Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 114, NWS Atlanta, GA

March 8, 2019Dade County, Georgia; Hamilton County, Tennessee

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Mar 8, 2019, 11:06 PM EST for Dade County, Georgia; Hamilton County, Tennessee. It took effect at Mar 9, 2019, 12:13 AM EST. It was in force for 38 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 8, 2019, 11:06 PM EST (04:06 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 9, 2019, 12:13 AM EST
Expired
Mar 10, 2019, 2:56 PM EDT
In force
38 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Dade County, GA, Hamilton County, TN

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Lookout Creek near New England (ENGG1). The gauge peaked at 13.78 ft at Mar 9, 2019, 6:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderate5101503/0903/1003/11
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03568933, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

982 
WGUS42 KFFC 090406
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1106 PM EST Fri Mar 8 2019

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC083-TNC065-091806-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0114.190309T0600Z-190311T0500Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190309T0600Z.190309T1800Z.190310T2300Z.UU/
1106 PM EST Fri Mar 8 2019

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for 
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* From late tonight until late Sunday night.
* At 11 PM Friday the stage was 11.5 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage early Saturday morning and
  continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by Saturday evening. The creek 
  will fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding expands along Sells Lane in 
  Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. All these roads will be closed. Also minor flooding 
  expands much further downstream as the creek crosses the Tennessee 
  border into the Tiftona area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$
7 follow-up statements
820 
WGUS82 KFFC 090515
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1215 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 

 
GAC083-TNC065-091915-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0114.190309T0513Z-190311T0500Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190309T0423Z.190309T1800Z.190310T2300Z.UU/
1215 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 12 AM Saturday the stage was 12.6 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.5 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding expands along Sells Lane in 
  Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. All these roads will be closed. Also minor flooding 
  expands much further downstream as the creek crosses the Tennessee 
  border into the Tiftona area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$
265 
WGUS82 KFFC 091251
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
750 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 

 
GAC083-TNC065-100250-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-190311T1830Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190309T0423Z.190310T0600Z.190311T1230Z.UU/
750 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 7 AM Saturday the stage was 13.8 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will fall slowly this morning, but then begin rising again this afternoon, and continue rising to near 14.5 feet by after midnight tonight.The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand along Sells Lane 
  in Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. These roads and other roads with creeks flowing into 
  Lookout Creek will flood causing the roads to be closed. The water 
  will be a few feet deep on portions of these roads. Also minor 
  flooding will continue to expand downstream as the creek crosses 
  the Tennessee border into the Tiftona area.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.5 feet on Feb 25 2016.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$
032 
WGUS82 KFFC 091453
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
953 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Coosa River near Plant Hammond affecting Floyd County

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 

  West Chickamauga Creek near Fort Oglethorpe affecting Catoosa and 
  Hamilton Counties 

  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 


GAC047-TNC065-100452-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0116.190310T0336Z-190311T1500Z/
/WCKG1.1.ER.190310T0336Z.190310T1700Z.190311T0900Z.UU/
953 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Chickamauga Creek near Fort Oglethorpe.
* From tonight until Monday morning.
* At  9AM Saturday the stage was 9.6 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 11.5 feet by Sunday afternoon.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Monday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of 
  woodlands and fields near the creek upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Georgia Highway 146 or Cloud Springs Road bridge. 
  Minor flooding of the creek can also be expected further downstream
  as it crosses the Tennessee border into the south East Ridge area.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.7 feet on Jan 26 2010.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3492 8526 3500 8523 3499 8516 3486 8524


$$

GAC083-TNC065-100452-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-190311T2351Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190309T0423Z.190310T1100Z.190311T1751Z.UU/
953 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 13.7 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will begin riding this afternoon, and continue rising to near 
  15.0 feet by Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday early 
  afternoon.
* At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand along Sells Lane 
  in Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. These roads and other roads with creeks flowing into 
  Lookout Creek will flood causing the roads to be closed. The water 
  will be a few feet deep on portions of these roads. Also minor 
  flooding will continue to expand downstream as the creek crosses 
  the Tennessee border into the Tiftona area.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on Apr 24 2018.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$

GAC313-100452-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-190312T0114Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190309T0727Z.190310T2000Z.190311T1914Z.UU/
953 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 17.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.1 feet by Sunday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.0 feet on Apr 26 2018.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC115-091523-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-190309T1453Z/
/HMMG1.2.ER.190219T1424Z.190224T1800Z.190309T0800Z.NO/
953 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Coosa River near Plant Hammond.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 569.6 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 570.0 feet.
* The creek/river will continue to fall.
* At 570.0 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of 
  woodlands...fields and pasture along the river upstream and 
  downstream from the gage behind Plant Hammond. A boat ramp near the
  intakes of the plant will be under water. A small portion of an 
  access road near and under the Georgia Highway 100 bridge will 
  begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 570.4 feet on Dec 11 
  2009.  

&&

LAT...LON 3425 8531 3420 8536 3421 8539 3427 8542 3428 8537


$$
674 
WGUS82 KFFC 100330
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1030 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 

 
GAC083-TNC065-101729-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-190311T0912Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190309T0423Z.190309T1115Z.190311T0312Z.UU/
1030 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 10 PM Saturday the stage was 12.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.5 feet by Sunday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday late 
  evening.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding expands along Sells Lane in 
  Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. All these roads will be closed. Also minor flooding 
  expands much further downstream as the creek crosses the Tennessee 
  border into the Tiftona area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$
296 
WGUS82 KFFC 101000
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
600 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  West Chickamauga Creek near Fort Oglethorpe affecting Catoosa and 
  Hamilton Counties 

  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 


GAC047-TNC065-110000-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-190311T0900Z/
/WCKG1.1.ER.190310T0245Z.190310T1100Z.190311T0300Z.UU/
600 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Chickamauga Creek near Fort Oglethorpe.
* Until late tonight.
* At 5 AM Sunday the stage was 11.4 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.5 feet by this morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* At 11 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of 
  woodlands and fields near the creek upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Georgia Highway 146 or Cloud Springs Road bridge. 
  Minor flooding of the creek can also be expected further downstream
  as it crosses the Tennessee border into the south East Ridge area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3492 8526 3500 8523 3499 8516 3486 8524


$$

GAC083-TNC065-110000-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-190311T0912Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190309T0423Z.190309T1115Z.190311T0312Z.UU/
600 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* Until late tonight.
* At 5 AM Sunday the stage was 12.7 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding expands along Sells Lane in 
  Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. All these roads will be closed. Also minor flooding 
  expands much further downstream as the creek crosses the Tennessee 
  border into the Tiftona area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$

GAC313-110000-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-190312T0137Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190309T0727Z.190311T0600Z.190311T1937Z.UU/
600 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 5 AM Sunday the stage was 17.5 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.6 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* At 18 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$
865 
WGUS82 KFFC 101348
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
948 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  West Chickamauga Creek near Fort Oglethorpe affecting Catoosa and 
  Hamilton Counties 

  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 

  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

 
GAC047-TNC065-110348-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-190311T1200Z/
/WCKG1.1.ER.190310T0245Z.190310T1130Z.190311T0600Z.UU/
948 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The West Chickamauga Creek near Fort Oglethorpe.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 11.4 feet...and cresting.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by after 
  midnight.
* At 11 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding begins of 
  woodlands and fields near the creek upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on the Georgia Highway 146 or Cloud Springs Road bridge. 
  Minor flooding of the creek can also be expected further downstream
  as it crosses the Tennessee border into the south East Ridge area.


&&

LAT...LON 3492 8526 3500 8523 3499 8516 3486 8524


$$

GAC083-TNC065-110336-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-190311T0336Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190309T0423Z.190309T1115Z.190310T2136Z.UU/
948 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* Until this evening.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 12.5 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding expands along Sells Lane in 
  Trenton...Mason Road near Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New 
  England. All these roads will be closed. Also minor flooding 
  expands much further downstream as the creek crosses the Tennessee 
  border into the Tiftona area.


&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$

GAC313-110348-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-190312T0502Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.190309T0727Z.190311T0500Z.190311T2302Z.UU/
948 AM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until late Monday night.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 17.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.0 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* At 18.0 feet...Minor flooding expands into the pastures...fields 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the Keiths Mill Road 
  bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$
105 
WGUS82 KFFC 101856
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
256 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties

 
GAC083-TNC065-101926-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-190311T0336Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.190309T0423Z.190309T1115Z.190310T1707Z.UU/
256 PM EDT Sun Mar 10 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* This takes effect immediately.
* Until this evening.
* At 2 PM Sunday the stage was 11.9 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The creek/river will continue to fall.
* At 12 feet...Flood Stage is reached and minor flooding begins. 
  Flooding begins along Sells Lane in Trenton...Mason Road near 
  Rising Fawn...and Creek Road near New England. In addition...minor 
  flooding of pasture and grazing land begins along the flood plain. 
  Minor flooding of the creek can also be expected much further 
  downstream as it crosses the Tennessee border into the Tiftona 
  area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 8, 8:03 PM EST, 3 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 8:03 PM EST, 3 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
803 PM EST Fri Mar 8 2019

.UPDATE...

An upper-level shortwave is moving eastward across the TN valley,
and showers are ongoing across far northern Georgia as a result.
Precipitation forecast remains largely on track through tonight,
with only minor tweaks being made based on the latest guidance.
Isolated thunderstorms are embedded within the showers as they
move west to east across our northern tier. There is enough
instability and lift to support frequent lightning within some of
these thunderstorms. A couple of stronger cells are furthermore
being monitored for strong wind gusts and small hail.

King

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 700 PM EST Fri Mar 8 2019/

UPDATE...

Updated for the 00Z Aviation Discussion.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 245 PM EST Fri Mar 8 2019/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

The first of two short waves is currently moving across the
Tennessee Valley. Models still indicating some instability and there
has been only one cell that has consistently produced some CG
lightning. This short wave will move off to our east late tonight,
however sufficient isentropic lift will keep showers and isolated
tsra over north Georgia through tonight. The next short wave will
move into the Tennessee Valley late Saturday and Saturday night.
Instability with this, like the current short wave, is minimal but
should be sufficient for isolated tsra development. At this time
severe storms are not expected Saturday night. All models have
backed off somewhat on QPF as well as WPC.

17

LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...

Long term period picks up on Sunday where a front, expected to stall
in the vicinity of central Georgia, will bring changes for showers
and isolated thunderstorms to the area through early Monday. SPC has
a marginal risk across central Georgia where there is the
potential for isolated strong to severe storms. Instability looks
to peak across central Georgia on Sunday afternoon with some
MUCAPE values maxing out near 1000 J/kg and SBCAPE values maxing
out around 400- 700 J/kg. The limiting factor in this area will
be shear and the better dynamics further north of the area.
Overall, the threat still remains for a few strong to severe
storms across central Georgia, with the main hazards being
damaging winds. QPF totals for Sunday have been trending downward
with around a half an inch or less expected through late Sunday
night.

For Monday, moisture looks to linger across the area in the vicinity
of the front before slowly lifting north on Tuesday. That should
allow for a mostly dry day Tues/early Wed ahead of the next system
expected to impact the area. Models still don't have a good
handle on when better moisture is expected to overspread the area,
but have gone with a blend for late Wed into Thurs before a front
looks to push into the area late Friday. Still plenty of
differences with timing and available moisture with this system so
will continue to monitor. As of the current forecast, there's
enough instability to warrant mention of thunder in the grids.

Temperatures through the extended are expected to be slightly above
average with highs generally in the 60s and 70s and lows in the 40s
to 50s/lower 60s.

Reaves

AVIATION...
00Z Update...
Primarily VFR ceilings to start the forecast are expected to drop
to MVFR around or shortly after 06Z and drop further down to IFR
by 10-12Z. Ceilings will remain IFR through the morning hours
before lifting back to MVFR by 17-18Z Saturday. Some visibility
restrictions are moreover anticipated across the northern TAF
sites starting late tonight before improving during the late
morning Saturday. Areas of rain are expected across far north
Georgia through the period, with the highest chances during the
overnight hours. The metro sites and AHN will be on the southern
extent of the precipitation so isolated to scattered showers will
be possible at these location throughout most of the forecast.
Winds are anticipated to be S to SE throughout the forecast
period. Wind speeds are expected to be 8 kts or less tonight and
Saturday morning, but are expected to increase to 8-12 kts
Saturday afternoon, with some gusts possible.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Medium confidence on all elements.

King

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          45  62  53  70 /  50  30  50  40
Atlanta         50  68  59  70 /  50  30  60  50
Blairsville     42  56  50  68 /  80  50  80  40
Cartersville    48  67  57  71 /  70  50  60  40
Columbus        54  76  59  74 /  10   5  40  60
Gainesville     44  57  52  69 /  70  40  70  40
Macon           53  78  59  75 /  10   5  30  60
Rome            47  66  56  72 /  80  60  70  30
Peachtree City  52  72  58  70 /  30  20  60  50
Vidalia         54  80  60  79 /   5   0  10  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...King
LONG TERM....Reaves
AVIATION...King
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 8, 2:23 PM EST, 8 hours 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
223 PM EST Fri Mar 8 2019

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-091930-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
223 PM EST Fri Mar 8 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue across the area this
afternoon and through the overnight period, mainly across the
northern tier of the forecast area. Hazards will include gusty
winds, brief heavy downpours, and dangerous cloud to ground
lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

More widespread showers and thunderstorms will return to the area
late Saturday into Sunday with an approaching frontal system.
There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms with this
activity across portions of Central Georgia Sunday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 8, 7:52 PM EST, 3 hours 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
752 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

GAZ025-027-036-038-090115-
Madison GA-Jackson GA-Oglethorpe GA-Clarke GA-
752 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...JACKSON...
NORTHWESTERN OGLETHORPE AND CLARKE COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM EST...

At 751 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was over Pendergrass, moving
east at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Jefferson, Commerce, Danielsville, Athens, Arcade, Nicholson,
Winterville, Colbert, Pendergrass, Arnoldsville, Ila, Hull, Talmo,
Whitehall, Athens-Clarke County, Westgate Park, Diamond Hill,
Smithonia, Beechwood Hills and Oconee Heights.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3417 8318 3398 8317 3384 8328 3385 8328
      3385 8330 3411 8369 3417 8372 3421 8365
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 290DEG 49KT 3413 8361

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Mar 8, 8:02 PM EST, 3 hours 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
802 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

GAZ001>003-090130-
Catoosa GA-Walker GA-Dade GA-
802 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CATOOSA...
NORTHWESTERN WALKER AND NORTHERN DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM EST...

At 802 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was near Cole City, moving
east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Trenton, Fort Oglethorpe, Rossville, Chickamauga, Lookout Mountain,
Lakeview, Blue Spring, Cole City, Wildwood, Fairview, Stephensville,
Boynton, Chattanooga  Valley, New England, Morganville, Hooker,
Indian Springs and East Ridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3498 8543 3499 8519 3493 8515 3484 8519
      3488 8559 3498 8560
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 273DEG 37KT 3493 8554

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Mar 8, 8:13 PM EST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
813 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

GAZ002>005-090200-
Whitfield GA-Catoosa GA-Walker GA-Murray GA-
813 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WHITFIELD...SOUTHWESTERN
CATOOSA...SOUTHEASTERN WALKER AND SOUTHERN MURRAY COUNTIES UNTIL 900
PM EST...

At 812 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was near Wood Station, moving
east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, up to penny sized hail, frequent
           lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dalton, Chatsworth, Eton, Tunnel Hill, Naomi, Carters, Ramhurst, Wood
Station, Rocky Face, Tilton, Mill Creek, Beaumont, Dawnville,
Villanow, Fort Mountain State Park and North Georgia Speedway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3486 8469 3471 8466 3459 8469 3460 8473
      3461 8473 3461 8472 3462 8472 3462 8474
      3461 8475 3461 8483 3462 8491 3463 8491
      3462 8493 3466 8524 3486 8522
TIME...MOT...LOC 0112Z 275DEG 35KT 3476 8519

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Mar 8, 8:38 PM EST, 2 hours 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
838 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

GAZ020-021-031>033-090215-
North Fulton GA-Cobb GA-Cherokee GA-Bartow GA-Paulding GA-
838 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH FULTON...NORTHERN COBB...
SOUTHWESTERN CHEROKEE...SOUTHEASTERN BARTOW AND NORTHEASTERN PAULDING
COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM EST...

At 837 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was near Emerson, moving east
at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Marietta, Canton, Cartersville, Sandy Springs, Roswell, Alpharetta,
Kennesaw, Woodstock, Acworth, Holly Springs, Emerson, Mount Bethel,
Hickory Flat, Kellogg Creek, Red Top Mountain State Park, Cross
Roads, Sandy Plains, Hobgood Park, Union Hill and White Water Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3405 8490 3418 8487 3423 8437 3403 8431
      3390 8443
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 278DEG 42KT 3408 8478

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Mar 8, 8:55 PM EST, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
855 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

GAZ004-005-007-090230-
Gilmer GA-Whitfield GA-Murray GA-
855 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GILMER...WHITFIELD AND MURRAY
COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM EST...

At 854 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms extended from Dalton
to near Ramhurst, moving east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph, pea sized hail, frequent lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Dalton, Chatsworth, Ellijay, Eton, Tunnel Hill, East Ellijay,
Carters, Talona, Tails Creek, Ramhurst, Rocky Face, Tilton, Mill
Creek, Conasauga Lake, Cartecay, Dawnville, Pisgah, Cherry Log,
Mountaintown and Fort Mountain State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3485 8462 3486 8444 3482 8433 3471 8425
      3457 8437 3459 8471 3460 8473 3461 8473
      3461 8472 3462 8472 3461 8478 3466 8505
      3472 8505 3472 8507 3486 8506 3487 8462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 282DEG 36KT 3478 8499 3470 8468

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Mar 8, 10:02 PM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1002 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

GAZ034-047-090330-
Walton GA-Gwinnett GA-
1002 PM EST FRI MAR 8 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WALTON AND SOUTHEASTERN
GWINNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM EST...

At 1001 PM EST...a strong thunderstorm was over Snellville, or 7
miles south of Lawrenceville...moving east at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...pea sized hail and frequent lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to exposed surfaces. Lightning is one
           of nature's leading killers. If you can hear
           thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Lawrenceville, Monroe, Snellville, Loganville, Grayson, Between, Good
Hope, Bold Springs, Windsor, Nicholasville, Pannell, Rosebud,
Campton, Gratis and Youth.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Electrical
appliances should not be used unless in an emergency.

LAT...LON 3394 8381 3392 8378 3391 8376 3389 8376
      3390 8374 3390 8373 3392 8367 3391 8364
      3389 8363 3388 8358 3387 8359 3385 8357
      3375 8362 3382 8409 3396 8409
TIME...MOT...LOC 0301Z 279DEG 37KT 3385 8401

HAIL...0.25IN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 7:29 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDade, Walker46 min
Mar 8, 7:31 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBartow29 min
Mar 8, 7:52 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClarke, Jackson, Madison23 min
Mar 8, 8:02 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDade28 min
Mar 8, 8:13 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMurray, Whitfield47 min
Mar 8, 8:38 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCobb37 min
Mar 8, 8:55 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGilmer, Murray, Whitfield35 min
Mar 8, 10:02 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWalton28 min
Mar 9, 1:07 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCWhitfield68 hr
Mar 9, 9:01 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCatoosa33 hr
Mar 9, 10:27 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCatoosa11 hr
Mar 9, 5:22 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDade38 min
Mar 9, 6:24 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCatoosa, Dade, Walker51 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2019River Flood Warnings in Tennessee, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.