Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 5, 2019Meade County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 5, 2019, 5:14 PM CDT for Meade County, Kansas. It was in force for 61 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 5, 2019, 5:14 PM CDT (22:14 UTC)
Expired: May 5, 2019, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 61 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 2.5 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

County Meade County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 5, 5:21 PM CDT	HAIL 1	5 N Meade, KS
May 5, 6:20 PM CDT	TORNADO	5 N Missler, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 7 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 5, 4:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 11 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -333 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1895 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 183 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

756 
WUUS53 KDDC 052214
SVRDDC
KSC119-052315-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0024.190505T2214Z-190505T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
514 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northeastern Meade County in southwestern Kansas...

* Until 615 PM CDT.

* At 513 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Missler,
  moving southeast at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Tennis ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
           mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Meade, Fowler and Missler. 

This warning replaces the previous warning for northern Meade County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive
hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should
move to shelter inside a strong building,  and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3743 10058 3747 10056 3747 10011 3739 10011
      3739 10010 3725 10009 3710 10028
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 292DEG 12KT 3738 10043 

HAIL...2.50IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

1 follow-up statement

066 
WWUS53 KDDC 052244
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
544 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSC119-052315-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-190505T2315Z/
Meade KS-
544 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN MEADE COUNTY...

At 544 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Fowler, moving
east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Meade and Fowler. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive
hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should
move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3746 10048 3747 10011 3739 10011 3739 10010
      3728 10010 3729 10036 3736 10045
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 267DEG 12KT 3738 10030 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

UMSCHEID

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 5, 2:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 5, 2:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 42 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
232 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...UPDATE TO LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 103 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

The focus for thunderstorm chances shift slighty east across
southwest Kansas and into portions of central Kansas this evening
ahead of a slowly deepening surface low in extreme southwest Kansas.
A prevailing southerly flow will further enhance moisture advection
into central Kansas as a sharpening dryline attendant to the surface
low remains situated across southwest Kansas. Steepening low/mid
level lapse rates ahead of the dryline and more than sufficient
instability will set the stage for thunderstorm development later
this afternoon as a series of H5 vort maxima eject out of the
Colorado Rockies into the high plains. SBCAPE values upward of 2500
to 3000 J/kg, favorable 0-3km shear at 30kt, and a modest +60kt
westerly flow aloft will increase severe potential with large hail
and damaging winds the main threat. An isolated tornado cannot be
ruled out.

As for temperatures, look for lows back down into the 50s(F) tonight.
For Monday, highs will be dependent on how far south a cold front
pushes southward into western/central Kansas before stalling out.
Highs are expected to be in the mid/upper 60s(F) to possibly near 70F
behind the boundary in central Kansas Monday afternoon with the
lower/mid 80s(F) more likely closer to the Oklahoma border.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

Regardless of weak ridging aloft moving out of the Southern Rockies
into the Western High Plains Monday, thunderstorms will be possible
Monday evening in vicinity of a cold front projected to push
southward through much of western and central Kansas late in the
day. Although upper level westerlies will be relativly weak,
abundant moisture/instability and sufficient forcing associated with
the frontal boundary should be enough to trigger thunderstorm
development across portions of southwest and central Kansas toward
the evening hours. Thunderstorm chances continue each day through at
least Wednesday due to little movment of the aforementioned frontal
boundary while an upper level trough pushes ashore into the Desert
Southwest Tuesday, setting up an increasingly difluent southwest
flow aloft across the Western High Plains.

Near to a little below normal temperatures are likely dependent on
the orientation of a near stationary frontal boundary draped across
the area Tuesday. Should see highs generally up into the 60s(F)
and the lower/mid 70s(F). Cooler air begins to spread into western
Kansas behind a strong cold frontal passage late Wednesday. Could
see a wide range of temperatures Wednesday with highs possibly
only up into the 50s(F) toward west central Kansas to the 70s(F)
further southeast...all dependent on timing of the front.
Significantly cooler air spilling into the area may limit highs
to the 50s(F) Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across central and portions
of southwest Kansas late this afternoon and evening, potentially
affecting areas along and east of a KGCK to KLBL line. Otherwise,
predominately VFR conditions will prevail through late this evening.
Southerly winds around 15 to 25kt are expected to continue through
this evening as a lee side trough of low pressure remains anchored
in extreme eastern Colorado.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  55  76  54  71 /  30  40  50  50
GCK  53  71  51  68 /  20  40  50  50
EHA  52  82  53  75 /  10  20  30  30
LBL  55  82  55  74 /  20  30  40  40
HYS  55  65  49  61 /  30  50  70  60
P28  57  80  57  73 /  30  50  50  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...JJohnson
AVIATION...JJohnson

Hazardous weather outlook, May 5, 3:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
352 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-060945-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
352 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019 /252 PM MDT Sun May 5 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop late this afternoon
in the vicinity of a sharpening dryline extending across southwest
Kansas, then move eastward into central Kansas through this evening.
Some storms may be severe capable of producing up to tennis ball
size hail and damging winds 60 to 70 mph. An isolated tornado cannot
be ruled out.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Hail: Limited risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of
southwest and central Kansas each day through Wednesday. Large hail,
damaging winds, and heavy rainfall will be the main threats with the
strongest storms. Tornadoes may be possible as well.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Monday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 5 PM generally east of a
Dighton to Liberal line.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 5, 4:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
403 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSZ076-077-086-087-052200-
Gray KS-Seward KS-Meade KS-Haskell KS-
403 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SEWARD...NORTHERN
MEADE...SOUTHERN GRAY AND SOUTHEASTERN HASKELL COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM
CDT...

At 402 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a rapidly developing
strong thunderstorm near Tice, moving east at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Meade and Missler.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify to severe levels, so be certain to monitor
local radio stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3740 10076 3750 10073 3756 10024 3734 10021
      3719 10034
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 274DEG 17KT 3743 10069

UMSCHEID

Local storm report, May 5, 4:48 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
448 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HAIL             9 SSE COPELAND          37.42N 100.58W
05/05/2019  E1.75 INCH       MEADE              KS   PUBLIC

&&

Special weather statement, May 5, 4:55 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
455 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSZ064-065-079-052245-
Hodgeman KS-Pawnee KS-Edwards KS-
455 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN HODGEMAN...SOUTHWESTERN
PAWNEE AND NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

At 455 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles north of Jetmore, moving east at 25 mph. Another strong
thunderstorm was located 4 miles south of Hanston, also moving
east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Gray, Burdett, Hanston and Rozel.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
south central and southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3797 9978 3825 9997 3826 9941 3800 9934
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 275DEG 21KT 3821 9989

UMSCHEID

Special weather statement, May 5, 4:59 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
459 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

KSZ063-077-052245-
Gray KS-Finney KS-
459 PM CDT Sun May 5 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL FINNEY AND NORTHERN GRAY
COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

At 459 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Garden City, moving southeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Garden City, Cimarron, Pierceville, Ingalls and Charleston.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3768 10053 3802 10088 3818 10081 3803 10023
      3801 10023 3782 10030
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 294DEG 26KT 3804 10077

UMSCHEID

Local storm report, May 5, 5:05 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
505 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HAIL             8 N JETMORE             38.20N 99.89W
05/05/2019  E1.00 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   PUBLIC

            MOSTLY PEA TO DIME, BUT A FEW QUARTERS.

&&

Local storm report, May 5, 5:14 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
514 PM CDT SUN MAY 5 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0506 PM     HAIL             8 N JETMORE             38.20N 99.89W
05/05/2019  E1.00 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   PUBLIC

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 4, 7:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Kearny	54 min
May 5, 6:48 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark	57 min
May 5, 8:52 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Comanche	53 min
May 5, 4:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Meade	57 min
May 5, 4:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Kearny	47 min
May 5, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Gray, Meade	57 min
May 5, 4:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hodgeman	50 min
May 5, 4:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Finney, Gray	46 min
May 5, 5:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Hodgeman, Pawnee	55 min
May 5, 5:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray	57 min
May 5, 5:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman	43 min
May 5, 5:37 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	DDC	Ford	23 min
May 5, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Seward, Stevens	44 min
May 5, 6:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Kiowa	33 min
May 5, 6:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Gray	37 min
May 5, 6:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade	44 min
May 5, 6:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford	41 min
May 5, 6:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Rush	53 min
May 5, 6:24 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	DDC	Meade	36 min
May 5, 6:35 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Meade	6 hr
May 5, 6:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Gray	57 min
May 5, 6:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	DDC	Meade	32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.