Severe Thunderstorm Warning 23, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

687 
WWUS54 KEWX 131243
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
743 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

TXC465-131252-
/O.CAN.KEWX.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-190413T1330Z/
Val Verde TX-
743 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN VAL VERDE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the 
Val Verde County. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM CDT for south central
Texas.

LAT...LON 2910 10065 2913 10065 2920 10076 2923 10075
      2926 10076 2926 10075 2928 10074 2930 10075
      2933 10074 2934 10071 2943 10070 2962 10063
      2962 10011 2903 10011
TIME...MOT...LOC 1242Z 274DEG 40KT 2959 10048 2916 10063 

$$

TXC271-323-131330-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-190413T1330Z/
Kinney TX-Maverick TX-
743 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 AM CDT
FOR KINNEY AND NORTHEASTERN MAVERICK COUNTIES...

At 742 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 12 miles northwest of Alamo Village to 12 miles south
of Standart, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Brackettville, Spofford, Anacacho, Standart, Alamo Village, Amanda,
Turkey Mountain, Fort Clark Springs and Kickapoo Cavern State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM CDT for south central
Texas.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2910 10065 2913 10065 2920 10076 2923 10075
      2926 10076 2926 10075 2928 10074 2930 10075
      2933 10074 2934 10071 2943 10070 2962 10063
      2962 10011 2903 10011
TIME...MOT...LOC 1242Z 274DEG 40KT 2959 10048 2916 10063 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MO

356 
WWUS54 KEWX 131310
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
810 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

TXC271-323-131330-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-190413T1330Z/
Kinney TX-Maverick TX-
810 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN KINNEY AND NORTHEASTERN MAVERICK COUNTIES...

At 810 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 9 miles west of Montell to near Anacacho, moving east
at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Brackettville, Spofford, Anacacho, Alamo Village, Turkey Mountain,
Fort Clark Springs and Kickapoo Cavern State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM CDT for south central
Texas.
 
Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2962 10011 2903 10011 2908 10049 2962 10044
TIME...MOT...LOC 1310Z 272DEG 37KT 2958 10016 2915 10031 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
704 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

.AVIATION... /12Z TAFS/
An isolated supercell is moving along Hwy 90 toward San Antonio but
has a long way to go in an area of decreasing shear and instability.
Thus will maintain only showers for the SAT/SSF TAFS. Over AUS, there
is a large fetch of streamers showers, and the rapid refresh runs as
a whole portrays a better chance for a broken line of storms to pass
through between 15Z and 17Z. Thus will include a 4 hour tempo window
to account for both scenarios as the streamer showers should
intensify after daybreak. There is a weak line of convection tapering
off on the Srn in just upstream from DRT, so will allow for an hour
or two of vcts before the wind shift to the west. Low cigs have set
up over AUS with some vsbys down to near 1 mile with light rain. This
should mix better in the next hour or two with a more southerly wind
trend developing. Have increased the shift to forward an hour at
SAT/SSF as the mixing might kick in a SW wind increase and a more
gradual shift with the front. Meanwhile the more sharp wind shift is
still expected at AUS. Mid-afternoon wind gusts still look to
approach 35 knots, and some wrap-around light sprinkles could linger
into the afternoon hours at AUS while skies clear faster over the
remaining TAF sites.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 504 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019/

SHORT TERM (Today through Sunday)...
Early morning water vapor imagery shows a compact shortwave trough
beginning to negatively tilt over West Texas. At the surface, height
falls associated with this feature have induced a surface low
located near Ozona with an attendant warm front stretching east
towards Waco and a cold front draped from the low southwest towards
Lajitas. Greatest upper level divergence focusing across West
Central and North Texas this morning has resulted in most development
occurring along and north of this warm front, but a supercell has
managed to develop just south of Del Rio as the main mid-level trough
axis swings towards the Rio Grande.

Given the anticipated trajectory of the West Texas shortwave trough,
expect best forcing for thunderstorm development to continue to
remain north of the region through the morning hours. Continued warm
air advection combined with smaller waves embedded in the flow aloft
will still result in isolated to scattered development through the
morning hours, but greatest coverage is expected to be north of the
region. For activity that is able to develop, SPC Mesoanalysis shows
a local enhancement in low level helicities in the vicinity of the
surface low and this will contribute to at least a transient tornado
threat as cells continue to develop this morning. This wind energy
will also help accelerate updrafts and contribute to the potential
for large hail with stronger thunderstorms.

Regional radar mosaic shows thunderstorms beginning to congeal into
a line along the cold front across Terrell, Crockett, and Irion
counties as the surface low begins to eject eastward. High resolution
guidance is consistent in this broken line of thunderstorms moving
eastward across the Edwards Plateau and Hill Country through the
morning hours. A brief severe threat for large hail and damaging
winds may rematerialize mid to late morning as thunderstorms along
the front are able to tap into some surface based instability from
daytime heating and very steep lapse rates near 8 C/km, but this
window will quickly close as the system and cold front exits to the
east this afternoon. Behind the cold front, strong west to northwest
winds 15 to 25 MPH with gusts approaching 40 MPH will be possible
across the region and a Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of
the region through tonight for these gradient winds.

Drier conditions are expected tonight with winds beginning to
decrease as the surface pressure gradient relaxes. Colder air
filtering into the region will allow for lows in the upper 30s to mid
40s on Sunday morning and highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s with dry
conditions continuing.

LONG TERM (Sunday Night through Friday)...
Shortwave ridging builds in across the Southern Plains Sunday night
and lingers through Tuesday ahead of the next approaching wave from
the Pacific, leaving Monday and Tuesday dry with temperatures
gradually warming into the upper 70s in Central Texas to near 90
along the Rio Grande. Moisture return with the approach of the mid-
week system will allow for increasing cloud cover on Tuesday with a
few warm air advection type showers spreading into the region late
Tuesday into Wednesday. As the main disturbance quickly translates
east during the day Wednesday, it will drag a cold front across the
region with a quick shot for showers and thunderstorms as it does.
Drier air behind the front will quickly end rain chances again for
Thursday and Friday with highs falling into the mid 70s to mid 80s by
Friday as the post-frontal airmass settles into the region.

FIRE WEATHER...
Near critical to critical fire weather conditions are expected across
portions of the Rio Grande Plains this afternoon and evening.
Forecast 1-hour fuel moistures are under 4 percent for much of the
Rio Grande Plains today and this, combined with low relative
humidities and gusty northwest winds behind a cold front, will
increase the potential for wildfire spread (particularly in fine
fuels). Forecast soundings show deep mixing (in excess of 8000 feet)
along the Rio Grande today and this will allow for some of the
stronger wind energy associated with the storm system moving across
the Southern Plains to translate to the surface. As a result,
frequent gusts up to 40 MPH may be possible and have continued the
Red Flag Warning for Maverick, Zavala, Frio, and Dimmit as a result.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              79  47  71  52  80 /  80   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  79  47  71  49  79 /  80   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     79  46  72  49  81 /  70   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            72  43  68  50  78 /  80  -    0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           76  48  77  53  86 /  20   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        76  45  69  50  78 /  80   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             79  46  77  50  86 /  40   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        79  46  72  49  81 /  70   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   81  48  71  49  80 /  80   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       80  47  74  52  82 /  60   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           81  49  74  51  82 /  50   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 1 AM CDT Sunday for Bexar-
Blanco-Burnet-Comal-Gillespie-Hays-Kendall-Llano-Travis-Williamson.

Wind Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for Atascosa-
Bandera-Dimmit-Edwards-Frio-Kerr-Kinney-Maverick-Medina-Real-Uvalde-
Val Verde-Zavala.

Red Flag Warning from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for
Dimmit-Frio-Maverick-Zavala.

&&

Aviation...Oaks
Short-Term/Long-Term...Huffman

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
607 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-141115-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
607 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

Isolated storms across the Rio Grande Plains early this morning
could continue to produce large hail, in excess of golfball size.
Additional possible threats include damaging straight-line winds
and an isolated tornado. Because of this a tornado watch is in
effect for portions of the Rio Grande Plains and Edwards Plateau
through 9 am Saturday. As storms push eastward a broken line of
storms could form with a brief severe threat of large hail and
dmaging winds during the mid to late morning along and east of
Interstate 35.

Winds behind the front this afternoon and tonight will be gusty
with sustained winds around 25 miles per hour, with gusts as high
as 30 to 45 miles per hour. The highest winds across the Rio
Grande Plains and Edwards Plateau are possible between noon and 7
pm on Saturday. The higher winds transition eastward across the
Hill Country and Interstate 35 corridor between 4 pm Saturday and
1 am Sunday.

A Red Flag Warning is in effect for the southwest portions of the
Rio Grande Plains along the Brush Country Saturday afternoon and
evening due to gusty winds and low humidity values.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated. But any observed reports
would be appreciated. Feel free to call the office or send the
report through social media.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
210 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

TXZ184-186-130745-
Kerr TX-Edwards TX-
210 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN KERR AND
NORTHEASTERN EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

At 210 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of Telegraph, or 19 miles south of Junction, moving
north at 35 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Us-83 Near The Kerr-Kimble County Line.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM CDT for south central
Texas.

LAT...LON 3029 9965 3016 9973 3016 9988 3029 9987
TIME...MOT...LOC 0710Z 188DEG 29KT 3021 9982

MO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
339 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

TXZ202-130930-
Kinney TX-
339 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN KINNEY COUNTY UNTIL
430 AM CDT...

At 337 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles south of Del Rio, moving east at 15 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Standart and Amanda.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, and Doppler radar indicates there is some
rotation occurring in the storm. Be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM CDT for south central
Texas.

LAT...LON 2924 10076 2925 10076 2926 10075 2929 10074
      2932 10075 2934 10071 2937 10071 2942 10061
      2917 10049 2911 10071 2917 10078 2920 10077
      2924 10080
TIME...MOT...LOC 0837Z 248DEG 15KT 2917 10092

MO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
533 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0533 AM     HAIL             BRACKETTVILLE           29.31N 100.42W
04/13/2019  E1.25 INCH       KINNEY             TX   PUBLIC

            QUARTER TO SILVER DOLLAR SIZED HAIL REPORTED
            IN THE CENTER OF BRACKETTVILLE.

&&

AAT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
548 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0547 AM     HAIL             BRACKETTVILLE           29.31N 100.42W
04/13/2019  E1.75 INCH       KINNEY             TX   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IN
            DOWNTOWN BRACKETTVILLE.

&&

AAT

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
717 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

TXZ183-184-202-217-131300-
Maverick TX-Kinney TX-Val Verde TX-Edwards TX-
717 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN KINNEY...NORTHWESTERN
MAVERICK...SOUTHWESTERN EDWARDS AND SOUTHEASTERN VAL VERDE COUNTIES
UNTIL 800 AM CDT...

At 715 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles southwest of Carta Valley to 6 miles
south of Del Rio. Movement was southeast at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Del Rio, Brackettville, Spofford, Quemado, Lake View, Amanda,
Laughlin AFB, Val Verde Park, Standart, Alamo Village, Cienegas
Terrace, Amistad Recreation Area - Long Point, Radar Base, Amistad
Recreation Area - San Pedro Canyon, Kickapoo Cavern State Park, Fort
Clark Springs, Amistad Recreation Area - 277 North Campground,
Amistad Recreation Area - 277 South Boat Ramp and Laughlin AFB Aux
Field.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 AM CDT for south central
Texas.

LAT...LON 2981 10085 2956 10031 2884 10049 2896 10065
      2909 10067 2917 10078 2920 10077 2926 10081
      2928 10087 2931 10089 2937 10101
TIME...MOT...LOC 1215Z 306DEG 27KT 2971 10078 2927 10090

MO