Alert archive / Ohio / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 28, NWS Cleveland, OH

February 12, 2019Marion County, Ohio

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this river flood warning at Feb 12, 2019, 2:22 PM EST for Marion County, Ohio. It took effect at Feb 13, 2019, 4:20 AM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 12, 2019, 2:22 PM EST (19:22 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 13, 2019, 4:20 AM EST
Expired
Feb 14, 2019, 1:00 AM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Marion County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Scioto River at Larue (LARO1). The gauge peaked at 11.41 ft at Feb 13, 2019, 8:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderatemajor51002/1202/1302/1402/15
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
13 ft
Major stage
14 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03217500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

586 
WGUS41 KCLE 121922
FLWCLE
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
222 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Larue

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC101-130322-
/O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0028.190213T1200Z-190214T0600Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.190213T1200Z.190213T1200Z.190214T0000Z.NO/
222 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Scioto River Near Larue
* from Wednesday morning to late Wednesday night.
* At 1 PM the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Wednesday 
  morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$
5 follow-up statements
912 
WGUS81 KCLE 130304
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1004 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Larue

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC101-131104-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0028.190213T1200Z-190214T0600Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.190213T1200Z.190213T1200Z.190214T0000Z.NO/
1004 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* From Wednesday morning until late Wednesday night.
* At 9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was...10.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and rise to
  near 11.0 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC075-169-131104-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.190207T0252Z.190213T1800Z.190217T1800Z.NO/
1004 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...Flood warning extended until Sunday evening...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* Until Sunday morning. 
* At 9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was...16.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 16.7 feet by Wednesday afternoon. The 
  river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of 
  Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable 
  including State Route 60 south and County Road 621.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$
376 
WGUS81 KCLE 130924
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
424 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Black River At Elyria
  Scioto River Near Larue
  Nimishillen Creek Near North Industry
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC093-131725-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0031.190213T1200Z-190214T0600Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.190213T1200Z.190213T1800Z.190214T0000Z.NO/
424 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...Flood warning extended until late tonight...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Black River At Elyria.
* From this morning until late tonight.
* At 3:15 AM Wednesday the stage was...9.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and rise to near
  9.7 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  by this evening.
* At 9.5 feet...Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle Township 
  along Woodside Drive. 

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212             

$$

OHC101-131725-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0028.190213T0920Z-190214T1800Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.190213T0655Z.190213T1800Z.190214T1200Z.NO/
424 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...Flood warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The flood 
warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* Until Thursday afternoon. 
* At 4:00 AM Wednesday the stage was...11.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 11.6 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas south of the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC075-169-131725-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-190218T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.190207T0252Z.190213T1800Z.190217T1800Z.NO/
424 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* Until Sunday evening. 
* At 4:00 AM Wednesday the stage was...16.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 16.7 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of 
  Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable 
  including State Route 60 south and County Road 621.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC151-131551-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-190213T1551Z/
/NHSO1.1.ER.190213T0252Z.190213T0530Z.190213T0951Z.NO/
424 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...Flood warning extended until this morning...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Nimishillen Creek Near North Industry.
* Until this morning. 
* At 4:15 AM Wednesday the stage was...10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by early this morning.
* At 10.0 feet...Water backs up into a mobile home park on Cleveland 
  Southwest Avenue in Canton Township. Low lying portions of 
  Southeast Sparta Avenue and Allenford Drive threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4077 8139 4077 8134 4065 8132 4065 8138


$$

OHC155-131725-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-190213T2030Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.190213T0311Z.190213T0900Z.190213T1430Z.UU/
424 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* Until this afternoon. 
* At 4:00 AM Wednesday the stage was...10.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by late this morning.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport
  in Braceville floods. Knowlton Road will be threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
534 
WGUS81 KCLE 131629
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1129 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Black River At Elyria
  Scioto River Near Larue
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC093-132245-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190213T2245Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.190213T1027Z.190213T1415Z.190213T1645Z.NO/
1129 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...Flood warning extended until this afternoon...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Black River At Elyria.
* Until this afternoon. 
* At 11:15 AM Wednesday the stage was...9.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by early this afternoon.
* At 9.5 feet...Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle Township 
  along Woodside Drive. 

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212             

$$

OHC101-140029-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-190214T1630Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.190213T0655Z.190214T0000Z.190214T1030Z.NO/
1129 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...Flood warning extended until Thursday morning...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* Until Thursday morning. 
* At 11:00 AM Wednesday the stage was...11.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 11.6 feet by this evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas south of the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC075-169-140029-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-190217T1200Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.190207T0252Z.190214T0000Z.190217T0600Z.NO/
1129 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...Flood warning extended until Sunday morning...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* Until Sunday morning. 
* At 11:00 AM Wednesday the stage was...16.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 16.5 feet by this evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of 
  Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable 
  including State Route 60 south and County Road 621.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-140029-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-190214T1330Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.190213T0947Z.190213T1615Z.190214T0730Z.NO/
1129 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...Flood warning extended until Thursday morning...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* Until Thursday morning. 
* At 11:15 AM Wednesday the stage was...10.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by late tonight.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-140029-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-190214T1600Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.190213T0311Z.190213T1800Z.190214T1000Z.UU/
1129 AM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* Until Thursday morning. 
* At 11:00 AM Wednesday the stage was...11.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The river will rise to near 11.9 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and Knowlton 
  Roads will be flooded and impassable. 

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
BM
411 
WGUS81 KCLE 132045
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
345 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Black River At Elyria
  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
  Scioto River Near Larue
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC093-140445-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190214T0600Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.190213T1027Z.190213T1415Z.190214T0000Z.NO/
345 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...Flood warning extended until late tonight...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Black River At Elyria.
* From this evening until late tonight.
* At  3:15 PM Wednesday the stage was...9.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast to remain near 9.5 feet through late afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by this evening.
* At 9.5 feet...Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle Township 
  along Woodside Drive. 

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212             

$$

OHC101-140445-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-190214T1630Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.190213T0655Z.190214T0000Z.190214T1030Z.NO/
345 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* Until Thursday morning. 
* At  3:00 PM Wednesday the stage was...11.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 11.6 feet by this evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas south of the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC075-169-140445-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-190217T1200Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.190207T0252Z.190213T1945Z.190217T0600Z.NO/
345 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* Until Sunday morning. 
* At  3:00 PM Wednesday the stage was...16.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of 
  Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable 
  including State Route 60 south and County Road 621.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-140445-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-190214T1845Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.190213T0947Z.190214T0000Z.190214T1245Z.NO/
345 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...Flood warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The flood 
warning continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* Until Thursday afternoon. 
* At  3:15 PM Wednesday the stage was...11.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 11.4 feet by this evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-140445-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-190214T1700Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.190213T0311Z.190213T2200Z.190214T1100Z.UU/
345 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...Flood warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The flood 
warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* Until Thursday afternoon. 
* At  3:00 PM Wednesday the stage was...12.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The river will rise to near 12.9 feet by late this afternoon. The 
  river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 13.0 feet...Flooding begins on Braceville Robinson Road. 
  Portions of Barcley Messerly Road south of Eagle Creek Road will be
  impassable. Some homes will be threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
BM
537 
WGUS81 KCLE 132236
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
536 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Black River At Elyria
  Scioto River Near Larue

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC093-132306-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190214T0600Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.190213T1027Z.190213T1415Z.190213T2000Z.NO/
536 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

The flood warning is cancelled for 
  The Black River At Elyria.
* At  5:15 PM Wednesday the stage was...9.4 feet and
  is expected to continue receding. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212             

$$

OHC101-132306-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-190214T1630Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.190213T0655Z.190213T1300Z.190213T2040Z.NO/
536 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019

The flood warning is cancelled for 
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* At 5:00 PM Wednesday the stage was...10.9 feet and
  is expected to continue receding.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 12, 12:53 PM EST, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 12:53 PM EST, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1253 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong low pressure will track northeast across the southern
Great Lakes today and tonight, bringing a warm front north into
the area followed quickly by a cold front this afternoon and
evening. The low will slowly move into Quebec by Wednesday, with
a secondary trough moving east across the area. High pressure
will build east across the area Wednesday night and Thursday
before another low tracks east across the Great Lakes Thursday
night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Temperatures continue to warm over Lucas county and we have
allowed the Ice Storm Warning to expire. Rain has diminished a
bit across the western areas. Expecting wrap around moisture to
flow back into the area this afternoon with more shower activity
to develop. Will keep flood watch going at this time across the
area.

Original discussion... A dynamic weather system will
continue to bring the threat of freezing rain to northwest Ohio
and northwest PA this morning, widespread rainfall today into
tonight leading to potential flooding, strong winds tonight into
Wednesday, and scattered snow showers late tonight through
Wednesday, with accumulating snow possible, especially across
the snow belt.

First things first, the ongoing transition from freezing rain to
rain across parts of the area. Above freezing temperatures
continue to slowly work northward across the area this morning,
as an area of moderate precipitation over Indiana/western Ohio
begins to lift northeast through the area. Extended the duration
of the headlines across northwest Ohio this morning for couple
of hours to account for potential slippery conditions an hour or
two after the transition to rain. Ice accumulations across far
northern Wood and western Ottawa are very close to Ice Storm
Warning criteria, however will continue to message near one
quarter inch amounts in the advisory with the transition to rain
hopefully occurring in the next 4 hours. No major changes to the
headlines/ice accumulation totals across northwest PA, with the
event unfolding as anticipated.

Once we transition to mainly rain later this morning, the threat
for flooding will increase across the area as temperatures begin
to rise into the 40s with a warm front lifting north into the
area ahead of strong low pressure moving towards the area.
Overall, kept total rainfall amounts similar to previous
forecast, with generally around an inch west to one an one
quarter to one and a half inches east. The rain will be steady
and moderate at times through midday, then a bit of a lull can
be expected until a more convective line of rain showers moves
northeast through the area as an occluded front associated with
the passing low lifts through the area. Will keep the flood
watch as is for now.

A one-two punch of winds and falling temps is expected behind
the occluded front, with strong winds preceding the falling
temps. A wind advisory will likely be needed for much of the
area with west-southwest gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected. Decided
to let the day shift handle the wind advisory after the ice
threat has passed and some better clarity on the flood headlines
has occurred. Temps will very quickly fall below freezing
tonight as the low exits east out of the Great Lakes, with
precip transitioning to snow. There may be a brief lull in any
snow showers as the dry slot of the system rotates through the
area, however a mid level vort max, surface trough and wrap
around synoptic moisture rotates through the area late tonight
into Wednesday. Snow amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible
across the area late tonight through Wednesday, with some lake
enhancement/upslope bringing the potential for 2 to 4 inches
across the snow belt in NW PA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
By Wednesday night a ridge will be moving across the area and
putting an end to any remaining light snow showers across the far
east. The next shortwave from the Pacific Northwest/western Canada
will reach the Great Lakes for Thursday night/Friday. Spread of
solutions beginning to narrow with the Canadian remaining a
southeast outlier. With that, southerly flow on the backside of the
ridge will begin to warm us quickly on Thursday. Sticking with highs
in the lower and mid 40s with rain showers moving in to the western
areas by Thursday evening. The cold front Friday morning will usher
in colder air and transition precip back over to snow with some
light accumulations possible.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Overall the weekend is looking decent, but cool. High pressure will
extend across the Great Lakes from the northern Plains Saturday. A
system for late in the weekend has considerable spread and questions
on whether the high can hold. Will have low precip chances for the
possibility it affects the Ohio Valley. Highs look to stay close to
30 with lows in the teens.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Low pressure will continue to move northeast through the Great
Lakes region. A cold front will move east across the area later
this afternoon. The bulk of the rain has moved east of the area
and there is still a chance for showers with the cold front. The
rain will change over to snow as cold air moves into the area
but the greatest chance will be to the east as lake effect tries
to develop. Gradual improvement in conditions is expected from
west to east behind the cold front. Main issue will be the winds
behind the front with gusts to 40 knots expected tonight and
tomorrow.

OUTLOOK...Non-VFR possible into late Wednesday. Non-VFR again
likely Friday into Friday night and possibly Sunday.

&&

.MARINE...
A stiff northeast wind will veer to the southeast and south as
deepening low pressure passes just northwest of the lake late this
afternoon. Winds will be strong off of Erie PA this afternoon from
stronger downslope winds.  But in the wake of the low southwest
Gales are expected for this evening and tonight across the entire
lake. West-southwest Gales continue into Wednesday evening although
the western basin may relax some before then. This will likely cause
water levels to lower below the critical mark for safe navigation
for Wednesday morning. Winds will begin to diminish Wednesday night
as high pressure works overhead for Thursday. The next low now looks
to track across the central Great Lakes later Thursday and take a
cold front across Lake Erie early Friday. High pressure pushes in
from the northern Plains Saturday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flood Watch through late tonight for OHZ003-006>014-017>023-
     027>033-036>038-047-089.
     Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Wednesday for
     OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...Flood Watch through late tonight for PAZ001>003.
     Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Wednesday for
     PAZ001>003.
MARINE...Low Water Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 PM EST
     Wednesday for LEZ142>144-162>164.
     Gale Warning from 7 PM this evening to 10 PM EST Wednesday for
     LEZ142>149-162>169.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Greenawalt
NEAR TERM...Greenawalt/Lombardy
SHORT TERM...Oudeman
LONG TERM...Oudeman
AVIATION...Lombardy
MARINE...Oudeman
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 12, 7:16 AM EST, 7 hours 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
716 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

OHZ003-131230-
Lucas-
716 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Ice Storm Warning.

Wind gusts may exceed 45 mph tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wind gusts may approach 45 mph Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ006>008-131230-
Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-
716 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

Wind gusts may exceed 45 mph tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wind gusts may approach 45 mph Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ009>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-131230-
Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-
Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-
Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Ashtabula Lakeshore-
716 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Wind gusts may exceed 45 MPH tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wind gusts may approach 45 MPH Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-131230-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
716 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ001>003-131230-
Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford-
716 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

Wind gusts may approach 45 MPH today and may exceed 45 MPH tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wind gusts may approach 45 mph Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 12, 9:57 AM EST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
957 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0942 AM     FREEZING RAIN    2 N OTTAWA HILLS        41.70N  83.65W
02/12/2019  M0.30 INCH       LUCAS              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12-HOUR ICE ACCUMULATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1900881

RC
Local storm report, Feb 12, 10:03 AM EST, 4 hours 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1003 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0821 AM     FREEZING RAIN    2 W BURTON              41.47N  81.18W
02/12/2019  M0.10 INCH       GEAUGA             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12-HOUR ICE ACCUMULATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1900882

RC
Local storm report, Feb 12, 10:04 AM EST, 4 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1004 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0906 AM     FREEZING RAIN    3 NW UNION CITY         41.93N  79.89W
02/12/2019  M0.20 INCH       ERIE               PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12-HOUR ICE ACCUMULATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1900883

RC
Local storm report, Feb 12, 10:20 AM EST, 4 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1020 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 AM     FREEZING RAIN    HOLLAND                 41.62N  83.71W
02/12/2019  M0.40 INCH       LUCAS              OH   PUBLIC

            12-HOUR ICE ACCUMULATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1900884

RC
Local storm report, Feb 12, 10:51 AM EST, 3 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1051 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     FREEZING RAIN    4 SE HARBORCREEK        42.13N  79.89W
02/12/2019  M0.10 INCH       ERIE               PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12-HOUR ICE ACCUMULATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CLE1900885

RC
Local storm report, Feb 12, 1:36 PM EST, 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
136 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     FREEZING RAIN    4 N TOLEDO              41.72N 83.55W
02/12/2019  E0.50 INCH       LUCAS              OH   PUBLIC

            REPORT RELAYED BY ANOTHER NWS OFFICE FROM
            PUBLIC ON THE NORTH SIDE OF TOLEDO METRO
            AREA OF ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO 0.5 INCH OF
            ICE AND MANY DOWNED TREES, POWER OUTAGES.

&&

MG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 12, 3:40 AM ESTGale WarningCLE45 hr
Feb 12, 9:22 AM ESTWind AdvisoryCLEAshland, Ashtabula, Crawford, Cuyahoga, Erie, Geauga and 22 more30 hr
Feb 12, 9:36 AM ESTLow Water AdvisoryCLE36 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Ohio, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.