Alert archive / Michigan / Storm Warnings in 2019

Storm Warning 1, NWS Detroit, MI

February 23, 2019

NWS Detroit, MI issued this storm warning at Feb 23, 2019, 3:46 PM EST. It took effect at Feb 24, 2019, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 27 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 23, 2019, 3:46 PM EST (20:46 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 24, 2019, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 25, 2019, 9:56 AM EST
In force
27 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

The text

As transmitted.

810 
WHUS73 KDTX 232046
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
346 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...Storm Force Wind Gusts Possible Sunday through Monday...

.An intense low pressure system on pace to track across the northern 
great lakes tonight and Sunday. A period of moderate southeast winds 
will develop in advance of this system tonight. This trajectory will 
bring gusts near 30 knots across portions of northern lake Huron 
during this time. A pronounced increase in winds from the west-
southwest then expected on Sunday in the wake of this low. A long 
duration high wind event lasting into Sunday night, with sustained 
west-southwest winds of 30 to 35 knots gusting 40 to 50 knots. Peak 
gusts reaching in excess of 50 knots at times, warranting the 
issuance of a storm warning for all of lake Huron and lake St. 
Clair. Gale force gusts likely persist into Monday over portions of 
northern and central lake Huron, before gradually diminishing late 
Monday and Monday night as the gradient eases. A more modest 
northwest wind for the middle of next week as high pressure drifts 
into the region.

LEZ444-240915-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0010.190224T1200Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0014.190224T1200Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0003.190224T1200Z-190225T0600Z/
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
346 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM
EST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a Gale
Warning which is in effect from 7 AM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday. 

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained winds
  up to 36 knots from the west with gusts up to 47 knots. The 
  largest expected significant waves will be 5 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 7 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 1 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 1 PM EST Sunday. 

* Expect water levels to drop to possibly 2 feet below the
  critical mark for safe navigation. Low water conditions can be
  expected from 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Low Water Advisory means water levels are expected to be
significantly below average. Mariners should use extreme caution
and transit at the slowest safe navigable speed to minimize
impact.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-462>464-240915-
/O.UPG.KDTX.SR.A.0002.190224T1200Z-190225T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SR.W.0001.190224T1500Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond
5NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off
shore-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
346 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Storm Warning which is in effect from 10 AM Sunday to 1 PM EST
Monday. 

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 43 knots from the west with gusts up to 57 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 18 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 26 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 10 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 11 PM EST Sunday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441>443-240915-
/O.UPG.KDTX.SR.A.0002.190224T1200Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SR.W.0001.190224T1500Z-190225T0900Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
346 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Storm Warning which is in effect from 10 AM Sunday to 4 AM EST
Monday. 

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 39 knots from the west with gusts up to 55 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 7 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 10 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 5 PM EST Sunday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LCZ460-240915-
/O.UPG.KDTX.SR.A.0002.190224T1200Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0900Z/
Lake St Clair-
346 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Storm Warning which is in effect from 7 AM Sunday to 4 AM EST
Monday. 

* WIND: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained winds up to 33
  knots from the southwest with gusts up to 50 knots. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 12 PM EST Sunday.

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

DRK
5 follow-up statements
319 
WHUS73 KDTX 240855
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
355 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...Storms About to Impact the Lakes...

.An intense low pressure system remains on track to cross through the 
Great Lakes today. Moderate southeast winds are underway in advance 
of this system as the center of the surface low begins to move into 
western portions of Lake Michigan. The current track will bring 
gusts near 30 knots across portions of northern lake Huron through 
the morning hours. A pronounced increase in winds from the west-
southwest are then expected by the afternoon as cold air advection 
begins in the wake of this strong low. A long duration high wind 
event will then ensue and last into tonight with sustained west-
southwest winds of 30 to 35 knots gusting 40 to 50 knots. Peak wind 
gusts will be exceeding 50 knots at times throughout the afternoon. 
A Storm Warning remains in effect for all of Lake Huron and Lake St. 
Clair with a Gale Warning for western Lake Erie. Gale force gusts 
will persist into Monday for portions of northern and central Lake 
Huron before winds begin to decrease late Monday with the weakening 
pressure gradient. High pressure building into the region will bring 
more modest northwesterly flow into the middle of the week.

LEZ444-242100-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0014.190224T1200Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0003.190224T1200Z-190225T0600Z/
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
355 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
EST MONDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 37 knots from the west with gusts up to 51 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 12 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 17 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 1 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 9 PM EST Sunday. 

* The water level is expected to drop below the
  critical mark for safe navigation Sunday morning and remain
  below the critical mark through tonight. The water level is
  currently at 49 inches or 27 inches above the critical mark. The
  water level is expected to drop at least 2 to 3 feet below the 
  critical mark for safe navigation. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Low Water Advisory means water levels are expected to be
significantly below average. Mariners should use extreme caution
and transit at the slowest safe navigable speed to minimize
impact.

&&

$$

LHZ361>363-462>464-242100-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.190224T1500Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond
5NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off
shore-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
355 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
1 PM EST MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 45 knots from the west with gusts up to 59 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 17 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 24 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 10 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 AM EST Monday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441>443-242100-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.190224T1500Z-190225T0900Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
355 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 40 knots from the west with gusts up to 55 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 8 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 11 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 5 PM EST Sunday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LCZ460-242100-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0900Z/
Lake St Clair-
355 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
EST MONDAY...

* WIND: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained winds up to 
  34 knots from the southwest with gusts up to 48 knots. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 12 PM EST Sunday.

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

SC
955 
WHUS73 KDTX 241643
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1143 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...Storm force winds through tonight...

.An intense low pressure system remains on track to cross through the 
Great Lakes today. Moderate southeast winds are underway in advance 
of this system as the center of the surface low begins to move into 
western portions of Lake Michigan. The current track will bring 
gusts near 30 knots across portions of northern lake Huron through 
the morning hours. A pronounced increase in winds from the west-
southwest are then expected by the afternoon as cold air advection 
begins in the wake of this strong low. A long duration high wind 
event will then ensue and last into tonight with sustained west-
southwest winds of 30 to 35 knots gusting 40 to 50 knots. Peak wind 
gusts will be exceeding 50 knots at times throughout the afternoon. 
A Storm Warning remains in effect for all of Lake Huron and Lake St. 
Clair with a Gale Warning for western Lake Erie. Gale force gusts 
will persist into Monday for portions of northern and central Lake 
Huron before winds begin to decrease late Monday with the weakening 
pressure gradient. High pressure building into the region will bring 
more modest northwesterly flow into the middle of the week.

LHZ361-362-250445-
/O.NEW.KDTX.UP.W.0010.190224T1643Z-190226T0300Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond
5NM off shore-
1143 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
MONDAY...
...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning which is in effect until 10 PM EST
Monday. 

* Expect heavy freezing spray to occur until 10 PM EST Monday.

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 45 knots from the west with gusts up to 60 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 18 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 26 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 10 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 AM EST Monday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LEZ444-250445-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190225T0600Z/
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
1143 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 37 knots from the west with gusts up to 51 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 12 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 17 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 1 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 9 PM EST Sunday. 

* Expect water levels to fall at least 2 to 3 feet below low 
  water datum by this evening with low water conditions persisting
  until 1 AM EST Monday. At 11 AM, the water level at Toledo was 
  19 inches above low chart datum.

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Low Water Advisory means water levels are expected to be
significantly below average. Mariners should use extreme caution
and transit at the slowest safe navigable speed to minimize
impact.

&&

$$

LHZ363-462>464-250445-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off
shore-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
1143 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 43 knots from the west with gusts up to 57 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 16 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 23 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 10 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 3 AM EST Monday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441>443-250445-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T0900Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
1143 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 40 knots from the west with gusts up to 58 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 8 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 11 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 PM EST Sunday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LCZ460-250445-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T0900Z/
Lake St Clair-
1143 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WIND: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained winds up to 
  34 knots from the southwest with gusts up to 50 knots. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 12 PM EST Sunday.

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

SF
854 
WHUS73 KDTX 242035
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
335 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...Storm force winds through tonight...

.An intense low pressure system will track from the northern great 
lakes today to western Quebec tonight. The combination of a strong 
pressure gradient associated with this system and the arrival of 
colder air will maintain a long duration high wind event lasting 
into early Monday. Sustained westerly winds of 30 to 35 knots with 
gusts 40 to 50 knots will be common, with peak gusts exceeding storm 
force during this time. A Storm Warning remains in effect for all of 
Lake Huron and Lake St. Clair with a Gale Warning for western Lake 
Erie. Gale force gusts will persist into Monday for portions of 
northern and central Lake Huron before winds begin to decrease late 
Monday with the weakening pressure gradient. High pressure building 
into the region will bring more modest northwesterly flow into the 
middle of the week.

LEZ444-250845-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190225T0600Z/
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
335 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WIND: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained winds up to 35 
  knots from the west with gusts up to 51 knots. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 3 PM EST Sunday.

* Expect water levels to drop around 3 feet below low water datum
  around midnight with low water conditions persisting until 4 AM
  EST Monday. At 3 PM, the water level at Toledo was 4 inches
  below low water chart datum.

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Low Water Advisory means water levels are expected to be
significantly below average. Mariners should use extreme caution
and transit at the slowest safe navigable speed to minimize
impact.

&&

$$

LHZ361-362-250845-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190226T0300Z/
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond
5NM off shore-
335 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
MONDAY...

* Expect heavy freezing spray to occur until 10 PM EST Monday.

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 45 knots from the west with gusts up to 60 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 18 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 26 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 10 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 AM EST Monday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LHZ363-462>464-250845-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off
shore-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
335 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 43 knots from the west with gusts up to 57 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 16 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 23 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 10 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 3 AM EST Monday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441>443-250845-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T0900Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
335 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 40 knots from the west with gusts up to 58 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 8 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 11 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 PM EST Sunday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 PM EST Sunday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LCZ460-250845-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T0900Z/
Lake St Clair-
335 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

* WIND: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained winds up to 
  33 knots from the west with gusts up to 50 knots. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 PM EST Sunday.

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

SF
373 
WHUS73 KDTX 250919
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
419 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...Storm and Gale Force Winds Through This Afternoon...

.A weakening gradient during the course of the day as high pressure 
expands into the region from the west will result in a steady 
decrease in the gales and storms. By evening, all marine areas 
should be below gales. High pressure will sustain mainly light winds 
through Tuesday night. Weak low pressure is forecast to develop 
across the southern lakes region on Wednesday, leading to the 
development of modest southeast winds.

LHZ462>464-251800-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0015.190225T0919Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
419 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a Gale
Warning which is in effect until 1 PM EST this afternoon. 

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 36 knots from the west with gusts up to 47 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 10 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 14 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 AM EST Monday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 AM EST Monday. 

the Storm Warning has been cancelled. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ444-252130-
/O.EXP.KDTX.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0015.190225T0919Z-190225T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.LO.Y.0004.190225T0919Z-190226T0000Z/
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
419 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a Gale
Warning which is in effect until 10 AM EST this morning. a Low
Water Advisory has also been issued. This Low Water Advisory is
in effect until 7 PM EST this evening. 

* WIND: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained winds up to 28 
  knots from the west with gusts up to 41 knots. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 AM EST Monday.

* WATER LEVELS...At 3 AM, the water level at Toledo was 6 inches
  below low water datum. This level is 27 inches below the
  critical mark for safe navigation. The water level is expected
  to stay near these levels through the morning before rising
  midday or this afternoon.

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Low Water Advisory means water levels are expected to be
significantly below average. Mariners should use extreme caution
and transit at the slowest safe navigable speed to minimize
impact.

&&

$$

LCZ460-251500-
/O.EXP.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0015.190225T0919Z-190225T1500Z/
Lake St Clair-
419 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a Gale
Warning which is in effect until 10 AM EST this morning. 

* WIND: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained winds up to 26 
  knots from the west with gusts up to 38 knots. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 AM EST Monday.

The Storm Warning is no longer in effect. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-441>443-251800-
/O.EXP.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0015.190225T0919Z-190225T1800Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
419 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a Gale
Warning which is in effect until 1 PM EST this afternoon. 

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 32 knots from the west with gusts up to 41 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 8 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 11 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 AM EST Monday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 AM EST Monday. 

The Storm Warning is no longer in effect. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ361-362-252130-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190226T0300Z/
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond
5NM off shore-
419 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* Expect heavy freezing spray to occur until 10 PM EST this 
  evening. 

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 44 knots from the northwest with gusts up to 59 
  knots. The largest expected significant waves will be 20 feet 
  with a potential maximum wave height of 29 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 AM EST Monday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 AM EST Monday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

LHZ363-251800-
/O.CON.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off
shore-
419 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Storm Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 41 knots from the west with gusts up to 57 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 16 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 23 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 4 AM EST Monday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 AM EST Monday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$

AA
915 
WHUS73 KDTX 251456
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
956 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...Decreasing winds...

.A weakening gradient during the course of the day as high pressure 
expands into the region from the west will result in a steady 
decrease in the gales and storms. By evening, all marine areas 
should be below gales. High pressure will sustain mainly light winds 
through Tuesday night. Weak low pressure is forecast to develop 
across the southern lakes region on Wednesday, leading to the 
development of modest southeast winds.

LHZ361-362-260300-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190226T0300Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190226T0300Z/
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond
5NM off shore-
956 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a Gale
Warning which is in effect until 10 PM EST this evening. 

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained winds
  up to 39 knots from the northwest with gusts up to 47 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 17 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 24 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 11 AM EST Monday 
  with the largest waves expected around 9 AM EST Monday. 

the Storm Warning has been cancelled. 

* Expect heavy freezing spray to occur until 10 PM EST this 
  evening. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ363-252100-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190225T2100Z/
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off
shore-
956 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a Gale
Warning which is in effect until 4 PM EST this afternoon. 

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 34 knots from the west with gusts up to 43 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 15 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 22 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 11 AM EST Monday 
  with the largest waves expected around 9 AM EST Monday. 

the Storm Warning has been cancelled. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ444-252100-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190225T1500Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.LO.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190225T2100Z/
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
956 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has cancelled the
Gale Warning. The Low Water Advisory is now in effect until 4 PM
EST this afternoon. 

* Expect water levels to continue to slowly rise through the day.
  At 930 AM, the water level at Toledo was 9 inches above low
  water chart datum, which is still about 15 inches below the
  critical mark for safe navigation. 
  

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Low Water Advisory means water levels are expected to be
significantly below average. Mariners should use extreme caution
and transit at the slowest safe navigable speed to minimize
impact.

&&

$$

LCZ460-251600-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190225T1500Z/
Lake St Clair-
956 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has cancelled the
Gale Warning. 

$$

LHZ422-251600-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
956 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has cancelled the
Gale Warning. 

$$

LHZ421-441>443-462>464-252100-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190225T2100Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-
Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
956 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

The Gale Warning is now in effect until 4 PM EST this afternoon. 

* WIND AND WAVES: During the Gale Warning, expect sustained 
  winds up to 32 knots from the west with gusts up to 41 knots. 
  The largest expected significant waves will be 8 feet with a 
  potential maximum wave height of 11 feet. 

* TIMING: The maximum winds are expected around 11 AM EST Monday 
  with the largest waves expected around 9 AM EST Monday. 

Refer to the latest marine forecasts for greater detail.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

SF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Feb 23, 12:09 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 12:09 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1209 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

.AVIATION...

An intensifying low pressure system on pace to impact the southeast
Michigan airspace tonight into Sunday. Extensive mid cloud defining
conditions today, with cigs gradually lowering with time going
forward this afternoon and evening as moisture deepens in advance of
this system. Coverage of showers increases overnight in developing
IFR/LIFR conditions, with a window for embedded thunder centered
04z-09z. Strengthening wind field will first lead to a period of low
level wind shear above a 10-15kt southeast gradient tonight. The
ensuing post-frontal mixing favorably timed during the daylight
period will then translate into a long duration high wind event on
Sunday. West-southwest wind gusts reaching in excess of 45 knots at
times during the afternoon and evening periods.

For DTW...Cigs gradually lowering into the evening, with increasing
likelihood for sub-5000 ft ceiling heights to emerge by sunset.
Increasing shower coverage w/ possible embedded t-storms between 04z
and 09z. Potential for LIFR cigs during this time. Strong west-
southwest winds expected Sunday - gusting over 45 knots at times.
Winds from a 230-240 direction will keep cross wind considerations in
play during this time.

.DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

*  Moderate for cigs below 5000 ft late this afternoon into the
   evening. High tonight.

*  Low for thunderstorm occurrence tonight.

*  High for precipitation type to remain rain through Sunday morning.

*  Medium for west-southwest winds reaching crosswind thresholds
   Sunday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 317 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

DISCUSSION...

A short wavelength, yet deep and compact, mid level wave will lift
from the Texas panhandle this morning into western Wisconsin late
tonight, then across Upper Michigan Sunday morning. Associated with
this wave will be a deepening sfc low, forecast to deepen from 999MB
over Kansas this afternoon to 979MB over Eastern Upper Mi Sun
morning. The low will then continue to deepen as it lifts northeast
of Lake Superior Sunday afternoon. This system will have a relatively
tight gradient and strong low level wind field associated with it.

The 2-5k ft level winds will strengthen to 50-60 knots overnight.
Strong boundary layer stability will inhibit these stronger winds
from reaching the surface overnight. Model solutions indicate a
stronger push of low level winds along the associated surface cold
front (forecast to traverse Se Mi between 12Z and 15Z Sunday). A
brief period of downward momentum transport, with model soundings
showing a rapid reduction in 0-1KM stability, will provide an
opportunity to mix some stronger winds to the surface (with a brief
interval of gusts in excess of 55 MPH possible). Strong low level
winds (2-4k ft winds of 50-60 knots) will then reside across srn Mi
through Sun evening. The potential for strong wind gusts through the
remainder of the day and evening will hinge on the degree of mixing.
The diurnal heating process and steady low level cold air advection
will result in deepening mixing depths. Low level moisture wrapping
around the departing upper low may however limit this to a degree.
Given the strong low level wind fields, wind gusts in the 45 to 55
MPH range seem very achievable. A few gusts up around 60 MPH
certainly remain in play. Therefore, the high wind watch for Sunday
will remain in effect.

A lead mid level short wave impulse lifting from Iowa into Wisconsin
today will enhance a region of moist isentropic ascent from the
western Great Lakes this morning into central and northern Michigan
this afternoon. This will actually give the better chance for light
rain across the Saginaw Valley later today. Low level moisture
advection will however support a chance for light rain and/or some
drizzle across the remainder of the forecast area, mainly after 4 PM.
While the main deep layer moist plume will remain south and east of
the forecast area tonight, the approach of the deep upper wave will
at least draw some decent mid level moisture back across Se Mi.
Strong forced ascent associated with the approaching upper wave will
interact with modest convective instability aloft to trigger a brief
yet fairly widespread convective response tonight, with showers and
possibly a fair amount of thunderstorms. The associated mid level dry
slot will support a period of dry conditions shortly before daybreak
Sunday. Low to mid level moisture will then quickly advance back
into the area after daybreak Sun. While the low level cold air
advection will not be too aggressive, the column looks to cool
quickly enough to support all snow showers by early Sun afternoon.
Relatively warm boundary layer temps (not to mention the strong
winds) will keep any accums to a minimum. The Lake Michigan response
looks to come into play Sunday afternoon. While this may support some
degree of enhancement to snow shower activity, the rapid departure
of the deep layer moisture Sun afternoon should limit potential snow
accums.

Despite the mid level flow transitioning toward a more zonal pattern
next week, the low level baroclinic zone will remain largely south of
the state through the first half of the week. This will keep temps
on the cool side of late February averages.

MARINE...

Impactful low pressure system will be taking shape across the
central plains this afternoon lifting northeast into the Straits by
Sunday morning and then into Quebec by Sunday night. Lighter east to
southeast flow at 10-20 kts will precede the low this afternoon.
Wind gusts increasing to near gales tonight along with likely rain
and thunderstorms chances. As the low reaches the Straits by Sunday
morning, winds will veer to the southwest then eventually to the
west behind a cold front Sunday afternoon. Expect sustained winds to
reach near gales with gusts approaching storm force by the afternoon
and into the overnight time frame. Storm Watch will remain in effect
for all of the Lake Huron basin and Lake St. Clair. High end gales
will be likely across western Lake Erie where a Gale Watch remains
in effect. Gale force winds will remain early Monday before pressure
gradient finally begins to weaken Monday afternoon as the low lifts
further to the northeast. Weaker northwesterly flow into the middle
of next week as high pressure drifts out of the northern plains and
into the region.

HYDROLOGY...

Strong winter storm expected to lift northeast out of the central
plains and through the Great Lakes tonight into Sunday. The track of
this low will place southeast Michigan in a region of warm and moist
advection. The result will be widespread rainfall along with
thunderstorm activity by this evening and overnight. PWATs
increasing to around 1" will aid in total rainfall amounts ranging
from 0.25 to 0.50 inches. Thunderstorm activity will allow potential
for higher localized rainfall amounts. Rainfall and warmer
temperatures will bring additional runoff from a melting snow pack.
However, the combined liquid amounts should be insufficient to cause
any significant flooding concerns.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for
     MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083.

Lake Huron...Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon for
     LHZ361>363-462>464.

     Storm Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for
     LHZ421-422-441>443.

Lake St Clair...Storm Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for
     LCZ460.

Michigan waters of Lake Erie...Gale Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for LEZ444.

     Low Water Advisory from 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday for LEZ444.

&&

AVIATION.....MR
DISCUSSION...SC
MARINE.......AA
HYDROLOGY....AA

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 3:59 AM EST, 11 hours 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
359 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-240900-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-
St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
359 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Numerous thunderstorms are expected tonight, mainly between 10 PM and
4 AM. These thunderstorms will be capable of producing a brief period
of intense rain as the move to the northeast at 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A High Wind Watch remains in effect for Sunday morning into late
Sunday night for all of southeast Michigan. Refer to the latest
hazard message and forecasts for additional information.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-240900-
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond 5NM
off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off shore-
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw
Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
359 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Huron and Lake St Clair.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A Storm Watch has been issued for Lake Huron and Lake St. Clair from
Sunday into Monday with a Gale Watch in effect for western Lake
Erie. Refer to the latest marine weather message and forecasts for
additional information

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.

SC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 23, 3:48 AM ESTLow Water AdvisoryDTX45 hr
Feb 23, 3:43 PM ESTHigh Wind WarningDTXBay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston and 11 more36 hr
Feb 23, 3:46 PM ESTGale WarningDTX36 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2019Every storm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.