Alert archive / Iowa / Winter Storm Warnings in 2019

Winter Storm Warning 7, NWS Des Moines, IA

February 16, 20199 counties in Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this winter storm warning at Feb 16, 2019, 9:47 PM CST for 9 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 20 hr. 41 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 16, 2019, 9:47 PM CST (03:47 UTC)
Expired
Feb 17, 2019, 6:00 PM CST
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Des Moines, IA

Counties Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Madison County, IA, Union County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 16, 9:55 PM CSTSNOW 1.2Nw West Des Moines, IA
Feb 16, 10:00 PM CSTSNOW 33 Ese Adel, IA
Feb 16, 10:41 PM CSTSNOW 3.5Griswold, IA3.5 INCHES IN 3 HRS, STILL SNOWING HEAVILY.
Feb 16, 11:04 PM CSTSNOW 2Adel, IAVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 16, 11:09 PM CSTSNOW 3Adair, IAVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 16, 11:14 PM CSTSNOW 57 Sse Corning, IAVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 16, 11:21 PM CSTSNOW 4.5Van Meter, IAVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 16, 11:45 PM CSTSNOW 4.53 Sw Clive, IA
Feb 17, 12:10 AM CSTSNOW 4.51 Ene Waukee, IA
Feb 17, 12:15 AM CSTSNOW 6Van Meter, IAREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 12:20 AM CSTSNOW 5.3Nw West Des Moines, IAREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 12:30 AM CSTSNOW 42 W Thayer, IADRIFTS ABOUT 6 INCHES. SNOW HAS STOPPED. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 12:30 AM CSTSNOW 5.22 W Murray, IA
Feb 17, 1:03 AM CSTSNOW 55 Ese Redfield, IAWITHIN THE PAST 4 HOURS.
Feb 17, 1:15 AM CSTSNOW 7Van Meter, IAREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 1:40 AM CSTSNOW 7Adair, IAREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 2:15 AM CSTSNOW 6.31 Ene Waukee, IA
Feb 17, 5:00 AM CSTSNOW 6.8Nw West Des Moines, IAREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 5:00 AM CSTSNOW 7.5Adair, IAREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 5:10 AM CSTSNOW 8.5Anita, IAREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 5:15 AM CSTSNOW 81 Nne Atlantic, IAREPORT COURTESY OF KJAN.
Feb 17, 6:00 AM CSTSNOW 6.53 Ese Adel, IA
Feb 17, 6:00 AM CSTSNOW 7.82 Wsw Minburn, IA
Feb 17, 7:06 AM CSTSNOW 6Massena, IA
Feb 17, 7:08 AM CSTSNOW 5.41 W Murray, IA
Feb 17, 7:10 AM CSTSNOW 68 S Stuart, IAREPORT COURTESY OF WOI.
Feb 17, 7:16 AM CSTSNOW 9.51 Ne Atlantic, IA
Feb 17, 7:25 AM CSTSNOW 7.53 Wnw Panora, IATOTAL IN PAST 10 HOURS.
Feb 17, 7:44 AM CSTSNOW 3Osceola, IA
Feb 17, 7:56 AM CSTSNOW 6.5Corning, IA
Feb 17, 8:04 AM CSTSNOW 9Winterset, IAREPORT RELAYED FROM KCCI TV.
Feb 17, 8:07 AM CSTSNOW 5.21 Wsw Perry, IA
Feb 17, 8:30 AM CSTSNOW 5.57 Sw Cumberland, IA
Feb 17, 8:59 AM CSTSNOW 8Nw West Des Moines, IA
Feb 17, 9:01 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 8Griswold, IACORRECTS PREVIOUS SNOW REPORT TO HEAVY SNOW.
Feb 17, 9:01 AM CSTSNOW 8Griswold, IA
Feb 17, 9:21 AM CSTSNOW 10.5Van Meter, IAREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 9:53 AM CSTSNOW 6.53 Ene Yale, IATOTAL SNOW DEPTH 14 INCHES.
Feb 17, 10:32 AM CSTSNOW 8.23 Sw Clive, IA
Feb 17, 11:36 AM CSTSNOW 81 N Waukee, IA
Feb 17, 5:39 PM CSTSNOW 8Griswold, IAVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2019-02-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2019-02-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 99 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1344 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
213 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

766 
WWUS43 KDMX 170347
WSWDMX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
947 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

...Period of Moderate to Heavy Snow Tonight Tapers to Lighter 
Snow Through Much of Sunday...

.A slow moving winter storm system will bring accumulating
snowfall to all of Iowa over the next 24 to 36 hours. Heavy
snowfall rates of 1 to near 2 inches per hour are possible as the
snowfall begins this evening, with the heavy snow potential 
continuing into the early overnight hours. The event with then 
transition to a long duration light to moderate snowfall through 
Sunday. A large swath of 5 to 7 inches of snow is forecast, with 
locally higher amounts possible in central Iowa. Winds will be 
relatively light and primary impacts will be snow covered and 
slick roads.

IAZ057>059-070>072-083-171200-
/O.UPG.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDMX.WS.W.0007.190217T0347Z-190218T0000Z/
Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-Adair-Madison-Clarke-
Including the cities of Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, Panora, 
Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield, Stuart,
Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, and Osceola
947 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5
  inches with storm total accumulations of 6 to 8 inches.

* WHERE...Parts of Southwest and South Central Iowa.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Sunday. Most snow accumulations tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult with slick
  and snow covered roads. Visibility will also be reduced under a
  mile at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ081-082-171200-
/O.UPG.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190217T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KDMX.WS.W.0007.190217T0347Z-190218T0000Z/
Adams-Union-
Including the cities of Corning and Creston
947 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 5
  inches with storm total accumulations of 6 to 8 inches.

* WHERE...Parts of Southwest and South Central Iowa.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Sunday. Most snow accumulations tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult with slick
  and snow covered roads. Visibility will also be reduced under a
  mile at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-060>062-073>075-
084>086-096-097-171200-
/O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Warren-Marion-
Mahaska-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Estherville, Algona, Forest City, 
Lake Mills, Northwood, Manly, Emmetsburg, Garner, Britt, Kanawha,
Mason City, Clear Lake, Pocahontas, Laurens, Rolfe, Fonda, 
Gilmore City, Humboldt, Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley, 
Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, Waterloo, 
Cedar Falls, Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Boone, Ames, 
Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines,
Newton, Grinnell, Indianola, Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville,
Oskaloosa, Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Centerville, and Bloomfield
947 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches.

* WHERE...Much of Iowa.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Sunday. Most snow 
  accumulations tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on snow covered roads and slippery
  road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ092>095-171200-
/O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190217T1800Z/
Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Including the cities of Bedford, Lenox, New Market, Mount Ayr, 
Lamoni, Leon, Corydon, Seymour, Allerton, and Humeston
947 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Mainly snow with a little mixed precipitation. 
  Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice 
  accumulations of a light glaze.

* WHERE...Southwest Iowa.

* WHEN...Until noon CST Sunday. Most snow accumulations tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on snow covered roads and slippery 
  road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://www.weather.gov/desmoines

Ansorge
6 follow-up statements
353 
WWUS43 KDMX 170947
WSWDMX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
347 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...Moderate to Heavy Snow Over Northern Iowa This Morning...

.The band of moderate to heavy snow will continue to move north 
northeast this morning and cause significant travel concerns. 
Many roads remain snow covered and even not advised to travel on 
this morning. Snowfall amounts of 4 to 7 inches are forecast with 
this snow band. Further south, areas of freezing drizzle are 
possible before the precipitation switches back over to snow 
across the central and southern parts of the state. An additional 
1 to 2 inches is possible along and south of Interstate 80. The 
snow is expected to gradually taper off from southwest late this 
morning to the northeast by the mid to late afternoon hours. 

IAZ057>059-070>072-081>083-171800-
/O.CON.KDMX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-Adair-Madison-Adams-Union-Clarke-
Including the cities of Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, Panora, 
Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield, Stuart,
Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Corning, Creston, 
and Osceola
347 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Light snow with a brief period of freezing drizzle
  possible this morning. Additional snow accumulations up 1 inch 
  with storm total accumulations of 6 to 8 inches.

* WHERE...Parts of Southwest and South Central Iowa.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Sunday. The precipitation is forecast to
  taper off later this morning into the early afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel is extremely difficult with very 
  slick and completely snow covered roads. Many roads in the 
  warned area are not advised to travel on this morning. Some 
  visibility restrictions are possible with the light snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-060>062-073>075-
084>086-096-097-171800-
/O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Warren-Marion-
Mahaska-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Estherville, Algona, Forest City, 
Lake Mills, Northwood, Manly, Emmetsburg, Garner, Britt, Kanawha,
Mason City, Clear Lake, Pocahontas, Laurens, Rolfe, Fonda, 
Gilmore City, Humboldt, Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley, 
Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, Waterloo, 
Cedar Falls, Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Boone, Ames, 
Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines,
Newton, Grinnell, Indianola, Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville,
Oskaloosa, Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Centerville, and Bloomfield
347 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Moderate to heavy at times along and north of
  Highway 20. In this location, additional snow accumulations of 3
  to 5 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Further south,
  an additional inch of new snow is possible. Areas of freezing
  drizzle can be expected at times as well. 

* WHERE...Much of Iowa.

* WHEN...Through 6 PM CST tonight. The precipitation will
  gradually weaken and taper off late this morning into the 
  afternoon hours from south to north.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel is extremely difficult with very
  slick and completely snow covered roads. Many roads in the
  advisory are not advised to travel on this morning. Some
  visibility restrictions are possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ092>095-171800-
/O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190217T1800Z/
Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Including the cities of Bedford, Lenox, New Market, Mount Ayr, 
Lamoni, Leon, Corydon, Seymour, Allerton, and Humeston
347 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

* WHAT...Light snow potentially mixed with areas of freezing
  drizzle. An additional half inch of snow accumulation is 
  possible.

* WHERE...Southwest Iowa.

* WHEN...Until noon CST Sunday. The precipitation is expected to
  end by the mid morning hours. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel is extremely difficult with very
  slick and snow covered roads. Many roads in the area are not
  advised to travel on this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://www.weather.gov/desmoines

Podrazik
715 
WWUS43 KDMX 171351
WSWDMX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
751 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...Snow to Continue for Much of the Day Today...

.Snow band setting from portions of southwest Iowa through
north central to northeast Iowa will continue to progress east 
this morning. Within the snow band, moderate to briefly heavy at 
times snowfall rates can be expected. Additional snowfall amounts 
of 1 to 4 inches is possible along and north of Interstate 80. 
The highest additional snow amounts are forecast over northern 
Iowa by this evening. Roads remains completely snow covered and 
extremely hazardous. 

IAZ057>059-070>072-081>083-172200-
/O.CON.KDMX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-Adair-Madison-Adams-Union-Clarke-
Including the cities of Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, Panora, 
Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield, Stuart,
Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Corning, Creston, 
and Osceola
751 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Light to briefly moderate snow is expected through the
  morning. An additional 1 to near 2 inches of new snow is
  possible by the afternoon.

* WHERE...Parts of Southwest and South Central Iowa.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Sunday. The precipitation is forecast to
  taper off late this morning into the early afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel is extremely difficult with very 
  slick and completely snow covered roads. Many roads in the 
  warned area are not advised to travel on this morning. Some 
  visibility restrictions are possible with the light snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-060>062-073>075-
084>086-096-097-172200-
/O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Warren-Marion-
Mahaska-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Estherville, Algona, Forest City, 
Lake Mills, Northwood, Manly, Emmetsburg, Garner, Britt, Kanawha,
Mason City, Clear Lake, Pocahontas, Laurens, Rolfe, Fonda, 
Gilmore City, Humboldt, Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley, 
Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, Waterloo, 
Cedar Falls, Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Boone, Ames, 
Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines,
Newton, Grinnell, Indianola, Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville,
Oskaloosa, Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Centerville, and Bloomfield
751 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Moderate to briefly heavy at times along and north
  of Interstate 80. An additional 1 to 4 inches of new snow is
  possible by this afternoon, with the higher amounts anticipated
  north of Highway 30.

* WHERE...Much of Iowa.

* WHEN...Through 6 PM CST tonight. The snow is expected taper off
  late this morning into the afternoon hours from south to north.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel is extremely difficult with very 
  slick and completely snow covered roads. Many roads in the 
  advisory are not advised to travel on this morning. Some 
  visibility restrictions are possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ092>095-171800-
/O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190217T1800Z/
Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Including the cities of Bedford, Lenox, New Market, Mount Ayr, 
Lamoni, Leon, Corydon, Seymour, Allerton, and Humeston
751 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

* WHAT...Light snow. An additional half inch of snow accumulation
  is possible before ending later this morning.

* WHERE...Southwest Iowa.

* WHEN...Until noon CST Sunday. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel is extremely difficult with very 
  slick and snow covered roads. Many roads in the area are not 
  advised to travel on this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://www.weather.gov/desmoines

Podrazik
520 
WWUS43 KDMX 171707
WSWDMX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1107 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...Snow to Continue for Much of the Day Today...

.Snow band setting from portions of west central Iowa through 
north central to northeast Iowa will continue to progress east 
this afternoon. Within the snow band, moderate to briefly heavy 
at times snowfall rates can be expected. Additional snowfall 
amounts of 1 to 3 inches is possible along and north of 
Interstate 80. The highest additional snow amounts are forecast 
over northern Iowa by this evening. Several roads remain 
completely snow covered and extremely hazardous.

IAZ057>059-070>072-081>083-180000-
/O.CON.KDMX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-Adair-Madison-Adams-Union-Clarke-
Including the cities of Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, Panora, 
Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield, Stuart,
Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Corning, Creston, 
and Osceola
1107 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Light to briefly moderate snow is expected through the
  afternoon. An additional inch of new snow is possible by the 
  evening.

* WHERE...Parts of Southwest and South Central Iowa.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Sunday. The precipitation is forecast to
  taper off this afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel is extremely difficult with very
  slick roads. There has been modest improvement, but many roads 
  in the warned area are still reporting complete snow/ice cover. 
  Some visibility restrictions are possible with the light snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-060>062-073>075-
084>086-096-097-180000-
/O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Warren-Marion-
Mahaska-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Estherville, Algona, Forest City, 
Lake Mills, Northwood, Manly, Emmetsburg, Garner, Britt, Kanawha,
Mason City, Clear Lake, Pocahontas, Laurens, Rolfe, Fonda, 
Gilmore City, Humboldt, Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley, 
Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, Waterloo, 
Cedar Falls, Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Boone, Ames, 
Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines,
Newton, Grinnell, Indianola, Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville,
Oskaloosa, Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Centerville, and Bloomfield
1107 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Moderate to briefly heavy at times along and north
  of Interstate 80. An additional 1 to 3 inches of new snow is 
  possible by this afternoon, with the higher amounts anticipated 
  north of Highway 30.

* WHERE...Much of Iowa.

* WHEN...Through 6 PM CST tonight. The snow is expected taper off
  this afternoon from south to north.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel is extremely difficult with very
  slick roads. Many roads in the advisory are completely covered 
  with snow/ice. Some visibility restrictions are possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ092>095-171815-
/O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190217T1800Z/
Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Including the cities of Bedford, Lenox, New Market, Mount Ayr, 
Lamoni, Leon, Corydon, Seymour, Allerton, and Humeston
1107 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

* WHAT...Light snow. An additional half inch of snow accumulation
  is possible before ending later this afternoon.

* WHERE...Southwest Iowa.

* WHEN...Until noon CST Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Road conditions have improved late this
  morning but there are still several slick spots on the roads.
  The bulk of the activity has moved north and east from the area. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://www.weather.gov/desmoines
210 
WWUS43 KDMX 172004
WSWDMX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
204 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...Snow to Continue Through The Evening...

.Snow band continues to move east across east central Iowa this
afternoon and into the evening. The bulk of the activity late this
afternoon through evening will primarily impact east central and
northeast Iowa. Another half an inch can be expected between
Interstate and Highway 30, with 1 to 3 inches north of the Highway
30 corridor. Several roads are still slick with partial to total
snow/ice coverage. Travel is still difficult in several locations
throughout Iowa. 


IAZ057>059-070>072-081>083-180000-
/O.CON.KDMX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-Adair-Madison-Adams-Union-Clarke-
Including the cities of Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, Panora, 
Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield, Stuart,
Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Corning, Creston, 
and Osceola
204 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...A few lingering light snow showers or flurries are
  likely. Additional accumulations if any will be less than half 
  of an inch. 

* WHERE...Parts of Southwest and South Central Iowa.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Road conditions have improved in west
  central Iowa this afternoon. However, there are still several
  reported slick spots on the roads. There may be slightly reduced
  visibility in the area. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-060>062-073>075-
084>086-096-097-180000-
/O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Warren-Marion-
Mahaska-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Estherville, Algona, Forest City, 
Lake Mills, Northwood, Manly, Emmetsburg, Garner, Britt, Kanawha,
Mason City, Clear Lake, Pocahontas, Laurens, Rolfe, Fonda, 
Gilmore City, Humboldt, Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley, 
Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, Waterloo, 
Cedar Falls, Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Boone, Ames, 
Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines,
Newton, Grinnell, Indianola, Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville,
Oskaloosa, Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Centerville, and Bloomfield
204 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Light to moderate at times along and north of
  Interstate 80. An additional 1 to 3 inches of new snow is
  possible, with the higher amounts anticipated north of Highway 
  30.

* WHERE...Much of Iowa.

* WHEN...Through 6 PM CST tonight. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be difficult to hazardous this
  afternoon through evening across much of Iowa. Visibility will 
  be reduced during times of moderate snowfall rates. Roads will 
  remain slick with partial to complete snow/ice coverage. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Krull

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://www.weather.gov/desmoines
210 
WWUS43 KDMX 172142
WSWDMX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
342 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...Snow to Continue Through The Evening...

.Snow band continues to move east across east central Iowa this
afternoon and into the evening. The bulk of the activity late
this afternoon through evening will primarily impact east central
and northeast Iowa. Another half an inch can be expected between
Interstate and Highway 30, with 1 to 3 inches north of the
Highway 30 corridor. Several roads are still slick with partial
to total snow/ice coverage. Travel is still difficult in several
locations throughout Iowa.

IAZ057>059-070>072-081>083-180000-
/O.CON.KDMX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-Adair-Madison-Adams-Union-Clarke-
Including the cities of Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, Panora, 
Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield, Stuart,
Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Corning, Creston, 
and Osceola
342 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...A few lingering light snow showers or flurries are 
  likely. Additional accumulations if any will be less than half 
  of an inch.

* WHERE...Parts of Southwest and South Central Iowa.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Road conditions have improved in west 
  central Iowa this afternoon. However, there are still several 
  reported slick spots on the roads. There may be slightly 
  reduced visibility in the area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-060>062-073>075-
084>086-096-097-180000-
/O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Warren-Marion-
Mahaska-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Estherville, Algona, Forest City, 
Lake Mills, Northwood, Manly, Emmetsburg, Garner, Britt, Kanawha,
Mason City, Clear Lake, Pocahontas, Laurens, Rolfe, Fonda, 
Gilmore City, Humboldt, Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley, 
Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, Waterloo, 
Cedar Falls, Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Boone, Ames, 
Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines,
Newton, Grinnell, Indianola, Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville,
Oskaloosa, Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Centerville, and Bloomfield
342 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Light to moderate at times along and north of 
  Interstate 80. An additional 1 to 3 inches of new snow is 
  possible, with the higher amounts anticipated north of Highway 
  30.

* WHERE...Much of Iowa.

* WHEN...Through 6 PM CST tonight.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be difficult to hazardous 
  this afternoon through evening across much of Iowa. Visibility 
  will be reduced during times of moderate snowfall rates. Roads 
  will remain slick with partial to complete snow/ice coverage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Expect snow covered roads
and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Krull

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://www.weather.gov/desmoines
779 
WWUS43 KDMX 172356
WSWDMX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
556 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

IAZ057>059-070>072-081>083-180100-
/O.EXP.KDMX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-Adair-Madison-Adams-Union-Clarke-
Including the cities of Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, Panora, 
Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield, Stuart,
Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Corning, Creston, 
and Osceola
556 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

The more persistent and steadier snowfall has generally ended 
across central Iowa. There are still areas of patchy light snow or
in some cases patchy freezing drizzle along with the potential for
melted snow water on roadways to refreeze tonight creating slick 
spots. So typical winter time driving precautions should be taken
tonight.

$$

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-060>062-073>075-
084>086-096-097-180100-
/O.EXP.KDMX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Warren-Marion-
Mahaska-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Estherville, Algona, Forest City, 
Lake Mills, Northwood, Manly, Emmetsburg, Garner, Britt, Kanawha,
Mason City, Clear Lake, Pocahontas, Laurens, Rolfe, Fonda, 
Gilmore City, Humboldt, Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley, 
Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, Waterloo, 
Cedar Falls, Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Boone, Ames, 
Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines,
Newton, Grinnell, Indianola, Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville,
Oskaloosa, Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Centerville, and Bloomfield
556 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

The more persistent and steadier snowfall has generally ended 
across central Iowa. There are still areas of patchy light snow or
in some cases patchy freezing drizzle along with the potential for
melted snow water on roadways to refreeze tonight creating slick 
spots. So typical winter time driving precautions should be taken
tonight.

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://www.weather.gov/desmoines

Ansorge

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 16, 8:45 PM CST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 8:45 PM CST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
845 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

...Update for Near Term Weather Trends...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 845 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

00z KDVN RAOB showed a very dry layer of air between 850 and
700mb and this was showing up on KDMX radar as a ring of
reflectivities around the radar. As of 830pm, that dry layer is
around 300 m/1000 feet. This dry layer will continue to shrink
with snow expected in the Des Moines metro between 9 and 10pm
depending on what side of town someone lives on. This quick top
down saturation occurred at KOAX/KOMA with the 00z RAOB having
dry air in the lowest 1km near balloon release time around 23z,
but by 01z snow was reported at KOMA. The snow intensity per
Iowa and Nebraska DOT plow cams has shown moderate to heavy snow
with roads going from dry to snow covered in the matter of an
hour. KOMA had already measured 2 inches a little after 8pm, which
was roughly an hour after it started. The same has occurred in
Diagonal (Ringgold County). Visibility is also dropping below a
mile and at times under a quarter of a mile such as at Clarinda,
Shenandoah, and Red Oak. And with light winds, this is all rate
driven visibility reduction. Have been mulling over an upgrade to
winter storm warning with 1 in/hr rates likely for a 3 to 5 hour
period at any given location, especially southern Iowa. 00z NAM
and latest runs of NBM and HRRR have an area centered around
Atlantic that has about two tenths more QPF in the 0-6z period
(e.g. now), which would yield another 2 to 3 inches of snow not
currently in the forecast. While the initial burst will yield
between 1 to 2 inch/hr rates, it may prove challenging to pin down
an area that will pick up 6 inches in 12 hours (criteria), but
will be making some calls across southwest forecast area to see
what has fallen and make a determination.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Sunday/
Issued at 300 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

An expansive area of cyclonic flow continues over the western
CONUS this afternoon. Two embedded shortwaves noted on water vapor
will impact the short term forecast, with one shortwave currently
crossing eastern MT and another moving out of the Four Corners
region. These waves will gradually attempt phase into a broad
upper level low over the Dakotas during the next 24 hours. This
will bring a prolonged period of accumulating snowfall to the
state beginning this evening and persisting through much of
Sunday.

Models in solid agreement with a dramatic increase in deep layer
forcing for ascent passing through the northern Plains today,
reaching western Iowa by early evening. HREF/RAP/HRRR have
consistently advertised the potential for 1"+/hr snowfall rates as
the initial snowfall spreads through southwest and central Iowa,
which is a reasonable outcome as a pocket of low mid-level EPV may
create a favorable environment for the release of upright
instability. RAP/HRRR also put their omega max through the DGZ
layer, so snowfall should efficiently accumulate early on in the
event. Any concerns with top-down saturation should be overcome
quickly given the enhanced vertical motion. Forcing for ascent wanes
tomorrow as the upper low occludes over the Dakotas, but
persistent weak lift through a deepening dendritic layer keeps
light to moderate snow around the much of the day. Higher snowfall
totals during the daylight hours should progress northward as the
QPF max shifts to northern Iowa. Average SLR hangs above climo
with a modestly deep and saturated dendritic layer. Total accum
results in a broad 4-7 inches across most of the area by Sunday
evening. Locally higher amounts are possible in central Iowa,
especially if the intense snowfall rates at the onset hang on for
an hour or two longer than currently forecast.

As for headline decisions, opted to maintain status quo with the
winter weather advisory after collaboration with neighboring
offices. Accumulations still on the fringe of warning criteria of
6"/12 hr or 8"/24 hr, but restrained winds this time around
should limit the potential severity of travel impacts. Would not
be surprised if some areas hit warning criteria snowfall, but
those locations would be tough to confidently pin down at the
moment.

.LONG TERM.../Sunday night through Saturday/
Issued at 300 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

As has been the case over the past month, Iowa and the region remain
in an active scenario in the longer term.  However, the state will
see relatively quiet weather from Monday into Tuesday as surface
ridging builds toward the state and general subsidence occurs over
the state. During this time, the mean western trof will be
reinforced by another shortwave dropping into the Great Basin and
then ejecting east northeast on Tuesday.  This system is forecast to
affect much of the southeast half of the region including Iowa
Tuesday night into early Wednesday.  GFS and Euro have begun to
converge on their solution with isentropic lift increasing later
Tuesday along with strengthening mid level Q-convergence/dynamic
forcing during the evening and into the overnight.  Deep saturation
occurs by the evening with snow spreading northeast into the state.
The GFS is slightly less amplified and bit faster than the Euro with
the progression of the system and overall fields.  Both have snow on
Tuesday night but GFS is essentially done by 12Z Wednesday.  The
more amplified Euro lingers longer and has more resultant QPF into
Wendesday morning before departing by midday.  Most of the forecast
area will see light to moderate accumulations although locally heavy
amounts are reasonable.  Winds will thankfully not be too strong
with this event which will limit blowing snow although the full
ditches will make it more likely even with the lighter winds.

Cold advection is limited on the backside of the system as deep
southwest flow continues across the CONUS.  Warm advection will kick
in on Tuesday and persist into Friday with temperatures responding
in kind ahead of the next system.  Given the inconsistencies in the
handling of the system next weekend, confidence is currently quite
low with how this system will evolve and the potential impact across
Iowa.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening/
Issued at 545 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

VFR conditions will rapidly deteriorate through the evening hours
from southwest to northeast across central Iowa as a band of
moderate to heavy snow arrives. This will bring widespread IFR and
LIFR restrictions overnight and perhaps an isolated, short period
of VLIFR. The worst expected conditions for each terminal has
been placed in a TEMPO group. After the initial burst of heavier
snow, a prolonged period of light snow with IFR and MVFR
restrictions will linger through much of the day Sunday. Winds
from the east will be light at 5 to 15 knots switching to north or
northeast Sunday morning into Sunday afternoon.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST Sunday for IAZ004>007-
015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-083>086-096-097.

Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST Sunday for IAZ081-082-
092>095.

&&

UPDATE...Ansorge
SHORT TERM...Martin
LONG TERM...Cogil
AVIATION...Ansorge
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 16, 3:32 PM CST, 6 hours 15 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
332 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-171200-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
332 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the area tonight.
Please refer to the National Weather Service website at
weather.gov/desmoines for further details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for the area through
early Sunday evening. Please refer to the National Weather
Service website at weather.gov/desmoines for further details.

Another round of widespread accumulating snow is forecast to
impact much of central Iowa late Tuesday night into Wednesday,
especially during the Wednesday morning commute.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not needed, but snowfall reports are highly
encouraged and greatly appreciated.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 16, 8:41 PM CST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
841 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     SNOW             DIAGONAL                40.81N 94.34W
02/16/2019  E2.0 INCH        RINGGOLD           IA   PUBLIC

            2 INCHES FELL IN ABOUT AN HOUR, STILL IN
            PROGRESS - VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&
Local storm report, Feb 16, 8:56 PM CST, 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
856 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     SNOW             CRESTON                 41.06N 94.36W
02/16/2019  E2.0 INCH        UNION              IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&
Local storm report, Feb 16, 9:07 PM CST, 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
907 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0906 PM     SNOW             2 W MURRAY              41.04N 93.98W
02/16/2019  M1.4 INCH        CLARKE             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            VISIBILITY AROUND 1/2 MILE.

&&
Local storm report, Feb 16, 9:10 PM CST, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
910 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0908 PM     SNOW             CORNING                 40.99N 94.73W
02/16/2019  E4.0 INCH        ADAMS              IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&
Local storm report, Feb 16, 9:11 PM CST, 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
911 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     SNOW             BEDFORD                 40.67N 94.72W
02/16/2019  E4.5 INCH        TAYLOR             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            2 INCHES BETWEEN 6-7 PM WITH ADDITIONAL
            ACCUMULATION BETWEEN 7-9 PM.

&&

RD

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Iowa, 2019Every winter storm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.