Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2019

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 28, 2019Scott County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at May 28, 2019, 4:06 PM CDT for Scott County, Kansas. It was in force for 54 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2019, 4:06 PM CDT (21:06 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
NWS Dodge City, KS

County Scott County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2019-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 47 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2019-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
47 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-355 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2226 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 28, 2:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 2:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
259 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

...Updated short and long term discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 259 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

A loosely defined dryline was moving through southwest Kansas
early this afternoon. The best low level convergence was currently
over south central KS in the vicinity of Medicine Lodge. Vis
satellite imagery showed some increase in cumulus development
in that area. Will keep some slight chance pops in south central
late this afternoon for a potential storm but given that satellite
loops show the line of cumulus working its way east, think storms
may very well develop east of the St John-Medicine Lodge corridor.

CAMs have been showing some thunderstorm development over
west central into northern Kansas along a Tribune-Wakeeney line
late this afternoon along a stationary frontal boundary that has
been across that area today. Instability is not all that
impressive out toward the Colorado border but increases farther
northeast. A few storms could develop and move northeast through
that area late this afternoon but storms should move out of the
area early this evening.

Cold front moves southeast across the forecast area tonight.
Wednesday will be a little cooler with drier air spreading into
the central High Plains behind the front.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 259 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

An upper level trough will linger over the region through
Wednesday night before moving east on Thursday. There is a small
possibility of a few thunderstorms moving off the front range and
possibly making it into far southwest Kansas Wednesday night but
not real confident in this. Upper level ridging develops over the
region on Thursday into the weekend. Return flow develops late in
the week pulling low level moisture, and increasing chances for
thunderstorms, back into the central Plains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

A few thunderstorms will be possible in the Hays area later this
afternoon and early evening and have added VCTS to the terminal to
account for this. The remainder of the southwest Kansas terminals
should remain storm free through this period. A cold front will
move southeast across the area tonight, possibly as early as 03-04z.
Winds will become north to northwest behind the front, gusting to
20-25 knots at times. Winds should diminish late in the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  51  70  48  74 /   0  10  10   0
GCK  48  68  46  73 /   0  10  10  10
EHA  50  69  48  73 /   0  10  20  10
LBL  49  69  49  74 /   0  10  10  10
HYS  51  68  47  73 /  20  10  10   0
P28  56  71  51  76 /  20  10  10   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gerard
LONG TERM...Gerard
AVIATION...Gerard
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 3:47 AM CDT, 12 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
347 AM CDT Tue May 28 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-290900-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
347 AM CDT Tue May 28 2019 /247 AM MDT Tue May 28 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

A slight risk of severe weather exists over south central Kansas
late this afternoon and early evening.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Best chances for a storm is late afternoon to evening hours in the
far southwest Wednesday and Thursday. Low thunderstorm chances
become more widespread into the weekend.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 28, 4:06 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
406 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

KSZ043-044-282200-
Lane KS-Scott KS-
406 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN SCOTT AND NORTHWESTERN
LANE COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

At 406 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Scott City, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Scott City, Manning, Healy and Scott State Lake.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3870 10053 3856 10046 3839 10100 3865 10111
      3870 10095
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 246DEG 20KT 3854 10096

FINCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 7:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCEllis24 min
May 27, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Trego29 min
May 28, 2:11 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningDDCStafford56 hr
May 28, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCLane, Scott41 min
May 28, 4:19 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCEllis41 min
May 28, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis30 min
May 28, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCTrego62 min
May 28, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Trego59 min
May 28, 6:21 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCEllis, Trego39 min
May 28, 6:57 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCEllis23 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2019Every special weather statement in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.