Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 277, NWS Dodge City, KS

August 13, 20194 counties in Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 13, 2019, 8:59 PM CDT for 4 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 13, 2019, 8:59 PM CDT (01:59 UTC)
Expired: Aug 13, 2019, 9:30 PM CDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Edwards County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Rush County, KS, Stafford County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Aug 13, 6:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1348 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1866 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

078 
WUUS53 KDDC 140159
SVRDDC
KSC047-145-165-185-140230-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0277.190814T0159Z-190814T0230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
859 PM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Eastern Pawnee County in south central Kansas...
  West central Stafford County in south central Kansas...
  Southeastern Rush County in central Kansas...
  East central Edwards County in south central Kansas...

* Until 930 PM CDT.

* At 859 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Timken to near Larned to near Belpre, moving
  east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Larned, Macksville, Belpre, Ash Valley, Zook and Shaffer. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3801 9893 3792 9898 3794 9919 3816 9914
      3838 9940 3849 9903 3826 9903 3826 9892
TIME...MOT...LOC 0159Z 273DEG 26KT 3841 9921 3816 9906 3793 9910 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

1 follow-up statement

043 
WWUS53 KDDC 140231
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
931 PM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019

KSC047-145-165-185-140241-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0277.000000T0000Z-190814T0230Z/
Pawnee KS-Stafford KS-Rush KS-Edwards KS-
931 PM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN PAWNEE...WEST CENTRAL
STAFFORD...SOUTHEASTERN RUSH AND EAST CENTRAL EDWARDS COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
south central and central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3801 9893 3792 9898 3794 9919 3816 9914
      3838 9940 3849 9903 3826 9903 3826 9892
TIME...MOT...LOC 0231Z 270DEG 26KT 3840 9895 3815 9880 3792 9884 

$$

UMSCHEID

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 13, 5:51 PM CDT, 3 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 13, 5:51 PM CDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
551 PM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019

...Updated Aviation...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 346 PM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019

The southern edge of the westerlies will be situated across the
central plains through Saturday. A thermal boundary, with ample
moisture and upslope flow on the cool side will be located near
I-70. Given the westerly flow across the Rockies, a surface trough
will extend south from the low across the southern high plains.
By Sunday, upper level ridging will amplify again across the
central high plains, with the westerlies lifting north into the
northern plains.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 346 PM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019

Clusters of thunderstorms are already in progress across the high
plains. With the favorable west-northwesterly mid to high level
flow regime, these storms should propagate southeastward across
western and central Kansas tonight. The exact paths of the storm
clusters are in question; but it appears that much of the area
will receive rainfall. The vertical wind shear is weaker across
western Kansas compared to farther north so that the storms will
weaken as they move southeastward. Damaging winds should be the
main threat by the time the storms get this far south; but some
hail is likely too this evening before evolving into a larger
cluster with heavy rainfall.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 346 PM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019

Other clusters of thunderstorms are possible Thursday through
Saturday evenings given that the southern edge of the westerlies
will still be located across the central plains. However,
the flow is progged to be more westerly than northwesterly so that
the best chance of thunderstorms will shift to the north closer
to I-70. The aforementioned upper level ridge should suppress
rainfall from Sunday into early and mid next week, with any
thunderstorms over western Kansas being isolated. In general,
temperatures will continue to be warmer along the Oklahoma state
line and cooler near I-70.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 546 PM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019

An ongoing line of storms moving from northwest Kansas will come
into southwest Kansas between 00Z-06Z. The line of storms will
affect mainly HYS, GCK, and DDC with the main threat of the storms
being wind gusts 50-60 kts and brief heavy rain which will reduce
the surface visibilities. These storms should be quick moving and
after 06Z VFR conditions should prevail through the rest of the
TAF time period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  64  87  65  95 /  40  20  50  10
GCK  62  85  62  95 /  70  20  50  10
EHA  63  88  63  94 /  70  20  40  10
LBL  63  89  64  94 /  50  20  40  10
HYS  63  83  65  90 /  40  30  60  20
P28  66  88  66  92 /  30  10  20  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Finch
SHORT TERM...Finch
LONG TERM...Finch
AVIATION...Tatro

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 13, 4:42 AM CDT, 16 hours 17 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
442 AM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-140945-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
442 AM CDT Tue Aug 13 2019 /342 AM MDT Tue Aug 13 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across west
central and southwest Kansas late this afternoon into this
evening, then potentially further east into portions of central
Kansas overnight. The main hazards will be 1 to 2 inch size hail
and damaging winds 60 to 70 mph. Isolated tornadoes cannot be
ruled out. Additionally, heavy rainfall may be associated with the
strongest storms increasing the potential for localized flooding,
including ponding on roads and highways. Heavy rainfall may also
rapidly reduce visibility.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Significant risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Thunderstorms will be possible again Wednesday and Thursday, some
potentially severe capable of producing large hail and damaging
winds.

Warmer temperatures are expected to return by the end of the week
with highs reaching up into the 90s. Combined with higher relative
humidity, this may create excessive heat conditions.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon through this
evening across much of west central and southwest Kansas.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 13, 8:34 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
834 PM CDT TUE AUG 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HAYS                    38.88N 99.32W
08/13/2019                   ELLIS              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FROM HAYS DISPATCH...REPORTS OF 20 SEMIS
            BLOWN OVER ACROSS THE COUNTY. KHP IS
            REPORTING HIGH VOLTAGE POWER LINES BLOWN
            OVER SEMIS.

&&

GT

Local storm report, Aug 13, 8:39 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
839 PM CDT TUE AUG 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0831 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W BLOOM               37.49N 99.96W
08/13/2019  M55 MPH          FORD               KS   MESONET

            MESONET STATION DW9907 BLOOM.

&&

GT

Local storm report, Aug 13, 8:43 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
843 PM CDT TUE AUG 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 ENE SUBLETTE          37.48N 100.83W
08/13/2019  M49 MPH          HASKELL            KS   AWOS

            AWOS STATION K19S 1 NE SUBLETTE.

&&

GT

Local storm report, Aug 13, 8:52 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
852 PM CDT TUE AUG 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WRIGHT                  37.78N 99.89W
08/13/2019                   FORD               KS   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT OF TREE DAMAGE IN
            WRIGHT.

&&

GT

Local storm report, Aug 13, 8:54 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
854 PM CDT TUE AUG 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WAKEENEY                39.03N 99.88W
08/13/2019                   TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA PHOTO OF A ROOF BLOWN OFF A
            BUILDING IN WAKEENEY.

&&

GT

Local storm report, Aug 13, 8:58 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
858 PM CDT TUE AUG 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0858 PM     HAIL             SYRACUSE                37.98N 101.75W
08/13/2019  E1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

GT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 13, 7:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Hodgeman, Ness, Rush, Trego	45 min
Aug 13, 7:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Hodgeman, Lane, Ness, Scott	56 min
Aug 13, 7:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	65 min
Aug 13, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman, Ness and 2 more	46 min
Aug 13, 7:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber	56 min
Aug 13, 7:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward	43 min
Aug 13, 7:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Lane, Scott	52 min
Aug 13, 7:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Rush	49 min
Aug 13, 8:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	56 min
Aug 13, 8:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ellis, Pawnee, Rush, Stafford	47 min
Aug 13, 8:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Kiowa and 1 more	59 min
Aug 13, 8:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Haskell, Meade, Seward	48 min
Aug 13, 8:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Edwards, Kiowa, Pawnee, Pratt, Stafford	54 min
Aug 13, 9:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	43 min
Aug 13, 9:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Clark, Comanche, Kiowa, Pratt	55 min
Aug 13, 9:23 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	DDC	Ellis	3 hr
Aug 13, 9:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Pratt, Stafford	35 min
Aug 13, 9:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Seward	37 min
Aug 13, 9:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Comanche	49 min
Aug 13, 10:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Haskell	46 min
Aug 13, 11:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Gray	52 min
Aug 13, 11:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hamilton	49 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.