Severe Thunderstorm Warning 144, NWS Dodge City, KS

846 
WWUS53 KDDC 040207
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
907 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

KSC055-069-081-040230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0144.000000T0000Z-190604T0230Z/
Finney KS-Gray KS-Haskell KS-
907 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY...WEST CENTRAL GRAY AND NORTH CENTRAL HASKELL
COUNTIES...

At 906 PM CDT, strong winds from a decaying thunderstorm continue 
across portions of Finney county. Although the thunderstorm is 
diminishing, strong winds will continue through 9:30 pm CDT. 

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Automated observations. The Garden City Airport reported a 
         wind gust of 64 mph at 8:54 pm CDT. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Garden City, Pierceville and Plymell. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3768 10093 3793 10104 3809 10076 3778 10050
TIME...MOT...LOC 0206Z 256DEG 32KT 3787 10070 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TURNER

841 
WWUS53 KDDC 040227
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
927 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

KSC055-069-081-040235-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0144.000000T0000Z-190604T0230Z/
Finney KS-Gray KS-Haskell KS-
927 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY...WEST
CENTRAL GRAY AND NORTH CENTRAL HASKELL COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 930 PM
CDT...
    
Strong winds from a decaying thunderstorm have diminished across the 
area. The severe thunderstorm warning will be allowed to expire at 
9:30 pm CDT. 

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3768 10093 3793 10104 3809 10076 3778 10050
TIME...MOT...LOC 0225Z 256DEG 32KT 3791 10049 

$$

TURNER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
710 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

...Updated for aviation discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 1141 AM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

Southwest flow aloft over southwest Kansas with a deep upper level
low across the four corner region giving way to decent difluent
flow across the high plains allowing for exhaust for apparent
storms late this afternoon and evening. A short wave is expected
to propagate across the region this afternoon sparking off storms
over the Raton Mesa area and eastern Colorado before pushing
across the state line into Kansas by 5PM. These storms will
initiate due to strong daytime heating this afternoon and
geographical lift across the higher elevations of these areas
before pushing to lower elevations of the high plains into the
evening hours. Large scale forcing mechanisms look to be weak and
thus, these storms look like to be short lived if not dying off
before reaching far western Kansas with only general storms
pushing across the CWA and exiting before midnight. None the less,
with instability moderate in CAPE and mid level lapse rates with
clear skies allowing for ample warm up, hail could be the initial
risk before reaching the region before becoming mostly a wind
event as storms cluster up into a line. Beyond that, expect
afternoon high temperatures to swell into the mid to upper 80s
with near or at 90 for western counties along the Colorado state
line. Breezy south to southwest winds will diminish overnight due
to night time cooling with cloudy skies from the aforementioned
storms clearing out before midnight.

Tuesday morning low temperatures will start pretty mild in the
low to mid 60s as winds will stay relatively light due to a
weakened pressure gradient with high pressure extending in from
the north and northeast. Another round of storms look to develop
once again by mid afternoon across northeastern New Mexico and
southeastern Colorado before pushing into far western Kansas later
in the afternoon and evening time frame. With the upper level low
starting to push further east, expect another short wave to push
across the high plains. Coupled with divergent upper level
southwest flow and ample daytime heating and instability once
again, expect severe weather during this time frame with large
hail and damaging winds once again being the main threats. The
stronger low level jet as depicted today, will not be near as
strong tomorrow with this event, and thus, the growth of a much
larger scale look to be pretty diminished. These storms look to
push off out of the CWA again before midnight giving way to
clearing skies and weaker winds. Afternoon high temperatures
Tuesday afternoon will once again be in the mid to upper 80s with
overnight lows into Wednesday morning in upper 50s to mid 60s west
to east across the CWA.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 127 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

After another mild start, not as much of a warm up for Wednesday
only making it into the low to mid 80s for the majority of the CWA
behind the aforementioned shortwave from Tuesday evening and early
night. Another round of storms could be possible Wednesday
afternoon and evening with another shortwave, but with the upper
level low on the progression eastward, the severe impacts to be
more centered further east into central to eastern Kansas. General
thunderstorms expected for southwest Kansas but still could see
gustier winds and smaller size hail but the severe threats will
remain east. Similar conditions for Thursday with the severe
threat pushing further east into the Missouri River basin as the
aforementioned upper level low pushes further east before lifting
across the area and to the northeast Thursday night into Friday.
General thunderstorms still possible Thursday afternoon and
evening but severity not likely. Morning lows will be upper 50s to
low 60s with afternoon highs only in the 70s with increased cloud
clover due to the aforementioned low near overhead for the high
plains inhibiting a strong diurnal warm up.

A warming and drying trend in store to end the week on Friday and
into the weekend. An upper level ridge builds in across the
western United States due to strong confluent flow aloft with high
pressure extending across the surface for western Kansas. Morning
low temperatures will generally be in the upper 50s to mid 60s
with afternoon high temperatures pushing back into the 80s with
near 90 for Saturday as the warmest day of the long term outlook.

Another weak and dry cold front extends out of the Wyoming front
range that will drop temperatures back into the 70s for Monday and
the new work week. Moisture content looks to be dry and stable as
it passes through the area due to the northwest flow aloft and
downsloping surface flow. Expect dry conditions to continue into
the rest of the week with a good warm up in store with long term
outlooks indicating a dryer and warmer than average spell for the
10-15 day outlook. Even though rainfall amounts look to be not
near as much this week not seeing much more than an inch in most
areas of the CWA, sure will take what can get in the meantime
before the hot and dry summer time approaches in time for the
area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 707 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

As an upper level disturbance over the desert southwest approaches
through the period, there will be rounds of thunderstorms
affecting the TAF sites each evening between 00 and 06z with
strong winds and small hail. The best chance of storms both
evenings is at KGCK. Aside from the thunderstorms, VFR conditions
can be expected, along with mainly south to southeast winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  63  86  61  84 /  40  20  30  30
GCK  61  88  59  83 /  40  20  30  30
EHA  58  86  58  77 /  40  20  30  40
LBL  60  86  59  81 /  40  20  30  30
HYS  64  87  61  86 /  30  10  20  20
P28  65  86  65  84 /  30  10  20  30

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Lowe
LONG TERM...Lowe
AVIATION...Finch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
343 AM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-040845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
343 AM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019 /243 AM MDT Mon Jun 3 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of
west central and southwest Kansas late this afternoon and evening.
Quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging winds in excess of 60
mph will be possible. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled
out.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Thunderstorms will be possible each day Tuesday through Thursday.
However, the potential for severe weather remains uncertain.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Friday
  No hazards.

* Saturday
  No hazards.

* Sunday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed in west central and southwest
Kansas generally after 4pm.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
712 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

KSZ074-075-084-085-040100-
Stanton KS-Stevens KS-Grant KS-Morton KS-
712 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MORTON...SOUTHERN
GRANT...SOUTHEASTERN STANTON AND STEVENS COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

At 711 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Richfield, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hugoton, Rolla, Moscow, Wilburton, Feterita and Cave.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3700 10186 3744 10171 3745 10112 3700 10111
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 266DEG 36KT 3723 10172

TURNER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
757 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

KSZ075-076-085-086-040145-
Seward KS-Stevens KS-Grant KS-Haskell KS-
757 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN SEWARD...SOUTHEASTERN
GRANT...STEVENS AND SOUTHERN HASKELL COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

At 756 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northwest of Cave to near Hough.
Movement was east at 35 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Liberal, Hugoton, Sublette, Satanta, Moscow, Cave and Woods.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3699 10153 3746 10125 3753 10072 3700 10097
TIME...MOT...LOC 0056Z 271DEG 30KT 3743 10120 3687 10153

TURNER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
806 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

KSZ063-076>078-040200-
Gray KS-Finney KS-Haskell KS-Ford KS-
806 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN FORD...CENTRAL
FINNEY...GRAY AND NORTHEASTERN HASKELL COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

At 805 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking outflow winds from strong
thunderstorms from near Garden City to near Sublette. These winds
will spread into Gray and portions of Finney and Haskell counties
over the next half hour.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Garden City, Cimarron, Montezuma, Pierceville, Copeland, Ingalls,
Ensign, Charleston, Tice, Kalvesta and The Haggard Elev.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3749 10078 3799 10088 3822 10030 3748 10013
TIME...MOT...LOC 0105Z 257DEG 16KT 3768 10072

TURNER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
825 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

KSZ076-077-085>087-040215-
Gray KS-Seward KS-Meade KS-Stevens KS-Haskell KS-
825 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SEWARD...WESTERN MEADE...
SOUTHEASTERN STEVENS...SOUTHWESTERN GRAY AND SOUTHEASTERN HASKELL
COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

At 824 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Pierceville to near Tyrone. Movement was
east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Liberal, Sublette, Kismet, Hayne, Woods, Missler and Plains.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3700 10126 3749 10094 3748 10026 3700 10052
TIME...MOT...LOC 0124Z 271DEG 21KT 3783 10068 3702 10111

TURNER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
844 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

KSZ063-064-077-078-087-088-040230-
Gray KS-Finney KS-Hodgeman KS-Meade KS-Clark KS-Ford KS-
844 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FORD...NORTHEASTERN FINNEY...
HODGEMAN...MEADE...EASTERN GRAY AND WESTERN CLARK COUNTIES UNTIL 930
PM CDT...

At 842 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking an outflow boundary with
strong winds from near Kalvesta to near Meade. Winds of 40 to 50 mph
are expected along this boundary as it moves eastward.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Dodge City, Cimarron, Meade, Montezuma, Jetmore, Spearville,
Minneola, Fowler, Hanston, Ensign, Bloom, Englewood, Meade State
Park, Howell, Wright, Missler, Kalvesta, The Haggard Elev, Acres and
Ft. Dodge.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3825 10035 3825 9966 3700 9990 3700 10058
TIME...MOT...LOC 0142Z 270DEG 20KT 3818 10022 3710 10041

TURNER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
848 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

KSZ076-077-086-087-040230-
Gray KS-Seward KS-Meade KS-Haskell KS-
848 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SEWARD...
NORTHWESTERN MEADE...SOUTHWESTERN GRAY AND SOUTHEASTERN HASKELL
COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

At 848 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Tice, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Montezuma, Copeland, Tice and Missler.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3732 10078 3751 10083 3764 10042 3729 10035
TIME...MOT...LOC 0148Z 257DEG 22KT 3743 10070

TURNER