Severe Thunderstorm Warning 207, NWS Cleveland, OH

932 
WWUS51 KCLE 012256
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
656 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

OHC117-012305-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0207.000000T0000Z-190901T2330Z/
Morrow OH-
656 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORROW COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4024 8248 4027 8248 4035 8265 4054 8262
      4055 8239 4057 8218 4024 8231
TIME...MOT...LOC 2255Z 221DEG 27KT 4036 8245 

$$

OHC083-012330-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0207.000000T0000Z-190901T2330Z/
Knox OH-
656 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR KNOX COUNTY...

At 655 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Mount Vernon,
moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Mount Vernon, Fredericktown, Gambier, Utica, Danville, Martinsburg
and North Liberty.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4024 8248 4027 8248 4035 8265 4054 8262
      4055 8239 4057 8218 4024 8231
TIME...MOT...LOC 2255Z 221DEG 27KT 4036 8245 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

799 
WWUS51 KCLE 012310
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
710 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

OHC083-012319-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0207.000000T0000Z-190901T2330Z/
Knox OH-
710 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR KNOX COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. However gusty winds to 
35 mph are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 4024 8248 4027 8248 4035 8265 4054 8262
      4055 8239 4057 8218 4024 8231
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 219DEG 21KT 4043 8238 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
619 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak surface front will cross the area this evening followed
by another by midday Monday. Low pressure will track across the
Great Lakes between Tuesday and Wednesday and take a cold front
across early Wednesday morning. High pressure will then be in
place across the region for the rest of the work week with
cooler and drier conditions.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Update...Adjusted pops and weather based on current radar
trends. No other significant changes.

Original...Ample cloud cover has kept much of the area fairly
stable this afternoon. The exception has been a narrow corridor
along/east of the I-71 corridor. With the approach of a
convectively induced circulation and the upper shortwave energy,
expecting an expansion of shower/thunderstorms across the
eastern half of the area through this evening. Kept the thunder
chances on the low side though with the limited instability.
Locally heavy rainfall is possible though. This feature will
take all evening/into the early overnight to cross the area and
we pool the low level moisture along the area of surface
convergence. This airmass remains though into Monday
morning/midday and with the passage of another minor shortwave
early Monday have had to linger precip chances into the second
period of the forecast. Expecting improving conditions for the
afternoon Monday. Clouds will attempt to scatter from the
northwest, but may take until mid/late afternoon to reach the
southern and eastern counties. Temperatures will be mild
tonight, and return to the mid/upper 70s for Labor Day. Will
have a few more locations drop back into the 50s Monday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Tuesday should remain dry as we await the arrival of a stronger
cold front that will cross the region by Wednesday afternoon.
Expect to see shower and thunderstorm chances increase ahead of
the cold front Tuesday evening into the overnight. The
showers/thunderstorms should then end from northwest to
southeast on Wednesday with the cold front eventually moving
away from the area. A few of the thunderstorms could be a bit
stronger on Wednesday. We will monitor this over the next couple
days. High pressure will take control of the region Wednesday
night.

Tuesday will be the warm day of the short term with all locations
warming into the 80s. Cooler on Wednesday with highs in the 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
High pressure will remain in control of the region Thursday
until at least early Friday with dry conditions expected. Models
then struggle with the development of the next area of low
pressure that may impact the region Friday night into Saturday.
No confidence in the GFS timing at this point so have leaned
toward the ECMWF scenario holding rain chances off until
Saturday.

Cool and dry conditions are expected into Saturday. Highs should
range from the upper 60s to mid 70s. Lows will be cool with many
locations away from the lake dipping into the 40s Thursday night.
Slightly warmer Friday night and Saturday night with lows ranging
from the upper 40s to mid 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Sunday THROUGH Friday/...
Area of showers/embedded thunder working across the western
terminals will tend to fill in with a few additional
thunderstorms across the east terminals this afternoon. Areas of
MVFR vsby/isolated IFR can be expected with the precipitation.
Boundary laying from MFD to CLE to ERI with southerly winds
south of the boundary and east-northeast winds north of the
boundary. Upper support will cross the area this evening, but a
few stray showers may linger longer than that across the east.
Overnight expect MVFR ceilings to develop with some areas of
IFR possible and a slow improvement Monday morning.

.OUTLOOK...Isolated non-VFR late Tuesday night/early Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure has moved to New England allowing a warm front to
move to near the south shore of the lake. Winds from the east
this afternoon will shift to the south and southwest as the warm
front crosses the lake. A weak cold front will then cross the
lake early Monday with light northerly winds anticipated into
the afternoon. High pressure should briefly ridge across the
lake from Ontario Monday night with light winds. A much deeper
low will move from the upper Great Lakes to Quebec on Wednesday.
Expect increasing southwest winds ahead of a cold front that
will cross the lake by Wednesday afternoon with northerly winds
expected in its wake in to Wednesday night. Will need to monitor
the southwest winds ahead of the front Tuesday night and then
the northerly winds into Wednesday night for the need of a small
craft advisory.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Oudeman
NEAR TERM...TK/Oudeman
SHORT TERM...MM
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...Oudeman
MARINE...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
527 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

OHZ013-014-020>023-029>033-037-038-047-PAZ003-020930-
Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Richland-
Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Crawford-
527 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms will move across the area late this afternoon into
early evening. A few of the strongest thunderstorms may be capable of
producing wind gusts to 60 mph, small hail, and locally heavy
rainfall. Thunderstorms will be strongest between 4 PM and 8 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>012-017>019-027-028-036-089-PAZ001-
002-020930-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Lucas-Wood-
Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-
Wyandot-Crawford-Marion-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
Southern Erie-
527 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will move across the area this afternoon
and evening. Thunderstorms may produce locally heavy rain. A few of
the strongest storms may produce wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
322 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

OHZ029-030-012000-
Richland-Ashland-
322 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT RICHLAND AND ASHLAND
COUNTIES...

At 320 PM EDT, an area of strong thunderstorms was located near
Mansfield, moving northeast at 20 mph. Winds up to 40 mph and pea
size hail are possible from these storms. Brief heavy rainfall is
also possible which may lead to ponding of water on roadways.

LAT...LON 4063 8262 4064 8264 4071 8262 4071 8273
      4099 8273 4099 8244 4107 8243 4106 8218
      4100 8217 4099 8213 4067 8213 4067 8222
      4057 8222 4055 8235 4055 8262
TIME...MOT...LOC 1920Z 231DEG 16KT 4082 8247

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
405 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

OHZ027-028-012045-
Crawford-Wyandot-
405 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WYANDOT AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES...

At 405 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Upper Sandusky,
moving east at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations that may be impacted include...Bucyrus, Upper Sandusky,
New Washington, Sycamore, Chatfield, Marseilles, Carey, Benton,
Nevada, North Robinson, Harpster, Oceola and Sulpher Springs.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4099 8338 4100 8311 4099 8282 4081 8276
      4068 8340 4069 8342
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 247DEG 23KT 4081 8332

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
606 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-012330-
Ashtabula Lakeshore-Ashtabula Inland-Northern Erie-Southern
Erie-Crawford-
606 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN ASHTABULA...
ERIE AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES...

At 604 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from 6 miles north of Girard to 6 miles south
of Conneaut to near Pymatuning lake to 6 miles northeast of Orwell.
Movement was east at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 35 mph are possible with these storms. Heavy
rainfall may cause ponding of water on area roadways.

Locations that may be impacted include...Erie, Meadville, Conneaut,
Corry, Edinboro, Titusville, North East, Union City, Girard, North
Kingsville, Cambridge Springs, Orwell, Waterford, Albion, Andover,
Linesville, Wattsburg, Adamsville and Riceville.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4227 7976 4201 7976 4199 7961 4162 7963
      4162 7982 4149 8000 4150 8089 4173 8076
      4184 8066 4195 8062 4204 8031 4214 8009
      4214 8014 4217 8012 4217 8008 4215 8010
      4215 8006
TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 248DEG 21KT 4210 8035 4187 8054 4173 8057 4158
8074