Alert archive / Iowa / Wind Advisories in 2019

Wind Advisory 4, NWS Des Moines, IA

March 9, 201942 counties in Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this wind advisory at Mar 9, 2019, 3:31 PM CST for 42 counties in Iowa. It took effect at Mar 9, 2019, 7:00 PM CST. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2019, 3:31 PM CST (21:31 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 9, 2019, 7:00 PM CST
Expired
Mar 10, 2019, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Des Moines, IA
All 42 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Wright County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 229 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2019-03-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2019-03-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 328 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
412 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
328 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
408 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

441 
WWUS73 KDMX 092131
NPWDMX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
331 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...Strong Northwest Winds Developing Overnight...

.Winds will turn to northwest overnight and increase to 25 to 30
mph with gusts to near 45 mph at times. This may cause travel
difficulties, especially for high profile vehicles and in areas 
where roads are slick and snow covered.

IAZ033-034-044>046-057>059-070>074-081>086-092>097-100545-
/O.NEW.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.190310T0100Z-190310T0800Z/
Sac-Calhoun-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-
Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-
Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, 
Panora, Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield,
Stuart, Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Indianola, 
Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville, Corning, Creston, Osceola, 
Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Bedford, Lenox, New Market, Mount Ayr, 
Lamoni, Leon, Corydon, Seymour, Allerton, Humeston, Centerville, 
and Bloomfield
331 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CST THIS EVENING TO 3 AM CDT
SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Des Moines has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 7 PM CST this evening to 3 AM
CDT Sunday. 

* TIMING...Winds will increase this evening, then gradually
  diminish by early Sunday morning.

* WINDS...Northwest at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to near 45 mph at
  times.

* IMPACTS...Travel may be affected, especially for high profile
  vehicles and in areas where roads are slick and snow covered.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$

IAZ025-026-035>038-047>050-060>062-075-100545-
/O.NEW.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.190310T0500Z-190310T1200Z/
Wright-Franklin-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Boone-Story-
Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Mahaska-
Including the cities of Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley, 
Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, Boone, Ames, 
Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines,
Newton, Grinnell, and Oskaloosa
331 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM CST THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Des Moines has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 11 PM CST this evening to 7 AM
CDT Sunday. 

* TIMING...Winds will increase after dark tonight, then gradually
  diminish by Sunday morning.

* WINDS...Northwest at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to near 45 mph at
  times.

* IMPACTS...Travel may be affected, especially for high profile
  vehicles and in areas where roads are slick and snow covered.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$

Lee
5 follow-up statements
266 
WWUS73 KDMX 100204
NPWDMX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
804 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...Strong West to Northwest Winds Tonight...

.Strong winds are expected overnight as an intense storm passes
through the Midwest. The winds will begin to subside toward
daybreak as the storm departs the area. 

IAZ027-028-039-101015-
/O.EXB.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.190310T0400Z-190310T1200Z/
Butler-Bremer-Black Hawk-
Including the cities of Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, 
Greene, Aplington, Allison, Dumont, Waverly, Waterloo, 
and Cedar Falls
804 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Des Moines has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 7 AM CDT Sunday. 

* TIMING...Winds will increase later this evening reaching their
  peak during the early morning hours. 

* WINDS...Northwest at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to near 45 mph at 
  times. 

* IMPACTS...Travel may be affected, especially for high profile
  vehicles and in areas where roads are slick and snow covered.
  Some near surface blowing snow is also expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$

IAZ047-060>062-075-101015-
/O.EXT.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.190310T0204Z-190310T1200Z/
Boone-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Mahaska-
Including the cities of Boone, Des Moines, Newton, Grinnell, 
and Oskaloosa
804 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* TIMING...Winds will remain strong overnight, reaching their peak
  near midnight before gradually weakening toward daybreak.

* WINDS...Northwest at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to near 45 mph at 
  times. 

* IMPACTS...Travel may be affected, especially for high profile 
  vehicles and in areas where roads are slick and snow covered. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$

IAZ025-026-035>038-048>050-101015-
/O.EXT.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.190310T0400Z-190310T1200Z/
Wright-Franklin-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Story-Marshall-
Tama-
Including the cities of Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley, 
Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, Ames, 
Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, Traer, Dysart, and Gladbrook
804 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* TIMING...Winds will increase during the evening hours, reaching
  their peak in the early morning hours of Sunday. 

* WINDS...Northwest at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to near 45 mph at 
  times. 

* IMPACTS...Travel may be affected, especially for high profile 
  vehicles and in areas where roads are slick and snow covered. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$

IAZ033-034-044>046-057>059-070>074-081>086-092>097-100800-
/O.CON.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190310T0800Z/
Sac-Calhoun-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-
Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-
Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, 
Panora, Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield,
Stuart, Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Indianola, 
Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville, Corning, Creston, Osceola, 
Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Bedford, Lenox, New Market, Mount Ayr, 
Lamoni, Leon, Corydon, Seymour, Allerton, Humeston, Centerville, 
and Bloomfield
804 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* TIMING...Winds will remain strong this evening but will begin to
  diminish during the early morning hours. 

* WINDS...Northwest at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to near 45 mph at 
  times. 

* IMPACTS...Travel may be affected, especially for high profile 
  vehicles and in areas where roads are slick and snow covered. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$
940 
WWUS73 KDMX 100506
NPWDMX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1106 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...Strong West to Northwest Winds Tonight...

.Strong winds are expected overnight as an intense storm passes
through the Midwest. The winds will begin to subside toward
daybreak as the storm departs the area.

IAZ033-034-044>046-057>059-070>074-081>086-092>097-100800-
/O.CON.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190310T0800Z/
Sac-Calhoun-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-
Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-
Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, 
Panora, Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield,
Stuart, Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Indianola, 
Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville, Corning, Creston, Osceola, 
Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Bedford, Lenox, New Market, Mount Ayr, 
Lamoni, Leon, Corydon, Seymour, Allerton, Humeston, Centerville, 
and Bloomfield
1106 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* TIMING...Winds will remain strong past midnight, but begin
  gradually decreasing by daybreak.  

* WINDS...Northwest at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to near 45 mph at 
  times. 

* IMPACTS...Travel may be affected, especially for high profile 
  vehicles and in areas where roads are slick and snow covered. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$

IAZ025>028-035>039-047>050-060>062-075-101200-
/O.CON.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190310T1200Z/
Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-
Black Hawk-Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-
Mahaska-
Including the cities of Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, 
Ackley, Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, 
Waterloo, Cedar Falls, Boone, Ames, Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, 
Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines, Newton, Grinnell, 
and Oskaloosa
1106 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* TIMING...Winds will reach their peak through the early morning
  hours Sunday.  

* WINDS...Northwest at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to near 45 mph at 
  times. 

* IMPACTS...Travel may be affected, especially for high profile 
  vehicles and in areas where roads are slick and snow covered. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$
311 
WWUS73 KDMX 100812
NPWDMX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
312 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...Strong West to Northwest Winds Tonight...

.Strong winds continue over central and northeast Iowa as an 
intense storm passes through the Midwest. The winds will lessen in
intensity toward daybreak as the storm moves into Michigan. 
Breezy conditions will remain for much of the day.

IAZ033-034-044>046-057>059-070>074-081>086-092>097-100915-
/O.EXP.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190310T0800Z/
Sac-Calhoun-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Cass-
Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-
Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
Including the cities of Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, 
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, 
Denison, Carroll, Jefferson, Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, 
Panora, Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Atlantic, Greenfield,
Stuart, Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Indianola, 
Norwalk, Carlisle, Pella, Knoxville, Corning, Creston, Osceola, 
Chariton, Albia, Ottumwa, Bedford, Lenox, New Market, Mount Ayr, 
Lamoni, Leon, Corydon, Seymour, Allerton, Humeston, Centerville, 
and Bloomfield
312 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds over most of western and southwest Iowa remain brisk early
today, but continue to drop below advisory criteria. Breezy
conditions will continue through today, gradually diminishing by
mid to late afternoon.  

$$

IAZ025>028-035>039-047>050-060>062-075-101200-
/O.CON.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190310T1200Z/
Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-
Black Hawk-Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-
Mahaska-
Including the cities of Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, 
Ackley, Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, 
Waterloo, Cedar Falls, Boone, Ames, Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, 
Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines, Newton, Grinnell, 
and Oskaloosa
312 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* TIMING...Winds will reach their peak through the early morning 
  hours Sunday. 

* WINDS...Northwest at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to near 45 mph at 
  times. 

* IMPACTS...Travel may be affected, especially for high profile 
  vehicles and in areas where roads are slick and snow covered. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$

REV
854 
WWUS73 KDMX 100904
NPWDMX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
404 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...Strong West to Northwest Winds Through Early Morning...

.Strong winds continue over central and northeast Iowa as an
intense storm passes through the Midwest. The winds will lessen
in intensity toward daybreak as the storm moves into Michigan.
Breezy conditions will remain for much of the day.

IAZ025>028-035>039-047>050-060>062-075-101200-
/O.CON.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190310T1200Z/
Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-
Black Hawk-Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-
Mahaska-
Including the cities of Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, 
Ackley, Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, 
Waterloo, Cedar Falls, Boone, Ames, Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, 
Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines, Newton, Grinnell, 
and Oskaloosa
404 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* TIMING...Winds will reach their peak overnight and improve a bit
  by 7 am this morning.
 
* WINDS...Northwest at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to 45 to 50 mph at
  times. 

* IMPACTS...Travel may be affected, especially for high profile
  vehicles and in areas where roads are slick and snow covered. 
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 mph or wind
gusts of 45 mph or greater are expected. Winds this strong can
make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.

&&

$$

REV
839 
WWUS73 KDMX 101153
NPWDMX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
653 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...Winds Slowly Improving Over Central Iowa This Morning...

IAZ025>028-035>039-047>050-060>062-075-101300-
/O.EXP.KDMX.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190310T1200Z/
Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-
Black Hawk-Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-
Mahaska-
Including the cities of Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton, 
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, 
Ackley, Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, 
Waterloo, Cedar Falls, Boone, Ames, Marshalltown, Tama, Toledo, 
Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Des Moines, Newton, Grinnell, 
and Oskaloosa
653 AM CDT Sun Mar 10 2019

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

Most areas in the wind advisory are seeing winds begin to lessen
in intensity and below advisory conditions. Though it will remain
breezy for much of the day, the threat for strong wind gusts has
ended. Some blowing snow may still be experienced in open areas 
on roads, highways, and interstates until late morning. 

$$

REV

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 9, 11:38 AM CST, 3 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 11:38 AM CST, 3 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1138 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 725 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

Update to add another row of counties into the WW.Y until 10 am.
The precipitation is outpacing the rise in temperature a bit
farther south (about 20 miles south of the original weather
advisory outline) and areas along US 20 will see a period of light
icing before temperatures climb above 33 this morning. The winter
weather advisory remains in place north of the added area as well.
Winds continue to increase and have also caused some blowing snow
over portions of northern and northwest Iowa - adding to some
travel issues early today. /rev

&&

.SHORT TERM.../Today through Sunday/
Issued at 356 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

Confidence: Medium to High

Storm progressing more or less as expected. Temperatures on the
rise now, but remain at the freezing mark over west-central,
northwest, north central and a few sites in east central. Warm air
advection is increasing over southern Iowa now and expecting that
temps will warm slowly into 12z. The area of greatest threat for
leading edge light freezing precipitation remains the northwest,
north and north east but it continues a race between the arrival
of deeper moisture and the warming temperatures at the surface.
There is very little difference between the GFS/NAM/Euro with
regard to the track and evolution of the system. The surface low
is expected to track from northeast Kansas to about Keokuk, Iowa
by 22z. The H850 low will be slightly displaced northwest,
tracking from near Topeka to near Clinton, Iowa by 00z. The entire
forecast area is above 0C at H850 with MaxT wetbulb also above 0C
by 12z. This will keep either light freezing rain/light freezing
drizzle in the offing through 16 to 17z in the far north while the
south continues with liquid and foggy conditions. By 19-20z, the
changeover will begin with H850 temperatures and MaxT wetbulb
aloft dropping below 0C northwest. The transition to snow in the
afternoon over far northern sections will track east/southeast
during the evening as the entire storm progresses northeast. The
best forcing will occur with the initial surge of warm air
advection this morning and increasing mechanical lift from 18z to
00z as the center of the sfc/upper level low tracks into Iowa.
Moderate rainfall is expected with a swath of 0.50 to 0.60 over
the south this morning; then a wrap-around deformation shield of
precipitation across the north this afternoon. The changeover of
mid to late afternoon back to snow northwest will limit the amount
of moisture remaining for snowfall, but it still looks like there
will be about 2 to 4 inches over the north through 03z with the
higher totals near Estherville. Winds will increase dramatically
following the low this evening with a likely burst of wind between
08z and 16z Sunday. With rain falling over the snow pack first,
prior to the new snow on top of that in the north, the threat for
blowing snow will probably only come from the newly falling snow.
But even 2 to 4 inches may cause enough impacts to travel later
tonight and Sunday that the advisory may need a slight areal
extension over the north through Sunday. Will let the day shift
evaluate the snowfall today. Otherwise, a wind advisory may be
needed for a portion of the region tonight into Sunday morning.
Highs today will warm into the mid 30s in the far north to the
upper 30s central, and the mid 40s southeast. Tonight we fall back
to teens northwest to the upper 20s southeast. Sunday will see
some sun late day which will help temperatures recover to the mid
20s northwest to the upper 30s southeast. So, despite the
northwest winds, some daytime snow melt will continue. Some clouds
return Sunday night with lows around 10 north and the lower 20s
south as high pressure settles into the region with light winds.

.LONG TERM.../Sunday Night through Friday/
Issued at 356 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

The active weather pattern continues throughout much of next week
with a main system pulling through the region Tuesday night into
Wednesday.

Sunday night into Tuesday...The ECMWF/GFS and even the NAM through
midday Tuesday have come in warmer with the shortwave to ride upper
level ridge late Monday night into Tuesday morning ahead of the
main deep trough digging into the western CONUS. Decent theta-e
advection and weak isentropic lift along the 290K to 300K surfaces
begins around 09z Tuesday and continues to press northeast
through the rest of the morning. Soundings do take some time to
saturate and have delay the onset of pops until past 06z Tuesday
to just the southwest portions of the forecast area. Could even
delay precip until 09z as the surface high to the east provides
plenty of dry air to contend with. When soundings do become
saturated, the onset of precip looks to be a wintry mix with a
decent warm layer aloft to melt snow and a deep enough surface
layer below freezing to provide sleet potential. However, the WAA
is strong enough and looks to push temperatures fairly quickly
above freezing from 12-17z Tuesday over the west to north.
Certainly a short duration of sleet and possibly freezing rain mix
before switching to all rain late in the morning and into the
afternoon. Low confidence in any significant sleet/ice
accumulations.

Tuesday night into Thursday...the strong surface low tracks from
the OK/TX Panhandles, through Kansas and into southeast NE and
western Iowa during this time. The entire forecast area looks to
remain in the warm sector and thus have all rain going until the
CAA develops by around 09z to 12z Thursday on the backside of the
surface low. Models are coming into good agreement with the track
and timing of the surface low and northern Iowa remains the best
potential for any snow accumulation on Thursday. Winds will be
strong throughout the entire period, especially within the WAA
regime Tuesday into Tuesday evening and even more so when the CAA
develops late WEdnesday night and throughout the day Thursday.

As far as temperatures go, nudged up maximum temperatures on
Wednesday with the good WAA throughout the day even with the rain
anticipated. The rain, plus the warm temps and dew points is going
to be a snow eater providing the potential for river flooding
across the forecast area. With the current snowpack already
consisting of 2-4 inches of liquid, plus the precipitation
anticipated today and the rain Tuesday into Wednesday, the
confidence is increasing in the flood potential. Lower confidence
in the severity due the uncertainly how quickly the snow melts and
runs off, particularly across northern Iowa. Plus, with the
cooler air filtering back into the state late in the week, this
may help slow down the runoff process a bit. The other threat is
ice jams. Most rivers, especially over northern Iowa, remain ice
covered and with the anticipated rain, warmer temperatures through
mid-week, and the snowmelt are all be factors in breaking up
river ice potentially leading to ice jams.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon/
Issued at 1138 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

IFR or lower conditions will prevail through this afternoon into
tonight, then improve from southwest to northeast after dark as
strong winds develop, gradually sweeping out precipitation, low
clouds, and fog. VFR conditions are expected by early Sunday
morning and beyond. Have taken best estimate at timing improvement
of conditions and changes in precipitation type and intensity,
but amendments are likely.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM CDT Sunday for IAZ004>007.

&&

UPDATE...REV
SHORT TERM...REV
LONG TERM...Podrazik
AVIATION...Lee
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 4:54 AM CST, 10 hours 37 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
454 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033-101100-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-
454 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the area. Please refer
to the National Weather Service website at weather.gov/desmoines
for further details.

Areas of dense fog are likely this morning where visibility
restrictions down to one half mile at times are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the area on Sunday.
Please refer to the National Weather Service website at
weather.gov/desmoines for further details.

Widespread moderate rainfall is forecast Tuesday into Wednesday.
Runoff from the rainfall and additional snowmelt may lead to ice
jams and river flooding by late next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected, but reports of rainfall, snow
and ice are encouraged and appreciated.

IAZ034>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-081>086-092>097-101100-
Calhoun-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-
Carroll-Greene-Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-
Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-
Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-
Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
454 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

Areas of dense fog are likely this morning where visibility
restrictions down to one half mile at times are possible. A few
isolated thunderstorms are possible over southern Iowa Iowa today.
However, no severe storms are expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Widespread moderate rainfall is forecast Tuesday into Wednesday.
Runoff from the rainfall and additional snowmelt may lead to ice
jams and river flooding by late next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed but reports of rainfall, snow
and ice are encouraged and appreciated.

KLP

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 9, 2:48 PM CST, 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
248 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

IAZ015>017-023>028-033>039-045>050-058>060-092300-
Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-
Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-
Black Hawk-Carroll-Greene-Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Guthrie-
Dallas-Polk-
Including the cities of Emmetsburg, Garner, Britt, Kanawha,
Mason City, Clear Lake, Pocahontas, Laurens, Rolfe, Fonda,
Gilmore City, Humboldt, Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton,
Parkersburg, Clarksville, Shell Rock, Greene, Aplington, Allison,
Dumont, Waverly, Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake,
Schaller, Early, Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy,
Fort Dodge, Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley,
Grundy Center, Reinbeck, Conrad, Dike, Wellsburg, Waterloo,
Cedar Falls, Carroll, Jefferson, Boone, Ames, Marshalltown, Tama,
Toledo, Traer, Dysart, Gladbrook, Guthrie Center, Panora, Bayard,
Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, and Des Moines
248 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

...Brief Period of Snowfall Causing Travel Difficulty...

A band of snow, falling heavily for a short period, is moving
eastward across portions of central and northern Iowa this
afternoon. As this band passes, snow will quickly accumulate to an
inch or two in some areas, especially north of Highway 30, leading
to slick roads and difficult travel. Anyone taking to the roads
should be alert for the possibility of rapidly deteriorating
conditions as the band of snow moves through.

Lee

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 3:35 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryDMXCerro Gordo, Hancock, Humboldt, Palo Alto, Pocahontas20 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Iowa, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.