Alert archive / Minnesota / Flash Flood Warnings in 2019

Flash Flood Warning 9, NWS Duluth, MN

September 30, 2019Carlton County, Pine County, Minnesota; Douglas County, Wisconsin

NWS Duluth, MN issued this flash flood warning at Sep 30, 2019, 9:33 AM CDT for Carlton County, Pine County, Minnesota; Douglas County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 30, 2019, 9:33 AM CDT (14:33 UTC)
Expired
Sep 30, 2019, 3:30 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Duluth, MN
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Carlton County, MN, Pine County, MN, Douglas County, WI

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2019-09-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 361 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2019-09-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 514 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
361 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-207 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
678 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
514 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
512 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Duluth, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 30, 7:13 AM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 7:13 AM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 30, 4:28 AM CDT, 5 hours 5 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
428 AM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-011030-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
428 AM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Torrential rain this morning over saturated soils has led to a flood
watch being issued for east central Minnesota into northwest
Wisconsin until Noon.

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
evening. Large hail, gusty winds and heavy rain will be the main
hazards.

Strong east to northeast winds will lead to the threat of rip
currents through this evening for areas near the Twin Ports,
including the beaches of Duluth and Superior. A Beach Hazards
Statement has been issued for these areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotters may be needed this afternoon and evening in
northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

LSZ121-140>148-011030-
Bayfield to Oak Point WI-Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN-
Grand Marais to Taconite Harbor MN-
Taconite Harbor to Silver Bay Harbor MN-
Silver Bay Harbor to Two Harbors MN-Two Harbors to Duluth MN-
Duluth MN to Port Wing WI-Port Wing to Sand Island WI-
Sand Island to Bayfield WI-Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI-
428 AM CDT Mon Sep 30 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Nearshore
waters of western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Conditions hazardous to smaller vessels will continue this morning
and into the afternoon. Winds will gradually subside through the
day, but large waves will linger into the afternoon. Please see the
Nearshore Marine Forecast and Marine Weather Message for more
details.

Thunderstorm chances will remain in the picture over western Lake
Superior through the evening hours tonight. Some storms could be
strong to severe, especially late this afternoon and evening. Large
hail and some strong, gusty winds are the main threats with any
severe storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Northeast winds will strengthen Tuesday night into Wednesday, which
could lead to conditions hazardous to smaller vessels through
Wednesday evening. A Small Craft Advisory may be needed.

GSF/JTS

More information may be obtained at the following web address:
http://www.weather.gov/duluth (all lower case)

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 30, 7:01 AM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
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Local storm report, Sep 30, 7:12 AM CDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
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Local storm report, Sep 30, 7:26 AM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Duluth, MN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 29, 11:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHCass12 min
Sep 30, 1:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHPine24 min
Sep 30, 1:55 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHAitkin35 min
Sep 30, 2:49 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDLHPine11 min
Sep 30, 3:16 AM CDTFlood WatchDLHAitkin, Carlton, Pine, Saint Louis9 hr
Sep 30, 3:43 AM CDTBeach Hazards StatementDLHCarlton, Saint Louis16 hr
Sep 30, 4:11 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryDLHAitkin, Carlton, Pine3 hr
Sep 30, 5:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDLHCarlton, Pine6 hr
Sep 30, 7:19 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDLHCarlton, Pine3 hr
Sep 30, 11:32 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Pine27 hr
Sep 30, 3:24 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningDLHCarlton, Pine23 hr
Sep 30, 6:03 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryDLHAitkin, Crow Wing, Saint Louis3 hr
Sep 30, 3:50 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryDLHSawyer, Washburn3 hr
Sep 30, 6:23 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDLHDouglas3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2019Flash Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2019Every flash flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.