Severe Thunderstorm Warning 210, NWS Dodge City, KS

078 
WWUS53 KDDC 230421
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1121 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

KSC129-187-230445-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0210.000000T0000Z-190623T0445Z/
Morton KS-Stanton KS-
1121 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MORTON AND SOUTHWESTERN STANTON COUNTIES...

At 1120 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Manter, moving
east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Morton and southwestern Stanton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3749 10198 3752 10170 3732 10169 3730 10196
TIME...MOT...LOC 0420Z 267DEG 40KT 3745 10181 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TURNER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
556 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...Updated aviation section...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 143 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

A cold front continues to move east and south this afternoon. As a
result, cooler and more stable air is spreading eastward across
the FA. The only area that still is in the warm sector is across
the far eastern counties. So the concern of having any surface
based CAPE for storms is clearly in question. Do have some 40 or
so percent pops across the east. Having said that, there still is
the distinct possibility that any severe weather will remain out
of the FA and just to the east and southeast. Of more importance
comes associated with a trof moving across the area during the
overnight period. Convection developing across eastern Colorado
will be aided with this UL feature. Heavy rainfall will be likely
across portions of the FA during the overnight period. A wind
threat is a secondary concern, but with the BL decoupled, some of
stronger winds might not mix down completely.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 143 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

There will be a slight chance of storms tomorrow. Otherwise,
eventually mid level ridging is indicated by the EC with warmer
temperatures and generally dry conditions.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 554 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

VFR conditions are expected this evening with increased cloudiness
overnight as scattered thunderstorms move through the area. THis
will bring periods of IFR to LIFR to western Kansas. Winds will
generally be from a northerly direction at less than 15 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  59  76  52  83 / 100  30  20   0
GCK  55  73  49  84 /  80  20  20   0
EHA  55  75  49  82 /  80  10  10   0
LBL  58  76  50  83 / 100  10  10   0
HYS  57  71  52  82 /  80  60  20  10
P28  65  84  57  84 /  90  40  20   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for KSZ046-065-066-
079>081-089-090.

&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Hovorka_42

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
458 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-231000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
458 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019 /358 AM MDT Sat Jun 22 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Thunderstorms are expected to develop over south central Kansas
this afternoon and will likely become severe. Large hail up to or
exceeding two inches and damaging winds will be possible
especially over parts of Pratt, Barber and Comanche counties. An
isolated tornado will also be possible during the afternoon and
early evening hours. In addition, very heavy rainfall is expected
from the storms over south central Kansas which could lead to
flash flooding. See the latest Flood Watch for more information.

Farther to the west and north, showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop over eastern Colorado and move into western
Kansas tonight. A few of these storms could become severe with
quarter size hail and gusty winds.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

There will be a marginal to slight risk for severe thunderstorms
mainly east of a Larned to Ashland line Sunday afternoon and
evening. Any storms that develop could produce large hail and
damaging winds.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports for hail and high winds may be needed after 4 pm
across south central Kansas and later in the evening elsewhere
across central and southwest Kansas.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
929 PM MDT Sat Jun 22 2019

KSZ061-230415-
Hamilton KS-
929 PM MDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY UNTIL
1015 PM MDT...

At 928 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Coolidge, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Coolidge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM MDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3824 10205 3826 10202 3826 10183 3807 10158
      3791 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0328Z 234DEG 22KT 3803 10206

TURNER