Severe Thunderstorm Warning 324, NWS Dodge City, KS

366 
WWUS53 KDDC 250248
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
948 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

KSC195-250330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0324.000000T0000Z-190825T0330Z/
Trego KS-
948 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN TREGO COUNTY...

At 948 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Voda, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wakeeney, Ogallah, Collyer, Voda and Riga. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for west central
Kansas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3891 9961 3889 10005 3910 10015 3913 10015
      3913 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0248Z 312DEG 19KT 3914 9998 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FINCH

032 
WWUS53 KDDC 250311
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1011 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

KSC195-250330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0324.000000T0000Z-190825T0330Z/
Trego KS-
1011 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN TREGO COUNTY...

At 1010 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles north of
Wakeeney, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wakeeney, Ogallah, Collyer, Voda and Riga. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for west central
Kansas.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3891 9961 3889 10005 3910 10015 3913 10015
      3913 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 284DEG 13KT 3914 9988 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FINCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
557 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

...Updated aviation discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

Convection developing across northern Kansas still looks likely
this afternoon ahead of a approaching 400mb PV anomaly and where
the better moisture and instability will be preset during the mid
to late day. This area of developing afternoon storms will move
southeast overnight across western and central Kansas as the
upper level wave moves along the mid level baroclinic zone. At
this time the CAMS seem to agree that this developing cluster of
storms will march south along and east of highway 283 during the
overnight hours. At this time am little concerned that this may
be a little too far east given the instability axis and 10-14c
700mb temperature gradient from the RAP earlier this afternoon.
Have therefore favored the highs chance along and east of HWY 283
but also will be keeping some higher pops going further west, just
in case.

CAMS also seem to be in decent agreement with the timing of this
event with a few isolated to widely scattered late day/evening
storms followed by the main cluster of thunderstorms after sunset.
Given the instability and shear late day/early evening these
isolated/widely scattered storms will be capable of producing
large hail (+2 inches) along with strong gusty winds. The threat
of severe weather will then shift to strong winds and heavy
rainfall after sunset as the main cluster of storms overnight
pass. Rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches an hour possible which may
lead to some localized flash flooding.

The bulk of the overnight convection will be tapering off east of
a Larned to Coldwater line early Sunday morning as an upper level
trough moves into Central Kansas. Subsidence behind this upper
level trough will also bring clearing skies from west to east.
Based on clear skies and 850mb temperatures at 00z Monday the
highs Sunday afternoon are expected to comb back into the 90s
across much of southwest Kansas. Highs only in the 80s are
expected where the clouds will clear out last and that will be
east of a Dighton to Dodge City line.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

An upper level trough embedded in a northwest flow will move
across the northern plains late Sunday night/early Monday. As this
upper level system moves east into the Western Great Lakes Region
late Monday a surface cold front will move across southwest
Kansas. Exact timing of this frontal passage is still somewhat
unclear but ahead of this cold front the highs on Monday will be
in the lower 90s while north of this boundary some cooler 80 to 85
degree high temperatures will be possible.

A few scattered thunderstorms will also be possible late day
along this cold front. If the models are correct with the frontal
position by late Monday, then the area most favorable for these
storms will be near the Oklahoma border and across south central
Kansas.

This cool down early next week may be around for several days
given that both the GFS and ECMWF agree with another upper level
trough moving across the Northern Plains Tuesday which will bring
a reinforcement of cooler air into the Central Plains. Along will
the cooler temperatures continuing mid to late week there will
also be a chance for scattered rain showers or thunderstorms mid
to late week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 557 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

Thunderstorms are expected to develop and move across southwest
and central Kansas through the evening into the overnight hours.
There is uncertainty as to expected coverage, especially over the
far southwest Kansas terminals, but any storms that develop in
this area will likely be severe with 50+ knot winds, damaging hail
and possible tornadoes. Farther east the Dodge City and Hays
terminals could have better chances of being impacted by storms
with the same severe weather threats. The storms should be moving
southeast out of the region by 067-07z with MVFR to IFR stratus
developing across much of the area later tonight into Sunday
morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  64  89  67  88 /  70  10  10  10
GCK  64  91  64  86 /  30  10   0   0
EHA  63  95  66  90 /  20  10   0  10
LBL  66  94  66  91 /  30  10   0  10
HYS  64  83  67  81 /  80  10  10  20
P28  67  85  69  91 /  80  10  10  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for KSZ030-031-043>046-
064>066-078>081-087>090.

&&

SHORT TERM...Burgert
LONG TERM...Burgert
AVIATION...Gerard

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
314 AM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-250815-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
314 AM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019 /214 AM MDT Sat Aug 24 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

The possibility of discrete supercells and a line of storms are
possible tonight. The supercell thunderstorms will have the
potential for hail 2 inch in diameter or greater, thunderstorm
wind gusts to 60 mph, and isolated tornadoes. The storms in the
line will have mainly a thunderstorm wind gust threat of 60 mph or
greater. Flash flooding will be possible especially in areas that
have already saturated ground from previous rains as an additional
1 to 2 inches will be possible from tonight's storms.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Significant risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

No widespread hazardous weather is expected.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
848 PM CDT SAT AUG 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 PM     HAIL             5 S SYRACUSE            37.91N 101.76W
08/24/2019  M2.00 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   STORM CHASER

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
849 PM CDT SAT AUG 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 PM     HAIL             SYRACUSE                37.98N 101.75W
08/24/2019  E1.50 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   PUBLIC

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
851 PM CDT SAT AUG 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 PM     HAIL             SYRACUSE                37.98N 101.75W
08/24/2019  E1.75 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   PUBLIC

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM SYRACUSE.

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
859 PM CDT SAT AUG 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 S SYRACUSE            37.91N 101.76W
08/24/2019                   HAMILTON           KS   STORM CHASER

            ROTATING WALL CLOUD WITH A FUNNEL OBSERVED.

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
902 PM CDT SAT AUG 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     HAIL             8 WSW SHALLOW WATER     38.32N 101.05W
08/24/2019  E1.75 INCH       SCOTT              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
917 PM CDT SAT AUG 24 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0914 PM     HAIL             3 NNE FRIEND            38.31N 100.90W
08/24/2019  E0.70 INCH       SCOTT              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&