumter GA-Houston GA-Bleckley GA-
Twiggs GA-Pulaski GA-
842 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WILKINSON...DOOLY...SOUTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON...EASTERN SUMTER...SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON...BLECKLEY...
SOUTHERN TWIGGS AND NORTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM EST...

At 842 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near McIntyre to near Methvins...and moving northeast
at 60 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Sandersville, Cochran, Hawkinsville, Vienna, Jeffersonville,
Irwinton, Unadilla, Tennille, McIntyre, Byromville, Toomsboro,
Pinehurst, Oconee, Danville, Lilly, Allentown, Deepstep, Marion,
Hayneville and Browndale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3203 8408 3299 8312 3295 8307 3299 8305
      3303 8307 3307 8304 3313 8268 3297 8277
      3265 8308 3258 8323 3253 8320 3203 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0142Z 245DEG 50KT 3292 8314 3207 8403

WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 9:16 PM EST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
916 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

GAZ083>085-096-097-105-107-109-200300-
Wilkinson GA-Dooly GA-Johnson GA-Laurens GA-Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-
Twiggs GA-Pulaski GA-
916 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WILKINSON...EASTERN
DOOLY...NORTHWESTERN JOHNSON...NORTHWESTERN LAURENS...BLECKLEY...
NORTHWESTERN DODGE...SOUTHEASTERN TWIGGS AND PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL
1000 PM EST...

At 916 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Irwinton to near Allentown to near Mock
Springs...and moving east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...40 mph wind and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Dublin, Cochran, Hawkinsville, Irwinton, East Dublin, Chester,
Dexter, Dudley, Toomsboro, Danville, Montrose, Allentown, Dubois,
Empire, Mobley Crossing, Mock Springs, Roddy, Nicklesville, Baileys
Park and Rowland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3217 8367 3256 8332 3282 8319 3285 8299
      3284 8297 3282 8297 3280 8295 3276 8296
      3281 8280 3279 8277 3277 8277 3278 8274
      3255 8285 3214 8332
TIME...MOT...LOC 0216Z 271DEG 24KT 3277 8314 3256 8323 3219 8365

WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 9:35 PM EST, 47 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
935 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

GAZ062-074>076-200300-
Jefferson GA-Washington GA-Glascock GA-Warren GA-
935 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JEFFERSON...SOUTHEASTERN
WASHINGTON...EASTERN GLASCOCK AND SOUTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL
1000 PM EST...

At 934 PM EST...a line of thunderstorms extended from 8 miles
northeast of Thomson to near Edgehill to near Tennille...moving
northeast at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...cloud to ground lightning and heavy
           rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Louisville, Gibson, Wrens, Wadley, Davisboro, Tennille, Harrison,
Stapleton, Bartow, Avera, Riddleville, Grange, Stapletons Crossroads,
Matthews, Moxley, Stellaville and Bastonville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3315 8227 3307 8229 3296 8228 3286 8237
      3279 8296 3311 8262 3340 8255 3335 8255
      3336 8253 3334 8250 3334 8245 3333 8242
      3331 8240 3331 8234 3326 8225 3323 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 0234Z 245DEG 41KT 3357 8242 3314 8257 3287 8285

WIND...40MPH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 19, 7:13 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMonroe32 min
Jan 19, 7:31 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCSchley29 min
Jan 19, 7:41 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBibb, Jones, Putnam34 min
Jan 19, 7:55 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDade15 hr
Jan 19, 8:05 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHouston, Macon, Peach, Sumter, Twiggs40 min
Jan 19, 8:10 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHancock35 min
Jan 19, 8:42 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBleckley, Dooly, Twiggs, Washington, Wilkinson33 min
Jan 19, 8:57 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth, Fulton24 hr
Jan 19, 9:16 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBleckley, Pulaski, Wilkinson44 min
Jan 19, 9:27 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGordon, Murray, Whitfield23 hr
Jan 19, 9:35 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCJefferson25 min
Jan 19, 10:00 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCWhite9 hr
Jan 20, 4:27 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCMurray8 hr
Jan 20, 4:35 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCChattooga11 hr
Jan 20, 2:20 PM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryFFCFannin, Gilmer, Towns, Union20 hr
Jan 20, 3:28 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCMurray, Whitfield17 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.