Alert archive / Ohio / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 27, NWS Cleveland, OH

February 8, 2019Trumbull County, Ohio

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this river flood warning at Feb 8, 2019, 3:56 AM EST for Trumbull County, Ohio. It took effect at Feb 8, 2019, 5:51 AM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 8, 2019, 3:56 AM EST (08:56 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 8, 2019, 5:51 AM EST
Expired
Feb 9, 2019, 2:49 AM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Trumbull County, OH

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Mahoning River at Leavittsburg (LEAO1).

Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
12.5 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03094000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

640 
WGUS41 KCLE 080856
FLWCLE
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
356 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC155-081656-
/O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0027.190208T1051Z-190209T0600Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.190208T1051Z.190208T1800Z.190209T0000Z.NO/
356 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
* until late tonight.
* At 3 AM the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by 6 am reaching 10.2 feet by this 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by this evening.
* At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding will occur near the town of 
  Leavittsburg.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$
6 follow-up statements
081 
WGUS81 KCLE 081117
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
617 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Blanchard River Near Findlay
  Scioto River Near Larue
  Scioto River Near Prospect
  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC063-081917-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0026.190208T1312Z-190209T0824Z/
/FDYO1.1.ER.190208T1312Z.190208T1800Z.190209T0224Z.NO/
617 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Blanchard River Near Findlay.
* From this morning until late tonight.
* At 6:00 AM Friday the stage was...10.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and rise to near
  11.4 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  by tonight.
* At 12.0 feet...Water impacts River Street and Apple Alley on the 
  west side of Findlay, Blanchard Street between Sandusky and Main 
  Cross, and several streets south of Clinton Court near Riverside 
  Park.

&&

LAT...LON 4107 8388 4106 8354 4098 8353 4098 8358
      4101 8359 4101 8388             

$$

OHC101-081917-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-190211T0000Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.190205T1019Z.190209T0600Z.190210T1800Z.NO/
617 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* Until Sunday evening. 
* At 6:00 AM Friday the stage was...12.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 12.8 feet by late tonight. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* At 13.0 feet...River at bankfull in the Village of La Rue. 
  Floodwaters will spread to east Vine Street.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC101-081917-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190212T0900Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.190206T1611Z.190208T1800Z.190212T0300Z.NO/
617 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* Until late Monday night. 
* At 5:00 AM Friday the stage was...12.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 13.1 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Monday night.
* At 13.5 feet...Flooding occurs along several streets north of 
  Market Street including North Elm Street, Northeast Street, Sellers
  Street, and Mulberry Street. Extensive crop flooding. Highway 203 
  is covered with flood waters for 2 miles.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-081917-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-190211T2100Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.190207T0252Z.190208T1200Z.190211T1500Z.NO/
617 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until Monday afternoon...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* Until Monday afternoon. 
* At  6:00 AM Friday the stage was...16.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 16.2 feet by this morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of 
  Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable 
  including State Route 60 south and County Road 621.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-081917-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190209T0600Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.190208T0945Z.190208T1800Z.190209T0000Z.NO/
617 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* Until late tonight. 
* At  5:15 AM Friday the stage was...10.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 10.2 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-081917-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-190209T0323Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.190206T0230Z.190208T1500Z.190208T2123Z.UU/
617 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until this evening...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* Until this evening. 
* At  6:00 AM Friday the stage was...9.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The river will rise to near 10.7 feet by late this morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and Knowlton 
  Roads will be flooded and impassable. 

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
914 
WGUS81 KCLE 081649
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1149 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC155-090049-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190209T0200Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.190208T0945Z.190208T1430Z.190208T2000Z.NO/
1149 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until this evening...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* Until this evening. 
* At 11:15 AM Friday the stage was...10.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-090049-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-190209T0323Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.190206T0230Z.190208T1600Z.190208T2123Z.UU/
1149 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* Until this evening. 
* At 11:00 AM Friday the stage was...11.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and Knowlton 
  Roads will be flooded and impassable. 

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
838 
WGUS81 KCLE 081843
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
143 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC155-090242-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190209T0900Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.190208T0945Z.190208T1430Z.190209T0300Z.NO/
143 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until late tonight...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* Until late tonight. 
* At  1:15 PM Friday the stage was...10.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-090242-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-190209T1140Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.190206T0230Z.190208T1800Z.190209T0540Z.UU/
143 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until Saturday morning...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* Until Saturday morning. 
* At  1:00 PM Friday the stage was...11.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by late tonight.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and Knowlton 
  Roads will be flooded and impassable. 

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$
983 
WGUS81 KCLE 090024
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
724 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Larue
  Scioto River Near Prospect
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC101-090825-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-190210T1536Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.190205T1019Z.190208T1545Z.190210T0936Z.NO/
724 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* Until Sunday morning. 
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was...11.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 12.1 feet by late tonight. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 13.0 feet...River at bankfull in the Village of La Rue. 
  Floodwaters will spread to east Vine Street.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC101-090825-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190212T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.190206T1611Z.190208T0700Z.190211T1800Z.NO/
724 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* Until Monday evening. 
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was...12.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Highway 203 inaccessible north of Prospect. Elm and 
  West River Road are flooded. Prospect and Upper Sandusky Roads are 
  also flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-090825-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-190212T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.190207T0252Z.190209T0000Z.190211T1800Z.NO/
724 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* Until Monday evening. 
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was...16.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of 
  Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable 
  including State Route 60 south and County Road 621.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-090825-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190209T0935Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.190208T0945Z.190208T2245Z.190209T0335Z.NO/
724 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until late tonight...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* Until late tonight. 
* At  6:15 PM Friday the stage was...10.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Nonflood flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by late tonight.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-090825-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-190209T1830Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.190206T0230Z.190208T2030Z.190209T1230Z.UU/
724 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The flood 
warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* Until Saturday afternoon. 
* At  7:00 PM Friday the stage was...11.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and Knowlton 
  Roads will be flooded and impassable. 

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$

Thompson
105 
WGUS81 KCLE 090244
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
944 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Larue
  Scioto River Near Prospect
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC101-091042-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-190209T2000Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.190205T1019Z.190208T1545Z.190209T1400Z.NO/
944 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The flood 
warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* Until Saturday afternoon. 
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was...11.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas south of the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC101-091042-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-190211T1851Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.190206T1611Z.190208T0700Z.190211T1251Z.NO/
944 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until Monday afternoon...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* Until Monday afternoon. 
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was...12.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Monday morning.
* At 12.0 feet...Highway 203 inaccessible north of Prospect. Elm and 
  West River Road are flooded. Prospect and Upper Sandusky Roads are 
  also flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-091042-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-190211T1800Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.190207T0252Z.190209T0100Z.190211T1200Z.NO/
944 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until Monday afternoon...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* Until Monday afternoon. 
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was...16.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Monday morning.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of 
  Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable 
  including State Route 60 south and County Road 621.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-091042-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190209T1525Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.190208T0945Z.190209T0600Z.190209T0925Z.NO/
944 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...Flood warning extended until Saturday morning...The flood warning 
continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* Until Saturday morning. 
* At  9:15 PM Friday the stage was...10.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will rise to near 10.4 feet by late tonight. The river 
  will fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-091042-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-190209T1830Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.190206T0230Z.190208T2030Z.190209T1230Z.UU/
944 PM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* Until Saturday afternoon. 
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was...11.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and Knowlton 
  Roads will be flooded and impassable. 

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$

Thompson
295 
WGUS81 KCLE 090749
FLSCLE
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
249 AM EST Sat Feb 9 2019

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Larue
  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC101-090819-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-190209T2000Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.190205T1019Z.190208T1545Z.190209T0600Z.NO/
249 AM EST Sat Feb 9 2019

The flood warning is cancelled for 
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday the stage was...10.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC155-090819-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190209T1525Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.190208T0945Z.190209T0015Z.190209T0412Z.NO/
249 AM EST Sat Feb 9 2019

The flood warning is cancelled for 
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* At  2:15 AM Saturday the stage was...9.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding will occur near the town of 
  Leavittsburg.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 8, 1:57 AM EST, 1 hour 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 8, 1:57 AM EST, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
157 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure near Chicago will move northeast across the central
Great Lakes tonight. A warm front will lift north of the local
area this evening ahead of the low. A cold front will follow
quickly from the west early tonight. High pressure will build
into the area for the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Have cancelled the flood watch a little early. Heavy rain has
ended. Will monitor area creeks and rivers and issue river flood
statements as needed.

Previous Discussion...
Winds immediately with the cold frontal passage are gusting to
45-50 MPH. As of 630 PM the cold front was located right at the
OH/IN border. Temperatures a few counties west of the front are
already in the upper 30s. Our forecast on track. Previous
discussion follows.

The warm front has returned and has lodged itself up along the
lakeshore in a very similar position vs Wednesday. Temps were in
the upper 30s at Toledo and Erie as well as the lakeshore areas
of Cleveland. South of those areas, temps were in the lower
50s. Temps will remain steady to to rise a couple degrees
through evening ahead of the approaching cold front. Also a
general fog covered the area with visibilities from roughly 2
to 5 miles.

For this evening, fog will remain at first. Temps will remain
steady or to rise a couple degrees through evening in southerly
flow ahead of the approaching cold front. Radar showed moderate
rain moving into the western and southern tier of counties this
afternoon with convection showing up to our southwest into the
mid Mississippi Valley. Through the evening, moderate to heavy
rain will continue to overspread the area mainly across the
southern and southeastern counties while lighter rain falls in
the northwest. Thunder continues to be possible in the heavier
showers through evening as well. Ground remains saturated and
with the additional rainfall, flooding remains possible so will
keep flood watch as is. With the cold front, winds will turn
wsw and increase to 25 to 30 mph with higher gusts. Winds at
925mb reach 65kts this evening and am expecting a significant
momentum transfer with the cold advection. Have issued a wind
advisory beginning in the west half of the area at 6pm with an
expected FROPA time beginning around 7pm. The front should be
just west of Cleveland by 03z so started the eastern half
lakeshore section at 9pm. Winds were shown to be 5 to 10 knots
less across the eastern inland counties so for now will leave
out of any wind headline. Drier air will move in behind the
front drying out western counties mid/late evening. Eastern
counties will dry out after midnight. Winds will continue gusty
especially through the morning and highest near the lakeshore.
Most areas will remain dry as high pressure builds in however as
850mb temps drop, expect snow showers to develop off Lake Erie.
With snow much dry air overspreading the area do not expect much
accum. Lake effect snow showers will likely persist into friday
night but otherwise expect a dry night with partly cloudy
skies.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
An upper ridge begins building into the region for Saturday and
subsidence aloft will dry the area out through most of Sunday as
surface high pressure builds back into the region. Temperatures
through the period will be below normal with highs in the 20s and
lows in the teens. High pressure will shift east as a weak low
ejects eastward from the Central Plains with an upper level
shortwave moving through the CONUS. This weak low will be south of
the area, and so any precipitation would be snow. It will be late in
the period before snow enters the region and the best chances remain
to the south and west. Therefore, will continue with the high chance
to likely pops and perhaps a quick inch of snow accumulation across
the area on Sunday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A ridge will build over the area on Monday Night/Tuesday which will
support warming temperatures back near normal. This will be replaced
by another fast low pressure system moving out of the Rockies.
Models show a more northern track with this system which would favor
the warm nose reaching as far north as the lake. Look for a chance
of rain with this system, beginning and ending with snow/LES. Like
with the earlier system, until it moves out of the Pacific and
onshore models will have difficulty defining some of the details
with this feature. Another snap of cold air will follow for
Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
MVFR conditions will continue through the night. Gusty winds
will be the main story with gusts to 40 knots across the west
and near the lake. Some snow showers will arrive after 08Z. A
few f the snow showers will bring visibilities down to 2-3
miles. Ceilings will then slowly lift through the day with the
drier air spilling in from the west. Westerly winds will slowly
decrease through the afternoon.

OUTLOOK...Non-VFR possible Sunday night into Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
A stalled front continues to hug the southern shores of Lake Erie
this afternoon as low pressure over the lower Ohio Valley continues
northeast towards the Great Lakes. As rain moves in, the front will
finally push north of the lake and winds will shift around to the
southeast, increasing as the low approaches. The low will pass north
of the lake tonight and extend a cold front across the lake. Winds
will shift around to the west and significantly increase. Gales are
expected over the lake with gusts to 50 knots possible, especially
immediately with the front. The front will reach the west end of
Lake Erie around 9 PM and have bumped up the time of the Gale
Warning to that time. Strong westerly winds will present a low
water scenario for the west end of Lake Erie, and so a Low Water
Advisory has been issued for tonight through Friday, also
starting at 9 PM. Winds will diminish on Friday in the wake of
the front and become light and variable with high pressure
moving in on Saturday. Light flow over the lake should remain in
place through Sunday night and winds may increase out of the
east on Monday as a weak low enters the Ohio Valley on Monday
and high pressure builds from the north for Tuesday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Wind Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for OHZ003-006>014-
     017>020-027>030-036-037-089.
PA...Wind Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for PAZ001-002.
MARINE...Low Water Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
     LEZ142>144-162>164.
     Gale Warning until 10 AM EST this morning for LEZ142>146-
     162>166.
     Gale Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for LEZ147>149-
     167>169.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TK
NEAR TERM...TK/MM/Oudeman
SHORT TERM...Sefcovic
LONG TERM...Saunders
AVIATION...MM
MARINE...Sefcovic
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 8, 1:59 AM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
159 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

OHZ003-006>014-017>020-027>030-036-037-089-PAZ001-002-090700-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-
Richland-Ashland-Marion-Morrow-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
Southern Erie-
159 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ021>023-031>033-038-047-PAZ003-090700-
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Holmes-Knox-Crawford-
159 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong west winds will develop in the wake of a cold front this
evening and overnight with gusts to of 40 mph possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ142>144-162>164-090700-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
159 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Low Water Advisory.
   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Low Water Advisory.
   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ145-146-165-166-090700-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
159 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-147>149-167>169-090700-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
159 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 7, 11:49 PM EST, 4 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1149 PM EST THU FEB 7 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     FLOOD            ASHLAND                 40.87N 82.32W
02/07/2019                   ASHLAND            OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED 5 ROAD CLOSURES AND OVER A
            DOZEN WITH HIGH WATER SIGNAGE ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

OUDEMAN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 7, 7:10 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningCLEAshland, Knox, Marion, Morrow, Richland12 hr
Feb 7, 7:38 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningCLEPortage, Trumbull12 hr
Feb 8, 6:50 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningCLEAshland, Holmes, Knox6 hr
Feb 8, 10:05 AM ESTGale WarningCLE6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Ohio, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.