Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 180, NWS State College, PA

July 2, 2019Adams County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 2, 2019, 6:03 PM EDT for Adams County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2019, 6:03 PM EDT (22:03 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 2019, 6:50 PM EDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.88 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Adams County, PA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2019-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2019-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 43 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1575 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 2, 3:57 PM EDT, 2 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 3:57 PM EDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
357 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A large upper level ridge will keep the region warm and humid
for the rest of the week. Expect a chance of thunderstorms each
afternoon and evening right on into the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
Most humid air of the summer quickly moved into the CWA this
morning with many locations reporting dew points over 70. HRRR
model not even close showing dew points in the lower 60s.
Showers and some thunderstorms developing on schedule this
afternoon. Despite poor low level moisture fields on HRRR, it's
still showing active convection for the rest of the afternoon
and early evening. Forecast has this covered. Cells are moving
rather fast, to the southeast at 20-30 mph. This fast cell
movement should limit rainfall totals. Once convection
diminishes after sunset look for a warm and muggy night with
patchy fog development towards sunrise.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
Another warm and humid summer day with afternoon thunderstorms
developing across the region. SPC continues to have the area
under a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
1. Repeat summertime pattern with very warm and humid
conditions fueling rounds of thunderstorms through Saturday. The
strongest storms may produce strong to locally damaging wind
gusts, hail, and heavy downpours. Stay alert and be prepared for
disruptions to outdoor activities through the first part of the
4th of July weekend.

2. Max heat index values are forecast to peak around 95-99F in
the lower Susquehanna Valley later this week and remain just
below heat advisory criteria. Practice heat safety.

3. Slightly cooler and less humid airmass likely to arrive
Sunday with drier trend into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR outside of any showers and thunderstorms which will develop
this afternoon. Cell movement will be southeast at 15 to 25
knots.

Expect patchy fog late tonight, mainly across the north, and in
areas that get rain.

.Outlook...

Wed-Sat...Scattered PM thunderstorms possible, with localized
restrictions.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Ross
NEAR TERM...Ross
SHORT TERM...Ross
LONG TERM...Steinbugl
AVIATION...Ross
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 2, 4:43 AM EDT, 13 hours 20 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
443 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-030845-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-
Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-
Adams-York-Lancaster-
443 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered strong thunderstorms may produce marginally strong wind
gusts and heavy downpours this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered strong thunderstorms may produce marginally strong wind
gusts and heavy downpours Wednesday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 2, 5:15 PM EDT, 48 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 2, 5:32 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 2, 5:41 PM EDT, 22 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 2, 5:47 PM EDT, 16 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 2, 5:58 PM EDT, 5 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 2, 6:03 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 2:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPCameron23 min
Jul 2, 2:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPClearfield35 min
Jul 2, 2:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPCameron26 min
Jul 2, 3:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPBlair, Cambria, Huntingdon49 min
Jul 2, 3:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLycoming30 min
Jul 2, 4:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPMontour48 min
Jul 2, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford, Blair, Cambria, Somerset57 min
Jul 2, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPHuntingdon52 min
Jul 2, 4:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPSomerset46 min
Jul 2, 4:35 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPLycoming115 min
Jul 2, 4:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSchuylkill34 min
Jul 2, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland60 min
Jul 2, 5:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPYork49 min
Jul 2, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPYork62 min
Jul 2, 5:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPSchuylkill28 min
Jul 2, 5:57 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPSchuylkill2 hr
Jul 2, 5:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPAdams47 min
Jul 2, 6:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLancaster36 min
Jul 2, 6:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster, York78 min
Jul 2, 7:12 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPSomerset3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.