Alert archive / Iowa / Wind Advisories in 2019

Wind Advisory 3, NWS Quad Cities, IA

March 9, 201913 counties in Illinois; 21 counties in Iowa; Clark County, Scotland County, Missouri

NWS Quad Cities, IA issued this wind advisory at Mar 9, 2019, 3:06 PM CST for 13 counties in Illinois; 21 counties in Iowa; Clark County, Scotland County, Missouri. It took effect at Mar 9, 2019, 8:00 PM CST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2019, 3:06 PM CST (21:06 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 9, 2019, 8:00 PM CST
Expired
Mar 10, 2019, 9:00 AM CDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Quad Cities, IA
All 36 counties

Benton County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Clark County, MO, Scotland County, MO

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 47 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2019-03-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2019-03-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 152 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
607 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
152 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
239 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

342 
WWUS73 KDVN 092106
NPWDVN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
306 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...High Winds Expected Tonight...

.A strong storm system will move through the Midwest tonight and
Sunday. As the main low moves into Wisconsin, high winds will
develop across the area. Sustained winds of 20 to 35 mph are
expected with wind gusts to 45 mph. Some isolated wind gusts to 50
mph are possible.

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-100515-
/O.NEW.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.190310T0200Z-190310T1200Z/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-
Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Fairfield, Mount Pleasant, Burlington, 
Keosauqua, Fort Madison, Oquawka, Monmouth, Carthage, Macomb, 
Memphis, and Kahoka
306 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM CST THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CDT
SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 8 PM CST this evening to 7 AM
CDT Sunday.

* Winds...West 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Isolated wind
  gusts to 50 mph are possible.

* Timing...Starting at 8 PM and continuing overnight.

* Impacts...Difficult travel. Lightweight outdoor items will be 
  blown around and tree damage and power outages will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$

IAZ063-064-067-076>078-ILZ024-100515-
/O.NEW.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.190310T0300Z-190310T1200Z/
Iowa-Johnson-Muscatine-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Mercer-
Including the cities of Marengo, Iowa City, Muscatine, Sigourney,
Washington, Wapello, and Aledo
306 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM CST THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CDT
SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 9 PM CST this evening to 7 AM
CDT Sunday.

* Winds...West 20 to 33 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Isolated wind
  gusts to 50 mph are possible.

* Timing...Starting at 9 PM and continuing through the night.

* Impacts...Difficult travel. Lightweight outdoor items will be 
  blown around and tree damage and power outages will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$

IAZ051>054-065-066-068-ILZ007-009-015>018-100515-
/O.NEW.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.190310T0400Z-190310T1200Z/
Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Cedar-Clinton-Scott-Carroll-Whiteside-
Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-
Including the cities of Vinton, Cedar Rapids, Anamosa, Maquoketa,
Tipton, Clinton, Davenport, Bettendorf, Mount Carroll, Sterling, 
Moline, Rock Island, Geneseo, Princeton, and Hennepin
306 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM CST THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 10 PM CST this evening to 7 AM
CDT Sunday.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing...Starting at 10 PM and continuing through the night.

* Impacts...Difficult travel. Lightweight outdoor items will be 
  blown around and tree damage and power outages will be possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
335 
WWUS73 KDVN 100144
NPWDVN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
744 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...High Winds Expected Tonight...

.A strong storm system will move through the Midwest tonight and
Sunday. As the main low moves into Wisconsin, high winds will
develop across the area. Sustained winds of 20 to 35 mph are
expected with wind gusts to 45 mph. Some isolated wind gusts to
50 mph are possible.

IAZ040>042-ILZ001-002-100945-
/O.EXA.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.190310T0400Z-190310T1200Z/
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-
Including the cities of Independence, Manchester, Dubuque, 
Galena, and Freeport
744 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 7 AM CDT Sunday.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing...Starting at 10 PM and continuing through the night.

* Impacts...Difficult travel. Lightweight outdoor items will be 
  blown around and tree damage and power outages will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-100945-
/O.CON.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.190310T0200Z-190310T1200Z/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-
Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Fairfield, Mount Pleasant, Burlington, 
Keosauqua, Fort Madison, Oquawka, Monmouth, Carthage, Macomb, 
Memphis, and Kahoka
744 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing...Starting at 8 PM and continuing overnight.

* Impacts...Difficult travel. Lightweight outdoor items will be 
  blown around and tree damage and power outages will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$

IAZ063-064-067-076>078-ILZ024-100945-
/O.CON.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.190310T0300Z-190310T1200Z/
Iowa-Johnson-Muscatine-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Mercer-
Including the cities of Marengo, Iowa City, Muscatine, Sigourney,
Washington, Wapello, and Aledo
744 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing...Starting at 9 PM and continuing through the night.

* Impacts...Difficult travel. Lightweight outdoor items will be 
  blown around and tree damage and power outages will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$

IAZ051>054-065-066-068-ILZ007-009-015>018-100945-
/O.CON.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.190310T0400Z-190310T1200Z/
Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Cedar-Clinton-Scott-Carroll-Whiteside-
Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-
Including the cities of Vinton, Cedar Rapids, Anamosa, Maquoketa,
Tipton, Clinton, Davenport, Bettendorf, Mount Carroll, Sterling, 
Moline, Rock Island, Geneseo, Princeton, and Hennepin
744 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing...Starting at 10 PM and continuing through the night.

* Impacts...Difficult travel. Lightweight outdoor items will be 
  blown around and tree damage and power outages will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$
670 
WWUS73 KDVN 100719
NPWDVN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
119 AM CST Sun Mar 10 2019

...Strong Winds Continue Tonight...

.A strong storm system tracking into Lower Michigan will keep
strong winds going across the area for the remainder of the night. 
West winds sustained at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45 mph 
can be expected.

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-101200-
/O.CON.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190310T1200Z/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-
Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Fairfield, Mount Pleasant, Burlington, 
Keosauqua, Fort Madison, Oquawka, Monmouth, Carthage, Macomb, 
Memphis, and Kahoka
119 AM CST Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* Winds...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45 mph.

* Timing...Through 7 am Sunday.

* Impacts...Difficult travel, especially for high profile
  vehicles. Unsecured lightweight outdoor objects will be blown 
  around.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$

IAZ063-064-067-076>078-ILZ024-101200-
/O.CON.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190310T1200Z/
Iowa-Johnson-Muscatine-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Mercer-
Including the cities of Marengo, Iowa City, Muscatine, Sigourney,
Washington, Wapello, and Aledo
119 AM CST Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* Winds...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45 mph.

* Timing...Through 7 am Sunday.

* Impacts...Difficult travel, especially for high profile
  vehicles. Unsecured lightweight outdoor objects will be blown
  around.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$

IAZ040>042-051>054-065-066-068-ILZ001-002-007-009-015>018-101200-
/O.CON.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190310T1200Z/
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Cedar-Clinton-
Scott-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-Whiteside-Rock Island-
Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-
Including the cities of Independence, Manchester, Dubuque, 
Vinton, Cedar Rapids, Anamosa, Maquoketa, Tipton, Clinton, 
Davenport, Bettendorf, Galena, Freeport, Mount Carroll, Sterling,
Moline, Rock Island, Geneseo, Princeton, and Hennepin
119 AM CST Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* Winds...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45 mph.

* Timing...Through 7 am Sunday.

* Impacts...Difficult travel, especially for high profile
  vehicles. Unsecured lightweight outdoor objects will be blown
  around.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$
Haase
083 
WWUS73 KDVN 101141
NPWDVN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
641 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...Strong Winds Continue Tonight...

.A strong storm system tracking into Lower Michigan will keep
strong winds going across the area early this morning. West winds
sustained at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45 mph can be 
expected.

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-101245-
/O.EXP.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190310T1200Z/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-
Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Fairfield, Mount Pleasant, Burlington, 
Keosauqua, Fort Madison, Oquawka, Monmouth, Carthage, Macomb, 
Memphis, and Kahoka
641 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

Winds have diminished so the wind advisory will be allowed to 
expire.

$$

IAZ063-064-067-076>078-ILZ024-101245-
/O.EXP.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190310T1200Z/
Iowa-Johnson-Muscatine-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Mercer-
Including the cities of Marengo, Iowa City, Muscatine, Sigourney,
Washington, Wapello, and Aledo
641 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

Winds have diminished so the wind advisory will be allowed to
expire.

$$

IAZ040>042-051>054-065-066-068-ILZ001-002-007-009-015>018-101400-
/O.EXT.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190310T1400Z/
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Cedar-Clinton-
Scott-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-Whiteside-Rock Island-
Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-
Including the cities of Independence, Manchester, Dubuque, 
Vinton, Cedar Rapids, Anamosa, Maquoketa, Tipton, Clinton, 
Davenport, Bettendorf, Galena, Freeport, Mount Carroll, Sterling,
Moline, Rock Island, Geneseo, Princeton, and Hennepin
641 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* Winds...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45 mph.

* Timing...Through 9 am this morning.

* Impacts...Difficult travel, especially for high profile 
  vehicles. Unsecured lightweight outdoor objects will be blown 
  around.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 30 mph or greater are
expected, which can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles.  Use extra caution if you are traveling.

&&

$$
Haase
520 
WWUS73 KDVN 101356
NPWDVN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
856 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...Winds Diminishing this Morning...

.Winds will continue to diminish as a strong storm system moves
out of the region this morning. 

IAZ040>042-051>054-065-066-068-ILZ001-002-007-009-015>018-101500-
/O.EXP.KDVN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190310T1400Z/
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Cedar-Clinton-
Scott-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-Whiteside-Rock Island-
Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-
Including the cities of Independence, Manchester, Dubuque, 
Vinton, Cedar Rapids, Anamosa, Maquoketa, Tipton, Clinton, 
Davenport, Bettendorf, Galena, Freeport, Mount Carroll, Sterling,
Moline, Rock Island, Geneseo, Princeton, and Hennepin
856 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

Winds will continue to diminish this morning and the wind advisory
will be allowed to expire. 

$$

Sheets

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 9, 12:19 PM CST, 2 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 12:19 PM CST, 2 hours 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
1219 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1218 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

Axis of moderate rain has overspread the southwest 2/3rds of the
forecast area as of midday. Surface reports have indicated snow
at least mixed with the rain at times from Macomb northwest
through Fort Madison, Mount Pleasant and Washington. There were
some wet snow flakes observed with the light rain at the DVN
office earlier this morning. This may be the result of evaporative
cooling in the dry layer from 850 mb to 700 mb that showed up on
the DVN and ILX 12z sounding. Temperatures have been slow to rise,
with all sites still in the lower to mid 30s at midday.

Have updated to add the mention of at least a mixing of snow
through midday. Bigger concerns still center around rainfall and
rainfall rates. A webcam in southeast Iowa showed significant
runoff over farm fields and standing water in ditches from the
roughly .60 to .80 rainfall reported by this morning. This axis
of warm advection rain will likely produce similar results as it
lifts north through the forecast area this afternoon, which will
be watched closely. Area radars showed the pronounced dry slot
over north central MO, with showers and thunderstorms closer to
the upper low over far NE KS and NW MO. Some of this may continue
as more elevated based convection driven by the strong upper
forcing ahead of the low, but not as strong as what is currently
taking place as it will be much further away from the low level
instability. Away from that feature, there will be isolated
lightning strikes possible, as occurred over the Quad Cities in
the past 15 minutes.

Will also be watching the strong east-southeast winds closely in
the tight pressure gradient. Have had a couple sites close to
advisory levels at times this morning, but the more favorable
period for strong winds and possibly need for an advisory looks
to be in the wake of the system with the strong westerly winds
overnight.

There may also be a period of dense fog, which is currently
occurring to the north and northwest of the surface low over
southeast NE. This may be a possibility over eastern IA for a
several hour window this evening as this enhanced moisture
pooling and weak convergence axis migrates with the surface low
pushing through eastern Iowa, on perhaps a slightly more
southeastward track than previously forecast.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 320 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

Low pressure organizing off the lee of the CO Rockies with 3hr
pres falls of 4 mb in the central Plains, indicative of strong
warm air advection/lift. Radar mosaics show an area of rain and
thunderstorms in eastern KS into eastern OK. Dewpoints were in the
60s from TX to AL.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
ISSUED AT 320 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

Today: Low pressure will push to near Kansas City, MO by noon and
then to eastern IA by evening. This will be a respectable cyclone
at 990 mb with strong warm air advection/moisture convergence on a
50-60 knot LLJ. PWAT's increase to over an inch by afternoon along
with strong shear, but instability is minimal due to extensive
cloud cover. The HRRR has a good handle on this and brings a
widespread area of moderate rain into our sw cwa towards sunrise,
then reaching the Cedar Rapids/Quad Cities by mid morning then
into far nw IL by noon. There will also be pockets of heavy rain
associated with embedded thunderstorms. At least the activity will
be rather quick moving with the heavier cells not sitting in one
place for long, which will limit the flash flood potential.
Towards evening the rain should become more scattered instead of
widespread. Expecting widespread rainfall amounts of 3/4 to 1.10
inches which may cause rises in creeks, streams and rivers, and
ponding of water. Later shifts will certainly need to monitor
hydro issues. As the cyclone draws closer to the area southeast
winds will increase during the day with gusts up to 35 mph.
However, the winds will diminish greatly by evening as the cyclone
tracks across the cwa. Highs will be in the upper 30s north to
the upper 40s south.

Tonight: The cyclone will push rapidly to extreme northern Lower
MI by 12z Sunday ending the rain from sw to ne across the cwa
during the evening. The rain could briefly change to snow in our
far nw counties around Independence but accumulations would be a
dusting if any. After midnight much of the cwa should be dry.
Later in the evening the winds will crank up again from the west
and gust to around 40 mph. As of now this looks to be marginal for
a wind advisory and have not issued headlines. Lows will range
from the mid 20s west to the lower 30s east.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
ISSUED AT 320 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

Dry conditions will be found Sunday into early Tuesday. Windy
conditions will continue through sunset Sunday which will be around
7 pm after the time change. Sunny skies and light winds are expected
Monday with highs in the 30s to mid 40s.

Precip chances begin to increase Tuesday morning...as the next rain
and wind machine begins to affect the area. Winds will pick up again
from the SE Tuesday afternoon gradually becoming SW by Thu AM and
finally NW by Thu night after a fropa. They will be quite strong
through Friday. Introduced a slight chance for thunder into the
grids for Wed. afternoon and evening.

As for rainfall amounts, it appears that the heaviest precipitation
of 1 to 2 plus inches will fall across NW IA and into southern MN;
adding additional water to the Mississippi Basin. Lesser amounts of
0.5 to 1 inch are expected locally, but any amount could still be
enough to result in river flooding issues.  Temperatures in the 40s
and 50s are expected Tuesday through Thursday with 30s returning
Friday after the cold frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

Strong low pressure system advancing through eastern Iowa tonight
will provide widespread rain, showers, isolated thunderstorms and
strong gusty winds this afternoon. The best potential for
thunderstorms will be at the BRL site. Thunderstorms will also be
possible at the other terminals, but confidence was too low to
include at this time. Widespread MVFR to IFR conditions are
expected. Tonight, there may be a period of dense fog and VLIFR
conditions in the evening, then MVFR conditions and strong gusty
west winds are expected overnight with gusts up to 40 kts
possible. Winds will diminish some but remain gusty through the
Sunday morning period.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Issued at 1134 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

Forecasted rainfall still looks to average between 0.5 and 1.00
inch today into this evening. This rainfall falling over a
saturated and frozen ground will runoff fairly quickly into area
waterways. Additional runoff in the form of snow melt will also
occur while temperatures are above freezing.

Another storm system is forecast to affect the Midwest around the
middle of next week. Rainfall and temperatures above freezing
will result in another round of rises on area waterways that may
push additional rivers into flood.

Rock river:

The forecast rainfall and expected snow melt will now push the
Rock river into moderate flood. Additional rises are expected
with the next round of rain late next week that is expected to
push the river even higher.

The situation with the ice jams between Lyndon and Prophetstown
has not changed over the past 24 hours. Route 78 remains open but
water is at the edges of the pavement. Rainfall and temperatures
above freezing may cause water levels near the ice jams to
fluctuate rapidly.

Iowa river:

New flood watches were issued for the Marengo and Lone Tree areas.
The river will rise in response to the rain and snow melt that
occurs today but will remain below flood stage. The next round of
rain and snow melt next week will cause the river to rise again that
may push it above flood stage.

Pecatonica river:

A flood watch was issued for the Pecatonica area. The river will
rise in response to rain and snow melt today but is expected to
remain below flood stage. The next round of rain and snow melt
next week will cause the river to rise again that may push it into
flood.

Mississippi river:

A flood watch was issued for the Gregory Landing area. Two rounds
of rises will occur in response to rainfall and snow melt over the
next 7 days that may push the river into flood.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ISSUED AT 320 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

Week 2...March 16-22

Odds favor below normal temperatures and below normal
precipitation in this time frame. Below normal temps will help
ensure the snowpack in Minnesota/Wisconsin does not melt too quickly.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...Sheets
SYNOPSIS...Haase
SHORT TERM...Haase
LONG TERM...14
AVIATION...Sheets
HYDROLOGY...08
CLIMATE...Haase
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 7:50 AM CST, 7 hours 16 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
750 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-101000-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
750 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A strong storm system will impact the region this weekend. Widespread
rain and a few embedded thunderstorms can be expected for much of
today and into this evening. Rain amounts of around one inch are
likely, which may bring significant rises to creeks, streams and
rivers. This may cause additional river flooding. Southeast winds
will also gust up to 35 mph today.

Strong west to northwest winds later tonight into Sunday may gust
up to 40 mph.

Portions of the Rock River is experiencing flooding. Please see
the latest Flood Statements and Flood Warnings for details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Another potent storm system is expected Tuesday through Wednesday,
bringing strong winds and the potential for significant rain and
a few thunderstorms. This may cause additional flooding concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight. However,
reports of rainfall amounts greater than an inch would be
appreciated.

...corrected spotter information statement wording...

Haase/14

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 9, 12:13 PM CST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1213 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SW STRONGHURST        40.74N 90.91W
03/09/2019  M0.81 INCH       HENDERSON          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAIN BEGAN AT 7:45 AM - RAIN CONTINUES.

1145 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SW NEW LONDON         40.91N 91.43W
03/09/2019  M0.81 INCH       HENRY              IA   COCORAHS

            RAINFALL IN THE PAST 4 HOURS. GROUND IS
            FROZEN AND WATER IS RUNNING EVERYWHERE.
            CULVERT UNDER DRIVEWAY IS ALMOST FINISHED
            FULL.

&&
Local storm report, Mar 9, 12:40 PM CST, 2 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1240 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1239 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CANTRIL                 40.64N 92.07W
03/09/2019  M1.10 INCH       VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR.

&&

PS
Local storm report, Mar 9, 1:02 PM CST, 2 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
102 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 W INDUSTRY            40.33N 90.64W
03/09/2019  M1.25 INCH       MCDONOUGH          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR.

&&

PS
Special weather statement, Mar 9, 2:43 PM CST, 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
243 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019

ILC067-071-109-187-IAC057-087-101-111-177-MOC045-199-092130-
Hancock-Henderson-Warren-McDonough-Henry-Des Moines-Van
Buren-Jefferson-Lee-Scotland-Clark-
243 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL MOVING INTO NORTHEAST
MISSOURI...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

At 240 PM CST, a complex of thunderstorms with heavy downpours and
pea sized hail was over northeast Missouri, far southeast Iowa and
west central Illinois moving to the northeast at 35 mph.

This area had widespread rain this morning, which lead to widespread
runoff from fields, standing water in ditches, and ponding water in
low lying areas due to the frozen ground. Any additional rainfall
may lead to minor flooding.

If you are driving and encounter a flooded roadway, Turn around,
don't drown. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.

LAT...LON 4021 9151 4025 9150 4026 9195 4030 9195
      4030 9235 4060 9232 4060 9218 4094 9218
      4093 9044 4028 9045 4028 9091 4019 9091
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 208DEG 29KT 4050 9146

Sheets
Local storm report, Mar 9, 2:46 PM CST, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
246 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0217 PM     HAIL             2 NE RUTLEDGE           40.33N 92.07W
03/09/2019  M0.25 INCH       SCOTLAND           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LASTED 1.5 MINUTE.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Quad Cities, IA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 8:16 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningDVNHenry, Rock Island24 days
Mar 9, 10:16 AM CSTRiver Flood WatchDVNStephenson24 hr
Mar 9, 11:31 AM CSTRiver Flood WatchDVNHancock24 hr
Mar 9, 2:43 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementDVNHancock, Henderson, McDonough, Warren47 min
Mar 9, 3:42 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementDVNHenderson, McDonough, Mercer, Warren93 min
Mar 9, 10:54 AM CSTRiver Flood WatchDVNBenton, Iowa21 days
Mar 9, 10:54 AM CSTRiver Flood WatchDVNJohnson, Louisa, Washington42 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Iowa, 2019Wind Advisories in Illinois, 2019Wind Advisories in Missouri, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.