Severe Thunderstorm Warning 149, NWS Cleveland, OH

029 
WWUS51 KCLE 241743
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
143 PM EDT Wed Jul 24 2019

PAC039-241752-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-190724T1815Z/
Crawford PA-
143 PM EDT Wed Jul 24 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However small hail is
still possible with this thunderstorm.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Cleveland.

LAT...LON 4148 8014 4148 8036 4149 8038 4149 8052
      4180 8038 4181 8026
TIME...MOT...LOC 1739Z 002DEG 15KT 4161 8033 

$$

Saunders

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1248 PM EDT Wed Jul 24 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will move slowly east today and tonight,
eventually centering itself over Ohio on Thursday. The high
will continue to influence the local area into the weekend as
it shifts to the Mid Atlantic Coast.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Upper level trough over eastern Ohio this afternoon pushing
east. Lift and some limited synoptic moisture will combine with
daytime heating to continue some scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms across mainly interior sections of the area this
afternoon into early evening. Temperatures will be cool compared
to seasonal normals with highs in the 70s and dewpoints under 60
degrees.

High pressure over the central plains will build slowly east
and reach the area on Thursday. Aloft, a positively tilted upper
trough extends across Ohio from Quebec. Cool air aloft
associated with the upper trough along with the warm lake will
continue to fuel a limited threat for convection today mainly
east and south. Upper heights will slowly build this afternoon
and tonight as the trough axis shifts east. The NAM however
shows another impulse dropping into nern OH and nwrn PA Thursday
morning. The GFS is not as aggressive. Given this and with
upper heights continuing to build, will only have a slight
chance pop east Thursday morning. Highs upper 70s to near 80
west. Highs Thursday lower 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
An upper level trough will be east of the area by THursday
night as surface high pressure and upper level heights increase.
This should mean dry conditions but warmer through the short
term. Temperatures will be warmer than average with highs in the
middle to upper 80s. A couple locations may touch 90.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A cold front will move into the central Great Lakes on Sunday
but may not have much influence on thunderstorm chances until
Monday morning. This frontal boundary will be close enough
Monday into Tuesday to mention a chance of thunderstorms. Sunday
will likely be the warmest day with highs in the mid 80s to
around 90. Slightly cooler with increased cloud cover and maybe
some thunderstorms. Highs dip slightly and range from the lower
80s to the upper 80s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Daytime heating is producing some cumulus clouds across the
western counties, with scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over central and eastern terminals. Some ceilings
area hovering around 3k feet. As high pressure builds in
overnight conditions will continue to dry. A trough axis is
expected to hang up across the area on Thursday become a focus
for some additional clouds and isolated showers, mainly in the
afternoon. Overall looking at VFR conditions for the next 24-36
hours with VCSH. Winds will be light and variable.

OUTLOOK...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds should gradually decrease in the wake of the trough but
remain northerly into tonight. On Thursday winds shift to the
southwest and may attempt to be just strong enough to build
waves to around 4 feet from Geneva On The Lake to Ripley through
afternoon into the evening. We will take another look at this
early Thursday morning. Winds will then remain southwest into
Friday but should under 15 knots.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TK
NEAR TERM...Jamison/TK
SHORT TERM...MM
LONG TERM...MM
AVIATION...Kahn
MARINE...MM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
526 AM EDT Wed Jul 24 2019

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-250930-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Lucas-Wood-
Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-
Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-
Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
526 AM EDT Wed Jul 24 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
109 PM EDT Wed Jul 24 2019

PAZ003-241815-
Crawford-
109 PM EDT Wed Jul 24 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY...

At 109 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles north of
Harmonsburg, or 12 miles northwest of Meadville, moving south at 15
mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Meadville, Linesville, Harmonsburg, Adamsville, Pymatuning Central,
Atlantic, Pymatuning North, Cochranton, Saegertown, Conneautville,
Conneaut Lake, Jamestown, Springboro, Conneaut Lakeshore, Geneva and
Hartstown.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 4149 8000 4149 8009 4148 8013 4148 8037
      4149 8044 4149 8052 4183 8038 4183 8019
      4150 7999
TIME...MOT...LOC 1709Z 001DEG 11KT 4177 8032

Saunders