Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 149, NWS Kansas City, MO

June 15, 2019Caldwell County, Daviess County, Livingston County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2019, 7:38 PM CDT for Caldwell County, Daviess County, Livingston County, Missouri. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2019, 7:38 PM CDT (00:38 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2019, 8:30 PM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Caldwell County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Livingston County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 15, 7:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2187 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1565 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

074 
WUUS53 KEAX 160038
SVREAX
MOC025-061-117-160130-
/O.NEW.KEAX.SV.W.0149.190616T0038Z-190616T0130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
738 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Daviess County in north central Missouri...
  Northeastern Caldwell County in north central Missouri...
  Southwestern Livingston County in north central Missouri...

* Until 830 PM CDT.

* At 738 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Breckenridge,
  or 7 miles east of Hamilton, moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Chillicothe, Breckenridge, Utica, Ludlow, Mooresville and Dawn. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3972 9397 3984 9392 3983 9357 3962 9362
TIME...MOT...LOC 0038Z 277DEG 17KT 3977 9386 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Barham

1 follow-up statement

359 
WWUS53 KEAX 160054
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
754 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

MOC061-160103-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-190616T0130Z/
Daviess MO-
754 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DAVIESS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
north central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3983 9357 3962 9362 3970 9389 3979 9385
      3978 9376 3983 9376
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 287DEG 22KT 3974 9376 

$$

MOC025-117-160130-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-190616T0130Z/
Caldwell MO-Livingston MO-
754 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN CALDWELL AND SOUTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON COUNTIES...

At 753 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Breckenridge,
or 11 miles west of Chillicothe, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Chillicothe, Breckenridge, Utica, Ludlow, Mooresville and Dawn. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3983 9357 3962 9362 3970 9389 3979 9385
      3978 9376 3983 9376
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 287DEG 22KT 3974 9376 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Barham

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 7:07 PM CDT, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 7:07 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
707 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

.Discussion...
Issued at 251 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

Main focus in the short-term is potential for thunderstorms late
this afternoon into the overnight hours. Departing shortwave trough
over Illinois has temporarily resulted in subsidence in its wake,
noted by lack of cumulus field. The approach of another weak wave
has helped spawn agitated cumulus along and just behind a surface
cold front in far northern Kansas and southern Nebraska into far
northern Missouri. Convection is expected to continue to grow with
time within this zone, and CAMs suggest more expansive development
along the front later this evening as the boundary sags towards the
Interstate 70 corridor. Environment is characterized by weakening
CIN and increasing instability, and with marginally supportive deep
layer shear for organized storms, strong to severe storms will
remain a possibility through the mid-evening hours. The primary
severe weather threats will be large hail early in the storm
evolution, transitioning to periodic damaging wind gusts. A broken
line of storms is expected to approach the KC Metro/Interstate 70
corridor between 10pm and midnight. As convection shifts south of
the Interstate, nocturnal cooling and cold-pool imbalance should aid
in a gradual weakening trend of storm organization and intensity.
Cold front is anticipated to slide south towards the southern
forecast area by midday Sunday. This should keep best thunderstorm
chances Sunday and Monday generally south of Interstate 70. Next
best chance for widespread thunderstorms arrives Tuesday night into
Wednesday as the next upper trough approaches the area.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday Evening)
Issued at 707 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

VFR conditions will prevail over much of the next 24 hours. Only
issue will be the near term, this evening, as an area of
thunderstorms develops along a weak cold front settling south
across the region. These storms should settle and/or move south
and east later in the evening. Otherwise, expect winds behind the
front to prevail from the north.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Discussion...Blair
Aviation...Cutter

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 5:04 AM CDT, 14 hours 34 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
504 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161015-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
504 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Severe potential will exist late this afternoon and evening. All
 modes of severe weather will be possible, however, damaging winds
 and large hail will be the primary threats.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

 Strong storms may be ongoing early Sunday morning and will impact
 storm development and placement later in the day.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:18 PM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
518 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0422 PM     TORNADO          MOUND CITY              40.14N 95.23W
06/15/2019                   HOLT               MO   PUBLIC

            VIDEO OF BRIEF TORNADO IN MOUND CITY. POWER
            LINES AND TREES DOWN INSIDE THE TOWN.

&&

SFB

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 6:40 PM CDT, 58 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
640 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

MOZ014-015-023-160030-
Grundy MO-Daviess MO-Livingston MO-
640 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN DAVIESS...SOUTHWESTERN
GRUNDY AND NORTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

At 640 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Gallatin, moving east at 40 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Gallatin, Jamesport, Winston, Altamont, Lock Springs and Spring Hill.

This includes Interstate 35 in Missouri between mile markers 57 and
69.

LAT...LON 4010 9365 3983 9352 3979 9413 3979 9421
      3989 9421 3993 9420
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 252DEG 33KT 3987 9407

Barham

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 6:57 PM CDT, 41 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
657 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

KSZ104-MOZ029-037-160030-
Wyandotte KS-Jackson MO-Clay MO-
657 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN WYANDOTTE...
SOUTHWESTERN CLAY AND NORTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM
CDT...

At 657 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Kansas City Kansas, moving east at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Kansas City, Independence, Gladstone, North Kansas City, Riverside,
Claycomo, Kansas City Kansas, Avondale, Kansas City Downtown,
Oakwood, Oaks and Randolph.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 70 in Missouri between mile markers 0 and 8.
 Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 415 and 423.
 Interstate 35 in Missouri between mile markers 0 and 11.
 Interstate 35 in Kansas between mile markers 233 and 235.
 Interstate 29 between mile markers 0 and 2.
 Interstate 635 between mile markers 1 and 8.
 Interstate 435 between mile markers 54 and 62.

LAT...LON 3917 9466 3915 9466 3916 9460 3919 9460
      3923 9451 3906 9446 3905 9473 3913 9476
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 249DEG 19KT 3911 9466

Barham

Local storm report, Jun 15, 7:21 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
721 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0719 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 SSW TRENTON           40.01N 93.67W
06/15/2019  E60 MPH          GRUNDY             MO   PUBLIC

&&

CB

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 7:23 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
723 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

MOZ014-022-023-160115-
Daviess MO-Livingston MO-Caldwell MO-
723 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DAVIESS...
NORTHEASTERN CALDWELL AND SOUTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 815
PM CDT...

At 723 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hamilton, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hamilton, Breckenridge, Utica, Ludlow, Mooresville, Lock Springs and
Dawn.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
north central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3972 9408 3986 9404 3985 9358 3962 9363
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 275DEG 23KT 3978 9397

Barham

Local storm report, Jun 15, 7:27 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
727 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     HAIL             JAMESPORT               39.97N 93.80W
06/15/2019  E1.25 INCH       DAVIESS            MO   PUBLIC

&&

CB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 7:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Grundy, Linn, Livingston, Sullivan	44 min
Jun 15, 7:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Caldwell	52 min
Jun 15, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Clay, Jackson, Lafayette, Ray	48 min
Jun 15, 7:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Adair, Sullivan	38 min
Jun 15, 8:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Schuyler	42 min
Jun 15, 8:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Jackson, Lafayette	51 min
Jun 15, 8:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Adair	49 min
Jun 15, 8:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Chariton, Linn, Livingston	42 min
Jun 15, 8:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Caldwell	48 min
Jun 15, 8:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Carroll	39 min
Jun 15, 8:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Lafayette	51 min
Jun 15, 9:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Chariton, Linn, Livingston	46 min
Jun 15, 9:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Macon	43 min
Jun 15, 9:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Carroll	49 min
Jun 15, 9:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Chariton	53 min
Jun 15, 9:49 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Chariton, Linn, Livingston	3 hr
Jun 15, 9:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Jackson, Lafayette	51 min
Jun 15, 9:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Carroll, Ray	48 min
Jun 15, 9:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Randolph	46 min
Jun 15, 10:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Lafayette, Saline	41 min
Jun 15, 10:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Randolph	40 min
Jun 16, 3:40 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Bates	50 min
Jun 16, 4:23 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Bates, Henry	3 hr
Jun 16, 4:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Macon	33 min
Jun 16, 4:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Macon	34 min
Jun 16, 5:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Cooper	37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.