Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 115, NWS Cleveland, OH

July 2, 2019Mahoning County, Portage County, Trumbull County, Ohio

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 2, 2019, 6:37 PM EDT for Mahoning County, Portage County, Trumbull County, Ohio. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 2, 2019, 6:37 PM EDT (22:37 UTC)
Expired: Jul 2, 2019, 7:15 PM EDT
In force: 38 min
Issued by: NWS Cleveland, OH
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Mahoning County, OH, Portage County, OH, Trumbull County, OH

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 184 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -124 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1400 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 106 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 120 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

282 
WUUS51 KCLE 022237
SVRCLE
OHC099-133-155-022315-
/O.NEW.KCLE.SV.W.0115.190702T2237Z-190702T2315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
637 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southwestern Trumbull County in northeastern Ohio...
  Portage County in northeastern Ohio...
  Western Mahoning County in northeastern Ohio...

* Until 715 PM EDT.

* At 637 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Ravenna,
  moving southeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect damage to 
           trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
  Warren, Ravenna, Newton Falls, Lordstown, Garrettsville, Mantua,
  Leavittsburg, Edinburg, Windham, Craig Beach, Deerfield, Wayland,
  South Canal, Turnpike Interchange and Berlin Center.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4114 8131 4129 8124 4123 8078 4094 8096
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 296DEG 21KT 4118 8121 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Saunders

1 follow-up statement

049 
WWUS51 KCLE 022306
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
706 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019

OHC099-133-155-022316-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0115.000000T0000Z-190702T2315Z/
Trumbull OH-Portage OH-Mahoning OH-
706 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TRUMBULL...
PORTAGE AND WESTERN MAHONING COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM EDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 4114 8131 4129 8124 4123 8078 4094 8096
TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 296DEG 21KT 4111 8101 

$$

Saunders

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 2, 3:52 PM EDT, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 3:52 PM EDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
352 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A stationary front will linger near Lake Erie through Thursday
as high pressure remains centered over the upper Ohio valley.
The high will move to the Mid Atlantic coast by Friday, as a
cold front moves southeast through the Great Lakes and into the
Ohio valley by Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Scattered convection will continue across the area this
afternoon into the evening hours. Coverage should peak early this
evening before a brief lull around 00Z. Hi-res guidance
continues to indicated additional convection developing upstream
or over the area after 00Z, moving south across the area through
the early overnight hours. Severe thunderstorms potential should
be confined to this afternoon/evening with peak
heating/maximized instability.

Composite outflow/synoptic boundary will be somewhere across
the area on Wednesday. Expecting a similar setup to today, as
daytime destabilization promotes scattered convection developing
as the day progresses. SPC has focused the Day 2 outlook to the
southern half of the area, with a marginal risk for damaging
winds, fairly similar to today. Coverage should diurnally wane
after sunset through Tuesday night. Highs tomorrow may be a few
degrees cooler than today, but still hot and humid. Lows will be
in the upper 60s to low 70s tonight and tomorrow night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
No major changes to the forecast for the end of the week, with
high pressure over the eastern US, bringing hot and humid
conditions and continued scattered shower/thunderstorm chances.
These will be driven mainly by daytime heating, with peak
coverage during the afternoon/evening hours. Highs will be in
the mid/upper 80s with lows around 70.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A cold front will push southeast across the area early Saturday,
with shower/thunderstorms possible through the day. High
pressure will build southeast across the Great Lakes region
Saturday night through the first half of next week, keeping
conditions generally dry and slightly cooler to end the
weekend, with general warming trend through midweek as the high
shifts east of the region. There may be some instability driven
showers/storms by Tuesday with moisture return into the area.
Highs Saturday will be in the mid 80s. Highs will be in the low
80s Sunday, but will return to the mid 80s by Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/...
A warm, unstable airmass with high pressure south of the region
and a weak stationary front north of the area with bring
scattered showers and storms to the region. Hard to pinpoint
exact timing and location of storms, aside from ongoing
convection moving into KTOL at the onset of the period. Have
tried to highlight periods of higher confidence in storms with
TEMPO/PROB30 mentions, generally this afternoon through Midnight
across the area. Generally SCT/BKN VFR cu outside of the storms,
with brief MVFR/IFR reductions possible with any storms.
Generally west winds will become lighter overnight, with
light/variable winds expected through the end of the period.

OUTLOOK...Non-VFR possible with isolated to scattered
thunderstorms that develop through Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Generally quiet conditions expected on the lake through the
holiday weekend. Southwest winds will diminish into this
evening, and will be light and variable through Wednesday as a
stationary front lingers near the lake. The front will lift
north of the lake Thursday, with southerly winds returning to
the lake by Friday. A cold front will finally cross the lake by
Saturday, with generally northerly winds through the weekend.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Greenawalt
NEAR TERM...Greenawalt
SHORT TERM...Greenawalt/Saunders
LONG TERM...Greenawalt/Saunders
AVIATION...Greenawalt
MARINE...Greenawalt/Saunders

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 2, 4:14 AM EDT, 14 hours 23 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
414 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-030815-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Lucas-Wood-
Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-
Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-
Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
414 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is the possibility that a few thunderstorms could reach severe
criteria today. The main threat will be strong damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 2, 6:02 PM EDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
602 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0557 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 WNW HILLS AND DALES   40.83N 81.46W
07/02/2019  E60 MPH          STARK              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL ALSO REPORTED.

&&

Local storm report, Jul 2, 6:03 PM EDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
603 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 W TIFFIN              41.12N 83.24W
07/02/2019  M58 MPH          SENECA             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL WAS ALSO REPORTED AT THIS
            LOCATION.

&&

RC

Local storm report, Jul 2, 6:17 PM EDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
617 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0506 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NW LODI               41.04N 82.03W
07/02/2019                   MEDINA             OH   PUBLIC

            TREES SNAPPED AND UPROOTED.

&&

RC

Local storm report, Jul 2, 6:18 PM EDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
618 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0614 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 N EAST SPARTA         40.74N 81.36W
07/02/2019                   STARK              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN OR BROKEN OFF.

&&

Local storm report, Jul 2, 6:20 PM EDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
620 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MASSILLON               40.79N 81.52W
07/02/2019                   STARK              OH   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ACROSS THE ROAD.

&&

RC

Local storm report, Jul 2, 6:25 PM EDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
625 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 S SPENCER             41.04N 82.13W
07/02/2019                   MEDINA             OH   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN REPORTED IN HOMERVILLE.
            TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

RC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 2, 2:11 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CLE	Lucas, Wood	34 min
Jul 2, 2:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Lucas, Ottawa, Sandusky, Wood	31 min
Jul 2, 2:42 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	CLE		82 min
Jul 2, 2:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Erie, Lucas, Ottawa, Sandusky	62 min
Jul 2, 3:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Erie, Huron, Ottawa, Sandusky, Seneca	55 min
Jul 2, 3:37 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	CLE		72 min
Jul 2, 4:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Ashland, Cuyahoga, Erie, Huron, Lorain, Medina	65 min
Jul 2, 4:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CLE	Crawford, Hancock, Wyandot	53 min
Jul 2, 4:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Hancock, Seneca, Wyandot	60 min
Jul 2, 4:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Ashland, Richland, Wayne	46 min
Jul 2, 5:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Ashland, Holmes, Knox, Medina, Portage, Richland and 3 more	61 min
Jul 2, 5:18 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Hancock, Seneca, Wood	43 min
Jul 2, 5:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Knox, Morrow, Richland	56 min
Jul 2, 6:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Hancock, Seneca, Wood, Wyandot	45 min
Jul 2, 6:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Ashland, Holmes, Knox, Richland, Stark, Wayne	37 min
Jul 2, 6:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Sandusky, Seneca	48 min
Jul 2, 6:28 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Knox	47 min
Jul 2, 7:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CLE	Crawford, Seneca, Wyandot	43 min
Jul 2, 7:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CLE	Mahoning	66 min
Jul 2, 7:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Crawford, Marion, Wyandot	61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Ohio, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.